Re: [FRIAM] Apocalypse in Japan

2011-03-17 Thread Jochen Fromm

I am not sure what is more dangerous for the
environment, oil spills or radiation leaks, but
the NIMBY syndrome is not uncommon ;-)
I guess the two main problems are

a) catatrophic accidents like Chernobyl and
  Fukushima can not be ruled out completely

b) there is no final storage place or ultimate
  radioactive waste repository

Chernobyl happend 25 years ago, and a large region
around the nuclear power plant is still uninhabitable.
Some isotopes of plutonium have a radioactive
half-life of a million years.

I have read today in the newspapers than Japan
stores the used nuclear fuel rods near the nuclear
reactors, because it has no final storage place
for them. The US has no final repository, either.
Nuclear waste generated in the U.S. is stored similar
to Japan at or near one of the 121 facilities across
the country where it is generated, see http://bit.ly/dPF3Vt

In Germany, a town named Gorleben at the edge of
the country was selected as a storage unit for
radioactive waste when the country was still divided
into West and East Germany. Then the unification
came, and suddenly the repository was in the center
of the country, and the NIMBY syndrome appeared:
nobody wanted to be the final storage place for
radioactive waste.

The NIMBY problem is similar to the free rider
problem for public goods: in the former case,
nobody wants to have the public evil, in
the latter case everybody wants to profit from
a public good without paying for it.

-J.

- Original Message - 
From: Gillian Densmore gil.densm...@gmail.com

To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com
Sent: Thursday, March 17, 2011 12:18 AM
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Apocalypse in Japan



in the US the problem isn't just saftey it's NIMBY. (not in my back
yard). I'm far far far from being an expert on whats bog standard
practice to store spent rods. That being said the very few physics
i've talked to have said right off theoreticly you could store spent
cells just abount anywhere sighting that these days that you get more
exposer to harmful radiation over the course of a cross countery plane
trip than about a year of 'leaked' radiation from spent rods. IF it's
politicly viable to store Japans spent rods i'd think they'd apraciat
any assistance at all. As to news papers: meh. i'm not sure nuclear
has THAT much of loby strength more likely that it's wall street
journal taking a conservative tone to writing.(caveat: i haven't read
any news papers re: the situation in japan). Just as a side note: you
do realize that ironicly oil spills cause more environmental damage
radiation leaks?





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Re: [FRIAM] Apocalypse in Japan

2011-03-17 Thread Eric Smith

Jochen and everybody, hi,

I don't know if it has already been covered on this thread, and I  
understand that the following comment is not central to the main  
theme.  But to group Chernobyl with other reactor failures has one  
element that is potentially problematic.  Chernobyl was a carbon- 
moderated reactor, in contrast to (as far as I know, all other)  
modern reactor designs, which are water-moderated in one way or  
another.  The problem, of course, with carbon moderation is that if  
the reactor overheats, the carbon doesn't reduce that, and if it hits  
flashpoint, the carbon is inflammable and ultimately explosive.  So  
you get this massive chemical explosion vaporizing and distributing  
your fuel/waste mixture.


In contrast, water-moderated reactors, if they overheat, boil off the  
moderator.  Since, in either of these reactors, the point of the  
moderator is to slow neutrons to an energy that can be captured for  
fissioning, when the moderator is lost, the neutrons remain fast, and  
mostly escape, which should mostly or entirely shut the reaction.   
This isn't as complete a quench as the cadmium absorber rods that can  
be used for some kinds of active control, but it should still make  
most of the difference that keeps the reaction within what the  
containment system was designed for.


There are a lot of details about this that I don't know, so I don't  
understand what the modes are that lead to continued reactor heating  
even when the moderator should have been removed.  This includes not  
understanding what went wrong in the research facility in Japan a few  
years ago, that led to the bubbling pot of fuel that had to have  
holes shot in it from high-powered rifles outside the building to  
sufficiently spread the material to go permanently sub-critical.


For me, the most worrisome reactor in the world right now is in St.  
Petersburg.  it is the same design and age as Chernobyl (I believe),  
and is not only a potential disaster for Russia, but for Finland,  
Sweden, and northern continental Europe.  That would be my candidate  
for replacement.


Eric




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Re: [FRIAM] Apocalypse in Japan

2011-03-17 Thread Saul Caganoff
Everytime one of these reactors has a problem we hear the refrain:

   -  oh that's an old/foreign/crap design which noone makes anymore
   -  the people running the reactor are poor/corrupt/stupid/culturally
   different
   -  and this would never happen to any of our other reactors

the cynic in me thinks how many other badly design reactors are out there
being run by people who are - either now or in the future - not up to the
task?

Regards,
Saul

On 18 March 2011 14:22, Eric Smith desm...@santafe.edu wrote:

 Jochen and everybody, hi,

 I don't know if it has already been covered on this thread, and I
 understand that the following comment is not central to the main theme.  But
 to group Chernobyl with other reactor failures has one element that is
 potentially problematic.  Chernobyl was a carbon-moderated reactor, in
 contrast to (as far as I know, all other) modern reactor designs, which are
 water-moderated in one way or another.  The problem, of course, with carbon
 moderation is that if the reactor overheats, the carbon doesn't reduce that,
 and if it hits flashpoint, the carbon is inflammable and ultimately
 explosive.  So you get this massive chemical explosion vaporizing and
 distributing your fuel/waste mixture.

 In contrast, water-moderated reactors, if they overheat, boil off the
 moderator.  Since, in either of these reactors, the point of the moderator
 is to slow neutrons to an energy that can be captured for fissioning, when
 the moderator is lost, the neutrons remain fast, and mostly escape, which
 should mostly or entirely shut the reaction.  This isn't as complete a
 quench as the cadmium absorber rods that can be used for some kinds of
 active control, but it should still make most of the difference that keeps
 the reaction within what the containment system was designed for.

 There are a lot of details about this that I don't know, so I don't
 understand what the modes are that lead to continued reactor heating even
 when the moderator should have been removed.  This includes not
 understanding what went wrong in the research facility in Japan a few years
 ago, that led to the bubbling pot of fuel that had to have holes shot in it
 from high-powered rifles outside the building to sufficiently spread the
 material to go permanently sub-critical.

 For me, the most worrisome reactor in the world right now is in St.
 Petersburg.  it is the same design and age as Chernobyl (I believe), and is
 not only a potential disaster for Russia, but for Finland, Sweden, and
 northern continental Europe.  That would be my candidate for replacement.

 Eric




 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
 lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org




-- 
Saul Caganoff
Enterprise IT Architect
Mobile: +61 410 430 809
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/scaganoff

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