Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread ERIC P. CHARLES
Sorry, the following email should be completely rewritten as a query rather than an assertion, but I think I am too tired to do it coherently, and I am hoping that an answer to my question may clarify the conversation. Hmmm This email from Grant, the next one, and much of the past discussion

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Russ Abbott
I'm not convinced. Much of his complexity has to do with things breaking down, which is more like an increase in entropy rather than complexity. Besides that, it seems less like a "law" than like an observation--similar to the fact that there are power law relationships all over the place. That do

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Grant, Russ, Glen, Ok. I think I got it. Paradoxically, it has to do with emergence. You would think I would have seen it right away. Thanks for your help. More later when the swirl dies down. N From: Grant Holland [mailto:grant.holland...@gmail.com] Sent: Saturday, August 07, 20

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Russ, Ok. I will read it again. I am in the swirl of somebody else's vacation house, so not perhaps focusing as well as I should. Tx, n From: friam-boun...@redfish.com [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Russ Abbott Sent: Saturday, August 07, 2010 4:10 PM To: The Fr

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Grant Holland
Nick, Maybe let me explain how I use these two "dimensions" together in my "Organic Complex Systems" theory: I am interested in 1) the Organization (structure) of organic systems, and 2) how that organization changes/evolves. So, yes, Organization is "what is there" as you say. But, also "h

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Grant Holland
Nick, Lemme try to present three examples of these two orthogonal dimensions (Organization/Disorganization dimension vs Predictability/Unpredictability dimension). It all boils down to what phenomena one chooses to be interested in. (Even if both dimensions are arguably present in a particular

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
But you agree that good prediction requires there to be structure or a process that provides the frame work in which a prediction can be made. Minimally, I think we assume that what we see is a feature of what is there. Not all careful observational techniques reveal the same aspect. n

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Russ Abbott
Nick, Did you read what I wrote? I think that explains it. -- Russ On Sat, Aug 7, 2010 at 1:03 PM, Nicholas Thompson < nickthomp...@earthlink.net> wrote: > Grant > > > > You see that I am still struggling to understand your original distinction > between prediction and organization. Clearly

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Grant You see that I am still struggling to understand your original distinction between prediction and organization. Clearly organization affords prediction. I was trying to read you as saying that organization is the thing that's there and prediction is what we make of it. We can use orga

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Roger Critchlow
Introducing another thread, the measure of diversity used in ecology is Shannon's entropy. -- rec -- - http://www.semcoop.com/book/9780226562261 - Biology's First Law: The Tendency for Diversity and Complexity to Increase in Evolutionary Systems (Paperback)

Re: [FRIAM] The death of Telco as we know it !

2010-08-07 Thread Victoria Hughes
Interesting, and applicable in philosophy to everything else that's going on, cf Friedman etc. Tory On Aug 7, 2010, at 1:44 PM, peter baston wrote: This from one of the most conservative Telco CEOs in Europe Or should it be called " why the Iphone - Pad and Android will rule the world "

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Russ Abbott
That seems to me to be a different point--and one that Glen made about entropy a while ago. Scientific realists assume that what one sees is what there is, more or less, that structure in any dimension is presumed to be part of the universe, and that as observers we just see what is. (I know that

[FRIAM] The death of Telco as we know it !

2010-08-07 Thread peter baston
This from one of the most conservative Telco CEOs in Europe Or should it be called " why the Iphone - Pad and Android will rule the world " Get out of telco stocks NOW unless they really get it !! - http://www.forbes.com/2010/08/06/lombard-micr

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread lrudolph
On 7 Aug 2010 at 15:14, Nicholas Thompson wrote: > Predictibility requires a person to be predicting; organization is there > even if there is no one there to predict one part from another. That's hardly obvious, and I don't think it's true. I happy to concede the statement about "predictabilit

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Grant Holland
Russ, Nick, You both make an interesting point about one of these dimensions (unpredictability) requiring an observer, while the other (organization, or structure) does not. However, Heinz von Foerster, I believe, would disagree. I believe he would say that BOTH require an observer! Anothe

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Russ Abbott
If you call it behavioral rather than predictable it doesn't require a predictor. It's just an arrangement in time. -- Russ On Sat, Aug 7, 2010 at 12:14 PM, Nicholas Thompson < nickthomp...@earthlink.net> wrote: > Grant – > > > > Glad you are on board, here. I will read this carefully. > > >

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Grant - Glad you are on board, here. I will read this carefully. Does this have anything to do with the Realism Idealism thing. Predictibility requires a person to be predicting; organization is there even if there is no one there to predict one part from another. N From: friam-

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Comments below . From: friam-boun...@redfish.com [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Russ Abbott Sent: Saturday, August 07, 2010 1:03 PM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group Subject: Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX Is it fair to say that Grant is tal

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Grant Holland
Russ - Yes. I use the terms "organizational" and "predictable", rather than "structural" and "behavioral", because of my particular interests. They amount to the same ideas. Basically they are two orthogonal dimensions of certain state spaces as they change. I lament the fact that the same t

Re: [FRIAM] entropy and uncertainty, REDUX

2010-08-07 Thread Russ Abbott
Is it fair to say that Grant is talking about what one might call structural vs. behavioral entropy? Let's say I have a number of bits in a row. That has very low structural entropy. It takes very few bits to describe that row of bits. But let's say each is hooked up to a random signal. So behavio