Remember that the Gutenberg Press has been around for 550+ years and so the
publishing world has had many, many years to get to where it is now. I
wonder what people said about the first copy of the Bible way back then?

This video predates Gutenberg a bit (handwritten book), but it may reflect
the press's reception:
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xFAWR6hzZek>

Seriously, though: it's going to take time to see which way it goes. The
recording industry isn't really that good a comparison because it only had a
few decades to get established before new technologies started coming
around. Printing technology has a much deeper foothold as a result of its
much greater age.

David


On Fri, Feb 12, 2010 at 11:53 PM, SteveC <[email protected]> wrote:

> In terms of pure numbers, the argument that the publishing world has
> changed is as flawed as the chart that started the thread.
>
> There is no question that authors do have an increasing ability to go
> around the mainstream publishing filter. But the problem is again one
> of base line. The base line against which we're comparing is close to
> zero. (Not zero itself, because there have always been self-published
> or tiny press books that caught on.)
>
> We've seen a huge increase in that number. But we're still at the
> stage where every single instance of such a success gets noticed.
> There may be hundreds total, but hundreds are still less than 1% of
> all the books published by mainstream publishers in a single year.
> They are probably a smaller proportion of books than hybrid cars are
> of cars sold in a year. Both get undue attention because they are the
> supposed vision of the future but the overall model has not really
> changed at all.
>
> Steve
>
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