RE: Two more Hobby Lobby posts

2014-06-15 Thread Alan Brownstein
I'm not sure that I understand your argument, Marty. Let me play it out to see 
if I have it right. As you suggest an employer might be wary of dropping the 
health care plans because of the uncertainties and potential risks of doing so. 
Let's say that two employers have the same religious objections to continuing 
the health care coverage if it includes the problematic contraceptives and fear 
the same risks of economic consequences. Let's assume that if push comes to 
shove, one of them would subordinate his religious convictions to alleviate 
these risks. This employer would keep the plan and violate his conscience.The 
other employer would drop the health plans come what may to stay faithful to 
his convictions. (Of course, in the real world it isn't always easy to predict 
what someone will do when push comes to shove -- but let's assume that we 
know.) Both employers sue. Are you suggesting that these employers claims 
should be evaluated differently? The employer who would sacrifice his 
convictions in order to avoid the risk of economic consequences is coerced by 
the risk burden he confronts -- but because he sells his convictions out so 
cheaply his religious liberty claim does not justify providing him an 
accommodation that causes harm to third parties. Is that your argument? And 
then what happens to the other employer who will drop the health plan even 
though he believes doing so may well impose significant costs on his business. 
Does his claim succeed? Or are you suggesting that because this employer will 
accept such burdens in order to remain true to his religious convictions, his 
claim should also be denied because the burden on his faith was not sufficient 
to force him to violate his conscience. I think I'm missing something here, but 
I'm not sure what it is.



Alan


From: religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu [religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] 
on behalf of Marty Lederman [lederman.ma...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, June 15, 2014 3:19 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Re: Two more Hobby Lobby posts

Thanks for that extremely thoughtful response, Alan.

I think you're onto something important:  I imagine that even if the S&P report 
is correct, and many employers will drop their health care plans in the coming 
years, there is a definite "first mover" phenomenon at work -- that is to say, 
the main reason any employer would be reluctant to drop its plan just now is 
precisely that there are too many uncertainties and it wishes to avoid any 
risks, and is therefore waiting to see what, e.g., its competitors will do.

That is entirely understandable employer behavior.  The question, however, is 
why the female employees of that employer should suffer the consequences if the 
employer opts not to take that chance just now, but opts instead to 
wait-and-see.  If the mere chance of some marginal disadvantage in the relevant 
labor market -- a disadvantage, I should add, that may very well not result in 
any significant competitive disadvantage, assuming (as I think is probably 
fair) that the labor pool for arts supplies stores is fairly elastic -- is more 
important to the Greens than their alleged complicity with employees' use of 
contraception, then it's not obvious to me why the state should afford them an 
exemption that will redound to the significant detriment of their employees.


On Sun, Jun 15, 2014 at 5:59 PM, Alan Brownstein 
mailto:aebrownst...@ucdavis.edu>> wrote:

One issue underlying Marty's very effectively presented argument about the 
absence of an employer mandate is what counts as the kind of substantial burden 
that warrants legal attention. Marty suggests that plaintiffs in Hobby Lobby 
need specific allegations and ultimately some direct proof to demonstrate 
adverse labor consequences or other economic costs that would result from Hobby 
Lobby dropping health care coverage for its employees. It may be however that 
these costs and consequences will be difficult to determine with any degree of 
certainty for the foreseeable future. How then should a court evaluate a 
religious liberty claim in light of this kind of indeterminacy? One possibility 
is to insist on proof by a preponderance of the evidence that Hobby Lobby's 
current employees would leave Hobby Lobby for other jobs and/or that 
prospective employees would be less likely to seek employment from Hobby Lobby. 
Another possibility is ask whether a reasonable employer would foresee serious 
labor problems or other economic costs if it dropped current health care 
coverage for its employees. This argument suggests that risk of harm can 
constitute a substantial burden.



There is certainly language in the Town of Greece plurality opinion which 
suggests that substantial, specific evidence is necessary to demonstrate a 
legally cognizable burden on religious liberty. But there is also language that 
suggests that the Court might ask what a reasonable empl

Re: Two more Hobby Lobby posts

2014-06-15 Thread Marty Lederman
Thanks for that extremely thoughtful response, Alan.

I think you're onto something important:  I imagine that even if the S&P
report is correct, and many employers will drop their health care plans in
the coming years, there is a definite "first mover" phenomenon at work --
that is to say, the main reason any employer would be reluctant to drop its
plan just now is precisely that there are too many uncertainties and it
wishes to avoid any risks, and is therefore waiting to see what, e.g., its
competitors will do.

That is entirely understandable employer behavior.  The question, however,
is why the female employees of that employer should suffer the consequences
if the employer opts not to take that chance just now, but opts instead to
wait-and-see.  If the mere *chance* of some marginal disadvantage in the
relevant labor market -- a disadvantage, I should add, that may very well
not result in any significant competitive disadvantage, assuming (as I
think is probably fair) that the labor pool for arts supplies stores is
fairly elastic -- is more important to the Greens than their alleged
complicity with employees' use of contraception, then it's not obvious to
me why the state should afford them an exemption that will redound to the
significant detriment of their employees.


On Sun, Jun 15, 2014 at 5:59 PM, Alan Brownstein 
wrote:

>  One issue underlying Marty's very effectively presented argument about
> the absence of an employer mandate is what counts as the kind of
> substantial burden that warrants legal attention. Marty suggests that
> plaintiffs in Hobby Lobby need specific allegations and ultimately some
> direct proof to demonstrate adverse labor consequences or other economic
> costs that would result from Hobby Lobby dropping health care coverage for
> its employees. It may be however that these costs and consequences will be
> difficult to determine with any degree of certainty for the foreseeable
> future. How then should a court evaluate a religious liberty claim in light
> of this kind of indeterminacy? One possibility is to insist on proof by a
> preponderance of the evidence that Hobby Lobby's current employees would
> leave Hobby Lobby for other jobs and/or that prospective employees would be
> less likely to seek employment from Hobby Lobby. Another possibility is ask
> whether a reasonable employer would foresee serious labor problems or other
> economic costs if it dropped current health care coverage for its
> employees. This argument suggests that risk of harm can constitute a
> substantial burden.
>
>
>
> There is certainly language in the Town of Greece plurality opinion which
> suggests that substantial, specific evidence is necessary to demonstrate a
> legally cognizable burden on religious liberty. But there is also language
> that suggests that the Court might ask what a reasonable employer might
> foresee to be the consequences of dropping health care coverage. If the
> Court adopts that approach, the controlling question would be what
> understanding of social reality would the Court utilize in determining the
> reasonableness of Hobby Lobby's concerns. As Marty's post implies, in the
> real world there may be legitimate arguments to be raised and evaluated on
> both sides of this question. If Town of Greece is any guide, however, we
> should expect the Court to imagine a social reality which enables it to
> reach a conclusion consistent with the ideological predispositions of the
> Justices -- without regard to whether that imaginary world bears any
> resemblance to the world in which people actually live, make business
> decision, and exercise religion.
>
>
>
> Alan Brownstein
>  --
> *From:* religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu [
> religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] on behalf of Marty Lederman [
> lederman.ma...@gmail.com]
> *Sent:* Sunday, June 15, 2014 2:04 PM
> *To:* Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
> *Subject:* Two more Hobby Lobby posts
>
>I'm under no illusion that such things could possibly have any
> influence on the Court at this late date (majority opinions having been in
> circulation for at least two weeks now), but thought it might be worth
> posting two further entries on Hobby Lobby, in anticipation of the decision:
>
> http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xiv-how-this-weeks.html
>
>
> http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xv-theres-no-employer.html
>
>  The first is more about the Sixth Circuit's nonprofit decision from
> earlier this week; the second is about my pet "there is no employer
> mandate" argument -- how the Justices treated it at oral argument, and how
> a new S&P Report might bear on it.
>
>  Many of you will recognize much of these as derived from our discussions
> here, for which I'm very grateful.
>
> ___
> To post, send message to Religionlaw@lists.ucla.edu
> To subscribe, unsubscribe, change options, or get password, see
> http

RE: Two more Hobby Lobby posts

2014-06-15 Thread Alan Brownstein
One issue underlying Marty's very effectively presented argument about the 
absence of an employer mandate is what counts as the kind of substantial burden 
that warrants legal attention. Marty suggests that plaintiffs in Hobby Lobby 
need specific allegations and ultimately some direct proof to demonstrate 
adverse labor consequences or other economic costs that would result from Hobby 
Lobby dropping health care coverage for its employees. It may be however that 
these costs and consequences will be difficult to determine with any degree of 
certainty for the foreseeable future. How then should a court evaluate a 
religious liberty claim in light of this kind of indeterminacy? One possibility 
is to insist on proof by a preponderance of the evidence that Hobby Lobby's 
current employees would leave Hobby Lobby for other jobs and/or that 
prospective employees would be less likely to seek employment from Hobby Lobby. 
Another possibility is ask whether a reasonable employer would foresee serious 
labor problems or other economic costs if it dropped current health care 
coverage for its employees. This argument suggests that risk of harm can 
constitute a substantial burden.



There is certainly language in the Town of Greece plurality opinion which 
suggests that substantial, specific evidence is necessary to demonstrate a 
legally cognizable burden on religious liberty. But there is also language that 
suggests that the Court might ask what a reasonable employer might foresee to 
be the consequences of dropping health care coverage. If the Court adopts that 
approach, the controlling question would be what understanding of social 
reality would the Court utilize in determining the reasonableness of Hobby 
Lobby's concerns. As Marty's post implies, in the real world there may be 
legitimate arguments to be raised and evaluated on both sides of this question. 
If Town of Greece is any guide, however, we should expect the Court to imagine 
a social reality which enables it to reach a conclusion consistent with the 
ideological predispositions of the Justices -- without regard to whether that 
imaginary world bears any resemblance to the world in which people actually 
live, make business decision, and exercise religion.



Alan Brownstein


From: religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu [religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] 
on behalf of Marty Lederman [lederman.ma...@gmail.com]
Sent: Sunday, June 15, 2014 2:04 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Two more Hobby Lobby posts

I'm under no illusion that such things could possibly have any influence on the 
Court at this late date (majority opinions having been in circulation for at 
least two weeks now), but thought it might be worth posting two further entries 
on Hobby Lobby, in anticipation of the decision:

http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xiv-how-this-weeks.html

http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xv-theres-no-employer.html

The first is more about the Sixth Circuit's nonprofit decision from earlier 
this week; the second is about my pet "there is no employer mandate" argument 
-- how the Justices treated it at oral argument, and how a new S&P Report might 
bear on it.

Many of you will recognize much of these as derived from our discussions here, 
for which I'm very grateful.
___
To post, send message to Religionlaw@lists.ucla.edu
To subscribe, unsubscribe, change options, or get password, see 
http://lists.ucla.edu/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/religionlaw

Please note that messages sent to this large list cannot be viewed as private.  
Anyone can subscribe to the list and read messages that are posted; people can 
read the Web archives; and list members can (rightly or wrongly) forward the 
messages to others.

Two more Hobby Lobby posts

2014-06-15 Thread Marty Lederman
I'm under no illusion that such things could possibly have any influence on
the Court at this late date (majority opinions having been in circulation
for at least two weeks now), but thought it might be worth posting two
further entries on Hobby Lobby, in anticipation of the decision:

http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xiv-how-this-weeks.html

http://balkin.blogspot.com/2014/06/hobby-lobby-part-xv-theres-no-employer.html

The first is more about the Sixth Circuit's nonprofit decision from earlier
this week; the second is about my pet "there is no employer mandate"
argument -- how the Justices treated it at oral argument, and how a new S&P
Report might bear on it.

Many of you will recognize much of these as derived from our discussions
here, for which I'm very grateful.
___
To post, send message to Religionlaw@lists.ucla.edu
To subscribe, unsubscribe, change options, or get password, see 
http://lists.ucla.edu/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/religionlaw

Please note that messages sent to this large list cannot be viewed as private.  
Anyone can subscribe to the list and read messages that are posted; people can 
read the Web archives; and list members can (rightly or wrongly) forward the 
messages to others.