[geo] RE: X ray cloud seeding?

2012-12-07 Thread John Latham
Hello Andrew,

The conditions inside a Wilson cloud chamber are very different from
in the atmosphere.The supersaturations are immense, because all natural 
CCN have been removed.Only then can Xrays initiate droplets. These 
conditions dont exist in nature.

What is most needed for natural cloud formation is an unstable temperature 
structure
and a mechanism for inducing sustained upward motion of moist air.There are 
virtually always CCN available, on which droplets will form.

Artificial cloud production is essentially a non-starter in my view.

What can be done is to increase the CCN  and therefore droplet number 
concentration and cloud albedo in existing clouds. . This is the principle of 
cloud brightening.

Not creating clouds, but brightening existing ones!

All Best,   John.



John Latham
Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
 or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham

From: Andrew Lockley [andrew.lock...@gmail.com]
Sent: 07 December 2012 03:35
To: Stephen Salter; John Latham; Alan Gadain; geoengineering
Subject: X ray cloud seeding?

Cloud chambers detect ionising radiation because the ions act as cloud 
condensation nuclei.

Could high energy and intense x-rays be used to trigger cloud formation in the 
marine boundary layer?   This might also work for drying the upper troposphere 
- by triggered nucleation and subsequent rain out, using low intensity, high 
energy x rays.

A

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[geo] Climate Change: A global challenge on the sidelines

2012-12-07 Thread David Stephen

http://www.groundreport.com/Health_and_Science/Climate-Change-A-global-challenge-on-the-sidelines/2949845


The United Nations annual climate change conference is ongoing in Doha, 
Qatar, hosting about 200 nations, seeking paths for a sustainable 
environmental future. The conference, known as COP18/CMP8, is driving at 
the target of last year’s COP17 meeting in South Africa, which is to 
have a deal to mitigate -- cut and cap -- emissions by all nations by 
2015, and have it come to effect by 2020.


Global warming, we can say had a big year, first with a sustainable 
conference that hosted world leaders in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil, and 
series of extreme weather events that thoughts linked to it. Global 
warming is a known climate challenge and there have been ways and paths 
that have been identified to taper it. Some of the solutions are 
complicated given our dependence on fossil fuels and relatively fetus 
and expensive alternatives.


Skepticism and clear links of the magnitude of weather events to it, 
contributes to the usual flutter associated with the subject. Citizens 
are pressuring leaders to act on pressing issues –- jobs, taxes, 
housing, security, mortgages, debts -– in this recovery times, while 
climate change is somewhere behind.


Certain governments are taking decisions, and certain groups are doing 
campaigns for awareness and need for action. Some results are seen, and 
hope is knit with chance that the average temperature of the earth will 
not rise to an irreversible level in the coming years –- to cause 
disasters.


The attention has made climate change a celebrity, not needing 
introduction at many international and national gatherings; but it is a 
present-day global challenge –- on the sidelines. How will climate 
change move to the fore, given the risks it carries? How will efforts 
and understanding converge towards mitigation of greenhouse emissions? 
How will the world balance its economic needs and push for climate 
safety? Who knows if mitigation should be precedent, that, we will in 
future wish we prioritized? Who knows?


The complications of our dependence on fossil fuels and premature 
alternatives make progress and answers difficult -- leaving climate 
change on the sidelines. The “more important” global economic recovery 
is still on the edge, albeit it’s the most important concern. If 
concerted mitigation is added now, the circa 2020 goal of full recovery 
may be altered and get contorted.


Maybe we leave our chances to hope; maybe geoengineering, maybe 
expectations that there will be surprise economic boom, maybe change in 
the earth climate cycle to bring cooling, maybe surprise cooperation for 
action by world’s biggest emitters, maybe a global mitigation deal in 
2015 and its coming into effect in 2020 without any events or conditions 
that will damage it, maybe.


The worst should not come, as we are seeing encouraging steps from some 
places. California has taken the bold step with laws to drive 
mitigation, the United Kingdom, is upping aid to poor countries for 
renewable energy and its internal efforts too. The EU is looking at 
aviation pollution tax, which may become a global move. Australia is 
also proceeding in energy efficiency in new directions.


Climate change is a global challenge on the sidelines, it may remain so 
in the coming years, but from the sidelines, it is pulling weight that 
reminds everyone of how it is can damage a completed recovery in a 
jiffy.


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[geo] Professor Sir Bob Watson, in his 2012 AGU Union Lecture opines on geoengineering: we need to do the research.

2012-12-07 Thread David Lewis
The 2012 AGU in San Francisco makes many of its presentations available as 
streaming video on this 
webpagehttp://fallmeeting.agu.org/2012/scientific-program/video-on-demand-lectures-and-sessions/.
 
 Professor Sir Bobdiscussed many aspects of climate change. 
 Specifically, at minute 48:50 or so in the video available 
herehttp://fallmeeting.agu.org/2012/events/union-frontiers-of-geophysics-lecture-professor-sir-bob-watson-cmg-frs-chief-scientific-adviser-to-defra/,
 
he briefly gave his views on the topic of geoengineering.

Geoengineering, whether its solar radiation management or carbon 
management - my argument on this its a second best.  I would argue we 
should go for a low carbon economy.  I'm concerned if we put too many eggs 
in the basket of geoengineering it will take our mind and our financing off 
a low carbon economy.  

But *we need to do the research*.  

We need to do more theoretical modelling of whether or not you can change 
radiation balance in the troposphere, stratosphere, or even in outer space, 
(that one I don't like personally). Or, can we change our - the carbon 
management whether it's through affecting the uptake into the oceans 
through seeding (the question is whether it will work) [ *he seemed to 
run out of gas here, perhaps he was feeling time pressure and skipped over 
whatever he intended to say about carbon management] *

So my argument on geoengineering is:  we've screwed up the planet by not 
understanding the planet.  To be honest, its a little bit unwise of us to 
think we can geoengineer it.  However I do believe its a very active area 
for more research as a potential backup or in the extreme to complement the 
low carbon economy.

Professor Sir Bob introduced his lecture saying a big part of it would be 
explain why he has answered the question is a 2 degree target feasible 
with* a great big no*.   Even though it is technologically possible, he 
said, it is not politically feasible now.  

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Re: [geo] Hurricane weakening via Marine Cloud Brightening MCB

2012-12-07 Thread Mike MacCracken
Hi John, Kelly, ad Armand--With respect to hurricane modification, there may
be an alternative approach to consider other than cooling the areas where
the hurricanes develop. Stu Ostro of The Weather Channel has written a
review of this year's hurricane season; see
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/stuostro/show.html?entrynum=18

What is interesting is that there is a channel that seems to control the
tracks of hurricanes up and into the North Atlantic where the storms
hopefully die. So, maybe an approach is to think about altering North
Atlantic temperature changes in a way that keeps hurricanes out to sea in
the Atlantic. And for Hurricane Sandy, that alters conditions in the
Labrador Sea area so that the hurricanes heading up the East Coast of North
America don't get trapped along the coast and can be blown out to sea.

Now, I know this does not benefit Caribbean island nations and so this is
likely not the only approach to be thinking about, but might it be that an
alternative approach would be to try to steer hurricanes to areas of the
ocean where coastal cities and infrastructure would not be much affected? At
least it could be evaluated if this might be easier, at least during some
years.

Mike MacCracken


On 12/7/12 1:41 PM, John Latham john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk wrote:

 Hello All,
 
 Regarding the unfortunately topical issues of hurricane strength and damage,
 I attach a press release written by our MCB colleague Kelly Wanser,
 describing our work on the possibility of weakening hurricanes via MCB: and
 also our recently published paper on the same topic.
 
 All Best, John.
 
 
 John Latham
 Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
 Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
 Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
  or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
 http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham


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RE: [geo] Hurricane weakening via Marine Cloud Brightening MCB

2012-12-07 Thread John Latham

Many Thanks, Mike.

Interesting!  Should certainly be looked in to.

All Best,   John.

John Latham
Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
 or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham

From: Mike MacCracken [mmacc...@comcast.net]
Sent: 08 December 2012 01:19
To: John Latham; Kelly Wanser; Armand Neukermans
Cc: Geoengineering
Subject: Re: [geo] Hurricane weakening via Marine Cloud Brightening MCB

Hi John, Kelly, ad Armand--With respect to hurricane modification, there may
be an alternative approach to consider other than cooling the areas where
the hurricanes develop. Stu Ostro of The Weather Channel has written a
review of this year's hurricane season; see
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/stuostro/show.html?entrynum=18

What is interesting is that there is a channel that seems to control the
tracks of hurricanes up and into the North Atlantic where the storms
hopefully die. So, maybe an approach is to think about altering North
Atlantic temperature changes in a way that keeps hurricanes out to sea in
the Atlantic. And for Hurricane Sandy, that alters conditions in the
Labrador Sea area so that the hurricanes heading up the East Coast of North
America don't get trapped along the coast and can be blown out to sea.

Now, I know this does not benefit Caribbean island nations and so this is
likely not the only approach to be thinking about, but might it be that an
alternative approach would be to try to steer hurricanes to areas of the
ocean where coastal cities and infrastructure would not be much affected? At
least it could be evaluated if this might be easier, at least during some
years.

Mike MacCracken


On 12/7/12 1:41 PM, John Latham john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk wrote:

 Hello All,

 Regarding the unfortunately topical issues of hurricane strength and damage,
 I attach a press release written by our MCB colleague Kelly Wanser,
 describing our work on the possibility of weakening hurricanes via MCB: and
 also our recently published paper on the same topic.

 All Best, John.


 John Latham
 Address: P.O. Box 3000,MMM,NCAR,Boulder,CO 80307-3000
 Email: lat...@ucar.edu  or john.latha...@manchester.ac.uk
 Tel: (US-Work) 303-497-8182 or (US-Home) 303-444-2429
  or   (US-Cell)   303-882-0724  or (UK) 01928-730-002
 http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/people/latham


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