Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-09 Thread Les Schaffer
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On 12/9/2009 6:33 PM, Greg McDonald wrote:
> I liked Mark Bowen's "Thin Ice". Part primer on paleoclimatology
>

which reminds me of a very interesting book i am reading, "Climate 
Change in Prehistory: The End of the Reign of Chaos" by William J 
Burroughs.

Les



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Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-09 Thread Greg McDonald
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I liked Mark Bowen's "Thin Ice". Part primer on paleoclimatology, part
adventure story, I found the argument  both understandable and
convincing.

http://www.mark-bowen.com/book_ti.html

Greg


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Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-09 Thread Les Schaffer
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On 12/9/2009 5:13 PM, Paddy Apling wrote:
> I know very well there is a correlation between atmospheric CO2 and global
> temperature - but they can also be correlated with many other things - even
> such as the increase in basic postal charges !!.  Correlation is not
> causation;
>

it becomes causation with a workable model, and there are a number of 
models out there that show positive sensitivity to CO2. now you have to 
sit down and understand the models. help is available if you give it a try.

Les


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Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-08 Thread Mark Lause
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On one level, at least the holocaust deniers could plead that they weren't
around at the time it was taking place.  Not so with global warming...or
with its kindred willful deniers of the absence of WMDs in Iraq, etc.  Fifty
to twenty years ago, enough people were doing this work to where some were
passing through my rather narrow, not particularly scientific circles in a
small Midwestern city.

The fallback position, that it's just a natural cycle, is equally absurd.

In the US, we have about 20% of the population whose entire self-perception
is wrapped up in what can only be called a religious frenzy of denial.  And
about half the overall population thinks it bad manners to point out that
they're just nuts.  Anyway, at the rate things seem to be headed here, we
might well wind up with another global warming denier in the White
House...and won't that be peachy keen for the rest of the world

So,

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Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-08 Thread S. Artesian
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Plant growth?  Full disclosure-- I've never studied this.   However,  if we 
accept that increased levels of carbon dioxide are the result of currently 
organized production, transportation, distribution etc., and that mode 
requires and maintains clearing of  vast areas of natural plant growth, 
where is the benefit to plant growth?

Somehow I think burning the rain forests in the Amazon to clear the land for 
cattle raising is of no benefit to the rain forest, or to other forests for 
that matter.  But maybe that's just me.


- Original Message - 
From: "Paddy Apling" 



Not zero, but vastly over-rated and not justifying the hyperbole, just
consider the facts;  not least its contribution to plant growth - see
web-sites, of various scientists including mine at
apling.freeservers.com/science.htm awaiting updated links.

Paddy
http://apling.freeservers.com





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Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again

2009-12-08 Thread Paddy Apling
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Not zero, but vastly over-rated and not justifying the hyperbole, just 
consider the facts;  not least its contribution to plant growth - see 
web-sites, of various scientists including mine at 
apling.freeservers.com/science.htm awaiting updated links.

Paddy
http://apling.freeservers.com


- Original Message - 
From: "Les Schaffer" 
To: 
Sent: Tuesday, December 08, 2009 12:58 PM
Subject: Re: [Marxism] Global Warming again


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Paddy Apling wrote:
> Events of the last few weeks show clealy that the time has come to 
> properly consider and discuss the science of climate

where you been Paddy, that's been going on for decades. you just don't
like the results to date. any other scientist knows its not just models,
tho they are important. there is proxy data, there is measurements. you
are surprisingly inept at making sound scientific assessment about
climate science, yet you talk as if you know what you are saying. in
this regard, you ARE in the camp of climate change denialists. all heat,
no light. but you are following the good rule of propaganda, just say NO!.

so, Paddy, you think the sensitivity of the climate to CO2 changes is
EXACTLY zero, is that your position?



Les


Nature Geoscience
Published online: 6 December 2009

Earth system sensitivity inferred from Pliocene modelling and data

Daniel J. Lunt, Alan M. Haywood, Gavin A. Schmidt, Ulrich Salzmann, Paul
J. Valdes & Harry J. Dowsett

Abstract

Quantifying the equilibrium response of global temperatures to an
increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations is one of the
cornerstones of climate research. Components of the Earth's climate
system that vary over long timescales, such as ice sheets and
vegetation, could have an important effect on this temperature
sensitivity, but have often been neglected. Here we use a coupled
atmosphere–ocean general circulation model to simulate the climate of
the mid-Pliocene warm period (about three million years ago), and
analyse the forcings and feedbacks that contributed to the relatively
warm temperatures. Furthermore, we compare our simulation with proxy
records of mid-Pliocene sea surface temperature. Taking these lines of
evidence together, we estimate that the response of the Earth system to
elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations is 30–50% greater
than the response based on those fast-adjusting components of the
climate system that are used traditionally to estimate climate
sensitivity. We conclude that targets for the long-term stabilization of
atmospheric greenhouse-gas concentrations aimed at preventing a
dangerous human interference with the climate system should take into
account this higher sensitivity of the Earth system.


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