Re: [FRIAM] Yearly rant about this daylight savings stuff

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/06/opinion/sunday/time-to-dump-time-zones.html?ref=opinion From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Owen Densmore Sent: Saturday, November 05, 2016 8:39 PM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Yearly rant abo

[FRIAM] Yearly rant about this daylight savings stuff

Rant: Why do we change around the clock? >From google searches, the US is one of the few countries left that does this ritual. FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe ht

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

The trend line adjustment could be right, but wouldn’t it be better to have theory of why and how different polling organizations were biased such that the adjustment could be predicted rather than inferred? I think (and certainly hope) the get-out-the-vote biases will be the big surprising ef

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Nate's reaction to this: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/794994593574113282 Must have hit a nerve. Frank Wimberly Phone (505) 670-9918 On Nov 5, 2016 3:33 PM, "Marcus Daniels" wrote: > http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nate-silver-election-forecast_us_ > 581e1c33e4b0d9ce6fbc6f7f >

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/nate-silver-election-forecast_us_581e1c33e4b0d9ce6fbc6f7f FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College to unsubscribe http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

With regard to the scorn of elites: All I can say is that, in my many screw-ups in life, especially when I was younger, I spent a lot of time beating myself up for losing or saying the wrong thing or not effectively navigating the obstacles I experienced, or whatever. There have always been

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Owen writes: "We do need to get over "who's going to win?" and ask "why has Trump got such a *huge* following?" One could as well ask: "Why do ISIS or Al-Qaeda have such a big following?" The explanation is not a justification. In the case of those two, part of the solution involves empath

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

With such a close race between those two that raises questions like -What if theirs a real tie? -What (if any) difference will people writing in Ventura or Cthulu or Sanders make -What (if any) difference would Stien Johnson and other indipendents make? On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 1:31 PM, Frank Wim

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Frank, et alia - My opinion: scorn is a very powerful position; you can be scornful of God. People who feel powerless and left out find Trump appealing because they identify with the power implied by his scorn of the elite, the establishment, etc. Remember Spiro Agnew calling the educated "

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

As I recall, Obama had a smaller lead than that in the popular vote. Frank Wimberly Phone (505) 670-9918 On Nov 5, 2016 1:29 PM, "Owen Densmore" wrote: > On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 1:12 PM, Frank Wimberly > wrote: > >> In the meantime I'm very concerned with who's going to win the election. >> > ​

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

On Sat, Nov 5, 2016 at 1:12 PM, Frank Wimberly wrote: > In the meantime I'm very concerned with who's going to win the election. > ​Yup, me too. That's why I REALLY don't like the "65% Hillary, 35% Trump"​ ​chance to win stat. It SO magnifies a tiny percentage of the population. T he popular vo

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

My opinion: scorn is a very powerful position; you can be scornful of God. People who feel powerless and left out find Trump appealing because they identify with the power implied by his scorn of the elite, the establishment, etc. Remember Spiro Agnew calling the educated "pointy headed intellectu

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

A quote from the article is pretty telling: In America today, compared with 50 years ago, three times as many working-age men are completely outside the work force. This pattern is occurring throughout the developed world — and the consequences are not merely economic. Feeling superfluous is a blo

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

On Fri, Nov 4, 2016 at 2:51 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote: > I found the article from the Dalai Lama in the NYT today fairly plausible > explanation of why we have the current problem.But, I would say, no, > there will be no brotherhood with the Bundy's. The redistributionist > approach (that Br

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

That is really good, Frank. Thanks, Nick Nicholas S. Thompson Emeritus Professor of Psychology and Biology Clark University http://home.earthlink.net/~nickthompson/naturaldesigns/ From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@re

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Should be a plus! http://textsfromhillaryclinton.tumblr.com/ From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Frank Wimberly Sent: Saturday, November 05, 2016 10:06 AM To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behi

Re: [FRIAM] Trump Is Just A Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton | FiveThirtyEight

Lesser of two evils? Posted on Facebook by Ricky Martin Trump admitting sexual assault. Clinton emails. Trump charity fraud. Clinton emails. Trump calls for nuclear proliferation. Clinton emails. Trump calls for national stop and frisk. Clinton emails. Trump violates trade embargo with Cuba. Clin