Ok, some points: > how we deal with resources in the short time between now and when the last new IPv4 addresses are > depleted (for instance, does AfriNIC get a larger share to account for future growth, which isn't > possible under current allocation policies), and second, how we deal with the trading or > reassignment of addresses _after_ depletion, when AfriNIC has no more to give out, and they have > to be moved back and forth between users. Will speculators be allowed to drive prices up, or will > the market be regulated as it is now, to only include qualified recipients, and keep costs lower?
Regarding what happens after the IPv4 space is depleted. Primarily due to our current allocation rates, a glance at the work done Geoff Huston will clearly show, we're allocating slower than anyone else, even with large amount of penetration growth. As such, we're likely to be among the last to actually run out. At this point, with everyone else having run out, it is my belief that people are going to be pushing very very hard to head TOWARDS v6, and as per earlier in the email to which I now reply, without IP addresses communication will not happen. This is not without v4 addresses at this point, its without v6 addresses. Once the space runs out, more and more of the internet will become unavailable to those who don't have v6. To be continuing to preserve the life of v4 after this point is not the smartest move in my idea, all it will do is force Africa further behind in the deployment of IPv6. As for reclaiming v4 space AFTER v6 comes in... for what... the rest of the world will have gone v6 out of necessity, and NOW we're trying to pick up v4? Regarding the so called "black market" for v4 space, in my opinion, the only roll AfriNIC has to play in this is possibly as a clearing house. The bottom line, there is nothing that can really be done to force control of this, where there are buyers, there will be sellers, and in something as global and as unregulated as the internet is, to try and enforce control over a second market like this will fail, dismally, rather let them act as a clearing house and let the v4 traders trade, while the rest of us look to the real future, the IPv6 future. After all, lets face it, if I pay institution X for /22 worth of their IPv6, they stop announcing it, I announce it, we both register the proper route objects... you really think it's going to get stopped? I mean, at the moment AfriNIC doesn't run RUN a proper route objects database, those of us that DO have route objects have them in RIPE's database... yet we expect them to intervene in a market like this? Lets be sensible and think about this realistically shall we? Anyway, just my thoughts Andrew Alston _______________________________________________ rpd mailing list [email protected] https://lists.afrinic.net/mailman/listinfo.cgi/rpd
