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Darryl

-------- Original Message --------

>
>Methane's Impacts on Climate Change May Be Twice Previous Estimates
>http://www.nasa.gov/vision/earth/lookingatearth/methane.html
>07.18.05
>
>Even on a cold winter day, standing inside a greenhouse can be
>downright balmy if the sun is shining outside. The glass lets the sun's
>warming rays in, but doesn't let as much of that warmth escape
>outdoors. Our Earth is much like that greenhouse, where a mixture of
>gases in our atmosphere acts together like a pane of glass, letting the
>sun's rays in, and without letting as much warmth escape out to space.
>
>Singling out how much each greenhouse gas (GHG) contributes overall to
>climate warming can be a tricky task. When it comes to measuring the
>impacts of greenhouse gases on our climate, scientists typically look
>at how much of each gas exists in the atmosphere.
>
>However, Drew Shindell, a climatologist at NASA's Goddard Institute for
>Space Studies, New York, NY, believes we need to look at the GHGs when
>they are emitted at Earth's surface, instead of looking at the GHGs
>themselves after they have been mixed into the atmosphere. "The gas
>molecules undergo chemical changes and once they do, looking at them
>after they've mixed and changed in the atmosphere doesn't give an
>accurate picture of their effect," Shindell said. "For example, the
>amount of methane in the atmosphere is affected by pollutants that
>change methane's chemistry, and it doesn't reflect the effects of
>methane on other greenhouse gases," said Shindell, "so it's not
>directly related to emissions, which are what we set policies for."
>
>Once GHGs like methane and the molecules that create ozone are released
>into the air, these gases mix and react together, which transforms
>their compositions. When gases are altered, their contribution to the
>greenhouse warming effect also shifts. So, the true effect of a single
>GHG emission on climate becomes very hard to single out.
>
>The leading greenhouse gases include carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous
>oxide, and halocarbons. These gases are called â??well mixedâ?? greenhouse
>gases because of their long lifetimes of a decade or more, which allows
>them to disperse evenly around the atmosphere. They are emitted from
>both man-made and natural sources. Ozone in the lower atmosphere,
>called tropospheric ozone or smog, also has greenhouse warming effects.
>In the upper atmosphere, ozone protects life on Earth from the sunâ??s
>harmful ultraviolet rays.
>
>Some of the major investigations into the state of our warming planet
>come from a series of reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on
>Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment. These reports involved the work of
>hundreds of climate experts. The reports rely on measurements of
>greenhouse gases as they exist in the atmosphere, after they may have
>mixed with other gases.
>
>Shindell finds there are advantages to measuring emissions of
>greenhouse gases and isolating their impacts, as opposed to analyzing
>them after they have mixed in the atmosphere. His study on the subject
>was just published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters.
>
>According to new calculations, methane's effect on warming the world's
>climate may be double what is currently thought. The new
>interpretations reveal methane emissions may account for a whopping
>third of the climate warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases between
>the 1750s and today. The IPCC report states that methane increases in
>our atmosphere account for only about one sixth of the total effect of
>well-mixed greenhouse gases on warming.
>
>Part of the reason the new calculations give a larger effect is that
>they include the effect methane has on air pollution. A major component
>of air pollution is near-surface-level or tropospheric ozone, which is
>not directly emitted, but is instead formed chemically from methane
>other hydrocarbons, carbon monoxide and nitrogen oxides. The IPCC
>report includes the effects of tropospheric ozone increases on climate,
>but it is not attributed to particular sources. By categorizing the
>climate effects according to emissions, Shindell and colleagues found
>the total effects of methane emissions are substantially larger. In
>other words, the true source of some of the warming that is normally
>attributed to smog is really due to methane that leads to increased
>smog.
>
>"If we control methane, which is viable, then we are likely to soften
>global warming more than one would have thought, so that's a very
>positive outcome," Shindell said.
>
>Sources of methane include natural sources like wetlands, gas hydrates
>in the ocean floor, permafrost, termites, oceans, freshwater bodies,
>and non-wetland soils. Fossil fuels, cattle, landfills and rice paddies
>are the main human-related sources.
>

-- 
Darryl McMahon
It's your planet.  If you won't look after it, who will?

The Emperor's New Hydrogen Economy (now in print and eBook)
http://www.econogics.com/TENHE/


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