Re: Student's t vs. z tests

2001-04-21 Thread jim clark

Hi

On Fri, 20 Apr 2001, dennis roberts wrote:
> At 10:58 AM 4/20/01 -0500, jim clark wrote:
> >  What does a t-distribution mean to a student who does not
> >know what a binomial distribution is and how to calculate the
> >probabilities, and who does not know what a normal distribution
> >is and how to obtain the probabilities?
> 
> good question but, NONE of us have an answer to this ... i know of NO data 
> that exists about going through various different "routes" and then 
> assessing one's understanding at the end

Just a couple of comments.  (1) Not having specific evidence on a
pedagogical question does not mean that any approach is just as
justified as any other approach.  We should base our practice on
what information is available, appreciating its possible
limitations (e.g., personal experience, cognitive models of
concept learning, general principles of teaching, principles of
task analysis, logic, feedback from students, ...).  Only the
very naivest sort of crude empiricism would dictate that specific
findings are the only worthwhile factors in a science-based
practice.  (2) In general I suspect that there is much evidence
supportive of a task-analytic approach to teaching mathematics,
although I have not looked at the literature for many
years.  That is, mathematics, perhaps more than many other areas,
requires a sensitivity to the kinds of prior knowledge presumed
by the new knowledge to be acquired.

> to say that we know that IF we want students to learn about and understand 
> something about t and its applications ... one must:
> 
> 1. do binomial first ...
> 2. then do normal
> 3. then do t
> 
> is mere speculation

Only if you completely devalue many years of experience teaching
a subject matter, a background in cognitive and educational
psychology, the possibility that there might be certain logical
entailments involved among the topics, and so on.  Your statement
makes it sound as though one is equally justified to promote any
of the 3! = 6 possible permutations of all 3 tasks + the 3x2! = 6
permutations of 2 tasks + the 3 possible single tasks (+ the 1
possible 0 tasks, if one wants to be comprehensive).

> without some kind of an experiment where we try various combinations and 
> orderings ... and see what happens to student's understandings, we know not 
> of what we assert (including me)

This is just too nihilistic a view of knowledge and teaching.  
There are certain constraints.  For example, one normally expects
that learning the alphabet is better done before learning words.  
Would you want an experiment before concluding that presenting
the calculus of statistics is probably not the best approach to
intro stats in non-mathematical disciplines?

> off the top of my head, i would say that one could learn alot about a t 
> distribution studying it ... are you suggesting that one could not learn 
> about calculating probabilities within a t distribution without having 
> worked and learned about calculating probabilities in a normal distribution?

> as far as i know, the way students learn about calculating probabilities is 
> NOT by any integrative process ... rather, they are shown a nice drawing of 
> the normal curve, with lines up at -3 to +3 ... with values like .02, .14, 
> .34 ... etc. within certain whole number boundaries under the curve, and 
> then are shown tables on how to find areas (ps) for various kinds of 
> problems (areas between points, below points, above points)
> 
> if there is something real high level and particularly intuitive about 
> this, let me know. you make it sound like there is some magical "learning" 
> here ... some INductive principle being established ... and, i don't see it

Of course you left off my starting point.  For the binomial
distribution, students can readily be shown how to actually
calculate the probabilities in the sampling distribution.  They
do not have to take it purely on faith.  Then when we move to the
normal or t or F or whatever, we can say that these distributions
are produced by more sophisticated mathematical techniques that
are beyond our capabilities, but _analogous_ to what students did
for the binomial.  This is the foundation (with its own
foundation in an adequate understanding of probability and
counting principles).  The normal distribution is the bridge
between this foundation and the t-distribution (then F,
whatever).

I can't speak for other disciplines, but at least in psychology
and education, it is probability worth noting that an
understanding of the normal distribution is valuable in and of
itself, irrespective of its role in hypothesis testing.  Examples
of normal distributions would occur in testing (e.g.,
understanding different test score transformations, such as
T-scores, computed percentiles, and the like), in understanding
certain transformations (e.g., of skewed reaction time
distributions), and in perception (e.g., d-prime measures of
sensitivity).

> i don't see one whit of difference b

t's vs. z's

2001-04-21 Thread L Ehrmann1

It has been interesting as a student currently learning about t's versus z's 
to read all of the dialogue on this matter in the archives.  I'm in an 
interesting position because for my masters degree over 18 years ago, I 
learned this material without the use of computer technology.  Thus as a very 
nontraditional shall we say, doctoral student in the year 2001, I decided I 
needed to take this level statistics again .  Certainly as I have affirmed my 
suspicions, the technology is different but the basic material is the same.  
For me both back then and now, what has been really helpful is the following:

1. honest explanations as to why we are learning something, whether it be to 
help us understand the next more complex concept, or to directly use the one 
we are learning.  It does help when the snstructor says directly to me at 
least, "It will be rare that you use this but it will be helpful to you to 
understand it because it will help you learn hte next thing."
2. very practical problem demonstration in class, taking the time to go 
through each step of the problem solving process and why we are doing it that 
way.  It especially helps for me if it is a "human type" problem rather then 
a "blood gas" problem or a "milligrams of sodium in substances" problem, but 
that is most likely because I am a professional counselor and the research I 
am interested in conducting in the future is a human behavior problem.

I've also appreciated the respectful attitude I've sensed while reading your 
differing opinions and comments.  

Lois Ehrmann




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Re: ANCOVA vs. sequential regression

2001-04-21 Thread Elliot Cramer

William B. Ware <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
: sequential/hierarchical regression as you note below... however, ANCOVA
: has at least two assumptions that your situation does not meet.  First, it
: assumes that assignment to treatment condition is random.  Second, it
: assumes that the measurement on the covariate is independent of
: treatment.  That is, the covariate should be measured before the treatment
: is implemented.  Thus, I believe that you should implement the
: hierarchical regression... but I'm not certain what question you are

They aren't assumptions but they do affect interpretations.  either way is
ANCOVA  which will answer a question.  Write the model comparison and
you'll see that.
  Whether it's the question you want to answer is another


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Re: Student's t vs. z tests

2001-04-21 Thread Will Hopkins

I've joined this one at the fag end.  I'm with Dennis Roberts.  The way I 
would put it is this:  the PRINCIPLE of a sampling distribution is actually 
incredibly simple: keep repeating the study and this is the sort of spread 
you get for the statistic you're interested in.  What makes it incredibly 
simple is that I keep well away from test statistics when I teach stats to 
biomedical researchers.  I deal only with effect (outcome) statistics.  I 
even forbid my students and colleagues from putting the values of test 
statistics in their papers.  Test statistics are clutter.

The actual mathematical form of any given sampling distribution is 
incredibly complex, but only the really gifted students who want to make 
careers out of statistical research need to come to terms with that.  The 
rest of us just plug numbers into a stats package or spreadsheet.   I'm not 
sure what would be a good sequence for teaching the mathematical 
forms.  Binomial --> normal --> t is probably as good as any.

Will



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2001-04-21 Thread 74ls32


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Central Limit Theorem Proof using MGF

2001-04-21 Thread David J.

I am trying to get a better understanding of the proof for the central limit theorem 
which uses the MGF. Can anyone direct me to some resources that will lead me through 
this 
proof step by step? Thanks.

Dave J.



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