Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-18 Thread Jed Rothwell
Stephen A. Lawrence  wrote:


> No,  it makes good sense. This school of logic is thousands of years old
> and has been carefully thought out. You should not assume that you know
> better than philosophers and logicians.
>
>
> True.
>
> And that's an appeal to authority, too, by the way...  
>

It is recursive.

Another situation in which a properly framed appeal to authority is
acceptable, and often used, is in court testimony or in a Congressional
Investigation. In a jury trial, it is enough to say that Prof. So-and-so, an
expert in thus and such, and therefore his testimony should be admissible.

The prof.'s reasons might be too complicated to explain to the jury, so the
testimony might include only the reasons (or opinions, really) with no
scientific backing, but it is still legitimate. As I said, it is supporting
evidence, not proof.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Peter Gluck
Actually it is *postlogical thinking *
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com/2011/03/modes-of-thinking-my-taxonomy.html
Galantini is a very local authorithy, and university professors  are not
necessarily experts in steam. Rossi is against the idea of measuring the
ENTHALPY of steam,(as Jed also suggest via sparging) he has not published my
message saying this.
He again says that an output per input ratio of 6 will be guaranteed, taking
in account that 1 kW electric = 3 kW thermic this is a low value.  Serious
doubts are re not the functionality but the* readiness* of the E-cat.
Hopefully the Defkalion press conference will inject some optimism in this
issue.

On Sat, Jun 18, 2011 at 4:57 AM, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:

> **
>
>
> On 11-06-17 09:31 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote:
>
> Stephen A. Lawrence  wrote:
>
>
>> If that's not "appealing to an authority" then I don't know the meaning of
>> simple English sentences.
>>
>
>  You do know the meaning of simple English sentences, but this meaning
> does not apply to formal logic. Words and expressions in daily language
> often mean something different from what they do in a specialized academic
> context. I was referring the academic meaning of "fallacious appeal to
> authority."
>
>
> OK, your point.
>
> I said "appeal to authority", you said "fallacious appeal to authority"
> ...  what I'm talking about is neither fallacious, nor a logical fallacy,
> it's merely not a convincing proof of anything.
>
> It is commonly used by people who either have no actual evidence to bolster
> their position, or have sufficiently limited knowledge that they can't argue
> the position themselves.  In either case the weight of the argument depends
> vitally on the degree to which the target of the appeal really is an
> authority, because there is nothing else on which to base it.
>
>
>
>   Rossi's assertion is not in this category because -- as I said
> -- Galantini is a bona fide relevant authority.
>
>  That does not mean Galantini is right. It means it is not a logical
> fallacy to cite his opinion as supporting evidence for the claim.
>
>
>
>> Bosh.  Their definition is far narrower than the way the phrase "appeal to
>> authority" is actually used . . .
>
>
>  Not when you are discussion formal logic.
>
>
>
>> , and is far narrower than makes sense.
>>
>
>  No,  it makes good sense. This school of logic is thousands of years old
> and has been carefully thought out. You should not assume that you know
> better than philosophers and logicians.
>
>
> True.
>
> And that's an appeal to authority, too, by the way...  
>
>
>
>
>  In this case, Rossi has quoted an authority regarding the steam ... but
>> the evidence used by that authority has never been revealed.   Consequently,
>> we are left with a simple "appeal to authority", which, by itself, can never
>> prove anything.
>>
>
>  A proper (non-fallacious) appeal to authority cannot prove anything, but
> it is good supporting evidence. As I said, it would not be suitable in an
> academic conference talking to scientists, but it is perfectly okay when
> talking to reporters. Rossi treated Krivit as a reporter. He wanted to treat
> me that way, but I did not want to attend in that capacity. I am only
> interested in making my own measurements with my own instruments and
> techniques (sparging, in the case of steam). I fully understand why Rossi
> did not want me to do that, and I have no objection.
>
>  My point is that before you enter into a discussion with someone about a
> technical subject, it is a good idea to establish the ground rules and your
> roles. If Krivit shows in a lab as a reporter to interview people, carrying
> a voice recorder and camera, there is nothing wrong with a properly formed
> appeal to authority. Naturally, the argument is strengthened with data and
> information on the instrument, but an appeal to authority is logically
> sound. If I show up carrying an Omega HH12B dual input thermocouple, it
> would be preposterous to tell me that I should take it on authority that the
> temperature is 101 deg C. I made it clear before I left that I would come to
> read instruments, not to hear what people have to say.
>
>
>  This is the difference between science, and everything else:  In
>> religion, in the military, in government, in business, in school, you can
>> say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and everybody jumps.  In
>> science, you can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and the
>> usual response is, "What was his reasoning, and what's his data?"
>>
>
>  My point is that journalism is not science. Different rules apply. What
> is considered a logical fallacy in one is permitted in the other.
>
>  - Jed
>
>


-- 
Dr. Peter Gluck
Cluj, Romania
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com


Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence



On 11-06-17 09:31 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote:

Stephen A. Lawrence mailto:sa...@pobox.com>> wrote:

If that's not "appealing to an authority" then I don't know the
meaning of simple English sentences.


You do know the meaning of simple English sentences, but this meaning 
does not apply to formal logic. Words and expressions in daily 
language often mean something different from what they do in a 
specialized academic context. I was referring the academic meaning of 
"fallacious appeal to authority."


OK, your point.

I said "appeal to authority", you said "fallacious appeal to authority" 
...  what I'm talking about is neither fallacious, nor a logical 
fallacy, it's merely not a convincing proof of anything.


It is commonly used by people who either have no actual evidence to 
bolster their position, or have sufficiently limited knowledge that they 
can't argue the position themselves.  In either case the weight of the 
argument depends vitally on the degree to which the target of the appeal 
really is an authority, because there is nothing else on which to base it.



Rossi's assertion is not in this category because -- as I said 
-- Galantini is a bona fide relevant authority.


That does not mean Galantini is right. It means it is not a logical 
fallacy to cite his opinion as supporting evidence for the claim.


Bosh.  Their definition is far narrower than the way the phrase
"appeal to authority" is actually used . . .


Not when you are discussion formal logic.

, and is far narrower than makes sense.


No,  it makes good sense. This school of logic is thousands of years 
old and has been carefully thought out. You should not assume that you 
know better than philosophers and logicians.


True.

And that's an appeal to authority, too, by the way... 




In this case, Rossi has quoted an authority regarding the steam
... but the evidence used by that authority has never been
revealed.   Consequently, we are left with a simple "appeal to
authority", which, by itself, can never prove anything.


A proper (non-fallacious) appeal to authority cannot prove anything, 
but it is good supporting evidence. As I said, it would not be 
suitable in an academic conference talking to scientists, but it is 
perfectly okay when talking to reporters. Rossi treated Krivit as a 
reporter. He wanted to treat me that way, but I did not want to attend 
in that capacity. I am only interested in making my own measurements 
with my own instruments and techniques (sparging, in the case of 
steam). I fully understand why Rossi did not want me to do that, and I 
have no objection.


My point is that before you enter into a discussion with someone about 
a technical subject, it is a good idea to establish the ground rules 
and your roles. If Krivit shows in a lab as a reporter to interview 
people, carrying a voice recorder and camera, there is nothing wrong 
with a properly formed appeal to authority. Naturally, the argument is 
strengthened with data and information on the instrument, but an 
appeal to authority is logically sound. If I show up carrying an Omega 
HH12B dual input thermocouple, it would be preposterous to tell me 
that I should take it on authority that the temperature is 101 deg C. 
I made it clear before I left that I would come to read instruments, 
not to hear what people have to say.



This is the difference between science, and everything else:  In
religion, in the military, in government, in business, in school,
you can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and
everybody jumps.  In science, you can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we
should all JUMP!" and the usual response is, "What was his
reasoning, and what's his data?"


My point is that journalism is not science. Different rules apply. 
What is considered a logical fallacy in one is permitted in the other.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Just to reiterate, Stephen A. Lawrence  wrote:


> Rossi is citing actual, bona fide authorities in the relevant field such as
>> Dr. Galantini. That is a legitimate thing to do ...
>>
>

> Not with a complete lack of cited data, not in any scientific forum.


Rossi made it very clear to me that this *would not be* a scientific forum.
That is why I stayed home. It was a journalistic forum. The ground rules are
different. Perhaps Rossi did not make that clear to Krivit.

Before you get on an airplane to visit someone, I recommend you discuss the
agenda.

Naturally there are gradations here. A science journalist can legitimately
demand more explanations and more hard data information than a generalist
reporter who has never heard of "wet steam" or a "thermocouple."

As I said in the first message, it was reasonable for Krivit to ask for more
data from Levi. Unfortunately, it seems he asked in a manner that Levi found
insulting, or at least undiplomatic. I have spent a lot of time trying to
pry papers out of researchers, in order to upload them to LENR-CANR.org. It
is fine art. I have often failed to get the professor to cough up anything.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Stephen A. Lawrence  wrote:


> If that's not "appealing to an authority" then I don't know the meaning of
> simple English sentences.
>

You do know the meaning of simple English sentences, but this meaning does
not apply to formal logic. Words and expressions in daily language often
mean something different from what they do in a specialized academic
context. I was referring the academic meaning of "fallacious appeal to
authority." Rossi's assertion is not in this category because -- as I said
-- Galantini is a bona fide relevant authority.

That does not mean Galantini is right. It means it is not a logical fallacy
to cite his opinion as supporting evidence for the claim.



> Bosh.  Their definition is far narrower than the way the phrase "appeal to
> authority" is actually used . . .


Not when you are discussion formal logic.



> , and is far narrower than makes sense.
>

No,  it makes good sense. This school of logic is thousands of years old and
has been carefully thought out. You should not assume that you know better
than philosophers and logicians.



> In this case, Rossi has quoted an authority regarding the steam ... but the
> evidence used by that authority has never been revealed.   Consequently, we
> are left with a simple "appeal to authority", which, by itself, can never
> prove anything.
>

A proper (non-fallacious) appeal to authority cannot prove anything, but it
is good supporting evidence. As I said, it would not be suitable in an
academic conference talking to scientists, but it is perfectly okay when
talking to reporters. Rossi treated Krivit as a reporter. He wanted to treat
me that way, but I did not want to attend in that capacity. I am only
interested in making my own measurements with my own instruments and
techniques (sparging, in the case of steam). I fully understand why Rossi
did not want me to do that, and I have no objection.

My point is that before you enter into a discussion with someone about a
technical subject, it is a good idea to establish the ground rules and your
roles. If Krivit shows in a lab as a reporter to interview people, carrying
a voice recorder and camera, there is nothing wrong with a properly formed
appeal to authority. Naturally, the argument is strengthened with data and
information on the instrument, but an appeal to authority is logically
sound. If I show up carrying an Omega HH12B dual input thermocouple, it
would be preposterous to tell me that I should take it on authority that the
temperature is 101 deg C. I made it clear before I left that I would come to
read instruments, not to hear what people have to say.


This is the difference between science, and everything else:  In religion,
> in the military, in government, in business, in school, you can say "Joe
> Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and everybody jumps.  In science, you
> can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and the usual response
> is, "What was his reasoning, and what's his data?"
>

My point is that journalism is not science. Different rules apply. What is
considered a logical fallacy in one is permitted in the other.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence



On 11-06-17 06:51 PM, Jed Rothwell wrote:
Someone here said that Rossi is offering "an appeal to authority." 
Strictly speaking, he is not. 


Yes, he is.  His evidence that the steam is dry is "So-and-so says so."  
But no data is presented to back So-and-so's opinion; all we have is a 
bare conclusion by someone who is "an authority".  What probe was used?  
What property of the effluent was measured?  What was the measured 
value?  Nobody knows!  What are the error bars on the dryness measure?  
What's that, they don't have any?  Oh, no, of course not -- it's an 
absolute statement:  "It's *dry*".


If that's not "appealing to an authority" then I don't know the meaning 
of simple English sentences.


Jed has speculated that Rossi has performed his own simple tests to 
determine if the steam is dry (pass hand through steam, judge by feel) 
but  AFAIK no evidence has ever been shown that even such simple tests 
were done.



That would be a logical fallacy, called a "Fallacious Appeal to 
Authority, Misuse of Authority":


http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html


Bosh.  Their definition is far narrower than the way the phrase "appeal 
to authority" is actually used, and is far narrower than makes sense.


The argument "Joe said so", by itself, is never deductively valid, never 
fully conclusive, no matter how much of an authority Joe is.  It only 
becomes a solid argument when we can not only quote Joe, but also cite 
the evidence Joe used to arrive at that conclusion.


In this case, Rossi has quoted an authority regarding the steam ... but 
the evidence used by that authority has never been revealed.   
Consequently, we are left with a simple "appeal to authority", which, by 
itself, can never prove anything.


Show us the data -- heck, just tell us what measurement was actually 
done and what probe was really used to do it -- and then we'll have some 
evidence that the steam was dry (or wasn't).  But without that, we have 
nothing but -- well -- hot air.





Rossi is citing actual, bona fide authorities in the relevant field 
such as Dr. Galantini. That is a legitimate thing to do ...


Not with a complete lack of cited data, not in any scientific forum.  
Galantini can say "It's dry!" 'till he's blue in the face, but unless 
he's willing to add something like, "And I know that because I measured 
XYZ property and it was less than ZYX value" it's just so much noise.


This is the difference between science, and everything else:  In 
religion, in the military, in government, in business, in school, you 
can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and everybody jumps.  
In science, you can say "Joe Blow Honcho said we should all JUMP!" and 
the usual response is, "What was his reasoning, and what's his data?"


Galantini said "It's dry".  So, that's nice; if he'd said "It's sopping 
wet" it would have been Game Over.  But where's his data?




[Vo]:Krivit's report and the unfortunate situation in Bologna

2011-06-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
As everyone here knows, Steve Krivit wrote a report about a visit to Rossi's
factory in Bologna:

http://blog.newenergytimes.com/2011/06/16/preliminary-report-of-interviews-with-e-cat-trio-rossi-focardi-and-levi/

On one hand, I thought this report was pretty good, but on the other hand I
can well understand why it upset Rossi and Levi. This is unfortunate. I was
hoping this visit would help clarify the situation, but it seems to have had
the opposite effect.

I think this is partly a misunderstand about the nature and purposes of
these tests. Krivit is looking for one thing (legitimately) but Rossi is
offering another (also legitimate).

Krivit was looking for a scientific exposition, and Rossi was offering a
press briefing. Here is one key difference. Someone here said that Rossi is
offering "an appeal to authority." Strictly speaking, he is not. That would
be a logical fallacy, called a "Fallacious Appeal to Authority, Misuse of
Authority":

http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html

Rossi is citing actual, bona fide authorities in the relevant field such as
Dr. Galantini. That is a legitimate thing to do in the context of explaining
an experiment to a reporter. It is not, however, a legitimate argument in a
scientific exposition at an academic conference, for example. In other
words, Krivit saw himself acting as a scientific critic (which he did, ably)
but Rossi saw him as a reporter. A reporter will be satisfied when he is
told that Professor X is an expert in wet or dry steam; a scientific critic
will want to see the data.

Krivit makes an important point: detailed data has not been published. I was
expecting it would beby now. When the tests were done earlier this year,
Levi, and later Essen and Kullander published quick, preliminary reports. I
heard they were planning to publish longer, more formal papers later. Maybe
they are still working on them. The initial reports were pretty good. They
were a reasonable first approximation -- the kind of thing you expect
someone to write a few days after a test. I think anyone would agree with
Krivit that more data is called for. It seems that he asked Levi for more
data and this led to a dispute, and hard feelings, which is a real shame.

I remarked briefly during the visit, "I hope Rossi allows Krivit to make
independent measurements." I gather that was not on the agenda, and it was
not the purpose of the visit. Again, that is a shame.

Let me explain something about that remark. This is about an event I have
not discussed. Strictly speaking it is a non-event. It did not happen, and
it is of no importance. A couple of months ago, Rossi cordially invited me
to visit the factory in Bologna. I was excited and pleased, naturally. I
immediately responded saying I would be thrilled, and I would like to bring
several thermometers, a graduated cylinder, I would like to do a flow test,
a test sparging the steam with a 1 m hose, and so on, and so forth. Anyone
who knows me will know that I am better at measuring temperatures than
asking questions or interviewing people.

Rossi came back and said (in effect): "no, that is not what I had mind. I
meant you can come and observe the machine, and we will talk about it." In
other words, he offered the kind of exposition and discussion that he gave
to Steve Krivit. I thought about that for a while. But I told him that I am
not cut out for that sort of thing, and I cannot see traveling all the way
to Italy and not measuring the flow rate, inlet temperature, outlet
temperature, mixing, and on and on. The only reason I would go is to do
calorimetry. Rossi said he did not have time to do any more tests, and he
feels the professors have already done enough calorimetry, and he did not
want any more tests before the 1 MW demonstration. I said: "naturally you
are very busy; a test is time consuming and difficult. I would not want you
to have take extra time out of your work just so that I can make
measurements." We agreed that this is not the right time for a visit. It was
a friendly discussion.

The point is, I was hoping that I might help resolve some of these issues. A
test sparging the steam is crude but I am confident that if it is done
correctly it would help clarify the wet versus dry steam issue. To do it
correctly you need a short hose, and you first confirm that the steam is not
visible. This is the sort of thing I did at Hydrodynamics. I am obviously
nowhere near as qualified as an expert such as Galantini! I would never,
ever, challenge his authority in this matter. I never teach grandma how to
suck eggs (as the expression goes). I can see why Krivit's comments rubbed
Rossi the wrong way. Krivit seemed to be lecturing experts about wet and dry
steam, which is bad form. It is effrontery.

I *totally* understand why Rossi felt he does not need me to do this, and he
does not have time for tests. On the other hand I do have significant
experience doing this sort of thing with Gene Mallove. I am fanati