Re: [computer-go] Black/White winning rates with random playout?

2009-01-14 Thread Michael Goetze

Nick Wedd wrote:
I suggest that instead of getting your neural players to play Go, you 
get them to play a very slightly different game, in which, when both 
players pass in turn, all stones remaining on the board are deemed 
alive.  It is not difficult to write a scoring algorithm for this game.


I believe this game is called Go with Tromp-Taylor rules.
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Re: [computer-go] UEC cup

2008-12-17 Thread Michael Goetze

Nick Wedd wrote:
So what _is_ reality nowadays?  Your previous email did not make this 
clear.  Are Japanese pro grades now closer together than a third of a 
stone, or farther apart?


The reality is that the correlation between ranks and playing strengths 
is very low, and that knowing that player A is x-dan professional and 
player B is y-dan professional does not actually tell you very much 
about how likely player A is to win against player B.


Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] UEC cup

2008-12-17 Thread Michael Goetze

dave.de...@planet.nl wrote:
What you are saying is that many professionals are overrated or 
underrated (sometimes by as much as two stones).


No, what I'm saying is that professional ranking systems are not meant 
to be rating systems and should not be treated as if they were rating 
systems. (As Hideki pointed out, professional ranks never go down, only up.)


The set of professional players whose strength is within a third of 
stone of Lee Sedol or Lee Changho is surely smaller than the set of 
professional players who are ranked 9dan. If you wanted a rating system 
which tops out at 9dan, you'd have to demote people. Professional 
organisations don't want that.


So you should consider professional ranks more of a lifetime achievement 
indicator. They are not a rating system.


Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] UEC cup

2008-12-17 Thread Michael Goetze

Hi Mark,


I'm not claiming to be an authority on the matter, but I beg to
differ. Name me an EGF 7-dan that's not professional level. And then
explain how come they are listed among players that are anywhere from
1p to 5p in different Asian countries. I used to be an EGF 6-dan and
have beaten top 9p players with 3 stones on occasion. For a while I
had a Japanese 2p teacher but stopped taking lessons when I started to
beat him on black pretty consistently. That was when I was still
5-dan. So I don't think it's so far off to say 7-dan amateur is pro
level.


this is actually a rather complicated topic because you can have 
different definitions for professional strength. For instance, I could 
make an argument that S. Shikshina 3p does not have professional 
strength, AFAIK she did not become a professional in the regular way 
and has never won a professional tournament game.


So, if you define professional strength as someone who could become a 
1p in Korea, China or Japan today, I think most European 7dans would 
fail. (Dragos Bajenaru, while only calling himself 6dan, has a rating 
higher than some 7dans and failed to become a professional in Japan in 
the past.)


If you define professional strength as the lowest strength of anyone 
who currently holds a professional rank, then most European 7dans 
qualify, yes.


I've heard 2nd-hand reports of Noguchi Motoki losing a 4- or 5-handicap 
game against an active professional player.


The collective record of European 7dans against professionals at the 
WMSG was 0 wins, 6 losses.


Regrads,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] UEC cup

2008-12-17 Thread Michael Goetze

Mark Boon wrote:

All the examples given to support the argument either way are at best
anecdotal. But looking at the EGF ranking list, the 7-dan players are
interspersed with players of professional ranks, with very few 6 dans
among them. That is based on a considerable amount of data. Maybe you
are correct to have doubts about S. Shikshina, but how about Guo Juan,
Catalin Taranu, Alexander Dinnerschtein and others? These things tend
to average out over larger numbers.


Let's say that active Pros should have 2800+, though players with 2750+ 
might still be professional strength. That would give 2 or 3 EGF 7dans 
of professional strength, which doesn't contradict anything I said 
earlier. About the pros in the rating list, since you asked: Dinerstein 
is at the bottom end of professional strength, note that his promotion 
from 1p to 3p (like Shikshinas) had nothing to do with his playing 
achievements. Catalin was over 2800 during his time as an active pro 
(peaking at 2821 in 2004). He has obviously gotten weaker since he 
stopped playing pro tournaments, just like Guo, who has been out of the 
pro scene for so long that I think it's fair to say she doesn't have pro 
strength anymore. Finally, Diana has only been rated for 3 tournaments 
since she became a pro - there was a gap of 2 years where she was 
studying Baduk in Korea - and one of them was the WMSG which obviously 
has questionable effects on the rating because of so many participants 
who weren't in the rating database beforehand (for instance she lost 
against a girl from Taiwan who will have entered the database at 2600 
but for all I know will be a professional soon). I think it's fair to 
say that her current rating probably does not reflect her current 
playing strength.


I don't quite see the large numbers over which this is averaging out. ;)

Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] UEC cup

2008-12-16 Thread Michael Goetze

dave.de...@planet.nl wrote:
Also, a 4p is not a 7p. The difference should be about one stone. 4p is 
equivalent to 8d EGF.


I wish people would stop spreading such incorrect information. The 
correlation between professional ranks and playing strength is quite 
bad, and EGF 7dans are not, generally speaking, professional strength. 
Also, please note that some professional associations have different 
rules for male and female players.


If you find a Japanese 7p who can give a Korean 1p 2 stones and win, I 
will eat my hat...


Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] Re: WMSG - Scoring

2008-12-07 Thread Michael Goetze

Ingo Althöfer wrote:

Michael Goetze wrote:
I doubt that this rule has a significant effect on playing strength, 
either of computers or humans. After all, the average effect is about 
half a point per game, which you probably won't notice below the 
level of amateur 6d or 7d.


You are right, and I did not state clearly what I had in mind:
play on small boards (like 9x9 or even 7x7). Especially,
there Seki situations are (much) more frequent than on
larger boards.


I think this effect is often overstated. None of the lines believed to 
be optimal play on 7x7 ends in a seki.


http://senseis.xmp.net/?7x7BestPlay
http://homepages.cwi.nl/~tromp/java/go/7x7.sgf


Concerning the next Computer Olympiad and having in mind
the discussion on the last one (how fair is 7.5 komi for
9x9 computer games?) the WMSG scoring should be worth
to be discussed for 9x9.


I wasn't subscribed to the list at the time, but I've read that 
discussion, and must say I consider many of the things said there to be 
silly. If you have a problem because you're using komi of 7.5, and the 
correct komi is probably 7, then changing the komi to 6.5 won't solve 
that problem at all! Similarily, there will be a komi which is correct 
for 9x9 in a game theoretical sense for WMSG rules, and it might be 7, 
or 6, or 8, but it certainly won't be 6.5 or 7.5.


So, please, don't try to alleviate the symptoms of this problem. 
Instead, solve it at the root: change the komi to 7, and come up with a 
tournament system which can deal with jigos.


Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] Re: WMSG - Scoring

2008-12-06 Thread Michael Goetze

Ingo Althöfer wrote:

Ok, that is a technical answer. But ...
... what does the rule change mean for strengths of
programs - especially in play against (strong) humans?
Would this rule help the computers or the humans?


I doubt that this rule has a significant effect on playing strength, 
either of computers or humans. After all, the average effect is about 
half a point per game, which you probably won't notice below the level 
of amateur 6d or 7d. And since there are currently no programs playing 
at that level, it's impossible to say how they would be affected...


Positions where the WMSG rules (as a whole, not just this simple 
element) differ more significantly from normal rules, such as seki with 
one-sided dame, are very rare.


So I think this is pretty much a non-topic...

Regards,
Michael
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Re: [computer-go] Re: WMSG - Scoring

2008-12-06 Thread Michael Goetze

David Fotland wrote:

AGA rules also have the effect of changing the komi depending on which

 side makes the last pass.

No, they don't. AGA rules are area-scoring rules and the komi is fixed. 
(They also provide a method to determine the area-scoring result via 
territory counting, but that's irrelevant.) WMSG rules are different.


Regards,
Michael

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Re: [computer-go] Re: WMSG - Scoring

2008-12-06 Thread Michael Goetze

David Fotland wrote:

Semantics.  If white passes first she has to give one more prisoner to black
than if black passes first.  This changes the score by one point relative to
Japanese rules, which has the same effect as changing the komi by a point.
Of course I'm aware that the komi is not actually changed.


So you would also say that Chinese and New Zealand rules change the 
komi depending on who passes first? I think that's pretty silly...


(Note that playing with AGA rules does not require the use of pass 
stones. It is perfectly valid to play with AGA rules and not use any 
pass stones.)


WMSG rules, however, change the komi relative to other area-scoring 
rules. That's a fundamental difference.


Regards,
Michael
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