>murdoch wrote:
>
>  They seem to want energy independence for the U.S., but
> > only if it doesn't hurt their cronies.  They have the priority of 
>better energy
> > policy, but it is subverted to at least one higher priority, aka 
>Exxon-Mobil et.
> > al. (under guise of giving due consideration to the rationale for 
>staying with
> > much of the fossil fuel paradigm).
> >
>
>I wonder, how much of the concern for big oil is actually concern for
>all the people who work in oil related jobs?  I am working for a
>sustainable world, so don't get me wrong, but what do we do with the
>people that are employed in the un-sustainable one?  I am not speaking
>of the educated engineers or management, but the guys out in the field,
>who number in the thousands, quite probably hundreds of thousands.  The
>people who have no education, but have families to support.  Also, the
>clerks, dispatchers, and basic mechanics, that will need to be retrained.
>
>While I may be unusual, about half of the people I know, including my
>husband work in an oil field related job that will disappear.  We are
>working to get my other half out of there, [and he has the education to
>be employed elsewhere] but to find jobs and careers for all these people
>is going to dislocate the economy, big time, if done too quickly.
>
>Let me say again, I do want to see the end of big oil.  I am also aware
>of the impact it is going to have, which is rarely mentioned.  I have
>seen mention that the oil cracking plants could be changed to biofuel
>plants, but what about oil field service, which is a huge industry?
>
>Just some thoughts on a Monday morning.
>
>Bright Blessings,
>Kim

Hi Kim

It would seem there are more jobs in the alternatives, and probably 
better jobs, in more ways than one. For example:

>In general, the oil industry does not employ a lot of people per 
>dollar invested. "If one is concerned with jobs as a key objective, 
>it's probably one of the poorest choices one can make to invest, of 
>almost any industry."

[More below.]

 From a letter from Todd:

>Negawatts is the anti-fossil and anti-nuclear activist's ace in the hole.
>
>It is the reduction of energy presently being used, without necessarily
>reducing the all important "comfort level" or "standard of living."
>
>In layman's terms, it means conservation and efficiency, with great emphasis
>on efficiency.
>
>Primarily, it means doing the same or more with less.
>
>To compare, a coal or nuclear plant can take between 3 & 10 years to
>construct.
>
>A Negawatt plant (an "energy efficiency power plant") of equal output can be
>"constructed" in as little as several months, for generally half the cost.
>
>In the end, the impetus of Negawatts transferred to the employment market is
>generally 2.5 jobs created through Negawatt industries, such as compact
>fluorescents, window tints, shades, insullation, weather stripping, etc, to
>1.0 jobs created by new generation.

>Recent history shows that Americans - often criticized for being 
>wasteful of energy - have made great strides. Since the first "oil 
>shock" of 1973, the US economy has grown nearly five times faster 
>than energy use, according to the federal Department of Energy. 
>While gross domestic product (GDP) more than doubled over the past 
>20 years, energy use rose just 26 percent.
>Most of this improvement has come through the use of more 
>energy-efficient appliances, buildings, manufacturing processes, and 
>transportation. Much of this was prompted by a stick-and-carrot 
>government approach of new standards and incentives.
From: Saving energy by the "negawatt"
The Christian Science Monitor
http://www.csmonitor.com:80/durable/2001/05/29/p2s1.htm

Typical case:

>After a referendum shut down the troubled nuclear plant that had 
>provided nearly half Sacramento's power, investments in efficiency 
>and new, diverse, and often decentralized and renewable supplies 
>replaced it reliably at lower cost. Moreover, university analysts 
>found that five years' investments in electric efficiency had 
>boosted county economic output by $185 million and added 2,946 
>employee-years of net jobs.
From: Energy Forever
By Amory B. Lovins and L. Hunter Lovins (see separate post)
http://www.prospect.org/print/V13/3/lovins-a.html

With a great quote from Yamani:
>Ex-Saudi Oil Minister Sheikh Yamani is the latest of several energy 
>experts to say that "the Stone Age did not end because the world ran 
>out of stones, and the Oil Age will not end because the world runs 
>out of oil."

>Modern efficiency technologies can put another $300 billion a year 
>back in Americans' pockets.
>Producing such biofuels locally bypasses vulnerable pipelines and 
>provides more jobs.
From: THE 800-MILE LONG CHAPSTIK... 
...And Other Tales of Domestic Energy Insecurity
Amory B. Lovins (see separate post)
http://www.tompaine.com/feature.cfm/ID/4651

The ANWR debate (?) provided some interesting information.

>Jerry Hood, secretary treasurer for the Alaska Teamsters, said 
>drilling for oil in ANWR would create "a lot of employment for the 
>American worker -- 735,000 jobs nationwide at a time when we have 
>lost 400,000 jobs since the first of the year in this country."
>
>That's a lot of jobs if Hood's estimate is correct, but is it? If 
>ANWR ever does become an oil field, the Teamsters may well be 
>disappointed.
>
>It turns out that Hood's estimate is drawn from a decade-old Wharton 
>Econometric Forecasting Association study commissioned by the 
>American Petroleum Institute (API), Big Oil's Washington trade 
>association and lobby shop.
>
>API's own support for its study seemed soft in recent interviews.
>
>"It's a 12-year-old study done by a very reputable company, whether 
>or not it's still accurate is something we don't know for sure," 
>Bill Hickman, of API's communications department, told TomPaine.com.
>
>The institute's chief economist, John Felmy, defended the study but 
>appeared to hedge.
>
>"It's clear that the study is still in the ballpark of what the 
>potential impact on jobs would be," he said. "There's no question to 
>me that you'd generate hundreds of thousands of jobs in that general 
>area."
>
>But environmentalists and some economists reject the new-jobs claim.
>
>Michael Renner, a senior researcher at the Worldwatch Institute, a 
>public policy group, called the API estimate "implausible."
>
>"The number to me sounds pretty outrageous because the entire 
>employment in U.S. oil and gas extraction, at this point, isn't that 
>large and it keeps going down," he said. "It's true, of course, that 
>you would get a lot in construction of roads and laying pipeline and 
>putting down all kinds of facilities and that stuff, but that's very 
>short-term employment. It comes and it goes," Renner said.
>
>In general, the oil industry does not employ a lot of people per 
>dollar invested. "If one is concerned with jobs as a key objective, 
>it's probably one of the poorest choices one can make to invest, of 
>almost any industry," Renner said.
>
>Neil Elliot of the American Council for an Energy Efficient Economy 
>(ACEEE) agreed. "It's just not that much," he said. "You are just 
>not opening up that big a field, and the payroll cost associated 
>with that would drive the cost of the oil out the roof. It would not 
>be economic."
>
>According to a 1994 Economic Policy Institute study, drilling in 
>ANWR would only create 55,000 new jobs, or less than 8 percent of 
>API's prediction.

From: Looking For Jobs In All The Wrong Places
Shortsightedness Prevails at Leading Labor Unions
http://www.tompaine.com/opinion/2001/09/18/index.html

Negawatts and biofuels are the best bet, for everything and everyone, 
including employment.

Regards

Keith


Biofuel at Journey to Forever:
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