RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-22 Thread Frank Bulk
se. Frank -Original Message- From: Roderick Beck [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Tuesday, January 22, 2008 4:45 AM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; nanog@merit.edu Subject: Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial Hi Frank, My impression is that IP networks are

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-22 Thread Scott McGrath
Consumers have been conditioned through advertising that 'bigger is better' so bigger numbers imply a better service in their minds. Look at the current flat panel TV size madness there is a formula for calculating the size of a display based on distance to the viewer I live in a older house

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread Scott McGrath
I think a rate limited plan would appeal to most customers as it would give them a fixed monthly budget item. But I am pretty sure this will not happen in the US based on experiences with the broadband by cell providers who prefer a 'bill-by-byte' method with no mechanism to stop loss in th

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread Frank Bulk
TED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Monday, January 21, 2008 5:36 PM To: nanog@merit.edu Subject: RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial > There are symmetric versions for all of those. But ever > since the dialup days (e.g. 56Kbps modem

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread Frank Bulk
[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Monday, January 21, 2008 4:47 PM To: Frank Bulk Cc: nanog@merit.edu Subject: RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial On Mon, 21 Jan 2008, Frank Bulk wrote: > You're right, the major cost isn't the bandwidth (at least the in the U.

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread michael.dillon
> There are symmetric versions for all of those. But ever > since the dialup days (e.g. 56Kbps modems had slower reverse > direction) consumers have shown a preference for a bigger > number on the box, even if it meant giving up bandwidth in > the one direction. > > For example, how many peo

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread Sean Donelan
On Mon, 21 Jan 2008, Frank Bulk wrote: You're right, the major cost isn't the bandwidth (at least the in the U.S.), but the current technologies (cable modem, DSL, and wireless) are thoroughly asymmetric, and high upstreams kill the performance of the first and third. There are symmetric versi

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-21 Thread Frank Bulk
TECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Alex Rubenstein Sent: Sunday, January 20, 2008 2:02 PM To: Taran Rampersad; nanog@merit.edu Subject: RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial Am I the only one here who thinks that the major portion of the cost of having a custom

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Mark Foster
The big advanatge of these plans is that the cost is fixed even if I've used up all my alotted transfer. This is the success of systems that implement rate limiting (not additional charging) once a specified ceiling has been reached. It provides some fiscal security that y

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread michael.dillon
> There's a missing piece here. You'd need a way to go from the > 1-gige interfaces that commodity hardware can keep up with to > the 10gige-plus interfaces that the backbone requires. Or you could stick with 1G circuits and rely on wavelengths and laying more fiber to take up the slack. Not to

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread michael.dillon
> Yes there are P2P pigs out there but a more > common scenario is the canonical "Little Old Lady in a Pink Sweater" > with a compromised box which is sending spam at a great rate. >Should > she pay the $500 bill when it arrives or would a more prudent > and rational approach be like som

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Mark_Andrews
Another view from OZ. I've got a plan that is labeled as Unlimited (12G) Cable. 12G/M (12:00:00-23:59:59) 24G/M (00:00:00-12:59:59) (Disappears if the base 12G is used up) Once the 12G is used up it drops to 64k. Every 4th month is free as I also

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Mark Newton
On 21/01/2008, at 7:53 AM, Jeff Johnstone wrote: All of these discussions ignore the developments taking place in the consumer electronics marketplace. A quick glance at this years consumer electronics show in Vegas shows a HUGE variety of home, mobile and automobile consumer devices using

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Alex Rubenstein
> If we define "customer" to be an average user of the provided service, and > bandwidth to be transit pipe cost, then no, bandwidth is not the major cost > of their service. However, if you're advertising an 'unlimited' service > and want to keep your promises, you can't plan your network aro

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Rod Beck
ct: RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial > > As long as the companies convince people that the "cap" is large > > enough to be essentially the same as unmetered then most people won't > > care and will take the savings. I don't

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Jeff Johnstone
On Jan 20, 2008 12:03 PM, Mark Foster <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > For example, on my residential DSL service i've used 4.7G this month. With > 1/3 of the month left, I have more than half of my self-selected 10Gig cap > available. (And I grabbed at least two CD ISO's the other day.) > > The

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Matthew Palmer
On Sun, Jan 20, 2008 at 03:02:15PM -0500, Alex Rubenstein wrote: > > > > As long as the companies convince people that the "cap" is large > > > enough to be essentially the same as unmetered then most people > won't > > > care and will take the savings. > > I don't agree. > > When we sold b

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Mark Foster
On Sun, 20 Jan 2008, Buhrmaster, Gary wrote: My guess is the market will work this out. As soon as it's implemented, you'll see AT&T commercials in that town slamming cable and saying how DSL is "really unlimited". If I were the DSL companies, I would consider advertising with a commerci

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Alex Rubenstein
> > As long as the companies convince people that the "cap" is large > > enough to be essentially the same as unmetered then most people won't > > care and will take the savings. I don't agree. When we sold boatloads of dialup in the mid to late 90's, people did not like caps, no matter how

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Buhrmaster, Gary
> My guess is the market will work this out. As soon as it's implemented, > you'll see AT&T commercials in that town slamming cable and saying how DSL > is "really unlimited". If I were the DSL companies, I would consider advertising with a commercial recalling the fable of the tortoise and t

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Joe Greco
> I think the point is that you need to get buyers to segregate = > themslevesinto two groups - the light users and the heavy users. By = > heavy users I mean the 'Bandwidth Hogs' (Oink, Oink) and a light user = > someone like myself for whom email is the main application. Afterall the = > problem

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Buhrmaster, Gary
> To put it another way, they do not give you a better price > per minute if you go and deposit $2400 in your prepaid account. Actually, AT&T did (when I last looked at at least one of their prepaid plans a year or so ago for a friend). Deposit $100, get a $20 "bonus". Or something like that.

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Rod Beck
enemy of truth.'' Albert Einstein. -Original Message- From: Marshall Eubanks [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Sun 1/20/2008 2:37 PM To: Rod Beck Cc: Scott McGrath; Rod Beck; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Patrick W. Gilmore; nanog@merit.edu Subject: Re: An Attempt at Economically Rati

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Taran Rampersad
Matthew Moyle-Croft wrote: As long as the companies convince people that the "cap" is large enough to be essentially the same as unmetered then most people won't care and will take the savings.The other angle is to convince the 95% of customers that caps will actually deliver them a faste

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Marshall Eubanks
On Jan 20, 2008, at 12:06 PM, Joe Greco wrote: However, if you look, all the prepaid plans that I've seen look suspiciously like predatory pricing. The price per minute is substantially higher than an equivalent minute on a conventional plan. Picking on AT&T, for a minute, here, look at th

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Taran Rampersad
Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: On Jan 19, 2008, at 4:25 PM, Taran Rampersad wrote: Rod Beck wrote: Ironically, the Net Neutrality debate is about the access providers trying to impose usage-based pricing through the backdor - on the content providers. It goes without saying I oppose it. It's th

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Rod Beck
Hi Andrew, I don't think it is obvious that it is too expensive to justify metering in today's environment. Such a claim was definitely true a few years ago when end users were mostly sending email, instant messages, and downloading web pages, but innovation has probably changed the outcome of

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Joe Greco
> > However, if you look, all the prepaid plans that I've seen look > > suspiciously > > like predatory pricing. The price per minute is substantially > > higher than > > an equivalent minute on a conventional plan. Picking on AT&T, for a > > minute, > > here, look at their monthly GoPhone

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Andrew Odlyzko
Such caps, if they are high enough, may be a reasonable compromise. As Mark Newton wrote a few days ago, about Australia, The more sensible end of town pays about $80 per month for about 40 Gbytes of quota, give or take, depending on the ISP. After that they get shaped to 64 kbps unless

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Marshall Eubanks
On Jan 19, 2008, at 3:25 PM, Rod Beck wrote: If service is metered, it doesn't imply 25 cents a minute. It would probably be based on bytes transferred and would probably be less expensive for the bulk of users than the current flat rate pricing. If the cable companies are telling the tru

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Matthew Moyle-Croft
Simon Leinen wrote: While I think this is basically a sound approach, I'm skeptical that *slightly* lowering prices will be sufficient to convert 80% of the user base from flat to unmetered pricing. Don't underestimate the value that people put on not having to think about their consumption.

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Simon Leinen
Stupid typo in my last message, sorry. > While I think this is basically a sound approach, I'm skeptical that > *slightly* lowering prices will be sufficient to convert 80% of the > user base from flat to unmetered pricing. [...] "METERED pricing", of course. -- Simon.

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Simon Leinen
Frank Bulk writes: > Except if the cable companies want to get rid of the 5% of heavy > users, they can't raise the prices for that 5% and recover their > costs. The MSOs want it win-win: they'll bring prices for metered > access slightly lower than "unlimited" access, making it attractive > for

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 19, 2008, at 11:37 AM, Joe Greco wrote: Mikael Abrahamsson writes: Customers want control, that's why the prepaid mobile phone where you get an "account" you have to prepay into, are so popular in some markets. It also enables people who perhaps otherwise would not be eligable becau

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-20 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 19, 2008, at 4:25 PM, Taran Rampersad wrote: Rod Beck wrote: Ironically, the Net Neutrality debate is about the access providers trying to impose usage-based pricing through the backdor - on the content providers. It goes without saying I oppose it. It's the end users who decide w

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Frank Bulk - iNAME
anuary 19, 2008 2:25 PM To: Scott McGrath; Rod Beck Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Patrick W. Gilmore; nanog@merit.edu Subject: RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial If service is metered, it doesn't imply 25 cents a minute. It would probably be based on bytes transfer

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Taran Rampersad
Rod Beck wrote: Ironically, the Net Neutrality debate is about the access providers trying to impose usage-based pricing through the backdor - on the content providers. It goes without saying I oppose it. It's the end users who decide what they view and hence ultimately generate the traffi

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Rod Beck
If service is metered, it doesn't imply 25 cents a minute. It would probably be based on bytes transferred and would probably be less expensive for the bulk of users than the current flat rate pricing. If the cable companies are telling the truth, roughly 5% of their customers generate 50% of th

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Joe Greco
Condensing a few messages into one: Mikael Abrahamsson writes: > Customers want control, that's why the prepaid mobile phone where you get > an "account" you have to prepay into, are so popular in some markets. It > also enables people who perhaps otherwise would not be eligable because of > bad

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Scott McGrath
-- From: Scott McGrath <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Fri, 18 Jan 2008 17:00:19 To:"Patrick W. Gilmore" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Cc:nanog@merit.edu Subject: Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial Why does the industry as a whole keep trying to drag us ba

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-19 Thread Rod Beck
- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of David Conrad Sent: Fri 1/18/2008 11:06 PM To: Scott McGrath Cc: North American Network Operators Group Subject: Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial On Jan 18, 2008, at 2:00 PM, Scott McGrath wrote: > Why does the indust

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Matthew Moyle-Croft
If the cheap flatrate broadband were to go away and be replaced by a metered one, we as an industry need to figure out how to do billing in a customer-friendly manner. We do not have much experience with this in many markets. Us Aussies have PLENTY of experience and are willing to travel an

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread William Herrin
On Jan 18, 2008 4:16 PM, <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Sooner or later, somebody is going to try to apply Google's > approach to hardware in a network backbone. Imagine a network > backbone with no Cisco or Juniper boxes in it, just lots of > commodity boxes with triple-redundancy everywhere (quin

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread James R. Cutler
As many universities found out long ago after installing Centrex lines in dormitory rooms, the quote below is not correct. Only, in telco-land, extended call duration was what used up the available connection paths. No, I don't know how many Erlangs. On Jan 18, 2008, at 3:53 PM, Patrick

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread David Conrad
On Jan 18, 2008, at 2:00 PM, Scott McGrath wrote: Why does the industry as a whole keep trying to drag us back to the old days of Prodigy, CompuServe, AOL and really high rates per minute of access. Because they want to make more money and not be a provider of a commodity (see: NGN)? Re

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Steve Gibbard
On Fri, 18 Jan 2008, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: On Jan 18, 2008, at 3:11 PM, Michael Holstein wrote: The problem is the inability of the physical media in TWC's case (coax) to support multiple simultaneous users. They've held off infrastructure upgrades to the point where they really can't of

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Scott McGrath
Why does the industry as a whole keep trying to drag us back to the old days of Prodigy, CompuServe, AOL and really high rates per minute of access. I am old enough to remember BOS>c202202 The 'Internet' only took off in adoption once flat rate pricing became the norm for access. Yes

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Brandon Galbraith
On Jan 18, 2008 2:53 PM, Patrick W. Gilmore <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > IOW: Usage-based billing makes sense commercially, whether you are a > propeller-head or a bell-head. > > And since Internet providers tend to be for-profit businesses, doing > what "makes sense commercially" is kinda requi

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Mark Newton
On 19/01/2008, at 6:41 AM, Michael Holstein wrote: My guess is the market will work this out. As soon as it's implemented, you'll see AT&T commercials in that town slamming cable and saying how DSL is "really unlimited". Meanwhile, on TWC where downloading the entire Internet over bitto

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 18, 2008, at 4:01 PM, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: On Jan 18, 2008, at 3:11 PM, Michael Holstein wrote: My guess is the market will work this out. As soon as it's implemented, you'll see AT&T commercials in that town slamming cable and saying how DSL is "really unlimited". P.S. Perha

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 18, 2008, at 3:11 PM, Michael Holstein wrote: The problem is the inability of the physical media in TWC's case (coax) to support multiple simultaneous users. They've held off infrastructure upgrades to the point where they really can't offer "unlimited" bandwidth. TWC also wants to

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 18, 2008, at 3:06 PM, Tomas L. Byrnes wrote: I always find it interesting that people with a telco background keep trying to go back to the ma bell days and ways, even as the telcos themselves are abandoning those models for phone service. I am not at all certain that is what is happen

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Sean Donelan
On Fri, 18 Jan 2008, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote: If the cheap flatrate broadband were to go away and be replaced by a metered one, we as an industry need to figure out how to do billing in a customer-friendly manner. We do not have much experience with this in many markets. Caps/fair use plans

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Michael Holstein
Some restuarants are all-you-can-eat and others are pay by portion. None of the nice ones. Then again, the nicer restaurants have a portion size that reflects the higher cost. The problem is the inability of the physical media in TWC's case (coax) to support multiple simultaneous users.

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Mark Radabaugh
Mikael Abrahamsson wrote: I'm also looking forward to the pricing, all the per-byte plans I have seen so far makes the ISP look extremely greedy by overpricing, as opposed to "we want to charge fairly for use" that is what they say in their press statements. I see it more as an experiment

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson
On Fri, 18 Jan 2008, Patrick W. Gilmore wrote: Right. And mobile phones, which you admit are more difficult to understand and manage, have clearly been a disastrous failure. By your analogy, we should expect this to be a slightly less disastrous failure. (Would that Time Warner were so luck

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Quinn Kuzmich
> Of course, there are ways around this, such as pricing the "base GB" > below the unlimited plans. Then parents who surf the web for 20 > minutes a day might beat their kids into turning off eDonkey and save > some cash. Suddenly _everyone_ is happy - except the kids. But since > they don't pa

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Patrick W. Gilmore
On Jan 18, 2008, at 1:57 PM, Mikael Abrahamsson wrote: On Fri, 18 Jan 2008, Rod Beck wrote: http://www.ecommercetimes.com/rsstory/61251.html So, anyone but me think that this will end in disaster? Possibly. But I do not think it for the same reason you do. I think the model where you ge

RE: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Rod Beck
Do other industries have mixed pricing schemes that successfully coexist? Some restuarants are all-you-can-eat and others are pay by portion. You can buy a car outright or rent one and pay by the mile. Roderick S. Beck Director of European Sales Hibernia Atlantic 1, Passage du Chantier, 75012 P

Re: An Attempt at Economically Rational Pricing: Time Warner Trial

2008-01-18 Thread Mikael Abrahamsson
On Fri, 18 Jan 2008, Rod Beck wrote: http://www.ecommercetimes.com/rsstory/61251.html So, anyone but me think that this will end in disaster? I think the model where you get high speed for X amount of bytes and then you're limited to let's say 64kilobit/s until you actually go to the web pa