Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-07 Thread Man on Bridges

Hi,

I think it's a smart move of Toyota.
Take note, Toyoto is also aware of "wet van de remmende voorsprong", so 
they need to leap forward somehow or the competition will do it instead.
And if Europe and the US are not available as a market due to 
certification issues they will focus on the Chinese and Indian market.


Ref: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_the_handicap_of_a_head_start

Kind regards,

Rob

Lennart Thornros schreef op 7-1-2015 om 00:49:
There is a theoretic business model called the S-curve theory that 
explains the possibilities and the risk with new technology. The 
typewriters , the vacuum tubes, the adding machines etc. are good 
examples.
So far I am in agreement with the idea that there is a market changes 
due to technology.
LENR absolute but not now. To dangerous to take such a step. Even if 
they present a car driven by LENR it would take years to get 
acceptance. Maybe Toyota is not thinking so well.
The first ones to move to new technology seldom prevail. Apple might 
be good today but that has more to do with the I-phone than their 
computers of 1984. Texas Instrument are not a major player on the 
semiconductor market compare 1968. HP had some real early handheld 
computers did not take them to the front of today's handheld market.
Many companies have seen this pattern repeat itself over the years and 
realize being first or having the patent is not the most important - 
in most cases. Xerox being the exception that shows validity to me of 
that statement. Time ago it was the norm, that being first equaled 
success.
The problems with LENR is of course that there is no theory that backs 
it up.
There is nobody driving the development of LENR Rossi is 
entrepreneurial and his new partner has been very quiet and 
demonstrated very little leadership. BLP seems more focused on 
academical result than commercialization. Maybe there are more 
(better) information out there, which I am unaware of. In such case 
now is the time to identify the winners and buy shares. I doubt it is 
Toyota they remind me of IBM. Tesla maybe. Unknown entity is the most 
likely in my opinion.



Best Regards ,
Lennart Thornros

www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com <http://www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com>
lenn...@thornros.com
+1 916 436 1899
202 Granite Park Court, Lincoln CA 95648

“Productivity is never an accident. It is always the result of a 
commitment to excellence, intelligent planning, and focused effort.” PJM


On Tue, Jan 6, 2015 at 3:15 PM, MarkI-ZeroPoint <mailto:zeropo...@charter.net>> wrote:


Yes, they funded early LENR work with F&P.
IIRC, they stopped LENR research for a period of time, but then
restarted the effort.

You can bet the BoD and C-levels have been kept up-to-date about
developments in LENR...

-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Bob Cook [mailto:frobertc...@hotmail.com
<mailto:frobertc...@hotmail.com>]
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 2:47 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com>
    Subject: Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

Mark's thought also was the first idea that came into my head upon
reading Terry's comment.

I think they, Toyota, are onto LENR.  Let's not forget they hired
Pons and Fleishman for research in Nice, France after they left
the USA.

Bob


- Original Message -
From: "MarkI-ZeroPoint" mailto:zeropo...@charter.net>>
To: mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com>>
    Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:35 AM
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain


Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's
going down
fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for
powering its
future fleet...
-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net
<mailto:jone...@pacbell.net>]
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
    To: vortex-l@eskimo.com <mailto:vortex-l@eskimo.com>
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

-Original Message-
From: Terry Blanton

Jed Rothwell wrote:
> I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with
plug-in
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.

"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly
developed RAV4
electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units
over more
than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths,
with Tesla
working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model
3 sedan
to market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a
technology that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has
ridiculed."

> Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyot

Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Jed Rothwell
I wrote:


> I do not think that a cheap method of producing hydrogen would help much,
> unless it was small enough and safe enough to place in people's houses.
>

Come to think of it, that would not help much. You could only drive half
the range of the fuel tank away from your house. I was thinking of a system
similar to charging an electric car at home. If you drive the full range of
an electric car, you can charge it up at your destination, whereas most
destinations would not have hydrogen generators.

The only way to make this work is to have hydrogen dispensing stations in
many places. I suppose they could be an extra pump at a regular gas
station, but I doubt that would pay. Not for a long time.

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jones Beene  wrote:


> Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered
> catalyst, probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone
> reactor at 1300C.
>

I do not think that a cheap method of producing hydrogen would help much,
unless it was small enough and safe enough to place in people's houses. I
think Toyota now plans to have gas stations that sell hydrogen. I think
these patents relate to the fuel handling and delivery systems. Building
enough stations to make these cars useful over much of Japan or the U.S.
would cost a fortune, whereas electric cars can be charged anywhere, and
plug-in hybrids refueled or recharged anywhere.

If the hydrogen generator were cold fusion powered, why not just use cold
fusion directly as the primary source of energy in the car?

- Jed


Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Lennart Thornros
There is a theoretic business model called the S-curve theory that explains
the possibilities and the risk with new technology. The typewriters , the
vacuum tubes, the adding machines etc. are good examples.
So far I am in agreement with the idea that there is a market changes due
to technology.
LENR absolute but not now. To dangerous to take such a step. Even if they
present a car driven by LENR it would take years to get acceptance. Maybe
Toyota is not thinking so well.
The first ones to move to new technology seldom prevail. Apple might be
good today but that has more to do with the I-phone than their computers of
1984. Texas Instrument are not a major player on the semiconductor market
compare 1968. HP had some real early handheld computers did not take them
to the front of today's handheld market.
Many companies have seen this pattern repeat itself over the years and
realize being first or having the patent is not the most important - in
most cases. Xerox being the exception that shows validity to me of that
statement. Time ago it was the norm, that being first equaled success.
The problems with LENR is of course that there is no theory that backs it
up.
There is nobody driving the development of LENR Rossi is entrepreneurial
and his new partner has been very quiet and demonstrated very little
leadership. BLP seems more focused on academical result than
commercialization. Maybe there are more (better) information out there,
which I am unaware of. In such case now is the time to identify the winners
and buy shares. I doubt it is Toyota they remind me of IBM. Tesla maybe.
Unknown entity is the most likely in my opinion.


Best Regards ,
Lennart Thornros

www.StrategicLeadershipSac.com
lenn...@thornros.com
+1 916 436 1899
202 Granite Park Court, Lincoln CA 95648

“Productivity is never an accident. It is always the result of a commitment
to excellence, intelligent planning, and focused effort.” PJM

On Tue, Jan 6, 2015 at 3:15 PM, MarkI-ZeroPoint 
wrote:

> Yes, they funded early LENR work with F&P.
> IIRC, they stopped LENR research for a period of time, but then restarted
> the effort.
>
> You can bet the BoD and C-levels have been kept up-to-date about
> developments in LENR...
>
> -mark iverson
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Bob Cook [mailto:frobertc...@hotmail.com]
> Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 2:47 PM
> To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
> Subject: Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain
>
> Mark's thought also was the first idea that came into my head upon reading
> Terry's comment.
>
> I think they, Toyota, are onto LENR.  Let's not forget they hired Pons and
> Fleishman for research in Nice, France after they left the USA.
>
> Bob
>
>
> - Original Message -----
> From: "MarkI-ZeroPoint" 
> To: 
> Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:35 AM
> Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain
>
>
> Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's going down
> fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for powering
> its
> future fleet...
> -mark iverson
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net]
> Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
> To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
> Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Terry Blanton
>
> Jed Rothwell wrote:
> > I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in
> > electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.
>
> "Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed
> RAV4
> electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over more
> than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with Tesla
> working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan
> to market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a
> technology that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."
>
> > Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by
> > the possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.
>
>
> Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's
> shares are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may
> know
> something that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate -
> such as a breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years
> ago- as every "expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end
> technology.
> That was a billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.
>
> Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely
> a
> player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP por

RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Yes, they funded early LENR work with F&P.
IIRC, they stopped LENR research for a period of time, but then restarted the 
effort.

You can bet the BoD and C-levels have been kept up-to-date about developments 
in LENR...

-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Bob Cook [mailto:frobertc...@hotmail.com] 
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 2:47 PM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

Mark's thought also was the first idea that came into my head upon reading 
Terry's comment.

I think they, Toyota, are onto LENR.  Let's not forget they hired Pons and 
Fleishman for research in Nice, France after they left the USA.

Bob


- Original Message -
From: "MarkI-ZeroPoint" 
To: 
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:35 AM
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain


Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's going down 
fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for powering its 
future fleet...
-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net]
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

-Original Message-
From: Terry Blanton

Jed Rothwell wrote:
> I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in 
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.

"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed RAV4 
electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over more 
than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with Tesla 
working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan 
to market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a 
technology that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."

> Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by 
> the possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.


Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's 
shares are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may know 
something that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate - 
such as a breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years 
ago- as every "expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end technology. 
That was a billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.

Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely a 
player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP portfolio that is unreal. H2 may yet 
be the low cost answer, and they know it. Even without them, however, we are 
only a breakthrough away from cheap H2 from LENR - maybe from a 
water-dog-bone .

Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered catalyst, 
probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone reactor at 
1300C.

As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at 
2200 °C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since waste 
heat is recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst and 
low-cost heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus good 
heat recovery, then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based electricity 
storage.  The amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could possibly power 
1,000,000 dogbones.

We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone 
other than Toyota.










Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Bob Cook
Mark's thought also was the first idea that came into my head upon reading 
Terry's comment.


I think they, Toyota, are onto LENR.  Let's not forget they hired Pons and 
Fleishman for research in Nice, France after they left the USA.


Bob


- Original Message - 
From: "MarkI-ZeroPoint" 

To: 
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:35 AM
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain


Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's going down 
fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for powering its 
future fleet...

-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net]
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

-Original Message-
From: Terry Blanton

Jed Rothwell wrote:
I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in 
electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.


"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed RAV4 
electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over more 
than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with Tesla 
working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan 
to market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a 
technology that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."


Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by 
the possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.



Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's 
shares are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may know 
something that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate - 
such as a breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years 
ago- as every "expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end technology. 
That was a billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.


Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely a 
player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP portfolio that is unreal. H2 may yet 
be the low cost answer, and they know it. Even without them, however, we are 
only a breakthrough away from cheap H2 from LENR - maybe from a 
water-dog-bone .


Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered catalyst, 
probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone reactor at 
1300C.


As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at 
2200 °C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since waste 
heat is recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst and 
low-cost heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus good 
heat recovery, then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based electricity 
storage.  The amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could possibly power 
1,000,000 dogbones.


We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone 
other than Toyota.











Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread mixent
In reply to  Jones Beene's message of Tue, 6 Jan 2015 11:12:26 -0800:
Hi,
[snip]
>Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered catalyst, 
>probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone reactor at 
>1300C.
>
>As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at 2200 
>°C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since waste heat 
>is recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst and low-cost 
>heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus good heat recovery, 
>then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based electricity storage.  The 
>amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could possibly power 1,000,000 
>dogbones.
>
>We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone 
>other than Toyota. 

At 1300 °C a small steam turbine would extract a lot more energy from the heat
than you would get from thermal decomposition of water.
The mechanical energy from the turbine can be used directly to drive the wheels,
saving on conversion losses.

Better yet, if the nuclear reactions at the heart of LENR produce fast charged
particles, then the potential exists for direct conversion to electricity with
possible efficiencies exceeding 50%.

An intermediate solution might be a form of beta-voltaic battery that is LENR
powered, and where the power output can be controlled by controlling the rate at
which the LENR reaction proceeds.

Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

http://rvanspaa.freehostia.com/project.html



Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread John Berry
Without some breakthrough, fuel cells are just a distraction.

http://www.autoblog.com/2014/08/05/why-battery-electric-vehicles-will-beat-fuel-cells/

On Wed, Jan 7, 2015 at 8:35 AM, MarkI-ZeroPoint 
wrote:

> Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's going
> down fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for
> powering its future fleet...
> -mark iverson
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net]
> Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
> To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
> Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain
>
> -Original Message-
> From: Terry Blanton
>
> Jed Rothwell wrote:
> > I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.
>
> "Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed
> RAV4 electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over
> more than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with
> Tesla working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3
> sedan to market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a
> technology that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."
>
> > Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by
> the possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.
>
>
> Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's
> shares are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may
> know something that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate
> - such as a breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years
> ago- as every "expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end
> technology. That was a billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.
>
> Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely
> a player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP portfolio that is unreal. H2 may
> yet be the low cost answer, and they know it. Even without them, however,
> we are only a breakthrough away from cheap H2 from LENR - maybe from a
> water-dog-bone .
>
> Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered
> catalyst, probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone
> reactor at 1300C.
>
> As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at
> 2200 °C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since
> waste heat is recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst
> and low-cost heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus
> good heat recovery, then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based
> electricity storage.  The amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could
> possibly power 1,000,000 dogbones.
>
> We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone
> other than Toyota.
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>


RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Misinformation?  Toyota wants to make its competitors think it's going down 
fuel-cell path when it is really developing LENR-based tech for powering its 
future fleet...
-mark iverson

-Original Message-
From: Jones Beene [mailto:jone...@pacbell.net] 
Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2015 11:12 AM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

-Original Message-
From: Terry Blanton
 
Jed Rothwell wrote:
> I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in 
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.

"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed RAV4 
electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over more 
than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with Tesla 
working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan to 
market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a technology 
that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."

> Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by the 
> possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.


Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's shares 
are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may know something 
that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate - such as a 
breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years ago- as every 
"expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end technology. That was a 
billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.

Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely a 
player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP portfolio that is unreal. H2 may yet be 
the low cost answer, and they know it. Even without them, however, we are only 
a breakthrough away from cheap H2 from LENR - maybe from a water-dog-bone .

Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered catalyst, 
probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone reactor at 
1300C.

As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at 2200 
°C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since waste heat is 
recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst and low-cost 
heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus good heat recovery, 
then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based electricity storage.  The 
amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could possibly power 1,000,000 
dogbones.

We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone 
other than Toyota. 









RE: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Jones Beene
-Original Message-
From: Terry Blanton
 
Jed Rothwell wrote:
> I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in 
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.

"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly developed RAV4 
electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about 2,500 units over more 
than two years. The two companies are now taking separate paths, with Tesla 
working to bring the plug-in Model X crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan to 
market. Toyota is preparing to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a technology 
that Tesla’s billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."

> Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed by the 
> possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.


Maybe not bizarre. Anyway, it's not wise to bet against Toyota. Tesla's shares 
are down 55 points since October-and Toyota is up 10. Toyota may know something 
that we, or even Elon-the-magnificent, do not yet appreciate - such as a 
breakthrough in cheap H2. GM dissed Toyota’s Prius a few years ago- as every 
"expert" in Detroit knew batteries were a dead-end technology. That was a 
billion dollar mistake that helped bankrupt GM.

Things change with the small incremental advance, and Toyota is definitely a 
player in LENR and with a hydrogen IP portfolio that is unreal. H2 may yet be 
the low cost answer, and they know it. Even without them, however, we are only 
a breakthrough away from cheap H2 from LENR - maybe from a water-dog-bone .

Think about thermal decomposition of water with a newly discovered catalyst, 
probably in one of these 5300 patents, plus an improved dog-bone reactor at 
1300C.

As of now, we know that water molecules split into hydrogen and oxygen at 2200 
°C  at a usable rate of about three percent (this is usable since waste heat is 
recycled at high efficiency) but with a breakthrough catalyst and low-cost 
heat, giving something like 2% conversion at 1300 °C, plus good heat recovery, 
then hydrogen becomes cheaper than battery-based electricity storage.  The 
amount of lithium in a Tesla battery pack could possibly power 1,000,000 
dogbones.

We could be closer than anyone imagines to the hydrogen economy ... anyone 
other than Toyota. 









Re: [Vo]:Toyota puts fuel cell patents in the public domain

2015-01-06 Thread Terry Blanton
On Tue, Jan 6, 2015 at 10:14 AM, Jed Rothwell  wrote:

> I think this is a dead-end technology. It cannot compete with plug-in 
> electric hybrid cars and pure electric vehicles.


"Toyota and Tesla are nearing the end of sales of the jointly
developed RAV4 electric sport utility vehicle after delivering about
2,500 units over more than two years. The two companies are now taking
separate paths, with Tesla working to bring the plug-in Model X
crossover and a cheaper Model 3 sedan to market. Toyota is preparing
to sell its first fuel-cell vehicle, a technology that Tesla’s
billionaire co-founder Elon Musk has ridiculed."

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-24/toyota-sells-tesla-shares-as-ev-project-winds-down.html

Bizarre behavior on the part of Toyota unless they are suddenly cowed
by the possibility of losing large market share to Tesla.