[GKD] ICT and Jobs (fwd)

1999-07-11 Thread Michael Gurstein

-- Forwarded message --
Date: Thu, 08 Jul 99  20:34:04
From: Roberto Verzola [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [GKD] ICT and Jobs

[***Moderator's note: Members may recall that in August 1998, we posted
a summary of the ICT-JOBS Working Group discussion, which EDC and ILO
hosted in May-July 1998, and which had over 700 members. The article
below is another excellent summary of the ICT-JOBS discussion, with a
somewhat different emphasis.***]

Philippine Journal
October 9, 1998
Second opinion

  ICT: job creator or destroyer?
   by Roberto S. Verzola

Are information and communications technologies (ICTs) a net creator or
destroyer of jobs?

This was the topic which more than a dozen scholars, consultants and
union officials debated in an online conference sponsored by the
International Labor Organization (ILO) from May to July this year.

 It is both

As can be expected, the discussants all acknowledged that ICT was both a
creator and a destroyer of jobs. That machines and computers are taking
over work previously done by human beings was something nobody denied.
All agreed that ICT was destroying some types of jobs. But all likewise
acknowledged that ICT introduced new ways of doing things, creating in
the process new types of work which did not exist before.

Despite very strong opinions expressed by both sides, however, they
could not agree which role dominated.

  A job creator

Some discussants asserted that ICTs create new goods and services as
well as new market opportunities and income sources. Thus, they
stimulate general economic activity, which translates into more jobs.
The new ICTs, they said, are no different in their effects from the
industrial revolution, which enhanced our productivity and improved our
living standards. Historical records since the 19th century, they added,
showed that productivity, output and jobs have all risen together.
Today, the argument goes, ICTs help businesses save money, which these
businesses then invest elsewhere, creating new jobs. There is even a
shortage of skilled ICT workers.

 ... and a job destroyer

Other discussants claimed that ICTs are selective in their positive
impact, and that they lead to unemployment elsewhere. When bosses
introduce machines and computers, some workers invariably get fired. In
many workplaces today, machines and computers are taking the place of
human beings, who are then left to fend off for themselves. A 1994 study
by the Communications Workers of America, for instance, showed net job
losses due to ICT over a 10-year period.

Not even statistics, however, could settle the issue. As one participant
noted, the available studies today are confined mostly to Northern
countries and a few Asian and Latin American NICs. The present data are
too ambiguous for a definite conclusion, and one can find data to
support either position. It is also difficult to capture in statistics
the effects of ICTs on the informal economy which in many countries, is
a big part of the whole economy.

Some insights emerged in the discussions which can help us better
understand the impacts of ICT on labor.

 Work-at-a-distance, manage-at-a-distance

ICTs facilitate work-at-a-distance. This could led to the increasing use
of teleworking, to which many workers react ambivalently.

It is true that teleworking provides new opportunies for women in the
home, for instance, or entrepreneurs in remote villages. But teleworking
also breaks up labor cohesiveness and weakens unions; furthermore, it
tends to exclude the teleworker from traditional social security and
other job benefits.

ICTs also provide management with new options in designing work
processes and the workplace. They can ask their workers to work at home,
or they can gather previously decentralized functions like
decision-making and put them all in one central unit, decentralizing
some functions and centralizing others, in whatever mix they find most
advantageous to the company.

Jobs: from large to small firms

ICT has also made the virtual firm possible, an enterprise that
outsources much of its requirements and relies on ICT to hold the
organization together. Much has been made of the advantages of the
virtual firm -- flexibility, efficiency, and competitiveness.

Outsourcing also tends to transfer jobs from large companies -- which
become virtual firms -- to smaller companies. What is a dream to
corporations is a nightmare to labor unions; small firms are more
difficult to unionize and tend to violate labor laws more often. One
effect of outsourcing is labor contractualization.

  Who decides?

The key, it seems, lies in the decision-making that leads to ICT use.
Invariably, it is management which decides when to introduce and when
not to introduce ICT into the workplace. 

AFRO-NETS The UNAIDS Report (fwd)

1999-07-11 Thread Michael Gurstein


-- Forwarded message --
Date: Sun, 11 Jul 1999 08:01:40 -0400 (EDT)
From: Brian Pazvakavambwa [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: AFRO-NETS The UNAIDS Report

The UNAIDS Report
---

Colleagues,

The UNAIDS Report is out. It is available on the UNAIDS web site in pdf 
format for viewing or downloading:
http://www.unaids.org/
In my attempt to whet your appetite to the report, I have reproduced 
the preface of the report from the Executive  Director of UNAIDS, Dr. 
Peter Piot, verbatim.

--

Preface to The UNAIDS Report

by Peter Piot
Executive Director
Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS

We live at a turning point in human history. AIDS spotlights all that 
is strong and weak in humanity: our vulnerability and fears, as well as 
our strength and compassion, especially for those more vulnerable, less 
able, or poorer than ourselves. 

There is still no cure and no vaccine for AIDS. In 1998, 16 000 
individuals were infected with HIV every day, and by year's end over 33 
million people, a number that exceeds the entire population of Canada, 
were living with HIV – although we estimate that nine-tenths of them 
are unaware of their infection. Most people with HIV or AIDS have no 
access to medication, even to relieve their pain and suffering. More 
than 12 million adults and children have already lost their lives to 
the disease.

These deaths will not be the last – there is worse to come. Every year
AIDS takes new directions: India and South Africa, both relatively 
untouched only a few years ago, now have among the fastest-growing 
epidemics in the world. New AIDS epidemics are emerging with 
frightening speed in Eastern and Central Europe. And sub-Saharan Africa 
remains the hardest-hit region in the world. Globally, young people – 
those who must build the bridges, create national wealth and conduct 
the research of the future – experience half of all new HIV infections. 
In many parts of the world, AIDS is the single greatest threat to 
economic, social and human development.

Even in countries where one adult in ten – or as many as one adult in 
four – is infected, a conspiracy of shame and silence surrounds AIDS. 
People who are known to have HIV often suffer rejection and 
discrimination. This stigma makes the AIDS challenge special. By the 
same token, people living with HIV have a special role to play in 
helping society to acknowledge and tackle the epidemic.

In the face of these enormous and frightening challenges, the strength 
to fight back comes from pooling our resources and working together. 
Founded just three years ago, in 1996, UNAIDS is an innovative joint 
programme that brings together the expertise and efforts of its seven 
Cosponsors – UNICEF, UNDP, UNFPA, UNDCP, UNESCO, WHO, the World Bank. 
Each of them has increased action against HIV/AIDS in its own sphere 
and is actively contributing to the UNAIDS response.

The UNAIDS Secretariat and Cosponsors can point to an expanding roster 
of advances based on partnership with one another and with governments 
and civil society around the world. For the first time in this 
epidemic, we can see progress on several fronts:

* In the developing world, strong prevention programmes are stabilizing 
  HIV rates in Brazil and Senegal and have turned around major 
  epidemics in Thailand and Uganda. Alongside these nationwide success 
  stories, there are innumerable community-level successes on all 
  continents.

* Political commitment has surged in several countries confronting 
  major epidemics, from Brazil to South Africa, from India to Cambodia.
* New partnerships have been forged with mainstream youth 
  organizations, religious groups, the corporate sector and global 
  entertainment media.

* Pilot projects for preventing mother-to-child transmission of HIV are 
  starting up in eleven countries, following the demonstration that a 
  short course of antiretroviral therapy can dramatically improve an 
  HIV-infected woman's chances of having a healthy baby.

* The first HIV vaccine efficacy trial began in the USA, followed in 
  March 1999 by the first such trial in a developing country, Thailand.

Every day, we must balance our fears about AIDS against the certain 
knowledge that human action can make a difference. This report outlines 
the challenges that all of us face, and illustrates the difference that 
individuals and organizations can make by working together.

It is my privilege to share with you, in this report, highlights of 
what our partnerships have achieved thus far.

--

Dr. Brian Pazvakavambwa
AFRO-NETS Co-Moderator
UNAIDS Geneva
Tel: +41-22-7914742
Fax: +41-22-7914741
Personal WWW: http://www.bpazva.8m.com/
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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short article on pop. devel.

1999-07-11 Thread Steve Kurtz


http://www.uexpress.com/ups/opinion/column/gg/text/1999/06/gg9906011832.html

POPULATION GROWTH IS PIVOTAL ISSUE IN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
by Georgie Anne Geyer

WASHINGTON -- It's not working.
For years, people who were against family planning could argue, and
hope, and pretend, and weave tales about the glories of open grasslands
in Kazakhstan as an answer to the world's population problem -- and some
people listened.
But now, in a sudden rush of new information about both population
pressures and the Earth's sheer sustainability, we can clearly see how
foolishly self-destructive that approach has been and continues to be.
(snip)



Re: VIPs

1999-07-11 Thread Durant

I don't think historical persons are as important as the historical 
circumstances they had a chance to exploit.
A particular epoch manages to produce the particular 
scientist/polititian/philosopher to use the available information 
creatively or destructively - depending on the circumstances.
They just add the individual variant
 to the given event.

E.g. Germany lost one war, became strong again and still wanted share from 
the economic domination of the markets. The democratic left has been 
defeated - probably due to the victory of the undemocratic Stalin in 
the USSR - so the ruling class was too weak to rule, but the working 
class too weak to take over - such void is usually filled with 
totalitarian rule. Happened to be Hitler in Germany, Mussolini in 
Italy and Franco in Spain. Stalinism is a variation on this theme. 

The leader of the IMF is powerless without the support
of the financial interests that make up that body.
Don't hold your breath waiting  for a basic income policy to be initiated from 
IMF leadership... 

Eva

 Thomas:
 
 Your paragragph has sat in my E Mail - it seems like forerver.  Why?  I have
 been toying with the significant man theory - though it could be a woman.
 How often, for better or worse, is one person able to direct and influence
 the lives of millions of people?  Think of Pol Pot or Slobovan Milosvic or
 Hitler.  What would our world history have been like if they had just got
 cancer?  By the same token, how have the economies of the world been changed
 Keynes, Friedman, Adam Smith and a significant book that grabs the times and
 changes our course.
 
 What about others that didn't make it over the hump, Louis Reil, Fremont who
 could have been President instead of Abraham Lincoln.   Or Hiliare Belloc's
 book, The Servile State.
 
 On one level, it seems that events progress from some sort of logical
 planning and yet, often from a back play of history, it can be seen that a
 significant person changed the whole directions of country's and its ideals.
 Nelson Mandella is a good example - 27 years in prison and yet somehow,
 against all odds he becomes a leader and continues to hold the highest
 ideals.
 
 What is my point - I don't know.  It's the anomaly of it that intrigues and
 frustrates me.  The original post led to a comment that the World Bank is
 changing, not from internal policy discussions, not from direction from the
 United States or United Nations, but because one man occupies the office
 that was previously held by someone else.  What happens when Alan Greenspan
 has a health problem, does the world veer and devolve into economic chaos or
 does the next Central Banker create the reality of a Basic Income and change
 our world forever.  It often seems like whoever is appointed or elected does
 not even telegrapgh the changes they instigate and yet, all of sudden their
 thoughts operate somehow to make world shaking changes.
 
 If anyone has any books  to refer, I would be interested in their titles.
 
 Respectfully,
 
 Thomas Lunde
  
 
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