Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-08 Thread Herman Rubin
In article <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>, dennis roberts <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: >At 12:09 AM 3/5/01 -0500, Donald Burrill wrote: >>Well, no. Overrated it may be (that lies, I think, in the eye of the >>beholder); but a _decision_ it is definitely not. Power is the >>_probability_ of making a particu

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-05 Thread Lise DeShea
I think the problem that most students have is that they think we can know whether we've made an error.  I use the courtroom analogy to clarify that we can never know for sure.  You might convict an innocent person or find a guilty person innocent, and we can't know the true state of the world. A

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-05 Thread dennis roberts
the "act" of "deciding" (using whatever rule/CV you like) to retain the null or reject the null ... is just that and nothing more however, you do NOT "act" or "decide" to make a type II error or a type I error ... you don't "act" or "decide" to make an incorrect or correct choice ... the fact

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-05 Thread Donald Burrill
In response to Dennis's earlier statement, "that is ... power in many cases is a highly overrated CORRECT decision" I wrote: > >Well, no. Overrated it may be (that lies, I think, in the eye of the > >beholder); but a _decision_ it is definitely not. Power is the > >_probability_ of making a

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-05 Thread Mike Granaas
Okay, I'll chime in a bit here: I like the notion of seperating out the "state of affairs" from probabilities as Don suggests...I've never seen it done this way before, but I have seen some students confused with what should be pretty simple stuff...I will be trying this material as two tables t

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-05 Thread dennis roberts
At 12:09 AM 3/5/01 -0500, Donald Burrill wrote: >Well, no. Overrated it may be (that lies, I think, in the eye of the >beholder); but a _decision_ it is definitely not. Power is the >_probability_ of making a particular decision -- which, of course, like >all decisions, may or may not be corre

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-04 Thread Donald Burrill
On Sun, 4 Mar 2001, dennis roberts wrote in part: > i know that sometimes power is "defined" as 1 - beta ... but, beta > could therefore (algebraically and logically) be defined as 1 - power Only for the conditional definition of power; I would wish to add the conditional clause "when the nu

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-04 Thread Karl L. Wuensch
Dennis wants a name for the probability of correctly retaining a true null hypothesis, and Don likes to think of these probabilities as unconditional, so why not just call the probability of correctly retaining a true null hypothesis by its most likely *unconditional* value, ZERO. ;-) Sorry, I j

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-04 Thread dennis roberts
At 03:08 AM 3/4/01 -0500, Donald Burrill wrote: >Do you have a reasoned objection to "1 - alpha"? In other contexts we >routinely use, e.g., "1 - Rsq" for the proportion of variance unexplained >by the model being considered. The "1 minus" construction shows the >logical and arithmetical con

Re: power,beta, etc.

2001-03-03 Thread Donald Burrill
On Sat, 3 Mar 2001, dennis roberts wrote: > when we discuss things like power, beta, type I error, etc. ... we > often show a 2 by 2 table ... similar to > > null truenull false > > retain correct type II, beta > > reject type I, alpha po

power,beta, etc.

2001-03-03 Thread dennis roberts
when we discuss things like power, beta, type I error, etc. ... we often show a 2 by 2 table ... similar to null truenull false retain correct type II, beta reject type I, alpha power i think that we need a bit of overhaul to this typi