inquiry

2000-10-09 Thread bmark1



The following link will take you to a web site that contains 
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advertising opportunity

2000-10-09 Thread cancel4562


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Re: comparing two betas

2000-10-09 Thread Donald Burrill

Ambiguous question.  By "beta" do you mean (as some would) a standardized 
regression coefficient?  Or do you mean (as some would, perhaps 
especially in the context of testing hypotheses) the population value of 
a raw regression coefficient?  

Further, you specify "multiple regression equations", not "simple 
regression", which implies that each equation has several betas. 
Did you wish to compare only one of them, between the two equations, 
or several of them, or the whole vector of betas?

By "Both equations have the same configuration" I understand you to mean 
that they express the same model (same response variable, same 
predictors), on two different data sets (else there would not be two 
equations).  How are the two data sets related?  If each is independent 
of the other, that's one thing;  but if (e.g.) the regression model is 
fitted to the data of wives in the one instance and to their husbands in 
the other, that's another thing entirely.

On Mon, 9 Oct 2000, rjkim wrote:

 I am looking for a formula that does the comparison between two betas 
 (from two multiple regression equations).  Both the equations have the 
 same configuration.  And I want to conduct a significant test for the 
 difference between the betas.  Any hint will be greatly appreciated.

Do you really mean "a formula", or are you asking for a procedure that 
mith be implemented in a statistical computing package?

 --
 Donald F. Burrill[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 348 Hyde Hall, Plymouth State College,  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 MSC #29, Plymouth, NH 03264 (603) 535-2597
 Department of Mathematics, Boston University[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 111 Cummington Street, room 261, Boston, MA 02215   (617) 353-5288
 184 Nashua Road, Bedford, NH 03110  (603) 471-7128



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Re: comparing two betas

2000-10-09 Thread Alexander Tsyplakov

Let me quote from my own old message sent to sci.stat.math:

The appropriate method is given by using dummy (0 / 1)
variables in regression.
If added constructed variables are not significant then
coefficients are the same (statistically).
If you test for *all* coefficients then this method will
give you Chow test.

Some references:

Pagan, A.R., and D.F.Nicholls. "Estimating Predictions,
Prediction Errors
and Their Standard Deviations Using Constructed Variables,"
Journal of Econometrics, 24 (1984), 293-310.

Chow, G.C. "Tests of Equality between Sets of Coefficients
in Two Linear Regressions," Econometrica, 28 (1960),
591-605.

  A. Tsyplakov
  Novosibirsk State University



rjkim [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote in message
8rsema$56s$[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:8rsema$56s$[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
 Hello,

 I am looking for a formula that does the comparison
between two betas (from
 two multiple regression equations). Both the equations
have the same
 configuration. And I want to conduct a significant test
for the difference
 between the betas. Any hint will be greatly appreciated.

 Thanks in advance.

 June Rhee






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Memorizing Formuas

2000-10-09 Thread RCKnodt

Who is in the class?  What is your audience?  Non math-inclined?  Education 
major?  Business major?  Statistics Major?  Math Major?  Social-Science Major?

The approach should be different for each group.  The understandings learned 
by all should be the same but the math work should be modified so that it 
doesn't "scare off" certain groups.  If you stress the math, you will lost 
many individuals who should be using statistical analysis and its principles 
in their future careers.

Take a look at how many individuals "fall on their face" when the unit on 
probability is taught.  If you go into too much detail in that unit you can 
easily turn off students.  I always worried about the student who needed the 
statistical concepts but got bogged down in the unit on probability.  Look at 
some of the questions at the end of that chapter.  Are they really important 
and or/practical?

I taught for many years and always had my students prepare 5"x7" or 6"x8" 
cards with sample problems on one side and a worked out problem on the 
reverse side.

Assuming that when a student leaves the university level they may not be 
using statistical analysis in their everyday work, I wanted them to be able 
to refresh their knowledge of statistics quickly and easily when they had to 
do random statistical analysis of data, such as to check reports of another 
person or check information given in magazines or journals.

I also assumed that if the student was going to make their life work 
statistical analysis, they would be involved everyday and would, in all 
probability, be using statistical software (SAS, SPSS, Modstat, Excel, or 
some other commercial product) and would be more involved in setting up/and 
or running the analysis.  At that point in time I didn't think they would 
need to have memorized all the formulas.

My concern was for the non-statistical analysis professional.  I wanted them 
to have a handy, useful reference.  The cards seemed the best way to go.

During tests, I allowed students to use their reference cards.  They seemed 
more comfortable while working out the problems on the tests.  I made sure 
that there were enough test questions to assure me that the student had a 
good understanding of the statistical approach to each analysis.  In later 
years I allowed students to use their PC in class, and supplied school PC's 
for the students during test taking time.  

My concern was that the student knew how to approach the analysis, how to 
decide on the proper test, knew the restrictions of that test, knew how to 
interpret the results of the test and then how to deteremine if the proposed 
hypotheses were either accepted or rejected.  The math work is the "grunt" 
work and I felt it should take a back-seat to the understanding of the work 
to be done.

Just my two-cents.

Dr. Robert C. Knodt
4949 Samish Way, #31
Bellingham, WA  98226
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

"Everyone has a photographic memory.  Some just don't have film."



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Re: memorizing formulas

2000-10-09 Thread Bob Hayden

- Forwarded message from Michael Granaas -

I honestly believe that there is something to be learned from
memorizing several of the basic formulas that are involved in defining
statistics.  I, less elegantly, tell my students that it is important
to have this basic understanding so that it can 1) be utilized when we
have the machines start doing the computations for us and 2)be drawn
on for understanding when the mathematics is no longer so simple.

- End of forwarded message from Michael Granaas -

I doubt your students will gain ANY understanding from memorizing
formulae.  Once they have the understanding, then formulae MIGHT
provide a summary or reminder -- but only for students who are VERY
fluent at READING mathematics -- as opposed to mindlessly manipulating
formulae.  I do not see any such students in the undergraduate
introductory course that I often teach.  I noted that Karl presented
all the understandings he sought verbally on the list.  Why not do the
same in class?
 

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/  |Plymouth State College MSC#29
   |   |Plymouth, New Hampshire 03264  USA
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  /|  Home: 82 River Street (use this in the summer)
 | )Ashland, NH 03217
 L_/(603) 968-9914 (use this year-round)
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Re: memorizing formulas

2000-10-09 Thread Karl L. Wuensch

I think that Bob Hayden is on to something essential here ("I noted that
Karl presented all the understandings he sought verbally on the list. Why
not do the same in class?").  I think of the "definitional formulae" just as
a convenient shorthand for the verbal definition of a construct.  But it may
be the case that most of our students assume that something that looks like
a formula is just for use with mindless computations.  They may have learned
this in their first 12 years of schooling, where formulas may indeed be
presented as nothing more than mindless recipes for getting some quantity
not really well understood.  How can we break our students of that bad
habit?  I do frequently verbalize the 'formula' after writing it on the
board -- for variance, saying something like "look at this, we just take the
sum of the squared deviations of scores from their mean, which measures how
much the scores differ from one another, and then divide that sum by N, to
get a measure of how much scores differ from one another, on average."  The
shorthand is really convenient, I don't know how I would get along without
it.

 I have always thought that success in stats courses was much more a
function of a student's verbal aptitude and ability to think analytically,
rather than mathematical aptitude.  Has anybody actually tested this
hypothesis?


- Forwarded message from Michael Granaas -

I honestly believe that there is something to be learned from
memorizing several of the basic formulas that are involved in defining
statistics. I, less elegantly, tell my students that it is important
to have this basic understanding so that it can 1) be utilized when we
have the machines start doing the computations for us and 2)be drawn
on for understanding when the mathematics is no longer so simple.

- End of forwarded message from Michael Granaas -

I doubt your students will gain ANY understanding from memorizing
formulae. Once they have the understanding, then formulae MIGHT
provide a summary or reminder -- but only for students who are VERY
fluent at READING mathematics -- as opposed to mindlessly manipulating
formulae. I do not see any such students in the undergraduate
introductory course that I often teach. I noted that Karl presented
all the understandings he sought verbally on the list. Why not do the
same in class?




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Re: memorizing formulas

2000-10-09 Thread Alan McLean

"Karl L. Wuensch" wrote:

  I have always thought that success in stats courses was much more a
 function of a student's verbal aptitude and ability to think analytically,
 rather than mathematical aptitude.  Has anybody actually tested this
 hypothesis?

1.  This clearly depends on the particular (type of) stats course.

2.  I would find 'ability to think analytically' hard to distinguish
from 'mathematical aptitude' - although I accept that some narrow
definitions of both characteristics may have minimal overlap.

Alan


-- 
Alan McLean ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics
Monash University, Caulfield Campus, Melbourne
Tel:  +61 03 9903 2102Fax: +61 03 9903 2007


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Random Walk

2000-10-09 Thread Vincent Granville

In a random walk with state space = Z and transition
probabilities P(k -- k+1)=p, P(k -- k)=r, P( k -- k-1)=q
with p+q+r=1, the expected number of steps before
moving up is either finite or infinite depending on p, q,
r.

This means (applied to the stock market) that it is possible
for a stock price to never surpass its present value. I am looking
for a proof that someone with NO mathematical background
could understand. Tthe easiest proof I have so far requires
knowledge of recurrence relations and basic arithmetic
(+, -, *, /). I would like to put this proof on my financial web
site. The author of the proof would be acknowledged.

Thank you.

Vincent Granville


--
http://www.datashaping.com : Advanced Trading Strategies




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