Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-29 Thread Mark Tinka

So there have been some developments re: this thread.

As it pertains to the both the MX204 and MX10003, Juniper have made the 
following amendments:


 * EoS = 2023.
 * End of new features = 2024.
 * End of bug fixes = 2028.
 * End of critical features = 2028.
 * EoL = 2029.

FWIW.

Mark.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-18 Thread Mark Tinka




On 6/18/22 15:04, Robert Webb wrote:


I just have one question?

Why are we discussing IP allocations and IANA in an email thread about 
EoL Juniper gear?


Something about having more time to fix other softer issues we've long 
ignored, since we won't be busy installing any hardware :-).


Mark.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-18 Thread Mark Tinka




On 6/17/22 14:47, Saku Ytti wrote:


I can't pinpoint HMC as a bad solution, yes we've had our share of HMC
issues, but we've also on JNPR and some other vendors previously
replaced all linecards due to memory issues, before stacked DRAMs were
a thing, memories are notoriously fragile.
I can pinpoint HMC as a huge risk due to no manufacturer :).

The memory issues are exacerbated by needing to reload the whole
linecard when one memory has issues, JNPR has now delivered on newer
images fixes where you can reduce both the collateral damage and
downtime by reloading individual PFEs (and connected memories).

I do think HMC was a solid engineering choice, and I am a bit annoyed
that it lost to HBM instead of co-existing with little different
optimization points. But that doesn't excuse the situation.


At the rate we are going, perhaps running Apple's M-chips for routers 
(to the extent possible) is not entirely unthinkable :-).


Mark.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-18 Thread Robert Webb
I just have one question?

Why are we discussing IP allocations and IANA in an email thread about EoL
Juniper gear?

On Fri, Jun 17, 2022 at 1:26 PM Doug Barton  wrote:

> I don't want to glorify the idea of converting multicast space by
> commenting on it, however you're wrong in several particulars about the
> relationships around the IANA.
>
> Most notably here is the issue that in relationship to what IP addresses
> can be handed out to who, and for what purpose, IANA is at the service
> of the IETF. At the end of the day the IP address registries are not
> that different from any of the other registries that IANA maintains on
> their behalf.
>
> hope this helps,
>
> Doug (Former IANA GM)
>
>
> On 6/14/22 8:54 PM, b...@theworld.com wrote:
> >
> > Just to put a little more flesh on that bone (having spent about a
> > decade going to ICANN conferences):
> >
> > Although organized under ICANN, address allocation would generally be
> > the role of IANA which would assign address blocks to RIRs for
> > distribution.
> >
> > It's a useful distinction because IANA and the RIRs act fairly
> > independently from the umbrella ICANN org unless there's some very
> > specific reason for, e.g., the ICANN board to interfere like some
> > notion that the allocation of these addresses would (literally)
> > threaten the stability and security of the internet, or similar.
> >
> > Offhand (and following comments by people of competent jurisdiction) I
> > can't see why IANA or the RIRs would resist this idea in
> > principle. It's just more stock in trade for them, particularly the
> > RIRs.
> >
> > Other than they (IANA, RIRs) wouldn't do this unless the IETF issued a
> > formal redeclaration of the use of these addresses.
> >
> > Anyhow, that's roughly how the governance works in practice and has
> > for over 20 years.
> >
> > So, I think the first major move would have to be the IETF issuing one
> > or more RFCs redefining the use of these addresses which would then
> > put them into the jurisdiction of IANA who could then issue them
> > (probably piecewise) to the RIRs.
> >
> > On June 14, 2022 at 13:21 g...@toad.com (John Gilmore) wrote:
> >   > Dave Taht  wrote:
> >   > > > Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's
> more
> >   > > > like "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?
> >   > >
> >   > > Like, working on better software...
> >   >
> >   > Like, deploying the other 300 million IPv4 addresses that are
> currently
> >   > lying around unused.  They remain formally unused due to three
> >   > interlocking supply chain problems: at IETF, ICANN, and vendors.
> IETF's
> >   > is caused by a "we must force everyone to abandon trailing edge
> >   > technology" attitude.  ICANN's is because nobody is sure how to
> allocate
> >   > ~$15B worth of end-user value into a calcified IP address market
> >   > dominated by government-created regional monopolies doing allocation
> by
> >   > fiat.
> >   >
> >   > Vendors have leapfrogged the IETF and ICANN processes, and most have
> >   > deployed the key one-line software patches needed to fully enable
> these
> >   > addresses in OS's and routers.  Microsoft is the only major vendor
> >   > seemingly committed to never doing so.  Our project continues to
> track
> >   > progress in this area, and test and document compatability.
> >   >
> >   >   John
> >   >   IPv4 Unicast Extensions Project
> >
>


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-17 Thread Doug Barton
I don't want to glorify the idea of converting multicast space by 
commenting on it, however you're wrong in several particulars about the 
relationships around the IANA.


Most notably here is the issue that in relationship to what IP addresses 
can be handed out to who, and for what purpose, IANA is at the service 
of the IETF. At the end of the day the IP address registries are not 
that different from any of the other registries that IANA maintains on 
their behalf.


hope this helps,

Doug (Former IANA GM)


On 6/14/22 8:54 PM, b...@theworld.com wrote:


Just to put a little more flesh on that bone (having spent about a
decade going to ICANN conferences):

Although organized under ICANN, address allocation would generally be
the role of IANA which would assign address blocks to RIRs for
distribution.

It's a useful distinction because IANA and the RIRs act fairly
independently from the umbrella ICANN org unless there's some very
specific reason for, e.g., the ICANN board to interfere like some
notion that the allocation of these addresses would (literally)
threaten the stability and security of the internet, or similar.

Offhand (and following comments by people of competent jurisdiction) I
can't see why IANA or the RIRs would resist this idea in
principle. It's just more stock in trade for them, particularly the
RIRs.

Other than they (IANA, RIRs) wouldn't do this unless the IETF issued a
formal redeclaration of the use of these addresses.

Anyhow, that's roughly how the governance works in practice and has
for over 20 years.

So, I think the first major move would have to be the IETF issuing one
or more RFCs redefining the use of these addresses which would then
put them into the jurisdiction of IANA who could then issue them
(probably piecewise) to the RIRs.

On June 14, 2022 at 13:21 g...@toad.com (John Gilmore) wrote:
  > Dave Taht  wrote:
  > > > Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more
  > > > like "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?
  > >
  > > Like, working on better software...
  >
  > Like, deploying the other 300 million IPv4 addresses that are currently
  > lying around unused.  They remain formally unused due to three
  > interlocking supply chain problems: at IETF, ICANN, and vendors.  IETF's
  > is caused by a "we must force everyone to abandon trailing edge
  > technology" attitude.  ICANN's is because nobody is sure how to allocate
  > ~$15B worth of end-user value into a calcified IP address market
  > dominated by government-created regional monopolies doing allocation by
  > fiat.
  >
  > Vendors have leapfrogged the IETF and ICANN processes, and most have
  > deployed the key one-line software patches needed to fully enable these
  > addresses in OS's and routers.  Microsoft is the only major vendor
  > seemingly committed to never doing so.  Our project continues to track
  > progress in this area, and test and document compatability.
  >
  >  John
  >  IPv4 Unicast Extensions Project 



Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-17 Thread Saku Ytti
On Fri, 17 Jun 2022 at 15:39, Tom Beecher  wrote:

> Thank you for calling out the HMC point. I think that alone is worth retiring 
> the platforms that were built around it.
> The number of issues related the the HMC memory drivers were out of hand 
> early on, and lingered long past the growing pains phase.
> I’m sure in the big picture, supply chain / manufacturing constraints 
> accelerated this, but part of me is happy to see HMC based stuff go.

I can't pinpoint HMC as a bad solution, yes we've had our share of HMC
issues, but we've also on JNPR and some other vendors previously
replaced all linecards due to memory issues, before stacked DRAMs were
a thing, memories are notoriously fragile.
I can pinpoint HMC as a huge risk due to no manufacturer :).

The memory issues are exacerbated by needing to reload the whole
linecard when one memory has issues, JNPR has now delivered on newer
images fixes where you can reduce both the collateral damage and
downtime by reloading individual PFEs (and connected memories).

I do think HMC was a solid engineering choice, and I am a bit annoyed
that it lost to HBM instead of co-existing with little different
optimization points. But that doesn't excuse the situation.

-- 
  ++ytti


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-17 Thread Tom Beecher
Thank you for calling out the HMC point. I think that alone is worth
retiring the platforms that were built around it.

The number of issues related the the HMC memory drivers were out of hand
early on, and lingered long past the growing pains phase.

I’m sure in the big picture, supply chain / manufacturing constraints
accelerated this, but part of me is happy to see HMC based stuff go.


On Tue, Jun 14, 2022 at 12:05 Saku Ytti  wrote:

> On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 18:56, Raymond Burkholder 
> wrote:
>
> > Could you help me with HMC, BOM, YT?
>
> Hybrid Memory Cube, type of stacked DRAM, with shorter distance due to
> stack. HMC was early contender and for some applications superior, but
> HBM ended up winning the fight.
> YT is the latest Trio generation, if it is acronym, I have no idea
> what it is from. The EOL is about EA Trio, I believe that is from
> EAgle.
>
> > BOM means to me BillOfMaterials, but I'm not sure I have that correct.
>
> Correct.
>
>
> --
>   ++ytti
>


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Saku Ytti
On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 21:42, Eric Kuhnke  wrote:

> I think the more common solution for something like that would be to use one 
> 100GbE port as a trunk on a MX204 or MX304 to a directly adjacent 1U 48-port 
> SFP+ switch in a purely L2 role used as a port expander, with dwdm/bidi/other 
> unique types of SFP+ optics inserted in that.

It is disappointing that we are getting faceplates that are
exclusively cloud optimised, and service providers are scratching
their heads going 'how can i use this?'. But it may be that there
simply isn't a business case to build models with different faceplates
or to design yet another set of linecards.
Of course the fab doesn't charge different costs for different Trio,
we from cost POV, the chips always cost the ~same, if it's MX80 or
MX304 (except MX304 has up-to three of them). So there isn't any real
reason why you couldn't massively underutilize the chips and deliver
faceplates that are optimised for different use-cases. However, JNPR
does see ACX more for this role.

Now VLAN aggregation isn't without its problems:
   a) termination router must be able to do QoS under shaper, you need
to shape every VLAN to access rate and then QoS inside the shaper.
There are a lot of problems here, and even if the termination router
does support proper HQOS it may not support small enough burst values
that the access can handle.
   b) you lose link state information at termination, and you need to
either accept slower convergence (e.g. no BGP external fast fall over)
or investigate into CFM or BFD, where BFD would require active
participation from customer, which is usually not reasonable ask
   c) your pseudowire products will become worse, you may have MAC
learning (you might be able to turn it off) limiting MAC scale, you
will likely eat bunch of new frames which previously were passed, you
may be able to fix it with L2PT (rewrite MAC on L2 ingress, rewrite
MAC on L2 egress). And some things might become outright impossible,
for example paradise chipset will drop ISIS packets with VLAN headers
on the floor (technically impossible to have 802.3 and VLAN), so if
your termination is paradise, your pseudowire customers can't use
ISIS.
   d) most L2 devices have exceedingly small buffers and this solution
implies many=>one traffic flow, so you're going to have to understand
what amount of buffering you're going to need and how many ports you
can attach there
   e) provisioning and monitoring complexity, as you need to have
model where you decouple termination and access port, if you don't
already do this, it can be quite complicated to add, there are number
of complexities like how to associate these two ports for data
collection and rendering, where and how to draw vlans
   f) if you dual attach the L2 aggregation you can create loops due
to simple and complex reasons, termination may not have per-VLAN MAC
filter, so adding 1 pseudowire VLAN, may disable MAC filtering for
whole interface. And if you run default MAC/ARP timers (misconfig,
defaults are always wrong, ARP needs to be lower than MAC, but this is
universally not understood), primaryPE maybe send packets to L3
address which is in ARP, but not in MAC anymore (host down?), backupPE
will receive it due to lack of MAC filtering and will forward to
primaryPE, which will forward back to L2.

This was just what immediately occurred to me, I'm sure I could
remember more issues if I'd spent a bit more time thinking of it. L2
is hard, be it L2 LAN or L2 aggregation. And almost invariably
incorrectly configured, as L2 stuff apparently works usually
out-of-the-box, but is full of bees.

Now the common solution vendors offer to address many of these
problems is 'satellite', where the vendor takes HW and SW workarounds
to reduce the problems caused by VLAN aggregation. Unfortunately the
satellite story is as well regressing, Cisco doesn't have it for
Cisco8k, Juniper wants to kill Fusion.
Nokia and Huawei still seem to have love for provider faceplates.

-- 
  ++ytti


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread bzs


Just to put a little more flesh on that bone (having spent about a
decade going to ICANN conferences):

Although organized under ICANN, address allocation would generally be
the role of IANA which would assign address blocks to RIRs for
distribution.

It's a useful distinction because IANA and the RIRs act fairly
independently from the umbrella ICANN org unless there's some very
specific reason for, e.g., the ICANN board to interfere like some
notion that the allocation of these addresses would (literally)
threaten the stability and security of the internet, or similar.

Offhand (and following comments by people of competent jurisdiction) I
can't see why IANA or the RIRs would resist this idea in
principle. It's just more stock in trade for them, particularly the
RIRs.

Other than they (IANA, RIRs) wouldn't do this unless the IETF issued a
formal redeclaration of the use of these addresses.

Anyhow, that's roughly how the governance works in practice and has
for over 20 years.

So, I think the first major move would have to be the IETF issuing one
or more RFCs redefining the use of these addresses which would then
put them into the jurisdiction of IANA who could then issue them
(probably piecewise) to the RIRs.

On June 14, 2022 at 13:21 g...@toad.com (John Gilmore) wrote:
 > Dave Taht  wrote:
 > > > Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more
 > > > like "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?
 > > 
 > > Like, working on better software...
 > 
 > Like, deploying the other 300 million IPv4 addresses that are currently
 > lying around unused.  They remain formally unused due to three
 > interlocking supply chain problems: at IETF, ICANN, and vendors.  IETF's
 > is caused by a "we must force everyone to abandon trailing edge
 > technology" attitude.  ICANN's is because nobody is sure how to allocate
 > ~$15B worth of end-user value into a calcified IP address market
 > dominated by government-created regional monopolies doing allocation by
 > fiat.
 > 
 > Vendors have leapfrogged the IETF and ICANN processes, and most have
 > deployed the key one-line software patches needed to fully enable these
 > addresses in OS's and routers.  Microsoft is the only major vendor
 > seemingly committed to never doing so.  Our project continues to track
 > progress in this area, and test and document compatability.
 > 
 >  John
 >  IPv4 Unicast Extensions Project 

-- 
-Barry Shein

Software Tool & Die| b...@theworld.com | http://www.TheWorld.com
Purveyors to the Trade | Voice: +1 617-STD-WRLD   | 800-THE-WRLD
The World: Since 1989  | A Public Information Utility | *oo*


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Eric Kuhnke
When I last got pricing on the MX10003 in fall 2021, I was asked if I
wanted pricing on something with exclusively 100GbE interfaces or with
10GbE capability.

I got pricing for both options.

Putting SFP+ 10GbE ports in a router of that total
chassis+RE+linecard+support contract price is an *extremely* costly
proposition on a dollar per port basis.

Would recommend that anyone who thinks they need them to look at ways to
put the 10GbE ports in some other device and attach that to the router.


On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 14:09, Brian  wrote:

> From Juniper...
>
> "you are correct that there isn’t a native 10G SFP+ form factor offered
> with the 304.
>
>
>
> QSA adapters are qualified (say for example, Nvidia), and from there it
> can support native 10G Bidi, WDM, etc. The economics per-port, obviously,
> get a little expensive with this approach if a lot of native 10G is needed
> and breakout isn’t an option.
>
>
>
> Thanks!"
>
>
>
> Oh and also I just got the call, Juniper is forcing a Price Hike in July.
>
> On Tue, Jun 14, 2022 at 9:10 AM t...@pelican.org  wrote:
>
>> > The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a
>> > license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting
>> > themselves in the foot.
>>
>> Unless I'm missing a trick, the MX304 doesn't have an answer to
>> installing DWDM, bidi, or other fancy optics in the SPF+ ports on the
>> MX204.  QSFP+ breakout to 4 x 10G is supported, but only 4 x vanilla 1310
>> optics - you'll need an external OEO solution if you want fancy 10G options.
>>
>> It otherwise seems a nice box on paper, although substantially more
>> expensive than the MX204.
>>
>> Cheers,
>> Tim.
>>
>>
>>


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Brian
>From Juniper...

"you are correct that there isn’t a native 10G SFP+ form factor offered
with the 304.



QSA adapters are qualified (say for example, Nvidia), and from there it can
support native 10G Bidi, WDM, etc. The economics per-port, obviously, get a
little expensive with this approach if a lot of native 10G is needed and
breakout isn’t an option.



Thanks!"



Oh and also I just got the call, Juniper is forcing a Price Hike in July.

On Tue, Jun 14, 2022 at 9:10 AM t...@pelican.org  wrote:

> > The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a
> > license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting
> > themselves in the foot.
>
> Unless I'm missing a trick, the MX304 doesn't have an answer to installing
> DWDM, bidi, or other fancy optics in the SPF+ ports on the MX204.  QSFP+
> breakout to 4 x 10G is supported, but only 4 x vanilla 1310 optics - you'll
> need an external OEO solution if you want fancy 10G options.
>
> It otherwise seems a nice box on paper, although substantially more
> expensive than the MX204.
>
> Cheers,
> Tim.
>
>
>


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread John Gilmore
Matthew Petach  wrote:
> https://cacm.acm.org/news/257742-german-factory-fire-could-worsen-global-chip-shortage/fulltext
> 
> That was the *sole* supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines
> for every major chip manufacturer on the planet.
> 
> Chip shortages will only get worse for the next several years.  The light
> at the end of the tunnel is unfortunately *not* coming from an ultraviolet
> lithography machine.  :(

It's quite trendy (but inaccurate) to declare that everything sucks,
human life on the planet is ending, etc.  Matthew's last paragraph seems
to be one of those unduly dire conclusions, based on subsequent news
after January.  See:

  
https://www.asml.com/en/news/press-releases/2022/update-fire-incident-at-asml-berlin

  
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/19/asml-profit-beats-despite-berlin-fire-sees-20percent-sales-growth-in-2022-.html

Those with a detailed interest in the topic can speak directly with
Monique Mols, head of media relations at ASML.com, at +31 652 844 418,
or Ryan Young, US media relations manager, +1 480 205 8659.  Ryan
confirmed to me today that the latest news is in the above links: there
is expected to be no impact from the fire on ASML's extreme UV delivery
schedule.  He says they will provide a further update at their large
annual meeting in about a month.

John



Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread John Gilmore
Dave Taht  wrote:
> > Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more
> > like "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?
> 
> Like, working on better software...

Like, deploying the other 300 million IPv4 addresses that are currently
lying around unused.  They remain formally unused due to three
interlocking supply chain problems: at IETF, ICANN, and vendors.  IETF's
is caused by a "we must force everyone to abandon trailing edge
technology" attitude.  ICANN's is because nobody is sure how to allocate
~$15B worth of end-user value into a calcified IP address market
dominated by government-created regional monopolies doing allocation by
fiat.

Vendors have leapfrogged the IETF and ICANN processes, and most have
deployed the key one-line software patches needed to fully enable these
addresses in OS's and routers.  Microsoft is the only major vendor
seemingly committed to never doing so.  Our project continues to track
progress in this area, and test and document compatability.

John
IPv4 Unicast Extensions Project 


RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Tony Wicks
>For those who may have forgotten:

> 

>https://cacm.acm.org/news/257742-german-factory-fire-could-worsen-global-chip-shortage/fulltext

 

>That was the *sole* supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines for 
>every major chip manufacturer on the planet.

 

>Chip shortages will only get worse for the next several years.  The light at 
>the end of the tunnel is unfortunately *not* coming from an ultraviolet 
>lithography machine.  :(

 

 

>Matt

 

This video has a really good break down on the chip shortage as regards to 
everything that is not leading edge - 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJrOuBkYCMQ



Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Matthew Petach
On Tue, Jun 14, 2022 at 9:38 AM Adam Thompson 
wrote:

> [Not specific to the Juniper EoLs...]
>
> I sort of agree with Mark:
>
> I've been sampling a fairly wide variety of sources in various parts of
> the global supply chain, and my synthesis of what they're saying is that we
> probably won't *consistently* have the ready availability of "stuff" (both
> electronic and not) we had pre-pandemic, for the rest of my career
> (10-15yrs), and maybe not in the lifetimes of anyone reading this today,
> either.
>


For those who may have forgotten:

https://cacm.acm.org/news/257742-german-factory-fire-could-worsen-global-chip-shortage/fulltext

That was the *sole* supplier of extreme ultraviolet lithography machines
for every major chip manufacturer on the planet.

Chip shortages will only get worse for the next several years.  The light
at the end of the tunnel is unfortunately *not* coming from an ultraviolet
lithography machine.  :(

Matt


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Dave Taht
On Tue, Jun 14, 2022 at 9:44 AM Shawn L via NANOG  wrote:
>
> With the current shortages and lead times, I almost feel like I did back in 
> the beginning of my career ---
>
>
>
> Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more like  
> "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?

Like, working on better software...

>
>
> Shawn
>
> -Original Message-
> From: "Adam Thompson" 
> Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 12:36pm
> To: "Mark Tinka" , "nanog@nanog.org" 
> Subject: RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements
>
> [Not specific to the Juniper EoLs...]
>
> I sort of agree with Mark:
>
> I've been sampling a fairly wide variety of sources in various parts of the 
> global supply chain, and my synthesis of what they're saying is that we 
> probably won't *consistently* have the ready availability of "stuff" (both 
> electronic and not) we had pre-pandemic, for the rest of my career 
> (10-15yrs), and maybe not in the lifetimes of anyone reading this today, 
> either.
>
> Whether those sources are accurate, their interpretation is accurate, my 
> synthesis is accurate, whether I'm listening to the right people in the first 
> place... all debatable. I sure hope the above conclusion is wrong.
>
> One possible upside: it might slow down the incessant upgrade hamster-wheel 
> we're all running on? Imagine having enough time to do your job thoroughly 
> and properly... Yes, I know I'm dreaming :-).
>
>
> Adam Thompson
> Consultant, Infrastructure Services
> MERLIN
> 100 - 135 Innovation Drive
> Winnipeg, MB R3T 6A8
> (204) 977-6824 or 1-800-430-6404 (MB only)
> https://www.merlin.mb.ca
> Chat with me on Teams: athomp...@merlin.mb.ca
>
> > -Original Message-
> > From: NANOG  On Behalf
> > Of Mark Tinka
> > Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 11:19 AM
> > To: nanog@nanog.org
> > Subject: Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements
> >
> >
> >
> > On 6/14/22 18:06, JASON BOTHE via NANOG wrote:
> >
> > > Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing
> > despite ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this.
> >
> > All this will do is keep these boxes off the open market, which will
> > simply bump up open market prices, with no incentive for the majority
> > of
> > folk to buy directly from the OEM.
> >
> > I suspect supply chain will improve within the next 12 months, but
> > then
> > regress and hit a massive crunch from around Q4'23 onward. How long
> > for,
> > I can't say...
> >
> > Mark.



-- 
FQ World Domination pending: https://blog.cerowrt.org/post/state_of_fq_codel/
Dave Täht CEO, TekLibre, LLC


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Eric Kuhnke
I think the more common solution for something like that would be to use
one 100GbE port as a trunk on a MX204 or MX304 to a directly adjacent 1U
48-port SFP+ switch in a purely L2 role used as a port expander, with
dwdm/bidi/other unique types of SFP+ optics inserted in that.




On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 08:08, t...@pelican.org  wrote:

> > The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a
> > license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting
> > themselves in the foot.
>
> Unless I'm missing a trick, the MX304 doesn't have an answer to installing
> DWDM, bidi, or other fancy optics in the SPF+ ports on the MX204.  QSFP+
> breakout to 4 x 10G is supported, but only 4 x vanilla 1310 optics - you'll
> need an external OEO solution if you want fancy 10G options.
>
> It otherwise seems a nice box on paper, although substantially more
> expensive than the MX204.
>
> Cheers,
> Tim.
>
>
>


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Jared Mauch



> On Jun 14, 2022, at 12:42 PM, Shawn L via NANOG  wrote:
> 
> With the current shortages and lead times, I almost feel like I did back in 
> the beginning of my career --- 
>  
> Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more like  
> "What can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?

I’m definitely feeling a bit more of this - we are seeing quite a bit of 
mismatch as well in hardware where higher speeds are coming but without a firm 
consensus around optics.  At least for the 400G space it seems to be largely 
sorted, as DR, FR and LR are all interchangeable it’s largely that receiver 
sensitivity which comes into scope, and the LR8 being there, but unlikely to 
see a lot of volume over time.

Reminds me a lot of the DS3 vs OC3 vs gigE days of “what speed, how many”, but 
at least we have bundling figured out at this point.

- Jared





Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Martijn Schmidt via NANOG
ADVA recently launched a QSFP+ transceiver with bidi support on each of its 
4x10G breakout lanes: 
https://www.adva.com/en/newsroom/press-releases/20220308-adva-launches-new-bidi-pluggable-to-minimize-cost-and-latency-in-access-networks

As for 10G DWDM optics, it's not a very efficient way to use your ports, but 
you could hypothetically use a QSFP+ to SFP+ adapter like this one if you truly 
needed to run some in your MX304 chassis: 
https://www.flexoptix.net/en/transceiver/q-pct.html

Best regards,
Martijn


From: NANOG  on behalf of 
t...@pelican.org 
Sent: 14 June 2022 17:07
To: nanog@nanog.org 
Subject: RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

> The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a
> license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting
> themselves in the foot.

Unless I'm missing a trick, the MX304 doesn't have an answer to installing 
DWDM, bidi, or other fancy optics in the SPF+ ports on the MX204.  QSFP+ 
breakout to 4 x 10G is supported, but only 4 x vanilla 1310 optics - you'll 
need an external OEO solution if you want fancy 10G options.

It otherwise seems a nice box on paper, although substantially more expensive 
than the MX204.

Cheers,
Tim.




RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Shawn L via NANOG

With the current shortages and lead times, I almost feel like I did back in the 
beginning of my career --- 
 
Then it was "what can we do with what we can afford" now it's more like  "What 
can we do with what we have (or can actually get)"?
 
Shawn

-Original Message-
From: "Adam Thompson" 
Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 12:36pm
To: "Mark Tinka" , "nanog@nanog.org" 
Subject: RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements



[Not specific to the Juniper EoLs...]

I sort of agree with Mark:

I've been sampling a fairly wide variety of sources in various parts of the 
global supply chain, and my synthesis of what they're saying is that we 
probably won't *consistently* have the ready availability of "stuff" (both 
electronic and not) we had pre-pandemic, for the rest of my career (10-15yrs), 
and maybe not in the lifetimes of anyone reading this today, either.

Whether those sources are accurate, their interpretation is accurate, my 
synthesis is accurate, whether I'm listening to the right people in the first 
place... all debatable. I sure hope the above conclusion is wrong.

One possible upside: it might slow down the incessant upgrade hamster-wheel 
we're all running on? Imagine having enough time to do your job thoroughly and 
properly... Yes, I know I'm dreaming :-).


Adam Thompson
Consultant, Infrastructure Services
MERLIN
100 - 135 Innovation Drive
Winnipeg, MB R3T 6A8
(204) 977-6824 or 1-800-430-6404 (MB only)
https://www.merlin.mb.ca
Chat with me on Teams: athomp...@merlin.mb.ca

> -Original Message-
> From: NANOG  On Behalf
> Of Mark Tinka
> Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 11:19 AM
> To: nanog@nanog.org
> Subject: Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements
> 
> 
> 
> On 6/14/22 18:06, JASON BOTHE via NANOG wrote:
> 
> > Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing
> despite ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this.
> 
> All this will do is keep these boxes off the open market, which will
> simply bump up open market prices, with no incentive for the majority
> of
> folk to buy directly from the OEM.
> 
> I suspect supply chain will improve within the next 12 months, but
> then
> regress and hit a massive crunch from around Q4'23 onward. How long
> for,
> I can't say...
> 
> Mark.

RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Adam Thompson
[Not specific to the Juniper EoLs...]

I sort of agree with Mark:

I've been sampling a fairly wide variety of sources in various parts of the 
global supply chain, and my synthesis of what they're saying is that we 
probably won't *consistently* have the ready availability of "stuff" (both 
electronic and not) we had pre-pandemic, for the rest of my career (10-15yrs), 
and maybe not in the lifetimes of anyone reading this today, either.

Whether those sources are accurate, their interpretation is accurate, my 
synthesis is accurate, whether I'm listening to the right people in the first 
place... all debatable.  I sure hope the above conclusion is wrong.

One possible upside: it might slow down the incessant upgrade hamster-wheel 
we're all running on?  Imagine having enough time to do your job thoroughly and 
properly...  Yes, I know I'm dreaming :-).


Adam Thompson
Consultant, Infrastructure Services
MERLIN
100 - 135 Innovation Drive
Winnipeg, MB R3T 6A8
(204) 977-6824 or 1-800-430-6404 (MB only)
https://www.merlin.mb.ca
Chat with me on Teams: athomp...@merlin.mb.ca

> -Original Message-
> From: NANOG  On Behalf
> Of Mark Tinka
> Sent: Tuesday, June 14, 2022 11:19 AM
> To: nanog@nanog.org
> Subject: Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements
> 
> 
> 
> On 6/14/22 18:06, JASON BOTHE via NANOG wrote:
> 
> > Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing
> despite ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this.
> 
> All this will do is keep these boxes off the open market, which will
> simply bump up open market prices, with no incentive for the majority
> of
> folk to buy directly from the OEM.
> 
> I suspect supply chain will improve within the next 12 months, but
> then
> regress and hit a massive crunch from around Q4'23 onward. How long
> for,
> I can't say...
> 
> Mark.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Saku Ytti
This is not covid issue, these parts were EOLd before anyone knew what
covid is.

I don't know yet exactly what went wrong, and may not ever know as
that information may not be available to even many at JNPR.

On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 19:10, JASON BOTHE via NANOG  wrote:
>
> Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing despite 
> ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this.
>
> > On Jun 14, 2022, at 11:53, Raymond Burkholder  wrote:
> >
> > On 2022-06-14 09:46, Saku Ytti wrote:
> >> These EOLd are HMC devices, Micron EOLd HMC back in 2018, no one else made 
> >> them.
> >> MX304 is a very different device than MX80, MX104, MX204. Previously
> >> these were single chip very BOM optimised devices. MX304 has YT on
> >> each card, which also means half of the YT capacity is spent on
> >> fabric. Whereas MX80, MX104 connect ports on fabric and wan side,
> >> getting 200% bps compared to fabric model.
> >> Of course BOM isn't a meaningful contributor to what customers generally 
> >> pay.
> > Holy acronym soup batman!
> >
> > Could you help me with HMC, BOM, YT?
> >
> > BOM means to me BillOfMaterials, but I'm not sure I have that correct.



-- 
  ++ytti


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Mark Tinka




On 6/14/22 18:06, JASON BOTHE via NANOG wrote:


Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing despite 
ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this.


All this will do is keep these boxes off the open market, which will 
simply bump up open market prices, with no incentive for the majority of 
folk to buy directly from the OEM.


I suspect supply chain will improve within the next 12 months, but then 
regress and hit a massive crunch from around Q4'23 onward. How long for, 
I can't say...


Mark.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread JASON BOTHE via NANOG
Saw this coming a mile away. With chips and technology progressing despite 
ability to manufacture, I’m certain many are going to do this. 

> On Jun 14, 2022, at 11:53, Raymond Burkholder  wrote:
> 
> On 2022-06-14 09:46, Saku Ytti wrote:
>> These EOLd are HMC devices, Micron EOLd HMC back in 2018, no one else made 
>> them.
>> MX304 is a very different device than MX80, MX104, MX204. Previously
>> these were single chip very BOM optimised devices. MX304 has YT on
>> each card, which also means half of the YT capacity is spent on
>> fabric. Whereas MX80, MX104 connect ports on fabric and wan side,
>> getting 200% bps compared to fabric model.
>> Of course BOM isn't a meaningful contributor to what customers generally pay.
> Holy acronym soup batman!
> 
> Could you help me with HMC, BOM, YT?
> 
> BOM means to me BillOfMaterials, but I'm not sure I have that correct.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Saku Ytti
On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 18:56, Raymond Burkholder  wrote:

> Could you help me with HMC, BOM, YT?

Hybrid Memory Cube, type of stacked DRAM, with shorter distance due to
stack. HMC was early contender and for some applications superior, but
HBM ended up winning the fight.
YT is the latest Trio generation, if it is acronym, I have no idea
what it is from. The EOL is about EA Trio, I believe that is from
EAgle.

> BOM means to me BillOfMaterials, but I'm not sure I have that correct.

Correct.


-- 
  ++ytti


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Raymond Burkholder

On 2022-06-14 09:46, Saku Ytti wrote:
These EOLd are HMC devices, Micron EOLd HMC back in 2018, no one else 
made them.

MX304 is a very different device than MX80, MX104, MX204. Previously
these were single chip very BOM optimised devices. MX304 has YT on
each card, which also means half of the YT capacity is spent on
fabric. Whereas MX80, MX104 connect ports on fabric and wan side,
getting 200% bps compared to fabric model.
Of course BOM isn't a meaningful contributor to what customers generally pay.

Holy acronym soup batman!

Could you help me with HMC, BOM, YT?

BOM means to me BillOfMaterials, but I'm not sure I have that correct.


Re: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Saku Ytti
On Tue, 14 Jun 2022 at 16:44, Mark Tinka  wrote:

> This chip shortage issue is, I think, being used as a crutch to take the p*ss.

These EOLd are HMC devices, Micron EOLd HMC back in 2018, no one else made them.

MX304 is a very different device than MX80, MX104, MX204. Previously
these were single chip very BOM optimised devices. MX304 has YT on
each card, which also means half of the YT capacity is spent on
fabric. Whereas MX80, MX104 connect ports on fabric and wan side,
getting 200% bps compared to fabric model.
Of course BOM isn't a meaningful contributor to what customers generally pay.

-- 
  ++ytti


RE: Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread t...@pelican.org
> The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a
> license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting
> themselves in the foot.

Unless I'm missing a trick, the MX304 doesn't have an answer to installing 
DWDM, bidi, or other fancy optics in the SPF+ ports on the MX204.  QSFP+ 
breakout to 4 x 10G is supported, but only 4 x vanilla 1310 optics - you'll 
need an external OEO solution if you want fancy 10G options.

It otherwise seems a nice box on paper, although substantially more expensive 
than the MX204.

Cheers,
Tim.




Serious Juniper Hardware EoL Announcements

2022-06-14 Thread Mark Tinka
So Juniper have gone ahead and announced the EoL of some key devices 
that, IMHO, are nowhere near past their prime:


    - MX204 (to be replaced by the MX304)
    - MX10003 (to be replaced by the MX304)
    - PTX1000 (to be replaced by the PTX10001)

Re: the PTX1000, I know it is a component issue that Juniper have 
mentioned is the reason for EoL'ing this. We bought a fair bit in the 
past 2 years, and technically, there is nothing wrong with them. We are 
going ahead with the PTX10001 as a replacement, because it works 
technically and otherwise.


Having both the MX10003 and MX304 in the same portfolio did not make any 
sense to me, and I did challenge Juniper on this over the past several 
weeks as to what their strategy for both platforms is. I guess we now 
have an answer :-\. Pity - we started buying the MX10003 last year, but 
I have no problem with the MX304 as long as the price continues to work.


The MX204 is pure shocker! Unless the MX304 will come with a 
license-based approach to run at MX204 pricing, that is Juniper shooting 
themselves in the foot.


This chip shortage issue is, I think, being used as a crutch to take the 
p*ss.


Mark.