Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-06 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
Brent,


Fear of a nuclear accident, in the 80's Chernobyl, and in 2011, Fukushima. In 
Germany, the government shutdown uranium, and bought tons and tons, of cheap US 
bituminous and anthracite, to burn in their old, power plants. Merkel started 
last year, to re-light the atom plants once again, after pumping tons of 
pollutant in the air.  I am not opposed to u235 plants or thorium 232-u233 
plants, but the rest of the world seems to be. Your rationalism is far better 
then the feelings of joe six pack, but that is that. 



-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Apr 5, 2015 5:37 pm
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia


  
On 4/5/2015 2:05 PM, spudboy100 via Everything List wrote:  
  
  
  Really, it's an interesting piece of tech, but it just seems too clumsy and 
too costly. 
  
  
  There are 442 nuclear power reactors in operation.  France gets most of it's 
electrical power from nukes.  If nuclear power plants had been discovered 
first, would anybody even consider building a coal fired plant? 
  
 Brent 
  
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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-06 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
Agreed.


-Original Message-
From: 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List everything-list@googlegroups.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Apr 5, 2015 9:37 pm
Subject: RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia


 
  
 
  
 
  
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] 
Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2015 2:05 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia
  
 
  
Really, it's an interesting piece of tech, but it just seems too clumsy and too 
costly. Please note that I love this kind of tech, if for no other reason in 
that the promise of fusion just keeps on receding into the future. We can talk 
of everything from tokamaks, to inertial confinement, to colliding beam fusion, 
to muon catalysis, and so forth. With fission, it's the same thing, with gas 
cooled reactors, betavoltaics, pwr's, bwr's, mini-reactor's, CANDU reactors. 
Here, also, the proper engineering, costs, and safety, as well as waste 
disposal just keep fading back into dreamland. I love this stuff, being a nerd, 
and all, but I can no longer listen to the blissful b.s. proffered by newsies, 
and academics, alike. What's holding back solar is one great flaw, storage. You 
cannot run a modern large city on solar during cold nights and cloudy days, so 
storage has to be demonstrated over solar cell efficiency. Barring the 
development of solar storage, there's natural gas (methane) and coal. Right 
now, despite solar enthusiast's claims, gas turbines are beating all other 
energy sources down. Some are sure that shale gas is just another economic 
bubble, and it may be, but there is the use of gas hydrates on the horizon, not 
economically, but in 20 + years, or longer, than yes. This is the future, 
unless we get some fixes in for fission, fusion, solar, geothermal, or anything 
else. 
  
The rapid spread of all electric vehicles and plugin hybrids is also a build 
out of a distributed electric energy storage network that will provide 
significant peak load capacity or the much easier to provision dribbles of 
energy (relative to peak load demand) that are needed in the middle of the 
night when the sun isn’t shining (but the wind generally is blowing). The 
problem is solving itself; it is not insurmountable; spinup reserves of nimble 
medium scale gas turbines could fill the rare gaps.
  
 
  



  
   
-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Apr 5, 2015 4:39 pm
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia
   

On 4/5/2015 11:09 AM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:

 Actually

compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is neutron poor, a

 

 LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the Thorium but there isn't

a lot of 

 wiggle room, however this is an advantage not a disadvantage. If

somebody tried to 

 secretly siphon off some of the U233 produced in a reactor

to make a bomb the reactor 

 would simply stop and it would be hard to keep

that secret, also fewer neutrons means 

 less damage to the equipment, you

already don't have to worry about the most important 

 maintenance problem

that a conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods 

 caused by

neutrons, because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you

 

 can't crack a liquid.

 

The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation

resistant is that the U233 is mixed 

with U232 which makes its use in a weapons

almost impossible.  But the proliferation 

problem for a LFTR is that

Proactinium can be chemically remove from the cycle, which 

prevents the

accumulation of U232.  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW 

LFTR

is expected to produce about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8

nuclear 

weapons.  So the proliferation resistance is

exaggerated.

 

Brent

 

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-06 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Apr 6, 2015 , meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:


  In general you can't assume that it takes one critical mass to make a
 bomb.


You do unless you're very sophisticated, otherwise it will likely take you
more than one critical mass to make a bomb, for example the critical mass
of U235 is 114 pounds but the Hiroshima bomb had 141 pounds of it. If you
can implode the fissile U235 or Plutonium metal and compress it to
arbitrary density then you can make the critical mass arbitrarily small,
but that takes great sophistication far beyond the reach of a terrorist.
And even the most sophisticated bomb makers in the world on both sides of
the iron curtain found that making U233 bombs to be so hard it just wasn't
worth bothering with.


  the fissionable material is surrounded by other materials to act as
 neutron reflectors so the fissionable mass can be considerably smaller that
 the critical mass.   That's the technology that went into the design of
 nuclear artillery shells.


All nuclear bombs use neutron reflectors. What makes nuclear artillery
shells unusual is that they used the gun method to achieve criticality and
that was only tried twice, the Hiroshima bomb and one test of a nuclear
artillery shell in the 1950s. The gun method is simple but is very
inefficient and wasteful of super expensive U235. In the Hiroshima bomb
only 1.5% of the 141 pounds of U235 actually split, 98.5% was harmlessly
blasted away before it could fission because of pre-detonation, modern
bombs use up nearly 100% of their U235 or Plutonium. Because of
inefficiency the gun method can't achieve high enough temperatures to serve
as the ignition for a H-bomb, and because of this pre-detonation problem
the gun method won't work at all for Plutonium, much less for U233. All
modern nuclear bombs use the implosion method.

  John K Clark

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread meekerdb

On 4/5/2015 9:30 PM, John Clark wrote:
On Sun, Apr 5, 2015 at 4:39 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net 
mailto:meeke...@verizon.net wrote:



  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW LFTR is expected to 
produce
about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8 nuclear weapons. 



I question that figure. Even theoretically the best (or worst depending on how you look 
at it) a LFTR could do is make 9% more U233 than it burns up, but much more 
realistically it would be closer to 1%, you try to steal more than that and the reactor 
grinds to a halt. And the critical mass of U233 is 15 kg so even if that number was 
correct I don't see how you could make 7 or 8 bombs with just 60 Kg of U233 unless you 
compressed the metal to more than normal density, and that would take mega sophistication.


I didn't do the calculation myself; it came from a friend who worked on nuclear weapons.  
In general you can't assume that it takes one critical mass to make a bomb.  Critical mass 
is a nominal measure based on the smallest sphere that will go critical by itself.  But in 
bombs the fissionable material is surrounded by other materials to act as neutron 
reflectors so the fissionable mass can be considerably smaller that the critical mass.   
That's the technology that went into the design of nuclear artillery shells.


Brent

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RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List


-Original Message-
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2015 1:40 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

On 4/5/2015 11:09 AM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:
 Actually compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle 
 is neutron poor, a LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of 
 the Thorium but there isn't a lot of wiggle room, however this is an 
 advantage not a disadvantage. If somebody tried to secretly siphon off 
 some of the U233 produced in a reactor to make a bomb the reactor 
 would simply stop and it would be hard to keep that secret, also fewer 
 neutrons means less damage to the equipment, you already don't have to 
 worry about the most important maintenance problem that a conventional 
 reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods caused by neutrons, because a LFTR 
 has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you can't crack a liquid.

The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation resistant is that the U233 
is mixed with U232 which makes its use in a weapons almost impossible.  But the 
proliferation problem for a LFTR is that Proactinium can be chemically remove 
from the cycle, which prevents the accumulation of U232.  Then the U233 can be 
siphoned off and used.  A 2GW LFTR is expected to produce about 60Kg of excess 
U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8 nuclear weapons.  So the proliferation 
resistance is exaggerated.

I agree, and have mentioned this in previous threads on this. LFTRs are not 
proliferation proof, when the Proactinium is chemically removed out of the 
circulating molten salt fluid, before it becomes transmuted by an extra neutron 
absorption into the isotope that yields U-232 (it's  highly radioactive decay 
product) Segregating out the Proactinium and letting it decay to the useful 
U-233 is also important for optimal reactor functioning and so is something 
that can be expected to occur in regular operating procedures.

The issue of proliferation is one that needs a political solution -- ultimately 
-- technical prevention can only endure for as long as the technology remains 
out of reach. Increasing numbers of nations are obtaining  the required 
technical, engineering levels of expertise needed. The nuclear cat is out of 
the bag. The way to reduce the risk of nuclear war is through political means; 
reducing (and channeling) the completion  tensions between the increasing 
number of polities that have amassed the necessary industrial, technical and 
scientific knowhow in order to indigenously master these processes.
Chris

Brent

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread John Clark
On Sun, Apr 5, 2015 at 4:39 PM, meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net wrote:

 The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation resistant is that the
 U233 is mixed with U232 which makes its use in a weapons almost impossible.


The intense gamma rays given off by U232 is one reason no nation has a U233
bomb in its stockpile but it's not the only reason. Even in its purest most
uncontaminated form the free neutron density of U-233 due to spontaneous
fissions is 3 times as high as in U235, and it would be far higher than
that if it had any U232 contamination. And the higher the neutron density
the greater the pre-detonation problem. So if you had enough U235 it would
be relatively easy for a shade tree mechanic to cobble something together
that would bring 2 sub critical pieces of U235 together fast enough to make
a crude bomb, but that would be much too slow to prevent pre-detonation
with U233, you'd need a method that was far more sophisticated than that to
make a bomb from U233, and that's even assuming your U233 was absolutely
pure and uncontaminated with 232.

Even the professional bomb makers aren't very good at making U233 bombs,
the USA, the USSR and India have all tried it and all found the results to
be very disappointing.  For example in 1955 the USA exploded a composite
Plutonium U233 bomb but the blast was no bigger than if had just the
plutonium in it, the U233 ended up doing virtually nothing. In 1998 India
made a pure U233 bomb but it was a embarrassing dud with a blast of just
200 tons. Pre-detonation is a serious problem in U233 bombs even if you
have the resources of a nation state at your disposal..

And unlike existing Uranium power reactors which constantly increases the
amount of Plutonium on the planet a legal LFTR would burn up all of its
U233.

 the proliferation problem for a LFTR is that Proactinium can be
 chemically remove from the cycle, which prevents the accumulation of U232.


That's possible but not probable, and certainly a standard LFTR operation
would not have the equipment to do that. And although Protactinium is part
of the most important chain that leads to U232 there are other pathways
that don't involve Protactinium at all so you'd still have some U232
contamination giving off deadly gamma rays and releasing neutrons making
pre-detonation more likely.

Forget about terrorists, it's too difficult and expensive for even
countries to make a U233 bomb; if you want to worry about something worry
about the thousands of fully functional H-bombs floating around the world.

  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW LFTR is expected to
 produce about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8 nuclear
 weapons.


I question that figure. Even theoretically the best (or worst depending on
how you look at it) a LFTR could do is make 9% more U233 than it burns up,
but much more realistically it would be closer to 1%, you try to steal more
than that and the reactor grinds to a halt. And the critical mass of U233
is 15 kg so even if that number was correct I don't see how you could make
7 or 8 bombs with just 60 Kg of U233 unless you compressed the metal to
more than normal density, and that would take mega sophistication.

  John K Clark







i

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
Really, it's an interesting piece of tech, but it just seems too clumsy and too 
costly. Please note that I love this kind of tech, if for no other reason in 
that the promise of fusion just keeps on receding into the future. We can talk 
of everything from tokamaks, to inertial confinement, to colliding beam fusion, 
to muon catalysis, and so forth. With fission, it's the same thing, with gas 
cooled reactors, betavoltaics, pwr's, bwr's, mini-reactor's, CANDU reactors. 
Here, also, the proper engineering, costs, and safety, as well as waste 
disposal just keep fading back into dreamland. I love this stuff, being a nerd, 
and all, but I can no longer listen to the blissful b.s. proffered by newsies, 
and academics, alike. What's holding back solar is one great flaw, storage. You 
cannot run a modern large city on solar during cold nights and cloudy days, so 
storage has to be demonstrated over solar cell efficiency. Barring the 
development of solar storage, there's natural gas (methane) and coal. Right 
now, despite solar enthusiast's claims, gas turbines are beating all other 
energy sources down. Some are sure that shale gas is just another economic 
bubble, and it may be, but there is the use of gas hydrates on the horizon, not 
economically, but in 20 + years, or longer, than yes. This is the future, 
unless we get some fixes in for fission, fusion, solar, geothermal, or anything 
else. 



-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Apr 5, 2015 4:39 pm
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia


On 4/5/2015 11:09 AM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:
 Actually
compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is neutron poor, a

 LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the Thorium but there isn't
a lot of 
 wiggle room, however this is an advantage not a disadvantage. If
somebody tried to 
 secretly siphon off some of the U233 produced in a reactor
to make a bomb the reactor 
 would simply stop and it would be hard to keep
that secret, also fewer neutrons means 
 less damage to the equipment, you
already don't have to worry about the most important 
 maintenance problem
that a conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods 
 caused by
neutrons, because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you

 can't crack a liquid.

The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation
resistant is that the U233 is mixed 
with U232 which makes its use in a weapons
almost impossible.  But the proliferation 
problem for a LFTR is that
Proactinium can be chemically remove from the cycle, which 
prevents the
accumulation of U232.  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW 
LFTR
is expected to produce about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8
nuclear 
weapons.  So the proliferation resistance is
exaggerated.

Brent

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread meekerdb

On 4/5/2015 2:05 PM, spudboy100 via Everything List wrote:

Really, it's an interesting piece of tech, but it just seems too clumsy and too 
costly.


There are 442 nuclear power reactors in operation.  France gets most of it's electrical 
power from nukes.  If nuclear power plants had been discovered first, would anybody even 
consider building a coal fired plant?


Brent

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RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] 
Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2015 2:05 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

Really, it's an interesting piece of tech, but it just seems too clumsy and too 
costly. Please note that I love this kind of tech, if for no other reason in 
that the promise of fusion just keeps on receding into the future. We can talk 
of everything from tokamaks, to inertial confinement, to colliding beam fusion, 
to muon catalysis, and so forth. With fission, it's the same thing, with gas 
cooled reactors, betavoltaics, pwr's, bwr's, mini-reactor's, CANDU reactors. 
Here, also, the proper engineering, costs, and safety, as well as waste 
disposal just keep fading back into dreamland. I love this stuff, being a nerd, 
and all, but I can no longer listen to the blissful b.s. proffered by newsies, 
and academics, alike. What's holding back solar is one great flaw, storage. You 
cannot run a modern large city on solar during cold nights and cloudy days, so 
storage has to be demonstrated over solar cell efficiency. Barring the 
development of solar storage, there's natural gas (methane) and coal. Right 
now, despite solar enthusiast's claims, gas turbines are beating all other 
energy sources down. Some are sure that shale gas is just another economic 
bubble, and it may be, but there is the use of gas hydrates on the horizon, not 
economically, but in 20 + years, or longer, than yes. This is the future, 
unless we get some fixes in for fission, fusion, solar, geothermal, or anything 
else. 

The rapid spread of all electric vehicles and plugin hybrids is also a build 
out of a distributed electric energy storage network that will provide 
significant peak load capacity or the much easier to provision dribbles of 
energy (relative to peak load demand) that are needed in the middle of the 
night when the sun isn’t shining (but the wind generally is blowing). The 
problem is solving itself; it is not insurmountable; spinup reserves of nimble 
medium scale gas turbines could fill the rare gaps.

 





-Original Message-
From: meekerdb meeke...@verizon.net
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sun, Apr 5, 2015 4:39 pm
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

On 4/5/2015 11:09 AM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:
 Actually
compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is neutron poor, a
 
 LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the Thorium but there isn't
a lot of 
 wiggle room, however this is an advantage not a disadvantage. If
somebody tried to 
 secretly siphon off some of the U233 produced in a reactor
to make a bomb the reactor 
 would simply stop and it would be hard to keep
that secret, also fewer neutrons means 
 less damage to the equipment, you
already don't have to worry about the most important 
 maintenance problem
that a conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods 
 caused by
neutrons, because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you
 
 can't crack a liquid.
 
The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation
resistant is that the U233 is mixed 
with U232 which makes its use in a weapons
almost impossible.  But the proliferation 
problem for a LFTR is that
Proactinium can be chemically remove from the cycle, which 
prevents the
accumulation of U232.  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW 
LFTR
is expected to produce about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8
nuclear 
weapons.  So the proliferation resistance is
exaggerated.
 
Brent
 
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RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of John Clark
Sent: Sunday, April 05, 2015 9:55 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

On Sat, Apr 4, 2015  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List 
everything-list@googlegroups.com wrote:  

 Also, and this is a major point in its favor LFTR reactor types would be walk 
 away safe. Because the U233 fuel plus fertile thorium is solution in the 
 fluoride salt coolant a simple and effective failure plug could be designed 
 in at the low point of the inner core circulating design. If the reactor ever 
 started overheating the plug would be made of a material with a substantially 
 lower melting point than the vessel. In other words it would fail first; 
 guaranteed. 

And that's not the only inherent safety feature, because the fuel is a liquid, 
Thorium dissolved in un-corrosive molten Fluoride salt, if things get too hot 
the liquid expands and the fuel gets less dense and so the reaction slows down. 
The operators wouldn't have to do anything, it's just physics. A LFTR is 
walkaway safe.

Yes, that as well. The liquid nature of the fuel/fertile/salt mix of LFTR is 
superior in this dimension as well vis vis systems that enclose the fuel in 
rod-shaped encasings and in which the coolant is separate. Being walk-away-safe 
is a critical advantage over other proposed fast breeder reactors that instead 
would depend on critical active safety features that if they should fail would 
lead to catastrophic failure modes.

Also, unlike other proposed high temperature coolants (heat transfer fluids) 
such as sodium, the fluoride slats used in the LFTR design do not react with 
air or water (sodium is very reactive by comparison). Thus, in the advent of a 
catastrophic failure that leads to the LFTR circulating fluid becoming exposed 
to either air or perhaps water (running through a secondary heat exchange 
loop), the accident will not become compounded by the chemical reactivity of 
the heat exchange fluid itself. 

 Another advantage of the LFTR design is that they have a broader neutron 
 bandwidth (being able to utilize both fast neutrons as well as slower 
 neutrons). I guess one could say LFTR has a higher neutron efficiency; being 
 able to use them across a broader spectrum of energies.

 

Actually compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is neutron 
poor, a LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the Thorium but there 
isn't a lot of wiggle room, however this is an advantage not a disadvantage. If 
somebody tried to secretly siphon off some of the U233 produced in a reactor to 
make a bomb the reactor would simply stop and it would be hard to keep that 
secret, also fewer neutrons means less damage to the equipment, you already 
don't have to worry about the most important maintenance problem that a 
conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods caused by neutrons, 
because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you can't 
crack a liquid. 

 

Interesting. I was referring to the ability of the LFTR type breeders to 
utilize thermal neutrons. U-233 gives off more than two neutrons per absorption 
at thermal energies, which is more than enough to sustain the fission process, 
whereas the P-239 produced by plutonium breeders (from the U-238 fertile 
material) absorb a significant number of neutrons at thermal energy levels, in 
this manner starving the fission process. In order to keep plutonium breeders 
going it is necessary to go to fast neutron design which does away with the 
graphite moderators (used in the thermal neutron design to slow the neutrons 
down).

Fast breeder reactors raise many more safety, economy, and nuclear 
proliferation challenges than do LFTR variants for this reason.

Chris

 

There is a excellent video about LFTR's, it's not short but it's packed with 
information and well worth your time:

 

/www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9M__yYbsZ4 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9M__yYbsZ4 

 

  John K Clark

 

 

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RE: [SPAM]Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Saturday, April 04, 2015 8:59 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: [SPAM]Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

On 4/4/2015 7:45 PM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:

Whatever the breeder fuel cycle: LFTR or the (seems like the Russians are going 
in that direction) plutonium economy; inherent passive safety features are 
critical. If we learned anything from Fukushima, I would argue that one of the 
lessons must be that reactors need to be walk away safe, being designed with 
in-built passive safety designed failure modes. This also argues for smaller 
scale units than behemoths like the MarkII design. The very big units just 
generate too much heat all, in a remarkably small place… too much for passive 
safety to be practical. I think a better reactor scale would be around 200MW, 
big enough to matter, but small enough to be manageable in failure mode.


Most proposed advanced reactors will operate at higher temperatures than the 
older designs.  This both makes them more thermodynamically efficient and it 
allows them to be air cooled.

The safety problem isn't from the high temperature in the design use, it's from 
the residual radioactive components that continue to decay after the reactor 
shuts down.  There's been assertions about Fukushima's core melt down and 
escaping the reactor vessel based on muon imaging.  But the corium didn't 
escape the concrete containment under the reactor.

 

It is not so much the operating temperature itself but the continued production 
of massive amounts of thermal energy (from continued radioactive decay going on 
inside the core + the SFPs as well) even as the plant is being put into 
shutdown mode, which is one of the issues with the big PWR type reactors. Even 
after fission has been halted, it takes weeks for a big PWR to cool down, as 
the on-going decay produces large amounts of heat.

 

In reference to the recent muon imaging: I don’t think they know that it did 
not already burn through the outer concrete containment, in fact the muon 
imaging suggests that it may have in fact already burnt all the way through and 
be located somewhere in the underlying earth/rock matrix beneath that 
particular unit. Meltdowns have occurred in units: #1, #2, and #3 – that is 
three core meltdowns in all.

 

Chris



Brent 

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread John Clark
On Sat, Apr 4, 2015  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List 
everything-list@googlegroups.com wrote:

 Also, and this is a major point in its favor LFTR reactor types would be
 walk away safe. Because the U233 fuel plus fertile thorium is solution in
 the fluoride salt coolant a simple and effective failure plug could be
 designed in at the low point of the inner core circulating design. If the
 reactor ever started overheating the plug would be made of a material with
 a substantially lower melting point than the vessel. In other words it
 would fail first; guaranteed.

And that's not the only inherent safety feature, because the fuel is a
liquid, Thorium dissolved in un-corrosive molten Fluoride salt, if things
get too hot the liquid expands and the fuel gets less dense and so the
reaction slows down. The operators wouldn't have to do anything, it's just
physics. A LFTR is walkaway safe.

  Another advantage of the LFTR design is that they have a broader neutron
 bandwidth (being able to utilize both fast neutrons as well as slower
 neutrons). I guess one could say LFTR has a higher neutron efficiency;
 being able to use them across a broader spectrum of energies.


Actually compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is
neutron poor, a LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the
Thorium but there isn't a lot of wiggle room, however this is an advantage
not a disadvantage. If somebody tried to secretly siphon off some of the
U233 produced in a reactor to make a bomb the reactor would simply stop and
it would be hard to keep that secret, also fewer neutrons means less damage
to the equipment, you already don't have to worry about the most important
maintenance problem that a conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid
fuel rods caused by neutrons, because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's
fuel is a liquid and you can't crack a liquid.

There is a excellent video about LFTR's, it's not short but it's packed
with information and well worth your time:

/www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9M__yYbsZ4

  John K Clark

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-05 Thread meekerdb

On 4/5/2015 11:09 AM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:
Actually compared with the Uranium fuel cycle the Thorium fuel cycle is neutron poor, a 
LFTR produces enough neutrons to burn up 100% of the Thorium but there isn't a lot of 
wiggle room, however this is an advantage not a disadvantage. If somebody tried to 
secretly siphon off some of the U233 produced in a reactor to make a bomb the reactor 
would simply stop and it would be hard to keep that secret, also fewer neutrons means 
less damage to the equipment, you already don't have to worry about the most important 
maintenance problem that a conventional reactor has, cracks in the solid fuel rods 
caused by neutrons, because a LFTR has no solid fuel rods, it's fuel is a liquid and you 
can't crack a liquid.


The reason LFTRs have been touted as proliferation resistant is that the U233 is mixed 
with U232 which makes its use in a weapons almost impossible.  But the proliferation 
problem for a LFTR is that Proactinium can be chemically remove from the cycle, which 
prevents the accumulation of U232.  Then the U233 can be siphoned off and used.  A 2GW 
LFTR is expected to produce about 60Kg of excess U233 per year; enough for 7 to 8 nuclear 
weapons.  So the proliferation resistance is exaggerated.


Brent

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread meekerdb

On 4/4/2015 7:45 PM, 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List wrote:
Whatever the breeder fuel cycle: LFTR or the (seems like the Russians are going in that 
direction) plutonium economy; inherent passive safety features are critical. If we 
learned anything from Fukushima, I would argue that one of the lessons must be that 
reactors need to be walk away safe, being designed with in-built passive safety designed 
failure modes. This also argues for smaller scale units than behemoths like the MarkII 
design. The very big units just generate too much heat all, in a remarkably small place… 
too much for passive safety to be practical. I think a better reactor scale would be 
around 200MW, big enough to matter, but small enough to be manageable in failure mode.


Most proposed advanced reactors will operate at higher temperatures than the older 
designs. This both makes them more thermodynamically efficient and it allows them to be 
air cooled.


The safety problem isn't from the high temperature in the design use, it's from the 
residual radioactive components that continue to decay after the reactor shuts down.  
There's been assertions about Fukushima's core melt down and escaping the reactor vessel 
based on muon imaging.  But the corium didn't escape the concrete containment under the 
reactor.


Brent

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RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of meekerdb
Sent: Saturday, April 04, 2015 6:58 PM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

On 4/4/2015 5:58 PM, John Clark wrote:

On Sat, Apr 4, 2015  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List 
everything-list@googlegroups.com wrote:

 

 Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder 
 design is being carried ahead in Russia.

 

It doesn't need high pressure which is good and, if there is a leak the molten 
lead would soon solidly and self seal which is also good, but the Russians have 
used this sort of design before in their submarines and that's not exactly a 
sterling recommendation in my book. And it makes Plutonium from U238 and that's 
not my favorite element, call me old fashioned but I think the world already 
has more than enough Plutonium in it. I like the Thorium fuel cycle much more 
than the Uranium fuel cycle.


Also thorium is much more abundant.  And it has been demonstrated at Oak Ridge 
as part of the Air Force's program to build a nuclear powered bomber.  I don't 
think any new reactor technology is likely to get built unless some government 
gets involved to fund research and to tailor regulations to the new technology.

 

Also, and this is a major point in its favor LFTR reactor types would be walk 
away safe. Because the U233 fuel plus fertile thorium is solution in the 
fluoride salt coolant a simple and effective failure plug could be designed in 
at the low point of the inner core circulating design. If the reactor ever 
started overheating the plug would be made of a material with a substantially 
lower melting point than the vessel. In other words it would fail first; 
guaranteed.

In this manner the hot fuel/fertile/salt mix (plus various by products in the 
mix) would get channeled into a sub catchment chamber made of neutron absorbing 
materials and with a surface shape that would disperse the hot liquid core 
circulating fluid over a relatively wide flat area beneath the reactor, and 
without any intervention the reaction speed would very significantly slow down 
(free neutron starvation); the hot liquid (also radioactively very hot of 
course) fluid would cool down and solidify into what can be pictured as a kind 
of cupcake shaped containment.

It would still be a big cleanup, but it would be a manageable one that would in 
many senses have elf-contained itself.

Another advantage of the LFTR design is that they have a broader neutron 
bandwidth (being able to utilize both fast neutrons as well as slower 
neutrons). I guess one could say LFTR has a higher neutron efficiency; being 
able to use them across a broader spectrum of energies.

Whatever the breeder fuel cycle: LFTR or the (seems like the Russians are going 
in that direction) plutonium economy; inherent passive safety features are 
critical. If we learned anything from Fukushima, I would argue that one of the 
lessons must be that reactors need to be walk away safe, being designed with 
in-built passive safety designed failure modes. This also argues for smaller 
scale units than behemoths like the MarkII design. The very big units just 
generate too much heat all, in a remarkably small place… too much for passive 
safety to be practical. I think a better reactor scale would be around 200MW, 
big enough to matter, but small enough to be manageable in failure mode.

Chris

Brent

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread meekerdb

On 4/4/2015 5:58 PM, John Clark wrote:
On Sat, Apr 4, 2015  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List 
everything-list@googlegroups.com mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com wrote:


 Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder 
design
is being carried ahead in Russia.


It doesn't need high pressure which is good and, if there is a leak the molten lead 
would soon solidly and self seal which is also good, but the Russians have used this 
sort of design before in their submarines and that's not exactly a sterling 
recommendation in my book. And it makes Plutonium from U238 and that's not my favorite 
element, call me old fashioned but I think the world already has more than enough 
Plutonium in it. I like the Thorium fuel cycle much more than the Uranium fuel cycle.


Also thorium is much more abundant.  And it has been demonstrated at Oak Ridge as part of 
the Air Force's program to build a nuclear powered bomber.  I don't think any new reactor 
technology is likely to get built unless some government gets involved to fund research 
and to tailor regulations to the new technology.


Brent

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread John Clark
On Sat, Apr 4, 2015  'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List 
everything-list@googlegroups.com wrote:

 Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder
 design is being carried ahead in Russia.


It doesn't need high pressure which is good and, if there is a leak the
molten lead would soon solidly and self seal which is also good, but the
Russians have used this sort of design before in their submarines and
that's not exactly a sterling recommendation in my book. And it makes
Plutonium from U238 and that's not my favorite element, call me old
fashioned but I think the world already has more than enough Plutonium in
it. I like the Thorium fuel cycle much more than the Uranium fuel cycle.

  John K Clark

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
I have literally monitored developments for years that would return some form 
of nuclear fission as a safe possibility to be the main power source for the 
human species. It always sounds interestingly, and innovative, but never takes 
off to become a reality. Thorium, Molten Salt, Micro, Betavoltaic, subcritical 
reactors which switch off when a laser or proton beam stop, all the wonderful 
ideas, and more. But these things never leave the laboratory. I will not argue 
why this is true, or that its a total shame that it never takes off. I think at 
this late date, fusion, a different process,  will wait till the 22nd century, 
and for the next 85 years its going to be natural gas (argue about this later) 
or solar and wind. Electric cars power by solar and wind, factories, homes, and 
the rest of the slack taken up by natural gas. Tesla and Prius will eventually 
lead the way in transportation. Yes, this view is disappointing, but true. 



-Original Message-
From: 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List everything-list@googlegroups.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Apr 4, 2015 12:26 am
Subject: RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia


 
  
Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder 
design is being carried ahead in Russia.
  
 
  
An experimental lead-cooled nuclear reactor will be built at the Siberian 
Chemical Combine (SCC). If successful, the small BREST-300 unit could be the 
first of a new wave of Russian fast reactors.
  
http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN_Fast_moves_for_nuclear_development_in_Siberia_0410121.html
 
  
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RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
I have been following the publicly available information on development of the 
various GenIV breeder variants. Am curious as to how much actual progress the 
Russians may have made in pursuing this one particular form – using molten lead 
as the heat transfer fluid (which is why they have such a high thermal 
efficiency at 43%). It may surprise some, but I am not opposed to the idea of 
nuclear power per se; though I do oppose systems that depend on active safety 
features in order to prevent a core meltdown… and I do have reasonable concerns 
about how waste products will be contained in sequestered facilities (or for 
some materials potentially getting re-processed getting burnt up in breeders)

The natural gas uptick in availability is a short duration bubble, resulting 
from highly capital, water and energy intensive production techniques that is 
squeezing out small marginal pockets of available fossil energy from a 
containing oil/gas bearing shale rock formation. I would not count on this long 
term – already there is a massive capital flight from this sector (that 
preceded the recent collapse in the global spot prices). 

Solar PV will continue to grow: For example, GlobalData, a well-known sector 
forecasting company that publishes forecasts on a wide variety of industry 
sectors and trends, published figures that show a trend line indicating that PV 
module capacity will grow from the current base of 135.66 GW installed by 2013 
to 413.98 GW in 2020, based on a number of factors, including volume trends, 
average price, and production share.

In another forecast, by this same information company, they estimate that 
investment in the global wind energy sector will rise to above $100 billion, 
driving up installed wind capacity from the current global figure of 364.9 
Gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 650.8 GW by 2020. This yields, a cumulative installed 
capacity for solar PV + wind of over a Terawatt by 2020. This does not include 
figures for CSP (concentrated solar thermal power) either, which is significant 
in some areas (California, Nevada, Spain)… and may (or may not) grow.

 

 

From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] 
Sent: Saturday, April 04, 2015 9:55 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

 

I have literally monitored developments for years that would return some form 
of nuclear fission as a safe possibility to be the main power source for the 
human species. It always sounds interestingly, and innovative, but never takes 
off to become a reality. Thorium, Molten Salt, Micro, Betavoltaic, subcritical 
reactors which switch off when a laser or proton beam stop, all the wonderful 
ideas, and more. But these things never leave the laboratory. I will not argue 
why this is true, or that its a total shame that it never takes off. I think at 
this late date, fusion, a different process,  will wait till the 22nd century, 
and for the next 85 years its going to be natural gas (argue about this later) 
or solar and wind. Electric cars power by solar and wind, factories, homes, and 
the rest of the slack taken up by natural gas. Tesla and Prius will eventually 
lead the way in transportation. Yes, this view is disappointing, but true. 



-Original Message-
From: 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List everything-list@googlegroups.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Apr 4, 2015 12:26 am
Subject: RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder 
design is being carried ahead in Russia.

 

An experimental lead-cooled nuclear reactor will be built at the Siberian 
Chemical Combine (SCC). If successful, the small BREST-300 unit could be the 
first of a new wave of Russian fast reactors.

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN_Fast_moves_for_nuclear_development_in_Siberia_0410121.html

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Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-04 Thread spudboy100 via Everything List
The question of reactor safety is an essential one if fission is to move 
forward. Just by what I have read, in places like Lawrence Berkeley Labs, MIT, 
Japanese labs, South Korea, etc, the fixes might work, but the cost-price of 
these fixes tends to kill interest by public and private utilities.  I also had 
followed the Russian work with Lead moderated and lead-bismuth reactors. It may 
end up being a game changer. I have also pondered why not use atmospheric 
nitrogen as a moderator-coolant for fission reactors? There were the old Magnox 
reactors that the UK made in the late 50's and 1960's that occasionally made 
their presence known in a couple of ancient Dr. Who episodes (Pertwee or Baker) 
which used CO2 as a coolant moderator. Why not use environmentally, safer, and 
abundant atmospheric nitrogen instead? I think the toxicity of radio nitrogen 
lasts under one second, as a feature of physics. Costs, again, are likely the 
reason. Too costly to develop, I suppose, and low RO!. 



You could well be right about gas being a bubble (pun?).  However,  the tricks 
the petroleum engineers can do seem to be endless. One area of continued 
troubles for Green-minded is the possibility that in a decade or three, 
enhanced oil recovery becomes economic (unlikely today) and that methane gas 
hydrates (which are a phenomenally large resource) comes to the forefront, 
technically. This is why I am big on spending whatever it takes for storage for 
solar and wind, which as far as I can see is the only bottleneck in the way of 
solar and wind becoming the dominant fuel resource. If storage can be improved 
the forecasts you cited will be conservative in their estimate of progress. I 
would take natural gas from shale, enhanced recovery, or gas hydrates, only 
because it may be the only thing available for civilization. It's a very, 
pessimistic view, but then so is purchasing AAA insurance in case one's car 
breaks down on the highway. 


-Original Message-
From: 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List everything-list@googlegroups.com
To: everything-list everything-list@googlegroups.com
Sent: Sat, Apr 4, 2015 3:35 pm
Subject: RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia


 
  
I have been following the publicly available information on development of the 
various GenIV breeder variants. Am curious as to how much actual progress the 
Russians may have made in pursuing this one particular form – using molten lead 
as the heat transfer fluid (which is why they have such a high thermal 
efficiency at 43%). It may surprise some, but I am not opposed to the idea of 
nuclear power per se; though I do oppose systems that depend on active safety 
features in order to prevent a core meltdown… and I do have reasonable concerns 
about how waste products will be contained in sequestered facilities (or for 
some materials potentially getting re-processed getting burnt up in breeders)
  
The natural gas uptick in availability is a short duration bubble, resulting 
from highly capital, water and energy intensive production techniques that is 
squeezing out small marginal pockets of available fossil energy from a 
containing oil/gas bearing shale rock formation. I would not count on this long 
term – already there is a massive capital flight from this sector (that 
preceded the recent collapse in the global spot prices). 
  
Solar PV will continue to grow: For example, GlobalData, a well-known sector 
forecasting company that publishes forecasts on a wide variety of industry 
sectors and trends, published figures that show a trend line indicating that PV 
module capacity will grow from the current base of 135.66 GW installed by 2013 
to 413.98 GW in 2020, based on a number of factors, including volume trends, 
average price, and production share.
  
In another forecast, by this same information company, they estimate that 
investment in the global wind energy sector will rise to above $100 billion, 
driving up installed wind capacity from the current global figure of 364.9 
Gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 650.8 GW by 2020. This yields, a cumulative installed 
capacity for solar PV + wind of over a Terawatt by 2020. This does not include 
figures for CSP (concentrated solar thermal power) either, which is significant 
in some areas (California, Nevada, Spain)… and may (or may not) grow.
  
 
  
 
  
From: everything-list@googlegroups.com 
[mailto:everything-list@googlegroups.com] 
Sent: Saturday, April 04, 2015 9:55 AM
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia
  
 
  
I have literally monitored developments for years that would return some form 
of nuclear fission as a safe possibility to be the main power source for the 
human species. It always sounds interestingly, and innovative, but never takes 
off to become a reality. Thorium, Molten Salt, Micro, Betavoltaic, subcritical 
reactors which switch off when a laser or proton beam stop, all the wonderful 
ideas

RE: Fast moves for nuclear development in Siberia

2015-04-03 Thread 'Chris de Morsella' via Everything List
Has anybody been following this. Looks like the lead cooled fast  breeder
design is being carried ahead in Russia.

 

An experimental lead-cooled nuclear reactor will be built at the Siberian
Chemical Combine (SCC). If successful, the small BREST-300 unit could be the
first of a new wave of Russian fast reactors.

http://www.world-nuclear-news.org/NN_Fast_moves_for_nuclear_development_in_S
iberia_0410121.html

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