Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread David W. Hankins
On Fri, Apr 21, 2006 at 07:34:19AM -0400, Joseph S D Yao wrote: > On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 10:53:33AM -0700, David W. Hankins wrote: > ... > > It's like someone intentionally optimized this function specifically to > > be the most pessimal. > ... > > If you know the word "pessimal" [malus, pejor, p

A proposal - was Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Albert Meyer
How about this? I will not post anything to NANOG that "discounts the hysteria." Yall will take the bird flu discussion (and the discussion of the meaning, origin and proper usage of "pessimal" for crissake) elsewhere. Deal? Etaoin Shrdlu wrote: ...I don't mean to add to the hysteria, but

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Joseph S D Yao
On Fri, Apr 21, 2006 at 08:06:25AM -0700, Jay Hennigan wrote: > Joseph S D Yao wrote: > >On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 10:53:33AM -0700, David W. Hankins wrote: > >... > >>It's like someone intentionally optimized this function specifically to > >>be the most pessimal. > >... > > > >If you know the word

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Joseph S D Yao
On Fri, Apr 21, 2006 at 07:51:06AM -0700, Etaoin Shrdlu wrote: > Joseph S D Yao wrote: (stuff) ... > where it took off. I don't mean to add to the hysteria, but I also would > prefer that you not discount it. Much will depend on your local area, on > whether people are tightly clustered (NYC, LA

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Jay Hennigan
Joseph S D Yao wrote: On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 10:53:33AM -0700, David W. Hankins wrote: ... It's like someone intentionally optimized this function specifically to be the most pessimal. ... If you know the word "pessimal" [malus, pejor, pessimus = bad, worse, worst], you should know that "mo

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Etaoin Shrdlu
Joseph S D Yao wrote: On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 08:29:10PM -0400, Barry Shein wrote: According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. Is there a report which e

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Joseph S D Yao
On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 08:29:10PM -0400, Barry Shein wrote: > > According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average > mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, > and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. > > http://en.wikipedia.or

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-21 Thread Joseph S D Yao
On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 10:53:33AM -0700, David W. Hankins wrote: ... > It's like someone intentionally optimized this function specifically to > be the most pessimal. ... If you know the word "pessimal" [malus, pejor, pessimus = bad, worse, worst], you should know that "most pessimal" is redund

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-19 Thread David W. Hankins
On Wed, Apr 19, 2006 at 11:57:01AM +0100, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > That recirculated air is likely to be shared with the > rest of the buildings inhabitants, not just the engineers. I'd say it's 50/50 from the buildings I've worked in. The Commonwealth Building in Portland Oregon actually put

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-19 Thread Michael . Dillon
> According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average > mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, > and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H5N1 All of this pandemic planning is *NOT* about the H5N1

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-19 Thread Michael . Dillon
> Uhh... I think, I _hope_ that we are talking about 40% of your > workforce NOT SHOWING UP TO THE OFFICE for days or weeks, not > dropping dead, not even necessarily getting sick. During the 1918 Spanish flu epidemic, and estimated 20 to 50 million people died worldwide. Every year, ordinary flu

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-19 Thread Michael . Dillon
> So if you're really expecting something as macro as 40% of the > population dropping dead I think one has to think much bigger and much > more in the realm of unexpected consequences. > Most companies don't go under because they lose a lot of their > revenue, they're often dead due to losing a

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-19 Thread Michael . Dillon
> So there you have it. They're likely to come to work even though they're > sick (presuming they don't know it's a lethal virus), where they work and > spend all their face-to-face time in close quarters with recirculated air > with the rest of the company's engineers. That recirculated air

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Tue, 18 Apr 2006 14:55:11 -1000, Randy Bush <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average > > mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, > > and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. > > > >

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Randy Bush
> According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average > mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, > and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. > > http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H5N1 is this different if you run is-is as opposed to os

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Barry Shein
According to the wikipedia's quote of WHO the weighted average mortality rate, which would be across 50 human cases, is 66% in 2006, and 56% across all 194 cases reported since 2004. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/H5N1 -- -Barry Shein The World | [EMAIL PR

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Rusty Dekema
On 4/18/06, Crist Clark <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Uhh... I think, I _hope_ that we are talking about 40% of your > workforce NOT SHOWING UP TO THE OFFICE for days or weeks, not > dropping dead, not even necessarily getting sick. > > A 40% mortality rate among otherwise healthy adults, and we ha

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Tue, 18 Apr 2006 10:53:33 PDT, "David W. Hankins" said: > So, which 40% can you afford to lose? How likely is it that the 60% > that's left behind will be able to do the job? Will they need step-by- > step instructions so that even an untrained monkey can muddle through? As we all find out t

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread David W. Hankins
On Tue, Apr 18, 2006 at 12:43:11PM -0700, Crist Clark wrote: > Barry Shein wrote: > >So if you're really expecting something as macro as 40% of the > >population dropping dead I think one has to think much bigger and much > >more in the realm of unexpected consequences. > > Uhh... I think, I _hop

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Susan Harris
Sorry! I should have said that my deadline was early this morning (EST.) On Tue, 18 Apr 2006, Crist Clark wrote: Barry Shein wrote: [snip] So if you're really expecting something as macro as 40% of the population dropping dead I think one has to think much bigger and much more in the realm

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Crist Clark
Barry Shein wrote: [snip] So if you're really expecting something as macro as 40% of the population dropping dead I think one has to think much bigger and much more in the realm of unexpected consequences. Uhh... I think, I _hope_ that we are talking about 40% of your workforce NOT SHOWING UP

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Barry Shein
On April 18, 2006 at 10:53 [EMAIL PROTECTED] (David W. Hankins) wrote: > On Mon, Apr 17, 2006 at 02:05:41PM -0400, Jared Mauch wrote: > >Back to the original question, how well could you cope for such > > an event? It's always challenging to think about what would happen > > as sometimes

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Marshall Eubanks
Hello; On Apr 18, 2006, at 1:53 PM, David W. Hankins wrote: On Mon, Apr 17, 2006 at 02:05:41PM -0400, Jared Mauch wrote: Back to the original question, how well could you cope for such an event? It's always challenging to think about what would happen as sometimes it includes the une

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread David W. Hankins
On Mon, Apr 17, 2006 at 02:05:41PM -0400, Jared Mauch wrote: > Back to the original question, how well could you cope for such > an event? It's always challenging to think about what would happen > as sometimes it includes the unexpected. All the guidance suggests you're going to lose as mu

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Tue, 18 Apr 2006 22:34:45 +0530, Suresh Ramasubramanian said: > Probably sell them a product where b/w is burstable to a much higher > level - at least for short periods of time, to deal with sudden use > spikes (or to create extra capacity for those periodic trojan > outbreaks that will otherw

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Suresh Ramasubramanian
On 4/18/06, Martin Hannigan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Vendors like it because it's a revenue boost. It obviously requires > build-ahead > capacity and maintenance of overload capacity that will likely sit > idle for 99% > of it's life span. Who pays? > > [ ..hears ISP product managers scurry

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-18 Thread Michael . Dillon
> I think a lot of people would love to know just how they plan > to make that happen. :-) Well, they could require companies to test their ability to handle homeworking by having employees work from home on some kind of rota system. This would change traffic patterns quite a bit and that could c

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Martin Hannigan
At 09:50 PM 4/17/2006, Christopher L. Morrow wrote: On Mon, 17 Apr 2006, David W. Hankins wrote: > In a www.washingtonpost.com article: > > http://tinyurl.com/s2jpz > > It is said: > > President Bush is expected to approve soon a national pandemic > influenza response plan

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Robert Boyle
At 09:50 PM 4/17/2006, Christopher L. Morrow wrote: How about this idea... are your corporate VPN services (assuming there is one aside fromm 'ssh to the bastion host' of course) prepared to double/quadruple/more-uple their normal concurrent user counts? During the fallout of Katrina we observed

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Christopher L. Morrow
On Mon, 17 Apr 2006, David W. Hankins wrote: > In a www.washingtonpost.com article: > > http://tinyurl.com/s2jpz > > It is said: > > President Bush is expected to approve soon a national pandemic > influenza response plan that identifies more than 300 specific > tasks fo

RE: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Barry Greene (bgreene)
> (Back in the days of dial-up, I had a lot of trouble > connecting to Bell Labs on snow days. No rule, and the place > was officially open for business. But everyone just did the > rational thing.) I think the point is to start capacity and contingency planning now. Is your VPN infrastru

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Steven M. Bellovin
On Mon, 17 Apr 2006 14:05:41 -0400, Jared Mauch <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Back to the original question, how well could you cope for such > an event? It's always challenging to think about what would happen > as sometimes it includes the unexpected. > Quite. One case of bird flu in

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Jared Mauch
On Mon, Apr 17, 2006 at 10:07:38AM -0700, David W. Hankins wrote: > In a www.washingtonpost.com article: > > http://tinyurl.com/s2jpz > > It is said: > > President Bush is expected to approve soon a national pandemic > influenza response plan that identifies more than 300 spec

Re: Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread Fergie
Oh, that _is_ rich. ;-) I think a lot of people would love to know just how they plan to make that happen. :-) - ferg -- "David W. Hankins" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: In a www.washingtonpost.com article: http://tinyurl.com/s2jpz It is said: President Bush is expected to app

Is your ISP Influenza-ready?

2006-04-17 Thread David W. Hankins
In a www.washingtonpost.com article: http://tinyurl.com/s2jpz It is said: President Bush is expected to approve soon a national pandemic influenza response plan that identifies more than 300 specific tasks for federal agencies, including [some stuff and] expanding