Salva Kiir: Losing the plot in South Sudan?

[April 17th, 2013. Juba, South Sudan]


At the centre of South Sudan’s current troubles, one man stands out.
His name is David Yauyau a rebel leader, who commands a rebel group in
Jonglei State, which is one of the 10 states that make up South Sudan.
Jonglei is the largest state by area in South Sudan. It is north of
Juba and borders Ethiopia.

The recent killing of 12 people: five UN peacekeepers from India, two
United Nations Mission in South Sudan (UNMISS) staffers and five
civilians, has cast the spotlight on Yauyau and the South Sudanese
military apparatus. A former theologian, Yauyau became a rebel when
his efforts to become Member of Parliament for Gumruk in the Jonglei
state assembly in 2010 failed.

In 2011, President Salva Kiir extended an amnesty to Yauyau who
appears to have despised this move as in April 2012, he rebelled
again. The SPLA government has accused Yauyau of masterminding the
recent attack, which was condemned by the UN Secretary General Ban Ki
Moon who said, “The killing of peacekeepers is a war crime that falls
under the jurisdiction of the International Criminal Court.”

South Sudanese Peoples Liberation Army (SPLA), has over 15,000 troops
in Jonglei. So why is the region troubled? Colonel Phillip Aguer, the
SPLA spokesman, has accused rebels loyal to Yauyau of masterminding
the attack.

But in a swift rejoinder Yauyau has refuted all allegations saying
that his rebel band does not control Gumruk in Pibor County, where the
attack occurred. “We made our position very clear in the statement we
released yesterday when we learned that we have been implicated in the
attack which occurred in area which is completely not under our
control,” Yauyau said. “The United Nations Mission in South Sudan is
free to conduct an investigation into the killings.”

Emerging concerns

Critical concerns have emerged after the killings of the UN troops.

Colonel Peter Konyi Kubrin, who is the spokesperson of the Yauyau
movement, has also refuted the allegations linking Yauyau to the
killings of UN peacekeepers in Jonglei noting that the blame lies
squarely with SPLA.

“The incident took place in an area entirely under the control of the
government forces. If there is anything, they should answer what
happened,” Col. Kubrin says. “This incident is like the last year
attack on the United Nations peacekeepers on similar mission when they
were attacked by the same group. It was the SPLA which brought down
the UN aircraft.”

The chopper incident that Col. Kubrin is referring to occurred in
December 2012 when the SPLA shot down a UN helicopter, killing the
four Russian nationals who served as the helicopter’s crew. The SPLA
later apologized saying it was a mistake. Yauyau’s rebels have pointed
to this event, noting that SPLA is using its tactical errors as
propaganda and trying to hide its “cleansing operations” in Jonglei.

Allegations of state-sponsorship

The altercations in Jonglei in recent weeks may have resulted in the
Khartoum government backing Yauyau, an allegation made by Juba which
is yet to be independently verified. Neither Yauyau nor Khartoum
denied the claim.

As it appears, disarmament is a major concern in Jonglei for Juba and
the Yauyau rebels. According to Yauyau, the UN-led disarmament,
demobilisation and reintegration programme (DDR) has been handled
badly by the Juba administration exposing his minority Murle community
to armed attacks. “One of the issues we have raised with different
groups who have approached us including political leaders from Jonglei
is the issue of security of our people. We told them we are not
against disarmament but it must be done in a way that does not make
others become vulnerable, especially those who have been disarmed,”
Yauyau said. “Our people accepted to voluntarily surrender their
weapons but what happened, they became victims of the project. Their
houses were burned, thousands were killed. This shows that the
disarmament was a deliberate exercise against our people. It was
cleansing. They wanted to wipe out our people.”

The disarmament issue in Jonglei has brought the SPLA into sharp
focus. Several human rights organizations have since last year accused
SPLA of fanning inter-communal fighting and provoking ethnic related
skirmishes. Dr David de Chand, chairman of the South Sudanese
Democratic Front (SSDF) has openly accused SPLA of deploying “secret
tactics of committing genocide, war crimes, and crimes against
humanity as well as ethnic cleansing under the pretext of the DDR
Program in the last few years and drastically failed in the process
because the DDR had been conducted unfairly.”

Last year Human Rights Watch accused SPLA of widespread rape, torture
and the killing of civilians in Pibor County. Then SPLA Commander in
Jonglei, Gen. Kuol Diem Kuol denied all allegations. In the last two
year cattle raids and inter communal fighting has left over 2000 dead.
The inter-communal fighting in Pibor County mainly involves members of
the minority Murle, Luo Nuer and Dinka Bok ethnic groups.

Kiir’s new tactic

“Operation Restore Peace” which is SPLA’s banner for Jonglei’s DDR, is
overseen by SPLA commander General Peter Gadet Yaak. Just like Yauyau,
Gen. Gadet also shares the same history. He once rebelled against the
SPLA government in Unity state. By deploying Gen. Gadet to conduct
disarmament in Jonglei, analysts have seen a clever play by President
Salva Kiir. Security watchers say President Kiir is seeking to have
Gadet prove his mettle and loyalty while at the same time using the
battle loving General in the politically sensitive zone said to have
vast reserves of oil and gas act as buffer in case of repercussions.

In March skirmishes between the SPLA and Yauyau rebels resulted in
some 160 people being killed. The SPLA later claimed that the army had
killed 140 rebels. While the government has made claims of securing
much of the territory in Jonglei, it is now emerging that this is not
true.

Last week Juba ordered additional troops to be sent to Jonglei
indicating that the so called rag-tag army of Yauyau was inflicting
heavy damages to SPLA after it changed its tactics from direct combat
to guerilla warfare. Kiir’s hold on power is slowly unraveling. It
would appear that he is most likely to go the Yoweri Museveni route of
constantly reshuffling the military and being engaged with a rebel
group for years.

-- 
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
"South Sudan Info - The Kob" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email 
to [email protected].
To post to this group, send email to [email protected].
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/groups/opt_out.


Reply via email to