I was not trying to be snide at all, but was just
pointing out what the market has been doing recently,
and only recently. I am interested in seeing if the
market goes up during the first big course in quite a
while, but it looked pretty obvious to me that the
market has been in a trading range and, having just
reached a previous pivot, may drop back to the recent
lows. Usually, a trading range will have about three
bottom pivots and three top pivots before the market
breaks out for a prolonged trend higher or lower.
That's just how the market trades. That's why I
suggested looking at a recent chart. I was going to
provide a link, but I did not think it would work
properly. I did not look at any of your past data. I
didn't even know you had charts up.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?c=$spx,uu[h,a]daolniay[pb7!b21!f][vc60][iut]
--- "new.morning" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> --- In FairfieldLife@yahoogroups.com, gullible fool
> <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >
> >
> > If you look at an actual chart,
>
> I am not sure why you feel the need for snideness.
> The link I refer to
> has a number charts I created. Perhaps you should
> look at the link.
>
> And this particular post to which you are responding
> refers to about
> 10 potential TMO impacts from 1967 to present. So
> your, your reponse
> to this post is um, "incoherent". :)
>
> Thus I assume you are actually commenting about
> prior posts, on
> another thread, refering to this last week being the
> largest gain in
> two years, 3%.
>
> Sure this last weeks gains are in the upper part of
> a trading range
> since June. My charts, if you would look, were
> constructed to identify
> long-run trendlines going back to 2003 and to see if
> the current
> course has an impact outside the index's long-run
> trend.
>
> If it breaks out of its two month trading range this
> next week it will
> be as interesting as this week 2-year largest gain.
>
> And beyond that, as I say on the blog that has the
> charts,
>
> "With a 5% additional rise in the next several weeks
> would, the index
> would cross its long run (statistical)
> regression-based trendline,
> that is, its movement would be indicative of a
> normal correction
> towards equillibrium.
>
> With a 20% additional rise of the index over the
> next 10 weeks or so,
> the index would exceed its upper 1 standard
> deviation bound -- the
> general boundary for deviations of the index from
> its long-run trend
> line. This would be indicative of a possible
> SIGNIFICANT effect from
> the course, and not simply the index following its
> long run trend,
> with normal deviations.
>
> If the 20% + rise increase over the next 6-10 weeks
> did occur,
> breaking its normal deviation from its long run
> trend, and assuming
> the course continues that long, and if after the end
> of course the
> index declined back below its long-run statistical
> trendline, it would
> be noteworthy."
>
>
> >you'll see that the SP
> > index is merely at the upper end of a trading
> range.
> > If the buying does not continue, it may return
> back
> > down to 1224.
>
>
>
> > --- "new.morning" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> wrote:
> >
> > > http://2006-course-effects.blogspot.com/
> > >
> > > Holy Shit!!! Maybe this thing is real. :)
> > >
> > > I looked at the major Intro Courses, Rounding
> and
> > > Yogic Flying courses
> > > in relation to S&P500. At first glance, there
> > > appears to be a
> > > phenomenal correlation. See graph on link.
> Verticl
> > > lines indicate
> > > start of new major TMO initiative. Text
> descriptor
> > > for each verticl
> > > line begins to the immeidiate right of each
> vertical
> > > bar.
> > >
> > > However, the market has been in a long-run
> upward
> > > trend since the
> > > beginning of the graph (1960) and coincidence
> cannot
> > > be ruled out.
> > > Correlation is not causation.
> > >
> > > The case for causation become strong if the
> market
> > > reverses when major
> > > courses are reduced or stopped. One example of
> this
> > > is the period
> > > 1973-1975, after Mallorca I&II , Fuigii and
> initial
> > > La Antilla -- when
> > > the emphasis was on starting MIU -- and less on
> > > intro and TTC/rounding
> > > courses.
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > > To subscribe, send a message to:
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> > >
> > > Or go to:
> > > http://groups.yahoo.com/group/FairfieldLife/
> > > and click 'Join This Group!'
> > > Yahoo! Groups Links
> > >
> > >
> > > [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> > >
> >
> >
> >
> > __
> > Do You Yahoo!?
> > Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best spam
> protection around
> > http://mail.yahoo.com
> >
>
>
>
>
>
>
> To subscribe, send a message to:
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