Is a non-optimizing organism evolutionarily viable?

2003-05-31 Thread john hull
Is an organism that routinely fails to optimize
evolutionarily viable?  

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Re: Theory of Perverse Government Tangents

2003-05-31 Thread fabio guillermo rojas

> While it may appear that the Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents
> has thus been born full grown, it is nevertheless recognized that
> improvements or amplifications may be possible.  They are welcome.
> Walt Warnick  

Sorry, Walt. You've been beaten to the punch:

Read Meyer and Rowan's 1977 article "Institutionalized Organizations:
Formal Structure as Myth and Ceremony" in the American Journal of
Sociology. The point of their article is that you should think of a lot of
bureuacratic behavior as a signal of legitimacy. The behavior may have no
obvious benefit and it's done only to satifsy legal regulation, noisy
interest groups or "public opinion." Since then, they've scaled down their
claims (they originally claimed most behavior was a legitimacy signal) but
the basic point is well taken, especially for public administration.

Fabio





Re: Theory of Perverse Government Tangents

2003-05-31 Thread Dave Undis
Those of us who have been in Business a long time note that, repeatedly, 
Business goes off on perverse tangents, just like Government does.

The Undis Corollary to The Warwick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents 
explains that perverse tangents are created and grown in Business using the 
same 5-stage process used in Government.

The Corrolary also points out that the number of perverse tangents a 
Business creates is positively related to the size of the Business, and that 
a Business and a Government of equal size will have perverse tangent 
creation rates that are equal.

The Corollary further points out that the "death rate" of perverse tangents 
created by a Business varies inversely with the square of the size of the 
Business (with "death" defined to mean the failure to complete any of the 5 
stages memorialized in the Theory).  According to the Corrolary, a Business 
equal in size to any actual Government has a "death rate" of zero.

When discussing aspects of the Corollary in any circles, one should speak of 
Undistinguised Warwickian motives, Undistinguished Warwickian overseers, 
Undistinguished Warwickian remedies, and Undistinguished Warnickian awards.

Dave Undis

Original Message Follows
From: "Warnick, Walter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: "'[EMAIL PROTECTED]'" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Theory of Perverse Government Tangents
Date: Fri, 30 May 2003 16:00:29 -0400
The Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents:

Those of us who have been in Government a long time, note that, repeatedly,
Government goes off on perverse tangents.  Perverse tangents are tasks that
Government line organizations are directed to pursue at all costs and under
tremendous pressure, independent of any real need or benefit.  Such benefit,
if it exists at all, is typically tiny.
For example, for many organizations like mine, the Y2K effort was such a
perverse tangent, as all of our software used four digit year codes, so that
Y2K problems, which were caused by software that used two digit year codes,
were unimaginable for us. Despite this fact, we were directed to devote
large resources to show the obvious--we did not have a Y2K problem.
The Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents explains how such
perverse tangents are created and grow.  The Theory involves five stages.
1)In response to a concern that has some tiny germ of truth, a top leader
appoints an overseer to deal with the issue, 2) To justify his existence,
the overseer finds some procedural pretext to lambaste line organizations,
3) To make it appear that the overseer is pursuing a remedy rather than
simply criticizing, the overseer institutes new procedures that in no real
way improve the root concern, 4) To make it appear that the new procedures
have worked, the overseer declares the root problem solved when the new
procedures are implemented by the line organizations, and 5) The overseer
receives large monetary awards.
When discussing aspects of the Theory in I/O or Public Choice circles, one
should speak of Warnickian motives, Warnickian overseers, Warnickian
remedies, and Warnickian awards.
While it may appear that the Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents
has thus been born full grown, it is nevertheless recognized that
improvements or amplifications may be possible.  They are welcome.
Walt Warnick

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Re: Theory of Perverse Government Tangents

2003-05-31 Thread Fred Foldvary
> 3) To make it appear that the overseer is pursuing a remedy rather than
> simply criticizing, the overseer institutes new procedures that in no
> real way improve the root concern, 
> Walt Warnick  

But why does he get away with this?
There must be a permissive and supportive superstructure providing funds
and supporting the outcome?

THAT is the real source of the problem.
Your overseer is just exploiting the system.

Fred Foldvary

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Minimum wage

2003-05-31 Thread CyrilMorong
I think there was a poll taken a few years ago on what policies economists preferred.  Does anyone know what percent were against the minimum wage?

Cyril Morong


DARPA markets on MidEast

2003-05-31 Thread Robin Hanson
I've been involved for several years in helping DARPA to create some 
markets to help aggregate info on political, military, and economic changes 
in the Middle East, and the effect of US policy on such changes.  For those 
interested, we are finally going public with some info on these 
markets:  www.PolicyAnalysisMarket.org



Robin Hanson  [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323 




Theory of Perverse Government Tangents

2003-05-31 Thread Warnick, Walter
The Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents:

Those of us who have been in Government a long time, note that, repeatedly,
Government goes off on perverse tangents.  Perverse tangents are tasks that
Government line organizations are directed to pursue at all costs and under
tremendous pressure, independent of any real need or benefit.  Such benefit,
if it exists at all, is typically tiny.

For example, for many organizations like mine, the Y2K effort was such a
perverse tangent, as all of our software used four digit year codes, so that
Y2K problems, which were caused by software that used two digit year codes,
were unimaginable for us. Despite this fact, we were directed to devote
large resources to show the obvious--we did not have a Y2K problem.

The Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents explains how such
perverse tangents are created and grow.  The Theory involves five stages.

1)In response to a concern that has some tiny germ of truth, a top leader
appoints an overseer to deal with the issue, 2) To justify his existence,
the overseer finds some procedural pretext to lambaste line organizations,
3) To make it appear that the overseer is pursuing a remedy rather than
simply criticizing, the overseer institutes new procedures that in no real
way improve the root concern, 4) To make it appear that the new procedures
have worked, the overseer declares the root problem solved when the new
procedures are implemented by the line organizations, and 5) The overseer
receives large monetary awards.

When discussing aspects of the Theory in I/O or Public Choice circles, one
should speak of Warnickian motives, Warnickian overseers, Warnickian
remedies, and Warnickian awards.

While it may appear that the Warnick Theory of Perverse Government Tangents
has thus been born full grown, it is nevertheless recognized that
improvements or amplifications may be possible.  They are welcome.

Walt Warnick  






Re: Personal vs. Political Culture: The Other Box

2003-05-31 Thread fabio guillermo rojas

> Absolutely speaking, sure.  But e.g. the U.S. and U.K. have been 
> *relatively* more sympathetic to these ideas for centuries.
>  Prof. Bryan Caplan

I think my email got crunched, but if you are talking relative levels,
then some Latin American countries have semi-decent political culture, but
atrocious "private." For example, take Colombia - I'm no expert, but
Colombia was fairly resistant to socialism and nationalization of industry
(compared to other Latin American nations), but it suffers a great deal of
crime and drug use.

Fabio 




Re: Personal vs. Political Culture: The Other Box

2003-05-31 Thread Bryan Caplan
fabio guillermo rojas wrote:
>> Now Pete Boettke asked me if there are any peoples with the
>> opposite combination: bad personal culture, good political culture.
>> The best Prof. Bryan Caplan
>
>
> Note that insistence on free markets, limited gov't, democracy, etc.
> is a pretty recent phenomena - so one should find few examples of
> *any* group that has good "political" culture. Fabio
Absolutely speaking, sure.  But e.g. the U.S. and U.K. have been 
*relatively* more sympathetic to these ideas for centuries.

>
>
--
Prof. Bryan Caplan
   Department of Economics  George Mason University
http://www.bcaplan.com  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  "It is a talent of the weak to persuade themselves that they
   suffer for something when they suffer from something; that
   they are showing the way when they are running away; that
   they see the light when they feel the heat; that they are
   chosen when they are shunned."
 Eric Hoffer, *The Passionate State of Mind*



Economics and Beauty

2003-05-31 Thread Alex Tabarrok
Regarding the economic return to beauty this newspaper cite suggests a 
link through health.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/2943464.stm

...

Researchers in Spain have found that men who are regarded as attractive 
by women are also more fertile.

Their sperm move faster and are generally healthier.

The study is the latest to suggest that good looks can be a pointer to 
good health.

In April, researchers in Australia found that men with chiselled jaws 
and classic masculine features are in better physical health than their 
less manly peers.

These and similar findings have led scientists to conclude that women 
who seek attractive male partners are, in fact, searching for the 
healthiest men, most able to father and provide for their children

Alex

--
Alexander Tabarrok 
Department of Economics, MSN 1D3 
George Mason University 
Fairfax, VA, 22030 
Tel. 703-993-2314

Web Page: http://mason.gmu.edu/~atabarro/ 

and 

Director of Research 
The Independent Institute 
100 Swan Way 
Oakland, CA, 94621 
Tel. 510-632-1366 






Re: Personal vs. Political Culture: The Other Box

2003-05-31 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Bryan Caplan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Now Pete Boettke asked me if there are any peoples with the opposite 
> combination: bad personal culture, good political culture.

In Hong Kong, the political culture supports economic freedom, and the
personal Chineses culture values the body parts of animals for health and
sexuality, which is unscientific and threatens the survival of endangered
species.  There seems to be an odd combination in East Asia of a fondness
for nature in the abstract, combined with bad treatment of animals in the
specific.
Fred Foldvary


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