Todd,

Sorry, a typo, it should be swing capacity of 2.5 million barrels a day not 
billions.

Hakan

At 03:35 PM 2/21/2003 +0100, you wrote:

>Todd,
>
>I am worried about all the things that can go wrong for US,
>
>- The bombing of Perl Harbor and the declaration of war, was not an attempt
>to invade US. It was an attempt to scare US to lift the oil blockade on
>Japan. It was a gross misjudgment in US resolve and willingness to go to
>war and more in the industrial capacity to recover and wage war in the
>remote areas of Pacific.
>
>- US involvement in Europe was key efforts in material and to save Europe
>from being occupied by the Soviets. Without this assistance the Western
>alliance would not had the resources to land in Europe and the likelihood
>that Stalin would have crushed Hitler on his own is very large.
>
>- Germany did not have energy resources and not the time to develop the
>ones they occupied in Middle East. They were disturbed by the locals and
>the Western alliance.
>
>- Germany who was betting on a far larger support in the countries they
>occupied, did not get it and made large mistakes in appointing puppet
>regimes. At the end the Germans was too few to control their emerging
>empire on their own. They had clear indications of local support, but when
>they got in, it was not enough to maintain peaceful occupations. They
>honestly thought that the puppet regimes had larger popular support and
>could maintain order, Instead they had to take the policing task, even in
>Italy who was one of the allies.
>
>I am afraid that US is taking the same chances and maybe find themselves
>doing the same mistakes. Iraq is not going to use WMD, they will try to
>destroy the oil reserves to be useless for at least one or two decades.
>They will also try to do the same with the Saudi and Kuweit oil and if they
>only are half successful, they will do more harm to the world, and
>especially US, than any possible WMD.
>
>The Iraqi population is more than 50% under 16 years old. They only know a
>very large hatred against US and the sanctions who killed so many of their
>friends. They are also well indoctrinated and that is very powerful. How
>can US even dream of a US friendly democracy or even a sustainable puppet
>regime? I cannot belive that the US government themselves think they will
>be able to do what they want the world and the US population to belive.
>Even if US initially can limit the destruction of the oil fields, they take
>a risk of continuous sabotage from a widespread resistance movement. This
>resistance movement will spread to other oil producers and the most
>effective target will be the oil production. With only a swing production
>capacity of 2,5 billion barrels per day, it does not take much to bring the
>world into a very deep recession and problems in maintaining war efforts.
>
>In the long run I do not believe in a development in US that would move
>towards a Bush dictatorship and I agree with your points. I do belive in
>that the American people never could be domesticated and I also believe
>that this is the case in many countries. It is however a large risk for
>something like a third world war, different than the previous ones of
>course. The world population is now beginning to see US as the largest
>threat to world peace and maybe they are right. Before US have change their
>policies and restored the democracy, US and the world will have problems of
>a disastrous magnitude. The Genie is out of the bottle and will be
>difficult to put back.
>
>It is not the world doctrine "coup" I am worried about, it is the chain of
>events that it will start.
>
>Hakan
>
>
>It is too many things
>
>At 01:46 AM 2/21/2003 -0500, you wrote:
> >Hakan,
> >
> >I think you need not worry terribly long about a world doctrine "coup." The
> >global perspective relative to my nation will not long last as being one of
> >a moral and pricipled "lighthouse"of free nations at the rate she is going
> >and at the helm of her present leadership.
> >
> >I'm greatly concerned that the previous "isolationist" policy of our present
> >administration will quickly become a reality, but one of isolationism as a
> >result of the global politic disassociating itself due to the attempts of
> >dominance and control, inclusive of the corporate sector.
> >
> >Other nations are worn weary of having to always deliberate what the
> >repercussion of US response to any thought process or recourse will be, so
> >much so that their path is not one of self direction, but helmed by US
> >disposition, disgruntlement and practiced disenfranchisement.
> >
> >The attempt to buy Turkey's consent with guarantees of monetary aid to
> >compensate for any economic disruption caused by a war with Iraq is but one
> >of the most recent incidents.
> >
> >As for the program, it was a well constructed, factual and historical piece.
> >What I found was the emotion that it tended to stir in those who viewed it.
> >Many have forgotten the way the Persian Gulf war ended and how the present
> >situation has evolved as a continuation of a previous administration's
> >decision to withdraw its support for a definitive end.
> >
> >I see two primary resultsof the program's airing (and viewing):
> >
> >1) an acquantance (or reacquaintance) with the behind the scenes history (as
> >it was titled). Unfortunately the "history" only went back 11 years and
> >didn't broach the decade of US contribution to Iraq power prior to the
> >Persian Gulf War.
> >
> >2) a (re)stirring of the emotion of regret for the fact that the US withdrew
> >from the 1991 action and left thousands to face slaughter as a result of
> >reprisals.
> >
> >However, the impossible part for anyone to identify with the piece is any
> >justification for military action in present terms, beyond the playing upon
> >old sentiments. The administration's position for this particular stance was
> >reiterated throughout. Yet not once was any justification, predicated upon
> >the US' own criteria, given.
> >
> >But that is not what the program was intended to do - only give "inside"
> >historical background.
> >
> >Yet again, that is what the entire world (short of the US) demands.
> >
> >Unfortunately, I don't seriously believe that my country can provide
> >anything but more assertions, allegations and press releases of incredulous
> >disbelief, (waving years old documents and assertions) with its greatest
> >stock and faith being placed in either the hope that military intervention
> >will yield the "proofs" that it has said already exist and that at minimum
> >the US populace will be forgiving if nothing becomes evidentiary in the
> >aftermath of an invasion.
> >
> >No doubt many will use September 11th as justification for "forgiveness" (or
> >simply justification) whether there be any finding or not.
> >
> >I'm afraid that no matter what anyone thinks or believes of the present Iraq
> >leadership, my country's leadership is perfectly willing to sell this nation
> >down the river in the hopes that at minimum national opinion will win the
> >day.
> >
> >And while this nation is not led by "focus groups," it is unfortunately
> >presently being led more by anger, desperation and retribution, rather than
> >simple fact.
> >
> >And should all five carrier air wings be "employed" in the irradication of
> >Iraqis? The US will have isolated itself even further, to the point that we
> >may quickly become (as Europeans and others already greatly perceive us) the
> >greatest threat to global peace that the world has yet seen....every bit the
> >threat that communism was once perceived to be.
> >
> >A complete reversal of the pendulum....
> >
> >Todd Swearingen
> >
> >----- Original Message -----
> >From: "Hakan Falk" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> >To: <biofuel@yahoogroups.com>
> >Sent: Thursday, February 20, 2003 9:10 PM
> >Subject: Re: [biofuel] PBS - The War Behind Closed Doors
> >
> >
> > >
> > > Dear Todd,
> > >
> > > I read trough the material and since I am not in US, I have to wait
> > > to the 25th to view it.
> > >
> > > What I have read is very frightening and dangerous. I really hope that
> > > they will be stopped, but fear that this will take some time and
> >suffering.
> > > Being at my age I might not live to see it.
> > >
> > > I have very large doubts that 4% of the worlds population, even if all
> > > of them were united, could in the long run pull of any world dominance
> > > doctrine. Even if they could balance the resistance at home with support
> > > and participation abroad, it would still be only around 5% of the world
> > > population. It is many weak and naive points in the doctrine. One of the
> > > fundamentals is that the world should be democratized. If this would
> > > be the case, who says that the majorities in the democracies will side
> > > with US interests and opinions at the end.
> > >
> > > As in WWII, energy resources will be the key and this time US will
> > > find themselves very vulnerable. Maybe they will have to abandon this
> > > about democracies, to look after their own interests. If we for a moment
> > > strip out all the horror from WWII and only look at the grand strategies,
> >it
> > > is many parallels.
> > >
> > > I want to see the program before I go further and the above is only my
> > > reaction and reflections, that in my mind are attached to any superiority
> > > doctrine. It is scary!!!
> > >
> > > Hakan
> > >
> > >
> > > At 07:33 PM 2/20/2003 -0500, you wrote:
> > > >I would say this bears repeating. It runs this eve...
> > > >...............................
> > > >   On Feb. 20, 2003  "The War Behind Closed Doors" examines the hidden
> > > >   story of what is really driving the Bush administration to war with
> >Iraq.
> > > >   Are the publicly reported reasons - Saddam's weapons of mass
> > > >   destruction and U.S. strategic interests in the Middle East - only
> > > >   masking the real reason for war?
> > > >   FRONTLINE unravels a story known only to Washington insiders.
> > > >   http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/
> > > >
> > > >   Find Your Local  [USA]  Television Schedule
> > > >     Enter your zip code  -OR-
> > > >     Select a State or Territory
> > > >   http://www.pbs.org/whatson/index.html
> > > >
>
>
>
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