[geo] Impacts of ice-nucleating particles on cirrus clouds and radiation derived from global model simulations with MADE3 in EMAC

2023-10-02 Thread Geoengineering News
https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2023/egusphere-2023-1983/

*Authors*
Christof Gerhard Beer, Johannes Hendricks, and Mattia Righi

*Citations*: Beer, C. G., Hendricks, J., and Righi, M.: Impacts of
ice-nucleating particles on cirrus clouds and radiation derived from global
model simulations with MADE3 in EMAC, EGUsphere [preprint],
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1983, 2023.

*Received: 30 Aug 2023 – Discussion started: 04 Sep 2023*

*Abstract*. Atmospheric aerosols can act as ice-nucleating particles (INPs)
and influence the formation and the microphysical properties of cirrus
clouds, resulting in distinct climate effects. We employ a global
aerosol–climate model, including a two-moment cloud microphysical scheme
and a parametrization for aerosol-induced ice formation in cirrus clouds,
to quantify the climate impact of INPs on cirrus clouds. The model
considers mineral dust, (aviation) soot, crystalline ammonium sulfate, and
glassy organics as INPs in the cirrus regime. A number of sensitivity
experiments are performed to analyse various aspects of the simulated
INP-cirrus effect regarding (i) the ice-nucleating potential of the INPs,
(ii) the inclusion of ammonium sulfate and organic particles as INPs in the
model, and (iii) the model representations of vertical updrafts. The
resulting global radiative forcing of the total INP-cirrus effect,
considering all different INP-types, assuming a smaller and a larger ice
nucleating potential of INPs, is simulated as −28 and −55 mW m−2,
respectively. While the simulated impact of glassy organic INPs is mostly
small and not statistically significant, ammonium sulfate INPs contribute a
considerable radiative forcing, which is nearly as large as the combined
effect of mineral dust and soot INPs. Additionally, the anthropogenic
INP-cirrus effect is analysed considering the difference between
present-day (2014) and pre-industrial conditions (1750) and amounts to −29
mW m−2. In an additional sensitivity experiment we analyse the effect of
highly efficient INPs proposed for cirrus cloud seeding as a means to
reduce global warming by climate engineering. However, the results indicate
that this approach risks an overseeding of cirrus clouds and often results
in positive radiative forcings. Idealized experiments with prescribed
vertical velocities highlight the crucial role of the model dynamics for
the simulated INP-cirrus effects, e.g. resulting forcings increase about
one order of magnitude when increasing the prescribed vertical velocity.
The large discrepancy in the magnitude of the simulated INP-cirrus effect
between different model studies emphasizes the need for future detailed
analyses and efforts to reduce this uncertainty and constrain the resulting
climate impact of INPs.

*Source: EGU Sphere*

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[geo] Impacts of ice-nucleating particles on cirrus clouds and radiation derived from global model simulations with MADE3 in EMAC

2024-03-15 Thread Geoengineering News
*This item and others will be in the monthly “Solar Geoengineering Updates
Substack” newsletter:* https://solargeoengineeringupdates.substack.com/
---

https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/24/3217/2024/

*AUTHORS*
Christof G. Beer, Johannes Hendricks, and Mattia Righi

*14 March 2024*

*Abstract*
Atmospheric aerosols can act as ice-nucleating particles (INPs) and
influence the formation and the microphysical properties of cirrus clouds,
resulting in distinct climate effects. We employ a global aerosol–climate
model, including a two-moment cloud microphysical scheme and a
parameterization for aerosol-induced ice formation in cirrus clouds, to
quantify the climate impact of INPs on cirrus clouds (simulated period
2001–2010). The model considers mineral dust, soot, crystalline ammonium
sulfate, and glassy organics as INPs in the cirrus regime. Several
sensitivity experiments are performed to analyse various aspects of the
simulated INP–cirrus effect regarding (i) the ice-nucleating potential of
the INPs, (ii) the inclusion of ammonium sulfate and organic particles as
INPs in the model, and (iii) the model representations of vertical
updraughts. The resulting global radiative forcing of the total INP–cirrus
effect, considering all different INP types, assuming a smaller and a
larger ice-nucleating potential of INPs, to explore the range of possible
forcings due to uncertainties in the freezing properties of INPs, is
simulated as −28 and −55 mW m−2, respectively. While the simulated impact
of glassy organic INPs is mostly small and not statistically significant,
ammonium sulfate INPs contribute a considerable radiative forcing, which is
nearly as large as the combined effect of mineral dust and soot INPs.
Additionally, the anthropogenic INP–cirrus effect is analysed considering
the difference between present-day (2014) and pre-industrial conditions
(1750) and amounts to −29 mW m−2, assuming a larger ice-nucleating
potential of INPs. In a further sensitivity experiment we analyse the
effect of highly efficient INPs proposed for cirrus cloud seeding as a
means to reduce global warming by climate engineering. However, the results
indicate that this approach risks an overseeding of cirrus clouds and often
results in positive radiative forcings of up to 86 mW m−2 depending on
number concentration of seeded INPs. Idealized experiments with prescribed
vertical velocities highlight the crucial role of the model dynamics for
the simulated INP–cirrus effects. For example, resulting forcings increase
about 1 order of magnitude (−42 to −340 mW m−2) when increasing the
prescribed vertical velocity (from 1 to 50 cm s−1). The large discrepancy
in the magnitude of the simulated INP–cirrus effect between different model
studies emphasizes the need for future detailed analyses and efforts to
reduce this uncertainty and constrain the resulting climate impact of INPs.

*Source: EGU*

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