[ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

2004-07-19 Thread Isobel Clark
Jul

The warning about kriging small blocks is about
small relative to the sampling density. For example,
less than about one-third of the grid spacing. 

The warning is the same as the one about 'point'
kriging (mapping) The map is too smooth - or, at
least, a lot smoother than the real surface would be.
High value areas will be under-estimated and low value
areas will be over-estimated.

If your objective in kriging is to obtain general maps
of an area with an idea of where the highs and lows
are, then ordinary kriging is sufficient. The over-
and under- estimations cancel out on average.

In mining applications, where block kriging
originated, most applications require a 'cutoff',
where values below a certain value are not included in
the 'plan'. In this case, mapping or estimating small
blocks will result in an over-estimation of 'payable'
ground and an under-estimation in average value.

In pollution or environmental applications, the areas
at risk will be under-estimated as will the true
toxicity or risk factors.

There are two major ways round this problem:

(1) use a non-linear kriging approach such as
disjunctive kriging or the multivariate gaussian. Ed
Isaacs and Mohan Srivastava's book is th ebest
reference for the latter. Rivoirard's book for DK.

(2) simulation. There are lots of simulation methods
around, which allow you to 'put back the roughness'
and get an idea how bad the problem might be. GSLib is
pretty good on this.

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/course_brochure.htm

If, as in mining, you wish to apply some sort





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RE: [ai-geostats] Fractals Semivariance

2004-07-19 Thread Gregoire Dubois
Title: Message



Hello 
Syed, 

I 
washoping a reply from you :)

I 
didn't think aboutthe problematic of anisotropy and thepotential use 
of ratios of fractal dimensions. It might be worth some further investigation. 


The 
physical meaning of fractals derived from directional variograms is tricky 
indeed. 
I was 
wondering if the average of all these fractal dimensions would be formally equal 
to the fractal dimension derived from omnidirectional variogram. 

My 
first guess wouldbe yes, but this would depend on the angular tolerance of 
the directional variograms. And would the average value of the fractal dimension 
have any reasonable physical meaning?

Any 
experience with this?

Thanks 
again for the kind help.

Gregoire


  
  -Original Message-From: Syed Abdul 
  Rahman Shibli [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: 16 July 2004 
  19:23To: Gregoire DuboisCc: 
  [EMAIL PROTECTED]Subject: Re: [ai-geostats] Fractals  
  SemivarianceNot sure how anisotropic "fractal" 
  spatial correlation models would fit in the whole scheme of things. You're 
  essentially assuming a power law model (Brownian motion) to model the spatial 
  correlation, which implicitly assumes a phenomena with an infinite capacity 
  for dispersion, i.e. no range. The ratio of two fractal dimensions is not 
  necessarily the same as the ratio of two ranges in the two directions of 
  maximum and minimum continuity, which is the traditional measure of 
  "anisotropy".However, practically speaking you can still calculate 
  experimental variograms for two, three, or four separate directions and derive 
  the log-log estimate of the fractal dimension from these separate variograms. 
  I wouldn't know what this will physically mean, except to say that I have a 
  phenomena with different capacities for dispersion in different directions. 
  CheersSyed
  Dear all,athttp://www.umanitoba.ca/faculties/science/botany/labs/ecology/fractals/measuring.htmlone 
can read the following"The 
fractal dimension is estimated separately for each profile from the log-log 
plot of cell count against step size (D = 2 - slope, where 1 = D = 
2). The average of these values plus one provides an estimate of the surface 
fractal dimension."Burrough's 
method (using the slope of the log-log plot of the semivariogram to 
calculate the fractal dimension of 1 dimensional transect or profile) could 
thus be extended to a 2 D case (a surface). Has anyone references discussing 
the use of Burrough's method when applied to a 2 D case?Unless 
one considers the investigated phenomenon completely isotropic, averaging 
the fractal dimensions derived from the slopes of directional log-log 
semivariograms may not provide any useful/reliable information.Has 
someone on the list any experience with this kind of issue?Thanks 
very much for any help.Best 
regards,GregoirePS: 
I know there are other techniques to calculate the fractal dimension 
ofa surface but I'm only interested in those involving the computation 
of thesemivariance.__Gregoire 
Dubois (Ph.D.)JRC 
- European CommissionIES 
- Emissions and Health UnitRadioactivity 
Environmental Monitoring groupTP 
441, Via Fermi 121020 
Ispra 
(VA)ITALYTel. 
+39 (0)332 78 6360Fax. 
+39 (0)332 78 5466Email: 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]WWW: 
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[ai-geostats] sand channel modeling

2004-07-19 Thread Shazly, Salah DSC92










Hi All,



I am at the beginning of modelling fluvial sand
channels using subsurface well data (logs cores). I would appreciate if
you could send me some tips on the optimum way to do this using object
modelling and indicator techniques. Are there any published work dealing with
the geometrical parameters (e.g. thickness, width, length, amplitude etc.). Is
there some cross plots relating channels body thickness measured from the well
data to width?



Regards,

___

Salah el-Shazly
(DSC/92)

Geologist Consultant, PDO Study Centre

Petroleum Development Oman-
POBox: 81, PC 113

Tel: (968) 674135; FAX: (968) 691470; Mobile: (968) 9898527








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Re: [ai-geostats] sand channel modeling

2004-07-19 Thread Oriol Falivene



Object-based models where first applied to fluvial channels, becouse the
"simplicity" of their geometries, there is a lot of papers published regarding
this subject:
Journel, A. G., R. Gundeso, E. Gringarten, and T. Yao. 1998. Stochastic
modelling of a fluvial reservoir: a comparative review of algorithms. Journal
of Petroleum Science and Engineering 21.
Deutsch, C. V., and T. T. Tran. 2002. FLUVISIM: a program for object-based
stochastic modeling of fluvial depostional systems. Computers and Geosciences
28:525-535.
Holden, L., R. Hauge, O. Skare, and A. Skorstad. 1998. Modeling of fluvial
reservoirs with object models. Mathematical Geology 30:473-496.
Wich soft do you use?
Regards

Oriol


"Shazly, Salah DSC92" wrote:





Hi
All,




I
am at the beginning of modelling fluvial sand channels using subsurface
well data (logs cores). I would appreciate if you could send me some
tips on the optimum way to do this using object modelling and indicator
techniques. Are there any published work dealing with the geometrical parameters
(e.g. thickness, width, length, amplitude etc.). Is there some cross plots
relating channels body thickness measured from the well data to width?



Regards,

___

Salah
el-Shazly (DSC/92)

Geologist
Consultant, PDO Study Centre

Petroleum
Development Oman- POBox: 81, PC 113

Tel:
(968) 674135; FAX: (968) 691470; Mobile: (968) 9898527




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--


__
Oriol Falivene
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.ub.es/ggac
tel. (+34) 93 4021373
fax (+34) 93 4021340
Fac. de Geologia,
Univ. de Barcelona



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[ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

2004-07-19 Thread Isobel Clark
Nicolau

I was talking about kriging before cutoff is applied.
If the cutoff is applied to the block estimates my
comments stand. If you aply the cutoff to your data
first and then krige, you get the opposite problem,
because you will over-estimate every value and
under-estimate the tonnage.

My point (1) is that, if you wish to avoid conditional
bias in your kriging, you could consider using a
non-linear kriging method such as those mentioned. I
have no experience with either, since I follow a
different route in the correction of conditional bias
in mineral resource estimation. 

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm



--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Isobel,
 
 So for mining purposes can't we just krige before
 applying the cut-off
 criteria? I mean, for most mining applications one
 will prefer to have a
 more realistic geologic block model and will always
 have the chance to
 evaluate his/her panels under the appropriate
 cut-off criteria, but applying
 that criteria after estimating small blocks, right?
 
 Could you please explain your point in solution (1)
 below? Thanks for
 indicating the literature.
 
 Thanks
 
 Nicolau Barros
 Engineer
 Mine Planning and Production Control Department
 Mineração Rio do Norte S.A.
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 +55 (93) 549 8215
 
 Confidencialidade
 Esse e-mail e possíveis anexos podem possuir
 informações confidenciais e de
 interesse somente do destinatário. Portanto, se você
 recebeu esta mensagem
 por engano, favor comunicar imediatamente o
 remetente e deletá-la logo em
 seguida. Esteja ciente que o uso indevido do
 conteúdo das informações em
 questão é estritamente proibido.
 Confidentiality 
 This message and any possible attached files may
 contain confidential
 information and only for interest of the intended
 recipient. If you have
 received this message by mistake, please notify the
 sender and delete the
 message immediately. Be aware that the unauthorized
 use of the
 above-mentioned information is strictly forbidden.
 
 -Mensagem original-
 De: Isobel Clark [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Enviada em: segunda-feira, 19 de julho de 2004 05:23
 Para: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Assunto: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks
 
 Jul
 
 The warning about kriging small blocks is about
 small relative to the sampling density. For
 example,
 less than about one-third of the grid spacing.
 
 The warning is the same as the one about 'point'
 kriging (mapping) The map is too smooth - or, at
 least, a lot smoother than the real surface would
 be.
 High value areas will be under-estimated and low
 value
 areas will be over-estimated.
 
 If your objective in kriging is to obtain general
 maps
 of an area with an idea of where the highs and lows
 are, then ordinary kriging is sufficient. The over-
 and under- estimations cancel out on average.
 
 In mining applications, where block kriging
 originated, most applications require a 'cutoff',
 where values below a certain value are not included
 in
 the 'plan'. In this case, mapping or estimating
 small
 blocks will result in an over-estimation of
 'payable'
 ground and an under-estimation in average value.
 
 In pollution or environmental applications, the
 areas
 at risk will be under-estimated as will the true
 toxicity or risk factors.
 
 There are two major ways round this problem:
 
 (1) use a non-linear kriging approach such as
 disjunctive kriging or the multivariate gaussian. Ed
 Isaacs and Mohan Srivastava's book is th ebest
 reference for the latter. Rivoirard's book for DK.
 
 (2) simulation. There are lots of simulation methods
 around, which allow you to 'put back the roughness'
 and get an idea how bad the problem might be. GSLib
 is
 pretty good on this.
 
 Isobel
 http://geoecosse.bizland.com/course_brochure.htm
 
 If, as in mining, you wish to apply some sort
 
 




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 Yahoo!
 Messenger - so many all-new ways to express
 yourself
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Re: [ai-geostats] Sample sizes for point pattern analyses

2004-07-19 Thread Joseph Le Cuziat
Dear Mike.

In point pattern analysis, your sample is supposed to
be a homogeneous thinning of a more global underlying
point process, and is therefore expected to share same
characteristics.

Usually Monte Carlo simulations are involved to test
null hypothesis. The less point you have the less
robust your test will be: each significant rejection
of the null hypothesis are about to be generalized to
the underlying process, whereas no conclusions have to
be made about non-significant results (since larger
sample could have lead, or not, to significant
rejection of H0).

Of this, what i understood was that no real minimum
sample size can be defined.

I found the manual of P.J. Diggle 2003 a valuable and
clear source of information about points patterns :
Diggle, P. J. (2003). Statistical analysis of spatial
point patterns (2d edn). London, UK: Arnold.

Hope it would help.
sheers.

Joseph.

--
Joseph Le Cuziat
PhD Student
IMEP - ECWP

--- Mike Saunders [EMAIL PROTECTED] a
écrit :  I have been surfing the internet and looking
through
 a few older spatial spatistics books and could not
 find any recommendations on minimum sample size for
 point pattern analyses, specifically the Ripley's
 K(d) function.  Is there a source citing this
 somewhere?
 
 Thanks,
 
 Mike R. Saunders
 Research Associate
 Forest Ecosystem Research Program
 Department of Forest Ecosystem Sciences
 University of Maine
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=
--
Joseph LE CUZIAT

IMEP, FST St Jérôme, case 461, 13397 Marseille cedex 20, FRANCE

ECWP, Province de Boulemane, BP 47 Missour, MAROC






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Re: [ai-geostats] a questions of using GSTAT to do Gaussian Conditional Simulation!

2004-07-19 Thread Edzer J. Pebesma






Feng Liu wrote:

  
  
  
  
  Hi, Dear List:
  
  I am trying to use Gstat to do Gaussian
Conditional Simulation on my soil C content data. I got3 questions as
following:
  
  1.If I use "set nsim=100"
to do 100 times simulation, does the simulations follow a single random
path or they will follow 100 different random paths? What should I do
if I want to let them follow different random paths.
  

Single path; run the process with nsim=1; 100 times to get 100
different paths
(and rename the output each time).

  2. Is it possible for me to write all the
results of 100 simulations to one single file? How?
  

Not with maps (maps are univariate), you can when using ascii column
files with
prediction locations; 

  3. Gstat needs gnuplot to
do the plot, but I could not get gnuplot compiled and
start in windows, could you please tell me how to do it if you have
experience on this. 
  

Install gnuplot, and make sure that a binary called gnuplot is present
in
the search path; the gnuplot folks tend to call it gnupltw32.exe or
something
like that; see also the set gnuplot = 'xxx'; command in gstat files.

Also, I couldn't agree more with Ernesto: I find myself using gstat
inside
R or S-Plus almost 100% of the time I spend using gstat.
--
Edzer


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RE: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

2004-07-19 Thread Edward Isaaks
Hi

I think the discussion below is missing some key points:
1. If the individual block estimates are to be used for actual selection at
the time of mining, then conditional bias will impact the predicted
recoveries and should be minimized.
2. However, if the block model is to be used for long term mine planning,
the preparation of production schedules etc. etc., then it is unlikely that
these same block estimates will be used for selection at the time of mining.
In this scenario, it is sufficient to know the distribution of block grades
within a mining period such as annual, semi-annual, or quarterly, etc. and
conditional bias is irrelevant.  
3. Now here is the rub. One cannot accurately estimate the distribution of
block grades within a mining period without invoking conditional bias unless
each block estimate is perfect, e.g., no error!

If you read Michel Davids, Geostatistical Ore Reserve Estimation  you will
find that he also points out this apparent contradiction (page 313 section
11.3.2) The apparent contradiction is:
1. If the block grades are conditionally unbiased, then the distribution
(histogram) of block estimates is necessarily smoothed. Thus, the prediction
of in situ tones and grade above cutoff is inaccurate (biased)!
2. If the histogram of estimated block grades yields the correct in situ
proportions and grades above cutoff (for all cutoff grades), then the block
estimates are necessarily conditionally biased. 

I often refer to this as the kriging Oxymoron, and it appears to be very
poorly understood with in the geostat community. Even Dr. Krige wrongly
claims that conditional bias should be removed or minimized in a long term
mine planning model, when in fact it is irrelevant. 


-Original Message-
From: Isobel Clark [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Monday, July 19, 2004 8:50 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

Nicolau

I was talking about kriging before cutoff is applied.
If the cutoff is applied to the block estimates my
comments stand. If you aply the cutoff to your data
first and then krige, you get the opposite problem,
because you will over-estimate every value and
under-estimate the tonnage.

My point (1) is that, if you wish to avoid conditional
bias in your kriging, you could consider using a
non-linear kriging method such as those mentioned. I
have no experience with either, since I follow a
different route in the correction of conditional bias
in mineral resource estimation. 

Isobel
http://geoecosse.bizland.com/whatsnew.htm



--- [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  Isobel,
 
 So for mining purposes can't we just krige before
 applying the cut-off
 criteria? I mean, for most mining applications one
 will prefer to have a
 more realistic geologic block model and will always
 have the chance to
 evaluate his/her panels under the appropriate
 cut-off criteria, but applying
 that criteria after estimating small blocks, right?
 
 Could you please explain your point in solution (1)
 below? Thanks for
 indicating the literature.
 
 Thanks
 
 Nicolau Barros
 Engineer
 Mine Planning and Production Control Department
 Mineração Rio do Norte S.A.
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 +55 (93) 549 8215
 
 Confidencialidade
 Esse e-mail e possíveis anexos podem possuir
 informações confidenciais e de
 interesse somente do destinatário. Portanto, se você
 recebeu esta mensagem
 por engano, favor comunicar imediatamente o
 remetente e deletá-la logo em
 seguida. Esteja ciente que o uso indevido do
 conteúdo das informações em
 questão é estritamente proibido.
 Confidentiality 
 This message and any possible attached files may
 contain confidential
 information and only for interest of the intended
 recipient. If you have
 received this message by mistake, please notify the
 sender and delete the
 message immediately. Be aware that the unauthorized
 use of the
 above-mentioned information is strictly forbidden.
 
 -Mensagem original-
 De: Isobel Clark [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Enviada em: segunda-feira, 19 de julho de 2004 05:23
 Para: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Assunto: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks
 
 Jul
 
 The warning about kriging small blocks is about
 small relative to the sampling density. For
 example,
 less than about one-third of the grid spacing.
 
 The warning is the same as the one about 'point'
 kriging (mapping) The map is too smooth - or, at
 least, a lot smoother than the real surface would
 be.
 High value areas will be under-estimated and low
 value
 areas will be over-estimated.
 
 If your objective in kriging is to obtain general
 maps
 of an area with an idea of where the highs and lows
 are, then ordinary kriging is sufficient. The over-
 and under- estimations cancel out on average.
 
 In mining applications, where block kriging
 originated, most applications require a 'cutoff',
 where values below a certain value are not included
 in
 the 'plan'. In this case, mapping or estimating
 small
 

[ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

2004-07-19 Thread Isobel Clark
Ed

I would differ from your explanation on one point. 

If you are merely declaring a mineral resource, i.e.
mineral in the ground, then the conditional bias may
not be relevant at the pre feasibility stage.

However, as soon as you introduce any economic or
technical parameters which entail selection, the
conditional bias makes its appearance. 

In every project I have worked on, from
pre-feasibility onwards, I have been asked for a
grade/tonnage calculation - no matter how hand-waving
it may be. The grade/tonnage curve will be affected by
the conditional bias. By how much has to be assessed
at the time. Most of Chapter 3 in Practical
Geostatistics 1979 is devoted to working out what the
(theoretical) global grade tonnage curve looks like
when you adjust for the variance reduction. Even this
will differ from the curve derived from the kriged
estimates, no matter what size the block. 

The problem is even greater for environmental
applications, especially toxic level risks. A 'global
view' - i.e. a map - will not identify the true peaks
because of the conditional bias. The fact that the
overall average is unbiassed is irrelevant when trying
to identify an area which is likely to be lethal. 

So, there is no contradiction. Conditional bias is
unimportant (or irrelevant) until you apply some
selection criterion. Yes, we agree. However, selection
criteria can be relevant at very early stages of a
project. It depends on your objective.

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm for
free downloads of Practical Geostatistics 1979

PS: sorry I mis-spelled your name, I know it drives me
nuts when people call me 'Clarke' ;-)





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Re: [ai-geostats] Fractals Semivariance

2004-07-19 Thread Syed Abdul Rahman Shibli

Gregoire,

To be honest I have never attempted this, although as you said the angular tolerance, bandwidth, and lag tolerance will ultimately determine whether the directional fractal dimensions can be averaged to give an omnidirectional dimension, D. I would argue that two directional variograms each with a directional tolerance of about 45 degrees on either side of the azimuth in the two principal directions would yield an average D similar to an omnidirectional case, but this will not strictly be true the smaller the tolerances used.

I have used simulated annealing to generate (stochastic) fractal fields with different dimensions in three directions X, Y, and Z in 3D space, e.g. assumption of fractional Gussian noise vertically with high Hurst exponent (persistence) and fractional Brownian motion laterally with lower Hurst exponent (anti-persistence).

Cheers

Syed

Hello Syed,
  
I was hoping a reply from you :)
 
I didn't think about the problematic of anisotropy and the potential use of ratios of fractal dimensions. It might be worth some further investigation.
  
The physical meaning of fractals derived from directional variograms is tricky indeed.
 I was wondering if the average of all these fractal dimensions would be formally equal to the fractal dimension derived from omnidirectional variogram.
 My first guess would be yes, but this would depend on the angular tolerance of the directional variograms. And would the average value of the fractal dimension have any reasonable physical meaning?
 
Any experience with this?
 
Thanks again for the kind help.
 
Gregoire
 
-Original Message-
From: Syed Abdul Rahman Shibli [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: 16 July 2004 19:23
To: Gregoire Dubois
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [ai-geostats] Fractals  Semivariance


Not sure how anisotropic fractal spatial correlation models would fit in the whole scheme of things. You're essentially assuming a power law model (Brownian motion) to model the spatial correlation, which implicitly assumes a phenomena with an infinite capacity for dispersion, i.e. no range. The ratio of two fractal dimensions is not necessarily the same as the ratio of two ranges in the two directions of maximum and minimum continuity, which is the traditional measure of anisotropy.

However, practically speaking you can still calculate experimental variograms for two, three, or four separate directions and derive the log-log estimate of the fractal dimension from these separate variograms. I wouldn't know what this will physically mean, except to say that I have a phenomena with different capacities for dispersion in different directions.

Cheers

Syed


Dear all,
 
at
http://www.umanitoba.ca/faculties/science/botany/labs/ecology/fractals/measuring.html
 
one can read the following
 
The fractal dimension is estimated separately for each profile from the log-log plot of cell count against step size (D = 2 - slope, where 1 = D = 2). The average of these values plus one provides an estimate of the surface fractal dimension.
 
 
Burrough's method (using the slope of the log-log plot of the semivariogram to calculate the fractal dimension of 1 dimensional transect or profile) could thus be extended to a 2 D case (a surface). Has anyone references discussing the use of Burrough's method when applied to a 2 D case?
 
Unless one considers the investigated phenomenon completely isotropic, averaging the fractal dimensions derived from the slopes of directional log-log semivariograms may not provide any useful/reliable information.
 
Has someone on the list any experience with this kind of issue?
 
Thanks very much for any help.
 
Best regards,
 
Gregoire
 
PS: I know there are other techniques to calculate the fractal dimension of a surface but I'm only interested in those involving the computation of the semivariance.
 
__
Gregoire Dubois (Ph.D.)
JRC - European Commission
IES - Emissions and Health Unit
Radioactivity Environmental Monitoring group
TP 441, Via Fermi 1
21020 Ispra (VA)
ITALY
 
Tel. +39 (0)332 78 6360
Fax. +39 (0)332 78 5466
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RE: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

2004-07-19 Thread Edward Isaaks
Hi Isabel

If you go to www.isaaks.com and click on Otherstuff, you will find an
example where the block estimates are conditionally biased (rather
severely), but the grade tonnage curves are right on the money. Perhaps this
will help clear the confusion. Ed

-Original Message-
From: Isobel Clark [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Monday, July 19, 2004 10:47 AM
To: Edward Isaaks
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [ai-geostats] Re: Kriging Small Blocks

Ed

I would differ from your explanation on one point. 

If you are merely declaring a mineral resource, i.e.
mineral in the ground, then the conditional bias may
not be relevant at the pre feasibility stage.

However, as soon as you introduce any economic or
technical parameters which entail selection, the
conditional bias makes its appearance. 

In every project I have worked on, from
pre-feasibility onwards, I have been asked for a
grade/tonnage calculation - no matter how hand-waving
it may be. The grade/tonnage curve will be affected by
the conditional bias. By how much has to be assessed
at the time. Most of Chapter 3 in Practical
Geostatistics 1979 is devoted to working out what the
(theoretical) global grade tonnage curve looks like
when you adjust for the variance reduction. Even this
will differ from the curve derived from the kriged
estimates, no matter what size the block. 

The problem is even greater for environmental
applications, especially toxic level risks. A 'global
view' - i.e. a map - will not identify the true peaks
because of the conditional bias. The fact that the
overall average is unbiassed is irrelevant when trying
to identify an area which is likely to be lethal. 

So, there is no contradiction. Conditional bias is
unimportant (or irrelevant) until you apply some
selection criterion. Yes, we agree. However, selection
criteria can be relevant at very early stages of a
project. It depends on your objective.

Isobel
http://uk.geocities.com/drisobelclark/practica.htm for
free downloads of Practical Geostatistics 1979

PS: sorry I mis-spelled your name, I know it drives me
nuts when people call me 'Clarke' ;-)





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