[PEN-L:11897] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

1997-08-19 Thread Max B. Sawicky

 Date:  Tue, 19 Aug 1997 16:19:40 -0700 (PDT)
 Reply-to:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 From:  [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Tom Walker)
 Subject:   [PEN-L:11893] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

 ulterior motivation of bureaucrats, politicians or voters. In other words,
 bureaucrats may sincerely believe it is better *public policy* to fail
 conventionally, not merely a career expedient. ;-)

Obviously the probabilities of success have 
everything to do with the relative merits of 
going by convention or otherwise.  By definition, 
convention would connote that which is more 
reliable, hence bureaucratic rationality follows 
for the slogan cited.

The penalty side is also worth mentioning.
The penalty for failing unconventionally would be 
higher than failing conventionally.  (e.g., "You 
tried WHAT?!?")

I worked in the Federal bureaucracy for
a few years and the biggest secret I have to 
impart is that bureaucrats act entirely 
at the behest of elected officials.  
Every nook and cranny of the bureaucracy 
has a patron somewhere; otherwise it wouldn't be 
there.  If you don't obey your patron, you're 
toast.  Your only defense is information you 
have and they don't, but there is always 
some traitor among your peers willing to
give you up, so information isn't that useful 
either.  Hence *insofar* as voters get the 
politicians they deserve, they get the 
bureaucracy they deserve too.  All of which 
doesn't seem without merit from a democratic 
standpoint.

MBS

==
Max B. Sawicky   Economic Policy Institute
[EMAIL PROTECTED] Suite 1200
202-775-8810 (voice) 1660 L Street, NW
202-775-0819 (fax)   Washington, DC  20036

Opinions here do not necessarily represent the
views of anyone associated with the Economic
Policy Institute.
===






[PEN-L:11896] Mouthpiece For Dishonest-Minded Forces

1997-08-19 Thread Shawgi A. Tell

  This message is in MIME format.  The first part should be readable text,
  while the remaining parts are likely unreadable without MIME-aware tools.
  Send mail to [EMAIL PROTECTED] for more info.

--3838311F752F


Pyongyang, August 18 (KCNA) -- William Taylor, vice-director of the
U.S Centre for Strategic and International Studies, showed himself up
here and there and said that north Korea is an unreliable regime and
that any actions favourable for north Korea should not be done. Not
content with this, he prattled that north Korea will collapse if the
United States does not offer "assistance" to it. The ridiculous
remarks made by him who turned his back on the political trend of the
international community are an expression of his ignorance. We cannot
but expose the true intention of his opposition to the "four-way
talks" hailed by the world and his square attack on the Korea policy
of the U.S. Administration. As all know, he visited the DPRK four
times in the period from 1991 to 1994, calling for the promotion of
understanding and the improvement of relations between the DPRK and
the United States. In the course of this, he expressed full sympathy
with the DPRK's will and stand to liquidate the abnormal relations
with the U.S. Including the nuclear issue on the Korean Peninsula and
even promised to do a lot of things for the improvement of the
DPRK-U.S. relations. At that time, he was a scholar with principle and
reasonable judgement. We do not think he made empty talk in order to
line his own pocket. His current argument is just like that of the
U.S. ultra-right forces and the south Korean puppets. It is obvious
that he sold out his faith and principle as a scholar for some pennies
given by them. The person, who styled himself a member of the think
tank of the United States, turned out to be an idiot duped by dollars.
That is why he does not sense the trend of the international community
toward detente and confidence-building, the influence of the
improvement of the DPRK-U.S. relations on world peace and stability
and the invincibility and bright political future of our society.
Taylor's political future is poor. He must realise his gloomy future
and no longer resort to the anti-DPRK campaign.

KCNA

Shawgi Tell
Graduate School of Education
University at Buffalo
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


--3838311F752F--






[PEN-L:11895] Economics History

1997-08-19 Thread anzalone/starbird

Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 16:26:50 -0700
To:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
From:[EMAIL PROTECTED] (anzalone/starbird)
Subject:Economics  History

Two labor studies courses: Economics and California Labor History are
offered Monday night at 4th and Mission. They are at room 318 and 319
respectively. Worth 3 units each the courses run each Monday night from 7
pm - 9:45 until December 15th.

Both courses are transferable, and the Economics course satisfies a core
requirement for a degree in Labor Studies.

Currently both courses are underenrolled and will be closed if they do not
attract four more students by Monday August 25th. If they do not make
their enrollment cuota, the administration could wittle the six units out
of the Labor studies program indefinately; making that much less education
available for working class scholars and rank and file activists. Please
help if you can! If you have always thought you would take a class
someday, make it Monday.

Financial aid and scholarships are available, please show up if you can
enroll. If you are even mildly interested call: (415) 267-6550 and speak
to Bill Shields.








[PEN-L:11894] Southern California Multipliers

1997-08-19 Thread Laurence Shute

Does anyone know where I can find multipliers for California or Southern
California?  AE multipliers, export multipliers, etc.
Is this BEA stuff?  or does the Anderson School have that?  Many thanks.
Larry Shute
--
Laurence Shute  Voice: 909-869-38500
Department of Economics FAX:   909-869-6987
California State Polytechnic University, Pomona
3801 West Temple Avenue
Pomona, CA  91768-4070   USAe-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]  
---






[PEN-L:11892] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

1997-08-19 Thread Tom Walker

Max Sawicky wrote,

Yeah but every theory abstracts from something.  Whether
it's important or not is another way of saying whether you
dig the theory.  (I've started rereading the Beats.)

I can dig that.

A virtue of utilitarianism is that in its specificity it is more 
compelling than utter fuzziness, the edge of which you
are skirting here.

Maybe it's just my fetish for fuzzy-edged skirts showing. I agree that the
specificity of utilitarianism may make it more "compelling" than utter
fuzziness. What is at stake in Ellsberg's Paradox, however, is precisely
what the rules are for specifying utility (under some, not all, conditions).
If those rules are demonstrably wrong or incomplete then the admittedly
compelling specificity of utilitarianism may be arbitrary. On the other
hand, if we can specify the fuzziness (ambiguous information states), then
the fuzziness may indeed turn out to be less "fuzzy" than the misplaced
specificity of presumably unfuzzy utilitarianism. Or as Ellsberg put it:

"(1) Certain information states can be meaningfully identified as highly
ambiguous;
 (2) in these states, many reasonable people tend to violate the Savage
axioms with respect to certain choices;
 (3) their behavior is deliberate and not readily reversed upon reflection;
 (4) certain patterns of 'violating' behavior can be distinguished and
described in terms of a specified decision rule."

Can you dig it?

Regards, 

Tom Walker
^^^
knoW Ware Communications
Vancouver, B.C., CANADA
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
(604) 688-8296 
^^^
The TimeWork Web: HTTP://WWW.VCN.BC.CA/TIMEWORK/






[PEN-L:11891] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

1997-08-19 Thread Max B. Sawicky

 From:  [EMAIL PROTECTED] (Tom Walker)
 Subject:   [PEN-L:11887] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

 I doubt that public choice right-wingers would have much use for Ellsberg's
 Paradox. If anything, the paradox presents an indictment against any kind of
 reductivism. As I understand "public choice", it is founded on one set of
 reductivist principles, in opposition to another set of reductivist principles. 

Public choice applies neo-classical welfare theory to the behavior 
of public officials and collective decision-making processes.

 The problem is not with the scale on which decisions are made but with the
 nature of the decisions -- "utility" abstracts from some difficult to define
 considerations in certain kinds of decision making. Thus Ellsberg contrasts

Yeah but every theory abstracts from something.  Whether
it's important or not is another way of saying whether you
dig the theory.  (I've started rereading the Beats.)

 the decision situations in which his paradox prevails to those involved with
 familiar production processes or well-known random events (such as coin
 flipping). Aren't the right-wingers arguing -- in contrast to Ellsberg --
 that there really is "no difference" between, say, personal consumption
 choices and public policy choices so that the market is an adequate model
 for either?

No, I don't think that's right.  First of all, public goods are 
different than private goods, and secondly collective decision-making 
is different from individual decision-making.  The real application
of the 'market' analogy lies in individual utility maximization, not
in fantasizing the existence of organized markets.  There is 
discussion of a market for political ideas or policies, but clearly 
the variety of electoral and other non-market processes are distinct 
from markets with buyers and sellers of non-public goods.

 I would venture to say that "ambiguity" arises often around ethical issues,
 so that any effort to repackage them in terms of "efficiency" is doomed on
 grounds of both ethics and efficiency. The solution is not to distribute the
 ethical choices and hope that millions of atomized, private *utilitarian*
 decisions will somehow add up to an ethical collective choice (or, at least,
 a choice "exempt" from criticism on ethical grounds). The privatization of
 welfare as voluntary charity and the kind of welfare reform that is promoted
 as "workfare" are two examples of suppressing the public ethical dimensions
 of issues in the name of a chimerical private ethics. By contrast, the

Right, though this last is not necessarily implied by N-C or public 
choice theory, which allow for collective expressions of empathy or 
altruism.

A virtue of utilitarianism is that in its specificity it is more 
compelling than utter fuzziness, the edge of which you
are skirting here.

 ethical dimensions of the Vietnam war were suppressed in the name of an
 overriding (and ultimately venal) "national interest". What is needed
 instead is the foregrounding of the ethical dimensions of public issues and
 a spirited, informed public discussion around precisely those dimensions --
 what used to be known as "democracy".

Sounds good, maybe too good.

MBS



===
Max B. SawickyEconomic Policy Institute
[EMAIL PROTECTED]  1660 L Street, NW
202-775-8810 (voice)  Ste. 1200
202-775-0819 (fax)Washington, DC  20036
http://epn.org/sawicky

Opinions above do not necessarily reflect the views
of anyone associated with the Economic Policy
Institute other than this writer.
===






[PEN-L:11889] FW: Daily Report

1997-08-19 Thread Richardson_D

BLS DAILY REPORT, MONDAY, AUGUST 18, 1997:

In a comparison of nine industrial economies, only Germany and Japan had
greater increases in manufacturing productivity than the United States
in 1996, BLS reports.  "U.S. productivity growth in 1996 resulted from a
combination of a 2.7 percent increase in output and a 0.5 percent
decline in labor input, as measured by hours worked," BLS said (Daily
Labor Report, page D-1).

The Washington Post's "Odd Jobs" feature (August 17, page H5) carries a
Reuters item describing a study by two university economists that
indicates employers are turning down many black applicants for jobs in
sales and related occupations where they would have to deal with
predominantly white customers. According to BLS data, black workers make
up 10.7 percent of the labor force but only 7.9 percent of those
employed in sales jobs.  Moreover, said BLS economist Tom Hale, blacks
tend to be "overrepresented" in the lowest-paying sales jobs.  For
example, 16.6 percent of whites in sales work as cashiers, compared with
38 percent of blacks.  A typical white salesperson earns $652 per week;
a black salesperson $417 per week, BLS figures showed.  

Negotiators for both sides say they are making process in their marathon
talks to resolve the Teamsters strike against United Parcel Service.  At
the same time, as the strike enters its third week today, both sides are
sending out signals that they are preparing to turn on the heat if a
settlement isn't reached soon (The Wall Street Journal, page A3).

The Wall Street Journal's "Tracking the Economy" feature (page A4) says
that initial jobless claims for the week of August 16, to be released
Thursday, are expected to reach 325,000, according to the Technical Data
Consensus Forecast.  Initial jobless claims totaled an actual 316,000
the previous week.













[PEN-L:11888] Why the UPS Win Matters

1997-08-19 Thread Nathan Newman



 Why the Victory at UPS Matters

-- Nathan Newman

With last night's labor contract deal between UPS and the Teamsters agreed
to, it appears that the Teamsters have scored a massive win against
corporate America.  Along with keeping control of their pension fund and
winning increases for retirees, the Teamsters have won what appears to be
a nearly 40% increase in wages for the average part-time worker and the
creation of over 10,000 new full-time positions.  In a time when many
unions have had to fight to the death for modest gains or to just hold
onto what they already have, this unprecendented gain for UPS workers is
an inspiring win for UPS workers.

But it is more than that.  It was won with massive public support and the
full backing of the AFL-CIO and, in its meaning for the future of labor
and the progressive movement, it will likely be remembered as a crucial
turning point for an upswing in activism and success.

Why is the win at UPS so important?

Start with the settlement itself.  In a time when pensions are
disappearing or companies are turning pensions into corporate piggybanks,
the Teamsters have reaffirmed the principle of strong, worker-controlled
pensions that are portable between jobs within an industry.  In a time
when part-time work is a tool for disempowering workers, the Teamsters
have struck the first successful collective assault against corporation's
abusive use of part-time work.  In a time when average wages have fallen
for twenty years,  the Teamsters have won an unprecedented increase in
wages.

In all of this, they have signalled that lowered wages and benefits are
not an "inevitable" aspect of the global economy but a result, at least
partly, of corporate power and that such corporate power can be resisted
and even defeated through collective action backed by a unified labor and
community alliance.  In a world where the message has been that the only
way to avoid being screwed was to cut your own deal, scam your own
individual training, fight for your own raise as others fell behind, the
UPS deal is now there as a shining example that a whole workforce can rise
together and see improvement in working conditions achieved through their
own collective strength.

Let's be clear.  Everyone loves a winner and labor in now a winner through
this action.  The credibility of labor struggle as a method to fighting
corporate power has been relegitimized.  The fact that this struggle
served lower-income and part-time workers has also relegitimized labor as
a champion not just of elite manufacturing workers, pilots and baseball
players (a recent media image) but of ordinary workers who everyone can
easily identify with.  The faces of the strikers were often mothers
deciding whether they could afford Fruit Loops on their strike pay and
everyone will be cheering that that mother or other struggling families
will now have a pay increase and a shot at converting two or three
part-time jobs into a solid full-time job at UPS.

It is an image of labor that can be taken to workplaces and communities
across the country by organizers saying, you could be that mother or that
father improving your lot if you will only stand up with your fellow
workers and form a union.  You can win and you can gain.  That is a
message we have needed, especially after years of failed strikes in
Deacateur, Detroit and earlier Hormel and PATCO.  The UPS win is the new
meaning of a revitalzed labor movement that will fight together for
victory,  With 55% of the population siding with the UPS strikers, it
signals a new opportunity for labor to marshall public support and
sympathy not just as the underdogs but as effective champions to challenge
corporate power.

Which is where the strike win gets its other significance, which is in the
internal meaning for Labor.

Start with Carey as leader of the Teamsters.  As a rank-and-file leader,
Carey had fought for decades against a corrupt Teamster leadership that
signed go-along contracts that created the two-tier wage and part-time
labor system at UPS in the first place.  It was only the struggle for
rank-and-file democracy within the Teamsters (led by left activists in
Teamsters for a Democratic Union) that eventually catapulted Carey into
leadership when the opportunity came in 1991.  Against the odds and
against internal corruption and the mob, Ron Carey and his TDU allies
wrested back control of the largest private sector union in the country.

With the federal government overseers draining money from the union as a
terrific rate, Carey had to expend other resources cleaning up corrupt
locals and dealing with the vestigal resistance of old-line locals living
off the fat of members dues.  Carey sold off the private jets and slashed
his own salary but out of the struggle to reform the union, the Teamsters
had emerged seemingly hobbled with an empty 

[PEN-L:11884] Why they won: Random Thoughts on UPS

1997-08-19 Thread Michael Perelman

I think that we might take a few moments to consider why and how UPS
won.  So far, some of the obvious factors were:

1. The drivers had made a good impression on the public before the
strike.  The Wall Street Journal had an article a couple of years ago,
describing the drivers as sex symbols to emphasize the auroa of the UPS
people.

2. So they had public support.

3. How much of the public support comes from people being fed up with
corporate abuses?

4. Given the importance of the personal relationship, hiring replacement
workers would be trickier.

5. UPS had a tenuous hold on a virtual monopoly, making them more
vulnerable to a strike.

6. How much of the public could identify with a Chicano strawberry
picker.

7. I live in a semi-rural environment, but I have never seen an
obviously "ethnic" UPS driver.  The ones that I know are very clean, cut
white middle class people.

8. The Teamsters had a lot of baggage to shed.  The press never seemed
to try to label them with thuggishness.  Why was the media not more
negative toward UPS, especially since some of the workers are relatively
well off?
--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 916-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]






[PEN-L:11880] Dissident Organizers in the Teamsters Union

1997-08-19 Thread Louis Proyect

Steve Kindred climbed onto a Greyhound bus in the Cleveland depot on a
dreary April morning in 1975 with five pounds of Spanish peanuts, three
pounds of raisins, and a list of Teamster activists in his pack. He had a
ticket in his pocket entitling him to travel wherever Greyhound went for
the next twenty-one days for the bargain price of $89.

Kindred was on an excursion to recruit warehouse workers and over-the-road
drivers, covered by the National Master Freight Agreement, for an ad hoc
organization being formed to give the rank and file a voice in formulating
demands in the next nationwide contract. The 1973 agreement had been a
second-rate contract.

The thirty-one-year-old Kindred, a product of the student antiwar movement
in Chicago, had become a Teamster member, in the process combining his need
to make a living and his idealist drive to transform American society into
something better for the working class...

Kindred's first stop was Columbus, just a couple of hours from Cleveland.
He had telephoned ahead arranging to meet a warehouse worker, a PROD
member, at the bus station. In a routine that was to be repeated time and
again as he wandered through the Midwest into the South and Southwest, out
to California and back across the country to Cleveland again, moving
through the bus depots of twenty-two cities in the process, Kindred sat
down to wait for his appointment. He passed the time reading, making a few
notes in his journal, munching on peanuts and raisins, and drinking coffee.
He had a couple of hours to wait.

The warehouse worker suggested a sandwich when he arrived, an offer seized
upon by Kindred, anticipating correctly that his Columbus host would pick
up the tab. As a PROD member, the warehouse worker was well aware that
dissident organizers like Kindred traveled with light wallets.

The thirty-one-year-old Kindred betrayed his college education and
background as a Methodist preacher's son in his speech and his aura of
gentleness, but having been a taxi driver and a truck driver in Chicago and
Cleveland, he had earned the right to be discussing their union in a seedy
lunchroom in Columbus, Ohio.

Kindred laid out his background, knowing that the red-baiters in the
Teamster establishment would be doing it, anyhow. He told his new
acquaintance that he was a member of a small group called the International
Socialists, a tag that could frighten, enrage, or be passed off as
understandable. Kindred reminded his hosts that in 1970, Bill Presser and
Frank Fitzsimmons had called the wildcat strikers in Cleveland Communists
when they marched in defiance of Presser's orders to return to work. The
wildcat strikes, which spread across the country, had ended after three
months with the proposed three-year-wage hike of $1.10 an hour boosted to
$1.85 over thirty-nine months to bring peace to the trucking industry.

Kindred continued: "I don't have to tell you the 1973 contract was a
disaster." He told the warehouse worker that Teamsters from five cities had
gotten together to organize a rank-and-file agenda for the upcoming 1976
national trucking negotiations. He asked the warehouse worker for his
ideas: what he would want to see in the next master freight agreement. Then
Kindred explained that he had been picked for his mission because he was
laid off and available. His goal was to recruit as many rank and filers as
possible to come to a meeting their group would be holding in Chicago on
August 16. The idea was to influence the national negotiations by reaching
a consensus on realistic demands, not a wish list. They were calling
themselves Teamsters for A Decent Contract (TDC).

(From chapter two of "Collision: How the Rank and File Took Back the
Teamsters", Kenneth C. Crowe, Scribner, 1993. The chapter deals with the
creation of Teamsters for a Democratic Union, which was instrumental in the
election of Ron Carey, the current president.)

Louis Proyect







[PEN-L:11879] urpe update

1997-08-19 Thread susan fleck

hello all.

for those of you going to the union for radical political economics summer
conference, remember to bring your directions.  directions can be found
on the urpe homepage-
http://economics.csusb.edu/orgs/URPE

remember to bring bedding, flashlight, bathing suit, and some rain clothes
just in case it rains!! (cross our fingers that it doesn't).

i'm not on the pen-l list right now, so if you have questions, please
write to me at [EMAIL PROTECTED]

susan fleck






[PEN-L:11881] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

1997-08-19 Thread Nathan Newman


On Mon, 18 Aug 1997, Max B. Sawicky wrote:

  If risk is seen as a friend and an equal opportunity for entrepreneurship,
  then inequality becomes just a reward system for those willing to take the
  risks that drive wealth creation.   .  .  .
 
 This is interesting but perhaps a little too ingenious to 
 attribute to popular debate.  There is an individualist
 ideology which holds that people choose their risks
 and ought then to take the consequences of their
 choices, just as they are entitled to the rewards of
 a fortuitous choice.  If your point is that the way this
 is viewed is politically important, I agree.  It's a little
 more mundane than what I would think of as risk
 theory, however.

I am not sure it is separate.  In the last twenty years, we have seen
usury laws repealed and a whole range of high-risk financial forms
legalized based on expanded ideas of what risk can be managed safely --
the key point of much of Bernstein's conclusion.  That idea that
speculation is really just intelligent risk-taking which can be rewarded
at usurous levels has permeated culture and created at least part of the
reverse sentiment that those who do not risk deserve their poverty.

My point in bringing up the psychological studies that Bernstein details
is that even as he documents why risk became legitimized, he also explores
why risk-taking is a more problematic endeavor for those without capital
in the first place.  Even when risk appears equivalent for rich and poor,
he details why the poor will end up avoiding it.  

Our culture has massively absorbed the first lessons of risk management
over the twenty years but hasn't even begun to link it to this second
aspect.  The Left may condemn the casino society but we haven't developed
a full language to deal with the differential effects of risk for the rich
versus the poor.  This isn't necessarily a deep theoretical issue, but
then many basic insights of risk management are not that hard to describe,
just not always intuitive until you do the math or studies.

  both equitable.  In the broadest speculations of socialist theory, have
  market socialists grappled with that balance?
 
 The market socialists devolve to welfare statism in this 
 circumstance, which is perfectly well-taken in the context of that 
 system.  I would say you have to be a rather extreme leveller to
 argue against any scope for voluntary individual risk-taking, with 
 its attendant rewards and losses, but I don't doubt that the more 
 left among us would take exception since in their vision capital
 is more-or-less completely socialized.

In some ways, the more interesting aspects of risk management are in the
Grameen Bank and community banks around the US.  Many of them socialize
risk across multiple individuals, creating collective support to avoid
both the fear of complete individual risktaking by the poor and create
collective responsibility for loans.In those lending practices, there
is direct acknowledgement that risk is too hard for individuals at that
level of poverty, so some kind of collective support is required.

This doesn't erase risk but collectivizes it in interesting ways, an
important model for any form of market socialism that might have
collective entrepreneurship by small enterprises or work groups.

--Nathan Newman






[PEN-L:11883] Re: From the Ivory tower

1997-08-19 Thread Wojtek Sokolowski

At 01:58 PM 8/15/97 -0700, Jim Craven wrote:

In other words, building Socialism in those countries--and elsewhere--
especially in the context of ongoing and very hostile imperialist 
encirclement, dealing with the legacies of the past, tyring to build 
a future and trying to balance myriad contradictions, contending 
interests, hatreds etc to preserve some kind of unity was/is no easy 
matter.

I think that state socialist governments in Cuba, China, and Eastern Europe
did a rather good job in overcoming thier countries backwardness 
underdevelopment created by the capitalist world system.  I would even say
that state socialism is probably THE best thing that ever happened in those
parts of the world.  But "rather good job" does not mean a "perfect job."
In fact, there are areas wehere state socialist government should receive
failing grades.  

The recognition of women's right and the environmental protection are two
such issue that immediately come to mind.  While its true that patriarchy
was a legacy of the past, it is also true that these goverenments did not
work as hard (to say the least) as they did in other areas (such as land
reform, or eradication of capitalist private property) to overcome the
legacy of the past.

In fact, many argue that the paternalistic social policies confined women to
the role of incubators -- for example the whole notion of a 'socialist
family" was a patriarchal one: man as the breadwinner, woman as a care
taker, and those role were generally written into social policies, eg.
favouring families over single parents (almost always women) in providing
assistance, did not allowing men to take paternity leaves; and -- most
importantly-  the strict seggregation of the labour market by gender.  For
example, several studies of the Polish labour market revealed that gender
was the major factor accounting for pay ineqa;ities -- its effects being
larger (in terms of mean differences) that those of education, industry or
supervisiory position.  The studies of social mobility reveal a similar
picture, women were essentially downward mobile; Poland was particularly bad
in that respect, worse than her neighbours -- not to mention the United States. 

The same patriarchal attitued wre also manifested regarding anything that
had to do with sex. The informal sex industry for foreign visitors (not to
mention governmwent and party offcials) was generally tolerated (if not
quietly supported) by the authorities; according to reports I heard from
Cuba, that is the attitude of the government there.  At the same time, any
public dispaly of anything that smacked of overt sexuality was prohibited.
Not to mention the blatant discrimination of gays.

So the bottom line is this: you cannot bl;ame the failure of state socialism
in the area social policy on the past backwardness. That policy was itself
backward -- born from a liaison of puritannical social work and
paternalistic factory regimes introduced in the 19th century.

cheers,
wojtek sokolowski 
institute for policy studies
johns hopkins university
baltimore, md 21218
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
voice: (410) 516-4056
fax:   (410) 516-8233

POLITICS IS THE SHADOW CAST ON SOCIETY BY BIG BUSINESS. AND AS LONG AS THIS
IS SO, THE ATTENUATI0N OF THE SHADOW WILL NOT CHANGE THE SUBSTANCE.
- John Dewey







[PEN-L:11887] Re: Risk and Unequal Opportunity under cap

1997-08-19 Thread Tom Walker

Nathan Newman wrote,

Bernstein did highlight Ellsberg's work as a pioneer in risk theory but
you gave a better summary than he did, since he quickly moved onto others.  

Have any of the public choice rightwingers or other game theorists working
around government decision-making used Ellsberg in their work?

It's interesting to hear that my two sentence summary of Ellsberg's work
surpasses Bernstein's discussion of it. I'll have to have a look at his
book. There is one mention of Ellsberg by a couple of B-school decision
theorists that I don't have the citation for. I should qualify that it's
been seven or eight years since I scoured the citations indexes for
references to Ellsberg, so if there has been anything recent, I'm not aware
of it. 

I doubt that public choice right-wingers would have much use for Ellsberg's
Paradox. If anything, the paradox presents an indictment against any kind of
reductivism. As I understand "public choice", it is founded on one set of
reductivist principles, in opposition to another set of reductivist principles. 

The problem is not with the scale on which decisions are made but with the
nature of the decisions -- "utility" abstracts from some difficult to define
considerations in certain kinds of decision making. Thus Ellsberg contrasts
the decision situations in which his paradox prevails to those involved with
familiar production processes or well-known random events (such as coin
flipping). Aren't the right-wingers arguing -- in contrast to Ellsberg --
that there really is "no difference" between, say, personal consumption
choices and public policy choices so that the market is an adequate model
for either?

I would venture to say that "ambiguity" arises often around ethical issues,
so that any effort to repackage them in terms of "efficiency" is doomed on
grounds of both ethics and efficiency. The solution is not to distribute the
ethical choices and hope that millions of atomized, private *utilitarian*
decisions will somehow add up to an ethical collective choice (or, at least,
a choice "exempt" from criticism on ethical grounds). The privatization of
welfare as voluntary charity and the kind of welfare reform that is promoted
as "workfare" are two examples of suppressing the public ethical dimensions
of issues in the name of a chimerical private ethics. By contrast, the
ethical dimensions of the Vietnam war were suppressed in the name of an
overriding (and ultimately venal) "national interest". What is needed
instead is the foregrounding of the ethical dimensions of public issues and
a spirited, informed public discussion around precisely those dimensions --
what used to be known as "democracy".


Regards, 

Tom Walker
^^^
knoW Ware Communications
Vancouver, B.C., CANADA
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
(604) 688-8296 
^^^
The TimeWork Web: HTTP://WWW.VCN.BC.CA/TIMEWORK/






[PEN-L:11890] FW: Daily Report

1997-08-19 Thread Richardson_D

BLS DAILY REPORT, TUESDAY, AUGUST 19, 1997

A tentative agreement was reached late Monday in the 15-day-old strike
by the Teamsters against United Parcel Service, both the company and the
union said.  UPS workers could return to their jobs as early as
Wednesday, said a union spokesperson.  Voting on the new deal will be
conducted by mail, and will take  up to a month.  Details of the deal
were not available, but one negotiator said that it was a 5-year
contract that increases the base wage for part-timers but does not
include a contentious pension proposal made by the company.  Negotiators
were spurred on by Labor Secretary Alexis Herman, who pressured them
back to the table when talks broke off.  She also sat in on some of the
80 hours of negotiations that took place almost non-stop since Thursday
(The Washington Post, page 1; The New York Times, page 1).

Average hourly earnings 1994 to the present from the BLS Current
Employment Statistics program are shown in a page 1 graph from The Wall
Street Journal.

The Federal Open Market Committee is expected to announce its decision
on whether or not the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at 2:15
p.m. ET today, according to USA Today (page B1).  The roller-coaster
stock market gives the Fed one more reason to leave interest rates
unchanged, says the Gannett newspaper.__John M. Berry, writing in The
Washington Post (page C1), says policymakers give no sign of alarm on
inflation.