Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Allin Cottrell
On Mon, 26 Mar 2012, Daniel Bencik wrote: > first off, thank you all for suggestions. > > Riccardo, I know that anything bigger than arma(2,1) is going to be a crappy > model. Im forecating volatility and arma is one of the options, the obviously > sloppy one but nevertheless the benchmark and I

Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Jack
On Mon, 26 Mar 2012, Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti wrote: > So you end up with an estimate of the coefficients for the MA > polynomial whose inverse roots are > > -1.2736 >-0.40100 + 0.93150i >-0.40100 - 0.93150i > 0.63538 + 0.36511i > 0.63538 - 0.36511i Ooof, I really should rea

Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Jack
On Mon, 26 Mar 2012, Riccardo (Jack) Lucchetti wrote: > Finally, our algorithm does not include, as probably Eviews' does, some form > of provision for what to do in the case when the MA polynomial has roots > inside the unit circle Blast. Unfortunate typo if there ever was one. I meant "your a

Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Ignacio Diaz-Emparanza
El 26/03/12 10:10, Daniel Bencik escribió: > Hello everybody, > > first off, thank you all for suggestions. > > Riccardo, I know that anything bigger than arma(2,1) is going to be a > crappy model. Im forecating volatility and arma is one of the options, > the obviously sloppy one but nevertheless

Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Jack
On Mon, 26 Mar 2012, Daniel Bencik wrote: > Hello everybody, > first off, thank you all for suggestions. > > Riccardo, I know that anything bigger than arma(2,1) is going to be a crappy > model. Im forecating volatility and arma is one of the options, the obviously > sloppy one but nevertheless

Re: [Gretl-users] AR-GARCH-t MLE

2012-03-26 Thread Daniel Bencik
Hello everybody, first off, thank you all for suggestions. Riccardo, I know that anything bigger than arma(2,1) is going to be a crappy model. Im forecating volatility and arma is one of the options, the obviously sloppy one but nevertheless the benchmark and I can prove nowehere else than on