Re: ruminating about attendance in Canada

2007-02-28 Thread Martin Hannigan


> > The data shows random based on time of year vs. avg
> > temperature vs. attendees.
> 
> Given that the data didn't include any information about average  
> temperature, I'm not sure that's accurate :-)

Oh, sorry! Acquired from NOAA and Environment Canada. It's quite
accurate. 

> Merit's presentation  
> at community meetings continues to include the full breakdown. 

Nope. But good post with the attendance numbers. It gives
us the ability to estimate revenue and use the expense number
whole to estimate profit or loss. 


-M<


Re: ruminating about attendance in Canada

2007-02-28 Thread Joe Abley


On 28-Feb-2007, at 14:03, Martin Hannigan wrote:


As far as raw numbers go, expecting a dip in cold climates is
an error.


I'm not sure what you mean. Who expects a dip in cold climates?


The data shows random based on time of year vs. avg
temperature vs. attendees.


Given that the data didn't include any information about average  
temperature, I'm not sure that's accurate :-)



I noticed that the transaction status on attendee list was removed.
Was that mentioned in the SC record or Community Meeting? That allowed
us, the community, to somewhat reverse engineer ~finances and
helped identify a fare jumper.


I don't believe it was mentioned in either of those places, and I  
didn't even notice that the columns had changed. Merit's presentation  
at community meetings continues to include the full breakdown. I  
imagine it's just something that disappeared as part of the  
introduction of the new registration system, but someone from Merit  
could confirm.



Joe




Re: ruminating about attendance in Canada

2007-02-28 Thread Martin Hannigan
> 
> 
> On 26-Feb-2007, at 17:39, Jared Mauch wrote:
> 

[ snip ]

> 
> We expect (empirically) a dip in the winter meetings, which I think  
> is illustrated by the numbers above (with Toronto and Salt Lake City  
> as outliers). The theory that is most frequently put forward to  
> explain the winter dip is the proximity to Christmas.
 
As far as raw numbers go, expecting a dip in cold climates is 
an error. The data shows random based on time of year vs. avg
temperature vs. attendees.

I think it's Agenda. 

Baseline

Average attendance: 452
Average Temp: 57F
Average Expected Revenue: $610,290 (YR) (raised fees)
Avg. No-Pay: ($67,500) (YR)

I noticed that the transaction status on attendee list was removed.
Was that mentioned in the SC record or Community Meeting? That allowed
us, the community, to somewhat reverse engineer ~finances and 
helped identify a fare jumper.

-M<



-M<


ruminating about attendance in Canada

2007-02-26 Thread Joe Abley


On 26-Feb-2007, at 17:39, Jared Mauch wrote:


On Tue, Feb 27, 2007 at 07:21:31AM +0900, Randy Bush wrote:
I don't know how many people that attended NANOG in Toronto had  
to go

through the "international travel approval" that some of us had to.


probably not the canadians.

this is NAnog, not USnog, so that's just gonna be a fact of life.


sure.


perhaps we saw a huge attendance dip at Toronto


the opposite


even for non-canada source?  i'm sure we saw .ca spike, but did
we see .us dip?


Here are some numbers from past meetings (gathered unscientifically  
by counting the number of names in the attendee list for each meeting):


NANOG 39 (Toronto) 429
NANOG 38 (St Louis) 393
NANOG 37 (San Jose) 431

NANOG 36 (Dallas) 340
NANOG 35 (Los Angeles) 517
NANOG 34 (Seattle) 460

NANOG 33 (Las Vegas) 408
NANOG 32 (Reston) 599
NANOG 31 (San Francisco) 586

NANOG 30 (Miami) 391
NANOG 29 (Chicago) 532
NANOG 28 (Salt Lake City) 277

NANOG 27 (Phoenix) 388
NANOG 26 (Eugene) 511
NANOG 25 (Richmond Hill) 519

We expect (empirically) a dip in the winter meetings, which I think  
is illustrated by the numbers above (with Toronto and Salt Lake City  
as outliers). The theory that is most frequently put forward to  
explain the winter dip is the proximity to Christmas.


I don't know how many locals were present in Toronto, but I seem to  
remember we had about 140 people registered who had never been to a  
NANOG meeting before. If we assume that most of those were local, and  
subtract that kind of number from 429 we see a fairly typical-looking  
dip, or at least a dip that doesn't look so different to other years  
to suppose there was some kind of US boycott of snow going on.



Joe