Re: [Election-Methods] [english 95%] Re: [english 94%] Re: method design challenge+new method AMP

2008-05-04 Thread Jobst Heitzig

Dear Raphfrk,

it did not think through all you wrote yet, but one point troubles me:

Also, it is majority compliant.  If a majority support a candidate first 
choice (i.e. first choice and nominate him), then he cannot lose.


If that is true, your method cannot be a solution to the given problem, 
since any majoritarian method will elect A in the situation I described 
-- remember that voters are strategic!


Yours, Jobst


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[Election-Methods] Partisan Politics

2008-05-04 Thread Fred Gohlke

Good Morning, Juho

re: ... I'm more inclined to see the parties still as units that still 
get their strength and mandate to rule from the citizens themselves (and 
from their lack of interest to make the parties better and control them 
better).


Although I (obviously) don't share your view, I will agree that the 
parties get their strength from the subset of the electorate that 
supports them.  My dissent is based on (1) the fact that the so-called 
'mandate' comes from a tiny subset of the electorate, (2) the 'mandate' 
results in destruction of the separation of powers intended to protect 
us from improper concentrations of political influence, and (3) it is 
maintained by the absolute suppression of alternatives.  Instead of 
democracy, a tiny minority of the people provide the strength and 
mandate to rule that dictates the choices available to the rest of us.



re: Strong emphasis on the regional representation and close contacts 
between the representatives and voters may to some extent also reduce 
the need to offer full political proportionality.


We should consider the possibility that focusing on 'regional 
representation' and 'proportionality' are misleading.  An electoral 
method that empowers each and every member of the electorate to the 
extent of their desire and ability is regional and proportional, by 
definition.


Fred

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[Election-Methods] Partisan Politics

2008-05-04 Thread Fred Gohlke

Good Morning, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

After studying your missive, it appears you make three points:  Your 
preference for Free Association, your advocacy of Delegable Proxy, and 
your travails with Wikipedia.  As to the latter, I can offer neither 
help nor guidance.  I will, however, comment on the other two.


Delegable Proxy
The wisdom of delegating one's proxy in an election is directly 
proportional to the knowledge one has of the person to whom the proxy is 
delegated.  In the absence of a clear description of the method by which 
one's proxy will be bestowed upon another, it is not possible for me to 
evaluate the logic of the suggestion.


Free Association
In suggesting government by Free Association, you cite the functioning 
of Alcoholics Anonymous as an example.  I stand second to no-one in my 
admiration for that organization.  To the extent we can learn from it, 
we will all be winners.


As an example of Free Association, though, Alcoholics Anonymous does not 
fit the bill.  Those who join AA are by no means free.  They are driven, 
to the point of self-destruction.  They join AA to avoid that terrible 
consequence.  Those blessed by nature with not having to spend their 
lives battling such an evil, lack the incentive for such association. 
You may argue, and perhaps you do, that humans are addicted to 
self-gratification and should form an association to control that 
manifestation.  If so, your description of how it's to be done needs body.


Your assertions that the solution is astonishingly simple and is only 
forestalled by ignorance, cynicism, and despair are of questionable 
merit.  By what yardstick can such a verdict be rendered?  Whose 
profound knowledge makes that judgment valid?  To say the people are 
ignorant, cynical and despairing must, presumably, include me, and I'm 
averse to accepting that characterization.


Such a view is self-defeating.  Voters are human.  They react to stimuli 
in a human fashion.  If they are lazy and ignorant, they have always 
been so and will always be so.  Sermonizing will not change them.


There are a multitude of reasons why people vote as they do.  Party 
loyalty, name recognition, union membership, corporate influence, radio 
and television promotion, issues, and any number of other things 
influence how one's vote is cast.  The fact that the result of those 
votes displeases us does not justify impugning the intellect or ambition 
of those who voted contrary to our preference.


Those who control our political infrastructure are professionals and 
their profession is getting their candidates elected.  Their job is to 
persuade the electorate to vote for their candidate.  To imagine them 
incompetent at their trade is to grossly underestimate them.


We need to look deeper.  We have to question things we've taken for 
granted most of our lives because those are the things that produced our 
present state of affairs.  If you still feel the public is ignorant, or 
cynical or whatever, and the solution is simple it would be best if we 
move on to another ... hopefully more productive ... point.


Fred

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Re: [Election-Methods] [english 95%] Re: [english 94%] Re: method design challenge+new method AMP

2008-05-04 Thread raphfrk

 

Jobst wrote:
 Dear Raphfrk,?
 it did not think through all you wrote yet, but one point troubles me:?
  Also, it is majority compliant.  If a majority support a candidate first 
 choice (i.e. first choice and nominate him), then he cannot lose.?
 If that is true, your method cannot be a solution to the given problem, 
since any majoritarian method will elect A in the situation I described 
-- remember that voters are strategic!?
 Yours, Jobst 


 
Right, under the assumption of perfect strategy.? However, only a small number 
of voters need to nominate C as compromise for C to win.

Are you assuming that the 51% block of voters knows that they have the majority 
?

In the case you give

51: ACB
49: BCA

It seems to me that the voters, will not be sure which of the main candidates 
have a chance.

Assuming the odds are 50/50 and considering a voter in the 51 block and how 
they cast their nominate vote:

Nominate C
This will either have no effect or cause C to win.

A-C shift: -48
B-C shift: +52

expected utility: +2

Nominate A or B
This will either have no effect or shift away from C

C-A shift: +48

C-B shift: -52

expected utility: -2

Thus, it is worth it for A and B supporters to nominate C instead of A.

Only, 3% of them need to actually do it to elect C.

Btw, I think your original proposal is pretty cool too.? I wonder what the 
effects of putting a threshold would be on the strategic effects.

For example, if a candidate represents more than 90% of the balls in the urn, 
they are declared the winner without drawing any.



Raphfrk

Interesting site
what if anyone could modify the laws

www.wikocracy.com

 


 



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Re: [Election-Methods] [english 89%] Re: [english 95%] Re: [english 95%] Re: [english 94%]Re: method designchallenge+new method AMP

2008-05-04 Thread Jobst Heitzig

Dear Raphfrk,

I also see no obvious way how the Anti-STV approach might become 
clone-proof when voters (or factions) can add options.


So, the method AMP (and variants thereof) still seems to be the only 
solution yet...


I wonder if anyone comes up with a different approach. In particular, 
every utilitarian should be interested strongly in solving this problem, 
I guess :-)


Yours, Jobst


[EMAIL PROTECTED] schrieb:

  Jobst wrote:
  Do you think one could modify the Anti-STV approach in a different 
way to overcome the cloning problem without making the method majoritarian?


It is hard to see how to force a majority to give information about 
lower preferences without having some form of candidate control.


However, if you give the candidate control to the voters, then the 
majority can put up a majority of the candidates.




Raphfrk

Interesting site
what if anyone could modify the laws

www.wikocracy.com


AOL's new homepage has launched. Take a tour 
http://info.aol.co.uk/homepage/ now.



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