Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-28 Thread Chris Burford

At 11:27 25/05/00 -0400, you wrote:
>  For those who are curious, I have a recently published
>paper on these issues.
>"Aspects of dialectics and non-linear dynamics," _Cambridge
>Journal of Economics_, May 2000, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 311-324.
>  It is also available on my website without the figures at
>http://cob.jmu.edu/rosserjb.
>Barkley Rosser

Congratulations on getting published in this journal.

This is an important area of left political economy. I will copy the 
abstract and then comment on extracts.


>   Abstract
>
>  Three principles of dialectical analysis are examined in terms of 
> nonlinear dynamics models.  The three principles are the transformation 
> of quantity into quality, the interpenetration of opposites, and the 
> negation of the negation.  The first two of these especially are 
> interpreted within the frameworks of catastrophe, chaos, and emergent 
> dynamics complexity theoretic models, with the concept of bifurcation 
> playing a central role.  Problems with this viewpoint are also discussed.



>I. Introduction
>  Among the deepest problems in political economy is that of the 
> qualitative transformation of economic systems from one mode to 
> another.  A long tradition, based on Marx, argues that this can be 
> explained by a materialist interpretation of the dialectical method of 
> analysis as developed by Hegel.  Although Marx can be argued to have been 
> the first clear and rigorous mathematical economist (Mirowski, 1986), 
> this aspect of his analysis generally eschewed mathematics.  Indeed some 
> (Georgescu-Roegen, 1971) argue that the dialectical method is in deep 
> conflict with arithmomorphism, or a precisely quantitative mathematical 
> approach, that its very essence involves the unavoidable invocation of a 
> penumbral fuzziness that defies and defeats using most forms of 
> mathematics in political economy.

Do you know the book by Moshe Machover which was the first to analyse 
Marx's economic theories with probalistic maths?

The Laws of Chaos, A Probabilistic Approach to Political Economy
by Emmanuel Farjoun and Moshe Machover
VVerso Editions London. ISBN 086091 768 1

Machover is a very reasonable marxist, and has an e-mail address. The only 
qualification is that the publishers chose the title for him rather than 
himself and he is not interested in chaos theory. The exercise stands on 
its ground as a probabilistic working of a marxian political economy.


>  However, this paper will argue that nonlinear dynamics offers a way 
> in which a mathematical analogue to certain aspects of the dialectical 
> approach can be modelled, in particular, that of the difficult problem of 
> qualitative transformation alluded to above.


>  In particular, we shall discuss certain elements of catastrophe 
> theory, chaos theory, and complex emergent dynamics theory models that 
> allow for a mathematical modelling of quantitative change leading to 
> qualitative change, one of the widely claimed foundational concepts of 
> the dialectical approach, and a key to its analysis of systemic political 
> economic transformation.

>   In most linear models, continuous changes in inputs do not lead to 
> discontinuous changes in outputs, which will be our mathematical 
> interpretation of the famous quantitative change leading to qualitative 
> change formulation.


>   Part II of this paper briefly reviews basic dialectical 
> concepts.  Part III discusses how catastrophe theory can imply 
> dialectical results.  Part IV considers chaos theory from a dialectical 
> perspective.  Part V examines some emergent complexity concepts along 
> similar lines, culminating in a broader synthesis.  Part VI will present 
> conclusions.



>II. Basic Dialectical Concepts
>  In a famous formulation, Engels (1940, p. 26) identifies the laws of 
> dialectics as being reducible to three basic concepts: 1) the 
> transformation of quantity into quality and vice versa, 2) the 
> interpenetration of opposites, and 3) the negation of the negation, 
> although Engels's approach differs from that of many others on many grounds

<>

>  For both Marx and Engels (1848), the first of these was the central 
> key to the change from one mode of production to another, their 
> historical materialist approach seeing history unfolding in qualitatively 
> distinct stages such as ancient slavery, feudalism, and 
> capitalism.  Engels (1954, p. 67) would later identify this with Hegel's 
> (1842, p. 217) example of the boiling or freezing of water at specific 
> temperatures, qualitative (discontinuous) leaps arising from quantitative 
> (continuous) changes.  In modern physics this is a phase transition and 
> can be analyzed using spin glass or other complexity type models (Kac, 
> 1968).  In modern evolutionary theory this idea has shown up in the 
> concept of punctuated equilibria (Eldredge and Gould, 1972), which Mokyr 
> (1990) and Rosser (1991, 

Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-29 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Chris,
  Thank you for the very thoughtful (and sympathetic, :-))
response.  There is much here, but I'll try to respond to more
controversial or unclear points.
  I am acquainted with the Farjoun and Machover book
and cited it in my 1991 book (volume I, second edn. due out
from Kluwer on June 9, latest word).  I note that they use the
word "chaos" in a more general way to mean what most
would label "stochastic."
  My knowledge of German is insufficient to comment
seriously on your remarks regarding English versus German.
However, this has a certain plausibility and would explain a
lot of confusion that has transpired.
 The issue of the excluded middle is one that was a major
hassle in terms of getting this paper published in the CJE.
It went through several different revisions and rewrites and a
great deal of fighting went on with some referees over it.  One
of the upshots was that some ideas I thought interesting were
removed eventually.  Some of these had to do with the excluded
middle issue where I had an extended discussion about
intuitionistic mathematics and constructivism.  But one referee,
a philosopher I think, just had purple cows over this stuff and
demanded its removal, which eventually happened.  It was a
fight to even keep any mention of the excluded middle issue
in the paper at all.
 With respect to Engels on continuous bio evolution versus
discontinuous human evolution, see pp. 18-19 of the Dialectics
of Nature.  A key line: p. 18 "Animals also have a history,
that of their derivation and gradual evolution to their present
position."   He then goes on to discuss the contrast with humans
who consciously come to control their history and create large
changes out of small actions, among other things.
Ilya Prigogine was born in Russia, but has lived in Belgium
for a long time.  The pronunciation of his name has changed
over time as a result.  Today it is "Prigozheen."  He was not at
the Denmark conference, but several of his top henchmen were,
led by the redoubtable Ioannis Antoniou.  They are doing some
very interesting things.  I had some long discussions with
Hermann Haken, the founder of the Stuttgart synergetics school, probably the
most impressive intellect at the conference.
 The question of the relation of the Austrians, and Hayek
in particular to all of this, is a controversial one, both among
Austrians and more generally.  Sciabarra and Lavoie and now
Karen Vaughn all argue that Hayek in particular was an early
devotee of complexity theory in a sophisticated manner.  Others
are more skeptical, such as Peter Boettke.  I note that an editor
of a well-known journal I recently published a paper on complexity in wanted
me to remove references to Hayek, but I was able to convince
him otherwise.  This was not an issue for the Cambridge journal.  I note
that Hayek was in contact personally with Haken, who rather
liked him, and also had contacts with the Prigogine group in Brussels, with
whom his relations were more, um, "complex."  Sciabarra,
of course, argues that Hayek was a dialectician, although his
views on this matter are notably controversial.
  Thanks again for the friendly remarks.  I was not surprised that
there was difficulty in getting this paper published.  I was rejected
by 13 publishers for my 1991 book, that is now coming out in
three volumes for the second edition, :-).
Barkley Rosser
http://cob.jmu.edu/rosserjb
-Original Message-
From: Chris Burford <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Sunday, May 28, 2000 7:14 AM
Subject: [PEN-L:19691] Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics


>At 11:27 25/05/00 -0400, you wrote:
>>  For those who are curious, I have a recently published
>>paper on these issues.
>>"Aspects of dialectics and non-linear dynamics," _Cambridge
>>Journal of Economics_, May 2000, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 311-324.
>>  It is also available on my website without the figures at
>>http://cob.jmu.edu/rosserjb.
>>Barkley Rosser
>
>Congratulations on getting published in this journal.
>
>This is an important area of left political economy. I will copy the
>abstract and then comment on extracts.
>
>
>>   Abstract
>>
>>  Three principles of dialectical analysis are examined in terms of
>> nonlinear dynamics models.  The three principles are the transformation
>> of quantity into quality, the interpenetration of opposites, and the
>> negation of the negation.  The first two of these especially are
>> interpreted within the frameworks of catastrophe, chaos, and emergent
>> dynamics complexity theoretic models, with the concept of bifurcation
>> playing a central role.  Problems with this viewpoint are also discussed.
>
>
>
>>I. Introduction
>>  Among the d

Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-28 Thread Rob Schaap

Wow, Chris!  Huge effort!  I'm gonna have to read this thing again (and read
Barkley's piece, too, when I've the time and ashtray for the job) - but
LOVED the stuff about language (I guess I'd have realised it if I ever
thought about it, but I wasn't about to do that).  Anyway, one quibble:

>Interestingly it says the ideas are most compatible with those of Hayek and

>the other "Austrian" economists. Even more interestingly it suggests the 
>best way for a country to survive in these inherently turbulent economic 
>conditions, is to be highly flexible (a clear right-wing agenda) 

I reckon you're needlessly buying into the currently fashionable notion of
flexibility here, mate.  Government and bureaucracy (and the latter is of
course not specific to the public sector, however much Mises might contort
reality and the species being he shared) are necessary for the Austrians
because they had respect for the stubborness and profundity of
externalities.  A weak and under-funded government does not have the
wherewithal to do something about whatever's currently outside the category
of economic goods, and therefore cannot do what the Austrians say it's for. 
Lots of stuff that matters is in this category, and markets can't do a thing
about 'em.  Ergo, a flexible society is one with significant capacity for
coordinated agency outside the realm of commodity exchange.  This is
especially true if the hole you're in is precisely because of the domination
of exchange (say, a capital market crash, ultimately -but conceivably
quickly - followed by sufficient a downturn in production and distribution
of necessary stuff to put said society at risk from famine, disease, and
[gasp] malcontents), I'd've thought.  To rely exclusively on one mechanism
of social reproduction is to stand by impotently when that (demonstrably
bottleneck-prone) mechanism hits a bottleneck, doncha think?  Especially
when that mechanism has no overall direction or intent, and cares not an
Australian dollar for the short-run or the human.

>but to invest in the skills and health of the work force (less right-wing).


Unless they're about socialising costs in the quest for more reliable and
sustainable extraction of surplus value overall (which is more the sort of
thing we might stress as government's main raison d'etre).  The ambiguity of
that is playing out at the moment in Australia, where the government just
doesn't seem to know how much to cripple our public health and education
systems.

Yours avoiding marking essays,
Rob.




Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-28 Thread M A Jones

Chris, I got you wrong. From this post, I learned much, and I am not joking.
All these years I tried to conceptualise the world in terms of forests, a
handy analogue for space/time continua. You showed  a better way.


Here in England for example we have Epping Forest. This is a
small woody area in North London full of things like Queen
Elizabeth I's hunting lodge, pubs selling Thai food amid
Ye Olde settings, with Great Oak swings in the garden which
demented kids who hate to be torn from  their playstations
try to demolish, etc.

In Germany OTOH they have the Black Forest. It is bigger,
enough even for people to feel OK wearing lederhosen in.

In Russia, it is all the opposite way round, as you'd
expect being a cognescento of Russian philosophy: there they have
these simply ginormous forests all over the place, interspersed with
small beleaguered settlements of melancholic drunken Russians
pretending this is part of Europe and lying amid the meadows
while trying to speculate about the  nature of the cosmos beyond the
treetops.

 In the Black Forest, Wandervogel wander and think about knightly
tasks. After a very long while they get lost and the problem then is to work
out where the fuck they are. This is why Germans have so many parts of
speech related to 'here' type questions.

In Epping it's all 'now' type questions.

Here in Epping, people decide to try Nature on Sunday afternoons. Mostly
they hope to avoid each other, and to avoid deranged geese in the meres,
crashed world war two warplanes complete with handlebar-moustached
corpses of English heroic fighter pilots with skulls locked in a grinning
rictus which seems to shout 'Tally-Ho!' at one, etc, before staggering
back to the hypo and condom-littered carpark where they must decide
time-questions like is there enough time for a swift half, enough time
to catch the tube before closing time, etc.  and then they rush to consult
the timetables and work out that only a frenzied jog will get them to Epping
tube station before the last train which has any hope of conveying
them to the West End, civilisation etc.

Meanwhile, in Russia the melancholics continue to stand motionless
at bus stops where buses never stop, pointing three fingers at
their necks (Barkley knows why). These woody metaphors were how I
circumnavigated around philosophy. Barkley + his very clever Russian wife
found a way of sublating the problems of space, time, trees, undergowth, cut
shins, absence of bus stops etc, into a book about Marxism and non-linear
dynamics. I am absolutely sure that Barkley like me has been involved in
non-linear attempts to get out of intractable forest. This is why I relate
to him and him to me.

I'm about to post a big piece on oil. It may not be such of a yawn any more
to anyone who just had to fill up their tank at a gas station. This is my
direct route to the non-linear dynamics of capitalist crash. I drive a
Fiesta, a brand new one admittedly, but even so I have no regrets. I get 60
non-linear miles to the gallon out of it. Soon I'll be foraging for firewood
in Epping Forest though. I'll be thinking about you.


Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
PS I meant what I said. This was a good post.



- Original Message -
From: "Chris Burford" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, May 28, 2000 12:11 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:19691] Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics


> At 11:27 25/05/00 -0400, you wrote:
> >  For those who are curious, I have a recently published
> >paper on these issues.
> >"Aspects of dialectics and non-linear dynamics," _Cambridge
> >Journal of Economics_, May 2000, vol. 24, no. 3, pp. 311-324.
> >  It is also available on my website without the figures at
> >http://cob.jmu.edu/rosserjb.
> >Barkley Rosser
>
> Congratulations on getting published in this journal.
>
> This is an important area of left political economy. I will copy the
> abstract and then comment on extracts.
>
>






Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-29 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Mark,
  Chapter 2 of my 1991 book ends with a catastrophe
theoretic discussion of the oil industry.  It is retained in
the forthcoming second edition.  It is not surprising that
this industry is given to sudden large changes in price.
   BTW, my original foray on that one was in
"The Emergence of the Megacorpstate and the Acceleration
of Global Inflation," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics,
Spring 1981, vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 429-439.  Actually this was
another case of having trouble getting a paper published.
By then it was passe, but it was originally written in 1973.
In fact, my undergrad senior honors thesis at Wisconsin
in 1969 was "A History of Oil Price Changes in the Middle
East" in which I forecast that OPEC would get its act together
and that prices would rise sharply.  Oh well.
  It is true that, for all our political differences, Mark and I
have certain mutual sympathies  :-).
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: M A Jones <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Sunday, May 28, 2000 8:58 AM
Subject: [PEN-L:19694] Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics


>Chris, I got you wrong. From this post, I learned much, and I am not
joking.
>All these years I tried to conceptualise the world in terms of forests, a
>handy analogue for space/time continua. You showed  a better way.
>
>
>Here in England for example we have Epping Forest. This is a
>small woody area in North London full of things like Queen
>Elizabeth I's hunting lodge, pubs selling Thai food amid
>Ye Olde settings, with Great Oak swings in the garden which
>demented kids who hate to be torn from  their playstations
>try to demolish, etc.
>
>In Germany OTOH they have the Black Forest. It is bigger,
>enough even for people to feel OK wearing lederhosen in.
>
>In Russia, it is all the opposite way round, as you'd
>expect being a cognescento of Russian philosophy: there they have
>these simply ginormous forests all over the place, interspersed with
>small beleaguered settlements of melancholic drunken Russians
>pretending this is part of Europe and lying amid the meadows
>while trying to speculate about the  nature of the cosmos beyond the
>treetops.
>
> In the Black Forest, Wandervogel wander and think about knightly
>tasks. After a very long while they get lost and the problem then is to
work
>out where the fuck they are. This is why Germans have so many parts of
>speech related to 'here' type questions.
>
>In Epping it's all 'now' type questions.
>
>Here in Epping, people decide to try Nature on Sunday afternoons. Mostly
>they hope to avoid each other, and to avoid deranged geese in the meres,
>crashed world war two warplanes complete with handlebar-moustached
>corpses of English heroic fighter pilots with skulls locked in a grinning
>rictus which seems to shout 'Tally-Ho!' at one, etc, before staggering
>back to the hypo and condom-littered carpark where they must decide
>time-questions like is there enough time for a swift half, enough time
>to catch the tube before closing time, etc.  and then they rush to consult
>the timetables and work out that only a frenzied jog will get them to
Epping
>tube station before the last train which has any hope of conveying
>them to the West End, civilisation etc.
>
>Meanwhile, in Russia the melancholics continue to stand motionless
>at bus stops where buses never stop, pointing three fingers at
>their necks (Barkley knows why). These woody metaphors were how I
>circumnavigated around philosophy. Barkley + his very clever Russian wife
>found a way of sublating the problems of space, time, trees, undergowth,
cut
>shins, absence of bus stops etc, into a book about Marxism and non-linear
>dynamics. I am absolutely sure that Barkley like me has been involved in
>non-linear attempts to get out of intractable forest. This is why I relate
>to him and him to me.
>
>I'm about to post a big piece on oil. It may not be such of a yawn any more
>to anyone who just had to fill up their tank at a gas station. This is my
>direct route to the non-linear dynamics of capitalist crash. I drive a
>Fiesta, a brand new one admittedly, but even so I have no regrets. I get 60
>non-linear miles to the gallon out of it. Soon I'll be foraging for
firewood
>in Epping Forest though. I'll be thinking about you.
>
>
>Mark Jones
>http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
>PS I meant what I said. This was a good post.
>
>
>
>- Original Message -
>From: "Chris Burford" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
>Sent: Sunday, May 28, 2000 12:11 PM
>Subject: [PEN-L:19691] Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics
>
>
>> At 11:27 25/05/00 -0400, you wr

Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-29 Thread Michael Perelman

Barkley, maybe you could spell out what you mean here?


>  My earlier arguments had more to do with continuous
> changes in market structure leading to discontinuous
> changes in market outcomes, actually an old chestnut of
> the IO literature that goes all the way back to Joe S. Bain,
> "Relation of Profit Rate to Industry Concentration, American
> Manufacturing, 1936-40," Quarterly Journal of Economics,
> 1951, vol. 65, pp. 293-324, at least.  Krugman's arguments
> are all in a purely competitive context, I think.

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-29 Thread Jim Devine

Barkley wrote:
>BTW, my original foray on that one was in "The Emergence of the 
>Megacorpstate and the Acceleration of Global Inflation," Journal of Post 
>Keynesian Economics, Spring 1981, vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 429-439.  Actually 
>this was another case of having trouble getting a paper published. By then 
>it was passe, but it was originally written in 1973. In fact, my undergrad 
>senior honors thesis at Wisconsin
>in 1969 was "A History of Oil Price Changes in the Middle East" in which I 
>forecast that OPEC would get its act together and that prices would rise 
>sharply.  Oh well.

is this akin to the recent articles (cited by Krugman, among others) that 
argue that with assets such as oil, there are multiple equilibria which 
organizations such as OPEC can take advantage.

Somewhere in my still-unpacked boxes, an article by my friend Lovell "Tu" 
Jarvis which (if I remember correctly) says something very similar about 
the Argentine cattle market. (BTW, someone playing his role shows up in the 
movie "Missing." He was the  Ford Foundation economist who tells the Jack 
Lemmon character that his son (based on Charles Horman) was taken by the 
Chilean military. The movie and reality got mixed up a bit here. But what 
the heck.)

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~JDevine




Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-30 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Michael,
 Essentially the idea is that there is some critical level
of concentration at any time in any industry at which the
nature of the industry qualitatively changes (dialectics,
and all that) from "essentially competitive" to "essentially
non-competitive."  Bain saw a discontinuity in the profit
concentration relation. This argument has been extended
more recently by others (besides me).   A more recent 
good source is
Ralph M. Bradburd and A. Mead Over, "Organizational Costs,
'Sticky Equilibria,' and Critical Levels of Concentration," 
Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, vol. 6, pp. 50-58.
  Obviously this can vary with demand and other 
conditions.  Inventory levels and overall demand certainly
are important when dealing with the oil industry in particular.
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: Michael Perelman <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Monday, May 29, 2000 7:37 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:19739] Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics


>Barkley, maybe you could spell out what you mean here?
>
>
>>  My earlier arguments had more to do with continuous
>> changes in market structure leading to discontinuous
>> changes in market outcomes, actually an old chestnut of
>> the IO literature that goes all the way back to Joe S. Bain,
>> "Relation of Profit Rate to Industry Concentration, American
>> Manufacturing, 1936-40," Quarterly Journal of Economics,
>> 1951, vol. 65, pp. 293-324, at least.  Krugman's arguments
>> are all in a purely competitive context, I think.
>
>--
>Michael Perelman
>Economics Department
>California State University
>Chico, CA 95929
>
>Tel. 530-898-5321
>E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
>




Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-30 Thread Eric Nilsson

RE
> Essentially the idea is that there is some critical level
> of concentration at any time in any industry at which the
> nature of the industry qualitatively changes (dialectics,
> and all that) . . .   


My own contribution, NOT based on the mainstream literature, to this is:

"Capitalists' Institutional Agenda, Class Conflict Spillover, and the Last
Instance"
Review of Radical Political Economics 26(4), 23-54, 1994

The math I used was fairly simple (and, so, perhaps uninteresting to some)
but it dealt with inter-capitalist competition, class struggle between K and
L, and state policies in one single package. Nothing else similar exists.
Not bad for what was, in essence, a single chapter in my dissertation.

>From the abstract: "This model also permits, for the first time in a formal
model, discussion of the link between the base and the superstructure, of
the role of the "last instance" in historical development, and of the claim
that there exists a "monopoly capital" stage of capitalism."

Eric Nilsson
Economics
California State University, San Bernardino
San Bernardino, CA 91711
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


 winmail.dat


Re: Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-29 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Jim,
 My earlier arguments had more to do with continuous
changes in market structure leading to discontinuous
changes in market outcomes, actually an old chestnut of
the IO literature that goes all the way back to Joe S. Bain,
"Relation of Profit Rate to Industry Concentration, American
Manufacturing, 1936-40," Quarterly Journal of Economics,
1951, vol. 65, pp. 293-324, at least.  Krugman's arguments
are all in a purely competitive context, I think.
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Monday, May 29, 2000 4:35 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:19733] Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and Nonlinear Dynamics


>Barkley wrote:
>>BTW, my original foray on that one was in "The Emergence of the
>>Megacorpstate and the Acceleration of Global Inflation," Journal of Post
>>Keynesian Economics, Spring 1981, vol. 3, no. 3, pp. 429-439.  Actually
>>this was another case of having trouble getting a paper published. By then
>>it was passe, but it was originally written in 1973. In fact, my undergrad
>>senior honors thesis at Wisconsin
>>in 1969 was "A History of Oil Price Changes in the Middle East" in which I
>>forecast that OPEC would get its act together and that prices would rise
>>sharply.  Oh well.
>
>is this akin to the recent articles (cited by Krugman, among others) that
>argue that with assets such as oil, there are multiple equilibria which
>organizations such as OPEC can take advantage.
>
>Somewhere in my still-unpacked boxes, an article by my friend Lovell "Tu"
>Jarvis which (if I remember correctly) says something very similar about
>the Argentine cattle market. (BTW, someone playing his role shows up in the
>movie "Missing." He was the  Ford Foundation economist who tells the Jack
>Lemmon character that his son (based on Charles Horman) was taken by the
>Chilean military. The movie and reality got mixed up a bit here. But what
>the heck.)
>
>Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] & http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~JDevine
>
>




Re: Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-30 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Eric,
 Haven't read your paper, but sounds interesting.
The older standard literature on this, e.g. Bain, etc.,
does not use fancy math (that's me, the fancy math
guy, :-)).  In some sense it fits with a very simple, almost
Principles textbook level kind of perception that there
is a qualitative difference between a "mostly competitive"
and a "mostly monopolistic" industry.  That there is some
critical level of concentration in any industry at any time
that marks the divide is not too surprising.  One possible
indicator of the divide might be whether prices are
"administered" (and hence mostly constant) or not.
  Bain was the father of a whole line of traditional
industrial organization analysis that is now viewed as
very passe by modern standard IO types who are more
into game theory and such like.  Personally I have a lot of
respect for the older Bain approach.  I certainly think it is
a hell of a lot more relevant for an antitrust type than most
of the game theory stuff, not that all of it is uninteresting.
But this may reflect my having taken grad IO at Wisconsin from Leonard Weiss
who was a great fan of Bain's.  They're both
dead now, just like the dinosaurs...
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: Eric Nilsson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: Pen-l <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2000 1:30 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:19755] Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics


>RE
>> Essentially the idea is that there is some critical level
>> of concentration at any time in any industry at which the
>> nature of the industry qualitatively changes (dialectics,
>> and all that) . . .
>
>
>My own contribution, NOT based on the mainstream literature, to this is:
>
>"Capitalists' Institutional Agenda, Class Conflict Spillover, and the Last
>Instance"
>Review of Radical Political Economics 26(4), 23-54, 1994
>
>The math I used was fairly simple (and, so, perhaps uninteresting to some)
>but it dealt with inter-capitalist competition, class struggle between K
and
>L, and state policies in one single package. Nothing else similar exists.
>Not bad for what was, in essence, a single chapter in my dissertation.
>
>>From the abstract: "This model also permits, for the first time in a
formal
>model, discussion of the link between the base and the superstructure, of
>the role of the "last instance" in historical development, and of the claim
>that there exists a "monopoly capital" stage of capitalism."
>
>Eric Nilsson
>Economics
>California State University, San Bernardino
>San Bernardino, CA 91711
>[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
>




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-30 Thread Jim Devine


>  That there is some critical level of concentration in any industry at 
> any time that marks the divide is not too surprising.  One possible 
> indicator of the divide might be whether prices are "administered" (and 
> hence mostly constant) or not.

there's got to be some sort of critical point between a highly-concentrated 
industry where the oligopolistic interdependencies that encourage appeals 
to game theory play a role and a "workably competitive" industry where they 
don't.

>   Bain was the father of a whole line of traditional industrial 
> organization analysis that is now viewed as very passe by modern standard 
> IO types who are more into game theory and such like.  Personally I have 
> a lot of respect for the older Bain approach.

I remember people at UC-Berkeley saying that one book by Bain was very 
boring, except when he started discussing the brewery industry, when it 
suddenly got very interesting. They said this flip had to do with Bain's 
alcoholism. He retired from UC-B right when I arrived, perhaps in fear of 
my dogmatic tee-totalism. ;-)

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~jdevine




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics

2000-05-31 Thread J. Barkley Rosser, Jr.

Jim,
  Well, I have to admit; those old-fashioned IO guys
could turn some potentially very interesting stuff into
the most boring sludge you can imagine sometimes.
Barkley Rosser
-Original Message-
From: Jim Devine <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Tuesday, May 30, 2000 6:58 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:19766] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Dialectics and nonlinear Dynamics


>
>>  That there is some critical level of concentration in any industry at
>> any time that marks the divide is not too surprising.  One possible
>> indicator of the divide might be whether prices are "administered" (and
>> hence mostly constant) or not.
>
>there's got to be some sort of critical point between a highly-concentrated
>industry where the oligopolistic interdependencies that encourage appeals
>to game theory play a role and a "workably competitive" industry where they
>don't.
>
>>   Bain was the father of a whole line of traditional industrial
>> organization analysis that is now viewed as very passe by modern standard
>> IO types who are more into game theory and such like.  Personally I have
>> a lot of respect for the older Bain approach.
>
>I remember people at UC-Berkeley saying that one book by Bain was very
>boring, except when he started discussing the brewery industry, when it
>suddenly got very interesting. They said this flip had to do with Bain's
>alcoholism. He retired from UC-B right when I arrived, perhaps in fear of
>my dogmatic tee-totalism. ;-)
>
>Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] &  http://liberalarts.lmu.edu/~jdevine
>
>