Re: The Margin-of-Error Fallacy

2000-12-26 Thread Jake
MW wrote: In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Jake [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: This year, circumstances dictated that the US Presidential race boiled down to the results in Florida. That's where the decisive Electoral Votes were and that's where the outcome was most uncertain. Since then,

Re: Q: mixture modeling for regression

2000-12-26 Thread Robert Dodier
T.S. Lim [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: In the software package Latent GOLD http://www.statisticalinnovations.com/lg/highlights.htm you can do regression (continuous or discrete response variable) using mixture modeling. I'm interested in the statistical model behind the method. Anyone

Re: The Margin-of-Error Fallacy

2000-12-26 Thread bird_man
In article [EMAIL PROTECTED], Jake [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: snip Most of us feel that we know what "margin of error" means but to make sure we're all on the same page, let's review. Never assume a politician, or judge, or lawyer, or layman, or anyone other than a statistician will properly

Re: OT: psychological test for recruitment in Statistics

2000-12-26 Thread John Uebersax
I've never heard of any statistician position requiring a psychological test. Even when I worked at the RAND Corporation, where the position involved some degree of defense-related research, it was not required. (Frankly, if a firm required such a test, I would take that as a sign that it is not

Uniform: mle

2000-12-26 Thread Neeraj Nagarkatti
Question: Let X_1,...,X_n be a random sample from the Uniform U[0,t] distribution, i.e. with pdf: f(x|t) = 1/t (0 x t). Obtain the maximum likelihood estimator of t. Now the model solution says: Because it's a non-regular case, you can't differentiate it, so the likelihood is: L(t) =

Re: OT: psychological test for recruitment in Statistics

2000-12-26 Thread jim clark
Hi On Tue, 26 Dec 2000, John Uebersax wrote: IMHO, psychological tests in this case should not substitute for a thorough interview and human judgment. Just my .02 worth. There is a considerable literature on clinical judgment (i.e., interview and human judgement) vs. actuarial predictions

Re: The Margin-of-Error Fallacy

2000-12-26 Thread Rich Ulrich
On Sat, 23 Dec 2000 14:48:21 GMT, Gene Gallagher [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I think it would be unwise to use random sampling theory, with or without the finite population correction, to infer what the percentage of Bush and Gore votes would be among the non-machine counted votes. There

Re: The Margin-of-Error Fallacy

2000-12-26 Thread Rich Ulrich
- I have to disagree - On Sat, 23 Dec 2000 03:22:56 -0800, Jake [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: This year, circumstances dictated that the US Presidential race boiled down to the results in Florida. That's where the decisive Electoral Votes were and that's where the outcome was most uncertain.

Re: The Margin-of-Error Fallacy

2000-12-26 Thread Gene Gallagher
Rich Ulrich wrote: I think it would be unwise to use random sampling theory, with or without the finite population correction, to infer what the percentage of Bush and Gore votes would be among the non-machine counted votes. There were several analyses published in the press about

How to test whether the deviation is a constant?

2000-12-26 Thread Wen-Feng Hsiao
Dear all, Paired t-test allows us to exam whether the paired samples (or the same samples) respond differently between two treatments. The null hypothesis is H0: mu1=mu2 or mu1-mu2=0. Could this be extended to test a null hypothesis with H0: mu1-mu2=C, where C is a constant, but unknown. My

Re: How to test whether the deviation is a constant?

2000-12-26 Thread Jerrold Zar
Yes, you can perform a paired t-test by hypothesizing a constant, C, in H0: mu1 - mu2 = C, but whether or not C = 0 does not necessarily have anything to do with distribution shape. Jerrold H. Zar Northern Illinois University == Wen-Feng Hsiao [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Mathematical artwork recently posted

2000-12-26 Thread Vincent Granville
New and unusual virtual images, posted on datashaping, at http://www.datashaping.com/artwork.shtml . Enjoy! Vincent = Instructions for joining and leaving this list and remarks about the problem of INAPPROPRIATE MESSAGES are