RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: congress and the banks

2002-09-18 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:30338] Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: congress and the banks





Michael Perelman writes: 
> The local monopolies of banking -- especially in rural areas -- also
> tended to make the risks of banking failure more local.  Sort 
> of like an electricity grid.  When it is more local, failures are more 
> common, but localized.  When a more national system goes down 


I don't know if this is true or not. Back in the 1930s before the 1933 bank holiday, there was a massive "contagion effect" even though US banking was very localized: if any bank failed, it undermined faith in the entire system, encouraging withdrawal from all banks. 

Of course, what happens depends on macroeconomic conditions. In the 1930s, the macro-economy was in really bad shape, encouraging bank failures (which in turn made the macro-situation worse).

Jim





Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: congress and the banks

2002-09-18 Thread Michael Perelman

yes, but the contagion is more likely the more integrated the system.

On Wed, Sep 18, 2002 at 08:52:45AM -0700, Devine, James wrote:
> Michael Perelman writes: 
> > The local monopolies of banking -- especially in rural areas -- also
> > tended to make the risks of banking failure more local.  Sort 
> > of like an electricity grid.  When it is more local, failures are more 
> > common, but localized.  When a more national system goes down 
> 
> I don't know if this is true or not. Back in the 1930s before the 1933 bank
> holiday, there was a massive "contagion effect" even though US banking was
> very localized: if any bank failed, it undermined faith in the entire
> system, encouraging withdrawal from all banks. 
> 
> Of course, what happens depends on macroeconomic conditions. In the 1930s,
> the macro-economy was in really bad shape, encouraging bank failures (which
> in turn made the macro-situation worse).
> 
> Jim

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: congress and the banks

2002-09-18 Thread Doug Henwood

Devine, James wrote:

>Michael Perelman writes:
>>  The local monopolies of banking -- especially in rural areas -- also
>>  tended to make the risks of banking failure more local.  Sort
>>  of like an electricity grid.  When it is more local, failures are more
>>  common, but localized.  When a more national system goes down 
>
>I don't know if this is true or not. Back in the 1930s before the 
>1933 bank holiday, there was a massive "contagion effect" even 
>though US banking was very localized: if any bank failed, it 
>undermined faith in the entire system, encouraging withdrawal from 
>all banks.

Small banks in the U.S. these days have no idea what to do with their 
deposits locally. They lend them to big banks via the fed funds 
markets.

Doug




Re: Re: RE: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: congress and the banks

2002-09-18 Thread Nomiprins
In a message dated 9/18/2002 12:27:43 PM Eastern Daylight Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:


yes, but the contagion is more likely the more integrated the system.


I agree, though not just viewing contagion as a local vs. national issue, but as a single financial service provider vs. financial conglomerate issue.