Re: [FRIAM] Policy Modeling

2024-01-30 Thread Steve Smith
glen - Excellent and concise summary of this thread following your main point about policy modeling... I'm sure an LLM couldn't begin to be as on-point and succinct!   I feel remiss in not analyzing existing threads as carefully as you must have before I stick my fat foot in my fat mouth:

[FRIAM] Policy Modeling

2024-01-30 Thread glen
I'm confident many of y'all have seen this. But each of the snippets below, from Roger & Merle's nihilistic takes to Leigh and Cody's optimistic takes, bounce around policy modeling. What can one estimate in the face of overwhelming uncertainty? And given one's high uncertainty estimates,