Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Terry Blanton
On Thu, Jan 17, 2013 at 6:21 PM, Mark Gibbs wrote: > What if Watson concludes LENR is a load of baloney? I would enjoy a nice baloney sandwich.

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
I wrote: > The thing is, Watson would feel no contraction between this response and > the one he gave a minute before. He would not recognize that if the second > response is true, it invalidates the first one. That is too high a level of > abstraction for Watson, and for many people. > As far a

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Harry Veeder
On Thu, Jan 17, 2013 at 6:21 PM, Mark Gibbs wrote: > On Thu, Jan 17, 2013 at 3:14 PM, Jones Beene wrote: > >> >> What if the entire corpus of physics is loaded, and Watson concludes that >> LENR is the superior energy solution for the future of humanity, far more so >> than hot fusion or fission

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
I doubt that Watson can be "aware of" what you might call high level contradictions. Many people have trouble sensing these. Suppose you ask Watson: "Given cancer X in condition Y, what is the best treatment?" It goes through the literature and comes up with an answer. Next question: "Among pu

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread James Bowery
If anyone ever gets serious about advancing artificial intelligence, they'll fund The Hutter Prize for Lossless Compression of Human Knowledgeat something like the risk adjusted net present value of artificial intelligence. If that happens, truly interesting things will

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Alan Fletcher
> From: "David Roberson" > Sent: Thursday, January 17, 2013 5:04:15 PM > Watson would be shut down due to lack of funding. >> What if the entire corpus of physics is loaded, and Watson concludes >> that LENR is the superior energy solution for the future of humanity, >> far more so than hot fusi

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread David Roberson
Watson would be shut down due to lack of funding. Dave -Original Message- From: Jed Rothwell To: vortex-l Sent: Thu, Jan 17, 2013 7:30 pm Subject: Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"? Jones Beene wrote: What if the entire corpusof

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Mark Gibbs wrote: > What if Watson concludes LENR is a load of baloney? > Seriously? That would not surprise me. I have been reading about Watson and the methodology, because I am interested in natural language processing, translation and so on. Watson does not do much synthesizing. It parses

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jones Beene wrote: > What if the entire corpus of physics is loaded, and Watson concludes that > LENR is the superior energy solution for the future of humanity, far more > so than hot fusion or fission ? > That would be hysterical! - Jed

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Mark Gibbs
Just consider, whatever conclusion, other than "I don't know", Watson might come to, it will please no one no matter how logical it might be ... or rather seem to be. And rightly so because unless Watson concludes "I don't know" the question of whether Watson had enough data or the right data or th

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Daniel Rocha
Most people would not be surprised, so it's kind of boring. 2013/1/17 Mark Gibbs > On Thu, Jan 17, 2013 at 3:14 PM, Jones Beene wrote: > > >> ** >> >> What if the entire corpus of physics is loaded, and Watson concludes that >> LENR is the superior energy solution for the future of humanity, f

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Mark Gibbs
On Thu, Jan 17, 2013 at 3:14 PM, Jones Beene wrote: > ** > > What if the entire corpus of physics is loaded, and Watson concludes that > LENR is the superior energy solution for the future of humanity, far more > so than hot fusion or fission ? > > ** > What if Watson concludes LENR is a lo

RE: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jones Beene
From: Jed Rothwell Whoa! I just thought of an interesting scenario. That article says that the first application they intend to use Watson for his cancer treatment recommendations. Suppose they feed Watson the entire corpus of cancer research, and he concludes that cancer treatment has no eff

Re: [Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread John Berry
Only if you don't feed it any info from natural therapies (and alternative). On Fri, Jan 18, 2013 at 11:55 AM, Jed Rothwell wrote: > Whoa! I just thought of an interesting scenario. > > That article says that the first application they intend to use Watson for > his cancer treatment recommendatio

[Vo]:Suppose Watson tells people "cancer treatment does not work"?

2013-01-17 Thread Jed Rothwell
Whoa! I just thought of an interesting scenario. That article says that the first application they intend to use Watson for his cancer treatment recommendations. Suppose they feed Watson the entire corpus of cancer research, and he concludes that cancer treatment has no effect on the prognosis. So