Hi, Josh - Well, I appreciate your comments, to which there are two
distinct parts.
First, in terms of the Shakhova quote, I know it very well and knew
exactly where it came from, as I had already used some it myself in a
Huffington Post
piece. Maybe I expressed myself poorly, though: of course, s
Nathan,
Leaving aside the issue of my psychology, I think you misinterpret the
Shakhova/Semiletov statement. I've reprinted their full comment below
(taken from Andy Revkin's Dot Earth Blog), so group members can judge for
themselves what was intended. What I take from it is a warning not to jum
Hi, Josh –
I hope the irony is not entirely lost on you, in your quote from
Shakhova, that the people she hopes will keep their minds "open to the
idea that new observations may significantly change what we understand
about our world," are hardly the folks at AMEG - but rather those like
yourself,
True, but with Arctic warming and general reduction in sea ice and so in
cold air generated in Arctic, it is all related, so just projecting ahead
past levels and characteristics of variability is unlikely, in my view, to
be valid. Also, thermodynamically, it is quite hard to maintain a colder
Arct
I agree with Nathan that we shouldn't lose sight of the methane issue,
which is the motive force behind AMEG's assertions and activities. In this
regard, here is a short excerpt from something I posted in December:
*
*
*While declaring a methane emergency and calling for immediate action is
roo
There was a good study at WCRP which showed that much of the inter annual
variability is wind related, as ice is moved towards the Atlantic in
certain years.
I don't know if It's in print yet.
Veli has made this point before, and the modelling seems to support his
view.
This is worrying, as It's
May I make the reminder that their group is not called the Arctic "Sea
Ice" Emergency Group,
but the Arctic Methane Emergency Group?
The primary issue in all this is: what is happening with arctic
methane
emissions right now. That's what matters here. Criticizing PIOMAS or
whatever is what Al Gore
Just to note, however, that we really do not have a good sense of how big or
small variability can be at this melting trend continues‹variability is very
unlikely, in my view to be much of a saving influence on the decadal scale
unless some strong cooling influence results‹whether from a major volc
I'm with Stoat, Ken Caldeira, David Keith, Alan Robock and others who see
this "emergency" effort to rush cloud intervention in the Arctic on behalf
of sea ice (and indirectly seabed methane) as undermining the case for a
serious push on geo-engineering options, impacts and policy issues. You're
