On 11/02/2011, at 10:14 AM, david depew wrote:

Thanks Rolf,
I see your point, and I admit that I've waffled a bit on this issue. I'm hesitant to drive down the kriging path (although indicators might be suitable), because there are many known (and unknown) covariates that affect the contaminant burden, and few of these are quantified at the scale or resolution we would require to make such an approach useful (at least based on my experience). Regarding the data; the sites were not "chosen" as one would choose locations to sample, rather they are a mix of quasi - synoptic and randomized sampling designs from ~ 50 or so different investigators/ agencies. We've simply mashed them into one large database for our purposes. The habitat of the organisms is fixed in space (lakes), but given that there is no real selection protocol for sites, I wondered if this fit into the "grey" area.

        Well, it's pretty well all grey to me! :-)

        I'm afraid I have no insights to offer.  But let me say that whether
or not the sites were ``chosen'' in any organised fashion, their locations
        are in effect given to you.  They did not arise from a random process.
        Or rather, if they did, you are not interested in studying the process
        which gave rise to the locations but rather properties of observations
        made at those locations.

        A mathematical description of the structure is, I think, that you have
a random field, defined on a discrete set of points, an irregular lattice --- the observation points in your data base. There is also a time variable involved, and associated covariates are observed. It might be appropriate to include time as a covariate. Or not. You might consider the lattice
        of points to be three dimensional, with a time dimension.

        Saying all that doesn't really help to develop an appropriate
        analysis strategy.  However it make help to focus the mind and to
        formulate clearly and precisely just what problems you are trying to
        solve.

                cheers,

                        Rolf Turner


On Thu, Feb 10, 2011 at 3:42 PM, Rolf Turner <r.tur...@auckland.ac.nz> wrote:

On 11/02/2011, at 6:00 AM, david depew wrote:

Dear list,
A brief and (hopefully) simplistic question regarding point pattern
analysis.

We have compiled a large, continental database of chemical burdens in a model organism. Currently, the data span 40 years and covers the entire
country of Canada (including the high arctic). We have categorized the
numeric data into categorical data (i.e. categorical marks) based on risk thresholds. We'd like to assess whether or not there are interesting spatial
patterns ( i.e. clusters of levels of risk (high vs low)), much like a
case/control approach. My question is as follows;

Is there a "best" geographic projection for this approach? Currently all data are in Latitude/Longitude. My inclination is to use something along the lines of an equal area projection to maintain a reasonable representation of
spatial dispersion.

This doesn't sound to me like ***point pattern*** data. It sounds like
you have taken measurements of ``chemical burdens'' in a particular
organism, at a number of ***chosen*** sites over a number (40) of years.

Thus the observation points are deterministic, not random, and so point
pattern analysis doesn't come into it.

It may be the case that some sort of combination of kriging and time series or repeated measures analysis might be called for. But here I speak of
that of which I know nothing.

       cheers,

               Rolf Turner




--
David Depew
Postdoctoral Fellow
School of Environmental Studies
Queen's University
Kingston, Ontario
K7L 3N6

david.de...@queensu.ca
P: (613) 533-6000 x77831

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