[singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
Hi, For anyone who is curious about the talk Ten Years to the Singularity (if we Really Really Try) that I gave at Transvision 2006 last summer, I have finally gotten around to putting the text of the speech online: http://www.goertzel.org/papers/tenyears.htm The video presentation has been

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
Hi Joshua, Thanks for the comments Indeed, the creation of a thinking machine is not a typical VC type project. I know a few VC's personally and am well aware of their way of thinking and the way thir businesses operate. There is a lot of technology risk in the creation of an AGI, as

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Bo Morgan
Ben, My A.I. group of friends (was: CommonSense Computing Group, and is now more scattered) has been trying to do an open-source development for a set of programs that are working toward human-scale intelligence. For example, Hugo Liu's commonsense reasoning toolkit, ConceptNet, was ported

Re: Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
My main reason for resisting the urge to open-source Novamente is AGI safety concerns. At the moment Novamente is no danger to anyone, but once it gets more advanced, I worry about irresponsible people forking the codebase privately and creating an AGI customized for malicious purposes... This

Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Chuck Esterbrook
Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in different wars throughout history, are the numbers raw or divided by the population size? -Chuck On 12/11/06, Ben Goertzel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Hi, For anyone who is curious about the talk Ten Years to the Singularity (if we

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
The exponential growth pattern holds regardless of whether you normalize by global population size or not... -- Ben On 12/11/06, Chuck Esterbrook [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in different wars throughout history, are the numbers raw or

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Chuck Esterbrook
Darn. On 12/11/06, Ben Goertzel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: The exponential growth pattern holds regardless of whether you normalize by global population size or not... -- Ben On 12/11/06, Chuck Esterbrook [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in