[EM] How Approval locks onto the CW in two or three moves

2005-01-20 Thread Russ Paielli
A couple of days ago, Forest Simmons posted an interesting message about how Approval can elect a third-party candidate within a few election cycles if that party is truly preferred by the electorate. His argument seems reasonable enough to me, and it helped me to understand the different tende

[EM] Typo

2005-01-20 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
I'd said: The claim that natural selction isn't possible, or that, if it happened, it couldn't result in new species, is absure. Of course, instead of "absure", I meant "absurd". Or at least without any justification. Mike Ossipoff ___

[EM] This is not a continuation of an arguemnt or debate

2005-01-20 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
Today I'm posting several messages, because I might be away from the computer for a while, and I don't know for how long. It could be up to a week or more. So I should add, too, that if someone refutes something that I've said, and I'm not heard from replying to that, that's only because I'm a

[EM] Expected Utility Differences strategy

2005-01-20 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
I've described an enhancement of the Best Frontrunner strategy. It could be further enhanced, by considering the possibility that if there's a tie or near-tie maybe neither F1 nor F2 is in it. That leads to a way of getting the Pij for Weber's strategic value formula. Any easily estimated way o

[EM] The other strategies give the Acceptable/Unacceptable strategy

2005-01-20 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
When I've mentioned the Acceptable/Unacceptable strategy, I've spoken of as if it's a separate strategy. Actually it would be the result of the other expectation-maximizing strategies, for people who believe that there are completely unacceptable candidtates who could win, or who consider the

[EM] Re: Sprucing up vs. Condorcet Lottery vs. immunity: The "twisted prism" example

2005-01-20 Thread Ted Stern
On 20 Jan 2005 at 14:54 PST, Ted Stern wrote: > So your defeat rankings should actually be > Bi>Ai , strength 11 (the 3 "straight upward" beats) > A1>A2>A3>A1 , strength 10 (the "upper clockwise" 3-cycle) > B1 Ai>Bj (i!=j), strength 8 (the 6 "diagonal downward

Re: [EM] Another Grand Compromise

2005-01-20 Thread Jobst Heitzig
Dear Forest! Your grand compromise sounds very interesting and will make a good occupation for me this weekend I guess :-) By the way, I was quite annoyed to find a very simple example of only six candidates in which the condorcet lottery probabilities are all but monotonic (which I will also post

[EM] Re: Approval scenarios, part 1

2005-01-20 Thread MIKE OSSIPOFF
James-- Yes, the result of the 1st election is as you said. I don't know how I got a different result, but I probablly didn't include the RLC voters and the LRC voters. I probably just asked "How many of these are voting for C as a compromise?" In the 2nd election,, with the same candidates or

[EM] Re: Sprucing up vs. Condorcet Lottery vs. immunity: The "twisted prism" example

2005-01-20 Thread Ted Stern
On 6 Jan 2005 at 01:32 PST, Jobst Heitzig wrote: > Dear Forest! > > Your sprucing up technique is a very nice idea since it can simplify the > tallying of those methods which fulfil beat-clone-proofness and > uncoveredness. However, some of which you wrote has confused me > completely: Did I und

Re: [EM] Re: approval strategy (Russ Paielli)

2005-01-20 Thread Kevin Venzke
Ralph, --- [EMAIL PROTECTED] a écrit : > Because it would be next to impossible for any approval > strategy formula to account for all these differences, I'm > skeptical about all formulas that purport to express ideal > strategies for supporters of particular candidates. Before > one can hope t

RE: [EM] Re: Counting Time

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 20 Jan 2005, Paul Kislanko wrote: Forest Simmons wrote (Thursday, January 20, 2005) Here's a quick way to find the Condorcet Winner if there is one: Use Rob LeGrand's ballot by ballot approval idea, but instead of ballot by ballot, use voter by voter. For fairness, either randomize the orde

RE: [EM] Re: Counting Time

2005-01-20 Thread Paul Kislanko
Correcting - I wrote in too much haste: > 1. For each ballot, for each pair of candidates {X, Y} count > defeat.X = > defeat.X if the voter ranked Y better than X if it were not obvious, I meant defeat.X = defeat.X +1 Apologies. > -Original Message- > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > [mai

RE: [EM] Re: Counting Time

2005-01-20 Thread Paul Kislanko
Forest Simmons wrote (Thursday, January 20, 2005) > Here's a quick way to find the Condorcet Winner if there is one: > > Use Rob LeGrand's ballot by ballot approval idea, but instead > of ballot by > ballot, use voter by voter. > > For fairness, either randomize the order of polling the > vo

[EM] Re: Counting Time

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
Here's a quick way to find the Condorcet Winner if there is one: Use Rob LeGrand's ballot by ballot approval idea, but instead of ballot by ballot, use voter by voter. For fairness, either randomize the order of polling the voters or else poll them twice, once from left to right, and once from r

[EM] Another Grand Compromise

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
In this "Grand Compromise" voters can choose which kind of ballot they want. The ballot styles to choose from are ordinal rankings,and a variety of cardinal ratings style ballots including range ballots, grade ballots (whether A to F or A to Z), 0 to 10 olympic, 0 to seven psychological, Yes/N

Re: [EM] How Approval locks on to the CW in two or three moves.

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
On Thu, 20 Jan 2005, James Green-Armytage wrote: Forest, Interesting stuff; I'll have to look at this for awhile. Might be good to mention the operative approval strategy at the beginning of these posts, to avoid confusion. You mentioned a few possible strategies in your 1/17 e-mail; I'm not quite

Re: [EM] Re: Approval/Condorcet Hybrids

2005-01-20 Thread Forest Simmons
From: Ted Stern <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Subject: Re: [EM] Re: Approval/Condorcet Hybrids To: Jobst Heitzig <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Cc: election-methods-electorama.com@electorama.com, Ted Stern <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> On 11 Jan 2005 at 14:40 PST, Jobst Heitzig wrote: But ... your argument that, if W

[EM] Re: approval strategy (Russ Paielli)

2005-01-20 Thread RLSuter
Kevin, I think my message was prompted by Alex Small's message, but I wasn't replying specifically to him or to Russ Paielli. Rather, I was trying to say that many comments I've read on this list about how supporters of particular candidates should vote stratetgically in approval elections make li

Re: [EM] approval strategy

2005-01-20 Thread Dave Ketchum
Below I will talk of "Ranked" rather then IRV, for it would be rare, if ever, that strategists could plan on voting fitting one of the distributions for which Condorcet (IRR) awards a different winner than IRV. Quoting 'Approval *is* considerably simpler than IRV' from below, I have to choke.

Re: [EM] How Approval locks on to the CW in two or three moves.

2005-01-20 Thread James Green-Armytage
Forest, Interesting stuff; I'll have to look at this for awhile. Might be good to mention the operative approval strategy at the beginning of these posts, to avoid confusion. You mentioned a few possible strategies in your 1/17 e-mail; I'm not quite sure which one you are assuming voters will fo