[nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread jon baer
from techdirt:

-snip-
Glenn Fleishman is looking at the numbers and figures that T-Mobile is
bringing in approximately $13/day per hotspot they're running. Not
particularly overwhelming - especially when their "daypass" rates are
$10/day. As Glenn points out, they're a long way from making WiFi pay.
Meanwhile, Schlotzsky's continues to talk about how much more business
they're doing thanks to free WiFi. Which seems like the better business
model to you?
-snip-

http://wifinetnews.com/archives/003136.html

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[nycwireless] Asus preps WiFi harddrive ...

2004-03-26 Thread jon baer
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/69/36534.html

-snip-
Asus is promising to "change your perception on data storage" when it
releases what may be the world's first Wi-Fi enabled network-attached hard
drive storage system.
-snip-

i personally wish they made these dirt dirt cheap, im sure it could be
possible with a VIA board but the form factor would be cludgy @ best ...

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RE: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread Nigel Ballard
They may bring in $13 a day, but how much goes out? 

Take an average T-1 monthly cost of $480 and divide it by 31 and you get an
recurring outgoing cost of one single component at $15 a day.

Add staff, marketing, the kickback to Starbucks, IBM Global Services,
Insurance, marketing etc.  It starts to look like a very ugly business
model.

The sooner Starbucks buys out the network from T-Mobile and gives away free
access to anyone with a Starbucks Coffee Club card, the better.

Cheers Nigel

Nigel Ballard
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.joejava.com

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of jon baer
Sent: Friday, March 26, 2004 7:43 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

from techdirt:

-snip-
Glenn Fleishman is looking at the numbers and figures that T-Mobile is
bringing in approximately $13/day per hotspot they're running. Not
particularly overwhelming - especially when their "daypass" rates are
$10/day. As Glenn points out, they're a long way from making WiFi pay.
Meanwhile, Schlotzsky's continues to talk about how much more business
they're doing thanks to free WiFi. Which seems like the better business
model to you?
-snip-

http://wifinetnews.com/archives/003136.html

pgp key: http://www.jonbaer.net/jonbaer.asc
fingerprint: F438 A47E C45E 8B27 F68C 1F9B 41DB DB8B 9A0C AF47

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Re: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread jon baer
> Take an average T-1 monthly cost of $480 and divide it by 31 and you get
an
> recurring outgoing cost of one single component at $15 a day.

Is it really *that* cheap these days?  I always thought the figure for a T-1
was around $700+ ... I think your analysis is right on, when you figure a
DSL is $60 @ a mere $2 or less per day you only need to sell ONE cup of
coffee and its paid for ... and if you figure the average caffeinated freak
drinks @ least 3 cups :-)

I say free WiFi and a roaming guy with a tip jar can go a long way 

- Jon

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RE: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread Nigel Ballard
Jon

I took a low national corporate rate to give them the benefit of the doubt.

I can get you a one-off T-1 in downtown Portland for $530, but in Montana it
might run you $900.  I'm assuming T-Mobile cut killer deals on their T-1's.

Cheers Nigel

Nigel Ballard
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.joejava.com

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of jon baer
Sent: Friday, March 26, 2004 8:05 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

> Take an average T-1 monthly cost of $480 and divide it by 31 and you 
> get
an
> recurring outgoing cost of one single component at $15 a day.

Is it really *that* cheap these days?  I always thought the figure for a T-1
was around $700+ ... I think your analysis is right on, when you figure a
DSL is $60 @ a mere $2 or less per day you only need to sell ONE cup of
coffee and its paid for ... and if you figure the average caffeinated freak
drinks @ least 3 cups :-)

I say free WiFi and a roaming guy with a tip jar can go a long way 

- Jon

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[nycwireless] Fwd: Strangled telecom: how a "natural monopoly" stays that way

2004-03-26 Thread Joe Plotkin
Date: Thu, 25 Mar 2004 09:32:24 -0500
From: Andy Oram <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Strangled telecom: how a "natural monopoly" stays that way
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/wlg/4616

   Strangled telecom: how a "natural monopoly" stays that way

   Andy Oram

   URL: http://news.com.com/2100-1037_3-5178640.html

   Few will make the connection. But yesterday's news about a Supreme
   Court ruling on municipal phone networks represents another knot in
   the noose tightening around the neck of new and innovative
   communications technologies. Twenty years from now, as we're all
   complaining about the lack of viable and affordable high-speed
   communications--just as people were complaining twenty years ago, and
   as we are complaining now--we'll hardly remember the quiet gurgling
   noise made by the promise of innovation as it got slowly strangled to
   death. And unless we learn the tricks of the dominant monopolies, we
   will pass through death after death.
The first finger on the throat: Section 251 undermined

   What constitutes competition? The landmark Telecom Act of 1996 was the
   communications update to Nikolai Bukharin's call on Russian peasants:
   "Enrich yourselves." Here, the long-distance, local, and cable
   companies were supposed to invade each other's turf and vastly expand
   communications offerings for the public. But the 1996 act left scant
   opportunity for new, small providers. It did open a chink in the armor
   of monopoly through the well-known Section 251, which required
   incumbent phone companies to open their networks to competition in a
   variety of ways. But the Bell companies made sure that part of the law
   would subsequently be rendered toothless.
   The major extraction was performed by Michael Powell's FCC on August
   21, 2003, when it heeded Bell company claims that the requirement to
   support competition was holding back their own deployment of
   high-speed connections. The FCC cleverly worked around the spirit (in
   my opinion) of Section 251 by separating phone networks into the old
   and the new. On the old ones--which support ADSL at best--competition
   would be required as specified in the Telecom Act. On new
   ones--especially those built on fiber--the Bells would not have to
   allow competition.
   Well, maybe the gutting of Section 251 was inevitable; a lot of
   observers figured it would be. The Bells were so effective at making
   life impossible for competitors that it would have taken years of
   sympathetic courts (which, as we will see, are not anxious to play
   that role) to force a competitive environment. The hundred little ways
   Bells undermine the law have been documented in lawsuits and FCC
   documents, as summarized in my article [80]Bell Telephone Companies'
   Applications to Enter Long-Distance Market.
   Furthermore, the Bells made sure over and over, year after year, to
   get their well-funded congressional backers to introduce bills that
   would weaken Section 251. The FCC knew it was under tremendous
   political pressure to give the Bells some relief, and since Powell's
   sincere ideological bent lay in that direction anyway, Section 251 had
   to give.
The pressure increases: competitive charges overturned

   But the FCC has been consistent about promoting competition in one
   manner: by setting low rates for the lease or sale of incumbent
   telephone companies' lines and equipment. The FCC figured that most of
   this stuff had been laid down ages ago and had paid for itself many
   times over; it was about time to share the wealth with competitors who
   might make better use of it. (I will look at the implications of sunk
   investments later in the article.) So the FCC tried to set prices
   based not on what it cost to install the equipment, but on how much it
   could earn in the future--in other words, to treat the incumbents on
   the same level as the competitors.
   The Bells found that a pretty hard vampire to kill, but it looks like
   they've finally sunk the silver stake in place. The matter has gone
   back and forth in the courts for years, but the tide has turned
   against the FCC. Whatever the merits of the courts' rulings, the
   effect is to cut off innovation and sacrifice the public interest in
   favor of the Bells' monopoly status.
Sliding up the other side of the neck: municipal networks constrained

   If it is effectively impossible to offer service over existing phone
   equipment, new equipment must be laid down. And that requires a major
   economic player; Mom-and-Pop ISPs are not the ones to drive this
   revolution. Enter, then, the municipal governments.
   Cities around the country, alarmed by the loss of jobs and population
   and understanding that only a modern telecommunications infrastructure
   offers the hope of survival, have become so frustrated by the refusal
   of existing phone companies to build advanced networks that they've
  

Re: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread Jim Thompson
Bet on it.

The cost of the *average* T1 at Wayport (including the channelized DS3s 
where they terminated) was $230.

T-mobile is a carrier.  I assure you their per-mile rate on T1s is 
quite low, and they have (real) co-lo with the Bells.

Any IXC probably runs on fiber that they own or lease, so those charges 
are nearly $0.

I'd guess they're making money, actually.

jim

On Mar 26, 2004, at 8:08 AM, Nigel Ballard wrote:

Jon

I took a low national corporate rate to give them the benefit of the 
doubt.

I can get you a one-off T-1 in downtown Portland for $530, but in 
Montana it
might run you $900.  I'm assuming T-Mobile cut killer deals on their 
T-1's.

Cheers Nigel

Nigel Ballard
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.joejava.com
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of jon 
baer
Sent: Friday, March 26, 2004 8:05 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

Take an average T-1 monthly cost of $480 and divide it by 31 and you
get
an
recurring outgoing cost of one single component at $15 a day.
Is it really *that* cheap these days?  I always thought the figure for 
a T-1
was around $700+ ... I think your analysis is right on, when you 
figure a
DSL is $60 @ a mere $2 or less per day you only need to sell ONE cup of
coffee and its paid for ... and if you figure the average caffeinated 
freak
drinks @ least 3 cups :-)

I say free WiFi and a roaming guy with a tip jar can go a long way 

- Jon

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Re: [nycwireless] T-Mobile brings in $13 bucks a day

2004-03-26 Thread Jim Thompson
T1s are composed of two "tail circuits", and an Inter-office (IX/IXC) 
portion.

You're never going to eliminate the tail circuit from the CO out to the 
location (Starbucks), unless the building where the Starbucks is 
located is "on-net", of course.  We'll call that unlikely for now.

If you're a large carrier, you will likely bring your own bandwidth 
into the CO(s) near the cell towers you operate.  If you're a large 
nation-wide carrier, then you likely have cell towers near where the 
demographics that support a Starf*cks are located.  Thus, you likely 
have bandwidth into the CO.  e.g. you're co-located.

Once you've got your own bandwidth there (basically paid for by the 
voice biz) the T1s out to the local Starf*cks cost almost exactly 
nothing (call it $90/mo for a tail circuit in a major metro area.

The most expensive tail circuit I bought at Wayport was about $300.  It 
went to Key West, Fla from Miami.   There is no available copper in Key 
West, thus the "high" rate.

And Wayport wasn't big enough to be able to afford colo with the LEC.  
We were discussing it with WCOM at one point.  (Wayport's network is 
hosted on Level3's colo sites, (and mostly Level3 intra-site bandwidth 
too.))

And we still had an average T1 cost of < $250.

Just because your ISP charges you $700/mo doesn't mean thats what they 
pay.

Now, consider what happens if T-Mobile decides to locate a Pico-cell on 
top of (or in) all of those *f*cks...  You already have a T1 worth of 
bandwidth going out, which, given GSM CODEC rates, is nearly 100 
simultaneous calls.

The other thing that makes larger hotspot operations go the T1 route is 
that you can a) order them in-bulk, with one email/fax/phone call, to 
literally 100s of locations and b) they're available *anywhere*.   Try 
getting xDSL to j-random-hotspot.   Repeat 100 times.  Now repeat 1000 
times.

Further, lets say that T-mobile does spend $1000 or even $3000 per 
hotspot, and that they have 2000 locations up and running.  Thats $6MM, 
which is a lot to a start-up, but nearly meaningless to a company the 
size of T-Mobile.

So lets pretend that T-Mobile does pay $600/mo per T1:  $1.2MM/mo

The ad campaign with Zeta-Jones costs more than that.

Hell, its likely that WiFi is a loss-leader for T-Mobile, an attempt to 
reduce subscriber 'churn', since T-Mobile/Voicestream at least used-to 
have the highest churn rate of almost any carrier.   Do you know what 
subscriber acquisition costs are like for a cell phone carrier?

None of this means I'm a "fan" of for-pay Wifi, btw.

Jim



On Mar 26, 2004, at 1:18 PM, Glenn Fleishman wrote:

Jim Thompson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> on 3/26/04 at 1:10 PM wrote:

The cost of the *average* T1 at Wayport (including the channelized 
DS3s
where they terminated) was $230.

T-mobile is a carrier.  I assure you their per-mile rate on T1s is
quite low, and they have (real) co-lo with the Bells.
Any IXC probably runs on fiber that they own or lease, so those 
charges
are nearly $0.

I'd guess they're making money, actually.
I think I need more detail to understand this. T-Mobile is co-located 
at all of the central offices run by the RBOCs? In which case, they 
must still be paying a per-mile fee and other fees to use copper off 
the co-lo since these Starbucks are generally not going to be near 
fiber loops that I'm aware of.

--
Glenn Fleishman, Unsolicited Pundit: read my work at http://glennf.com
Senior editor of JiWire, your guide to Wi-Fi -  http://www.jiwire.com/
Macintosh columnist, The Seattle Times  http://seattletimes.com/ptech/
Contributing editor, News, InfoWorld magazine http://www.infoworld.com
Contributing editor, TidBITS, -the- Mac newsletter  http://tidbits.com
Read daily wireless networking industry news at http://wifinetnews.com
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