Friday, January 6, 2012
Does the UN think Dodd-Frank has "backfired"?

The UN Group of Experts' most recent report was released just before
the New Year . Unfortunately, it did not receive much coverage in
either local or international press, despite its detailed research
into the financing and arming of armed groups in the eastern Congo.
Other highlights include a Hollywood-worthy case of gold smuggling
involving a basketball star, a war criminal and American businessmen;
and how Burundian opposition politicians are dabbling in armed
rebellion.


I will be posting an interview with the Group here shortly about the
whole report, but let's first take a look at one issue that did
receive coverage in the press: conflict minerals. A Reuters article
published on Friday, December 30 was headlined "Conflict Minerals
Crackdown Backfiring in the Congo," and suggested the Group's report
had concluded that the Dodd-Frank legislation in the United States had
failed by pushing the mineral trade underground.


This produced consternation at the UN. Members of the Group of Experts
were alarmed, as this was not the impression they had tried to give in
the report. In an emailed comment, Steve Hege - who is in charge of
armed groups for the Group of Experts - wrote to Congo Siasa:
[The story's] content and headline misrepresented the Group’s findings
on the impact on Dodd Frank bill in the eastern DRC. As per our
previous letter to the SEC, the Group of Experts findings and
recommendations have remained consistent that the U.S. legislation on
supply chain due diligence in Central Africa has overall been quite
positive and a critical catalyst for reform.
Advocacy groups in the US were also jerked from their New Year
revelry, as this news came almost at the same time as the Securities
and Exchange Commission announced yet another delay in the issuing of
regulations to enforce the Dodd-Frank bill and the prospects of a
watering-down of these rules appeared to grow.


So what does the Group's report say?


Unsurprisingly, the report steers somewhere between the stark
opposites of "Dodd-Frank is going to bring peace to the eastern Congo"
and "Dodd-Frank has plunged hundreds of thousands into misery." On the
one hand, it says that the yet-to-be-enforced legislation (as well as
the recent California state law) has led to a steep fall in production
in the eastern Congo, producing "rising unemployment and worsened
poverty among the tens of thousands of people who depend on artisanal
mining, with a consequent sharply negative impact for the economies of
the affected regions as a whole." (para. 368) In addition, there has
been an increase in smuggling of ores, which has benefited select
military officers.


But it also says that the legislation and advocacy efforts have led to
a shift in mineral production from conflict to non-conflict sites,
bringing about "a reduction in the level of conflict financing
provided by these minerals." In particular, sites in northern Katanga
and Rwanda that have begun complying with due diligence guidelines
have seen an increase in production (although the Group also warns
that some minerals appear to be smuggled into Rwanda and then passed
off as "clean.")


Given this nuanced picture, what should the US government do? Steve Hege again:
The only solution to these outcomes is for the SEC to publish its
rules expeditiously which should allow responsible commercial actors
to begin once again purchasing minerals from the Kivus while
conducting supply chain due diligence in compliance with the UN Group
of Experts and OECD guidelines. This can happen if the key concept of
mitigation is incorporated into the SEC rules allowing for purchases
of supply chains where military criminal network involvement is
identified provided that they can demonstrate time-bound progress in
marginalizing military involvement.


This sentiment is echoed in the Group's submission to the Securities
and Exchange Commission from October 21, 2011:
Scrapping or weakening Dodd Frank is not the solution to [these
problems]. The solution is for SEC regulations to incorporate the UN
Group of Experts and OECD due diligence guidelines' concept of
mitigation. Mitigation allows companies purchasing from mines where
FARDC criminal networks are in operation to continue purchasing
provided they have put in place mitigation strategies and can prove
they are working. [my emphasis]
By this, the Group is referring to their own due diligence guidelines
(see here), which were endorsed by the Security Council in 2010, and
which place greater emphasis on risk-mitigation than the Dodd-Frank
law.


Posted by Jason Stearns at 12:55 AM

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