Rachel's Democracy & Health News #958, May 8, 2008

*THE GLOBAL FOOD CRISIS*

[Rachel's introduction: With food riots threatening to destabilize 40
countries, we examine some of the causes of the rising food crisis
worldwide. Yes, it has something to do with growing corn to make ethanol
fuel for our inefficient automobiles, but there's more to it than that.]

By Peter Montague

Global food prices have risen
83%<http://www.precaution.org/lib/ethanol_from_corn.080415.htm>in the
last 3 years. This spring, as prices rose steeply, food
riots<http://www.precaution.org/lib/drought_creates_rice_shortage.080417.htm>broke
out in Haiti, Egypt, Cameroon, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Ethiopia,
Uzbekistan, Yemen, the Philippines, Thailand, Indonesia and Italy, among
other places. Because U.S. energy policy subsidizes farmers to grow corn to
make ethanol (alcohol that can supplement gasoline), the U.S. is being
accused of feeding its sport utility vehicles (SUVs) instead of feeding
people. There is some truth to this charge, but it's more complicated than
that.[1]

The global food crisis has been created by a combination of things, among
them:

** Climate changes, perhaps related to global warming, such as the recent
large cyclone in Myanmar, the epic drought going on now in Australia, floods
last year in North Korea, and years of low rainfall in the western U.S.,
among other costly weather changes. Australia used to export enough rice to
feed 20 million people, but six years of drought have cut their rice
yield<http://www.precaution.org/lib/new_economics_of_hunger.080427.htm>by
98%. Australia used to be the world's second-largest exporter of
wheat,
but the drought has changed that, too. "A big reason for higher wheat
prices... is the multi-year drought in Australia, something scientists say
may become persistent because of global warming," according to the Washington
Post <http://www.precaution.org/lib/u.n._calls_for_ag_revolution.080416.htm>
.

** U.S. farmers have been growing less wheat since the mid-1990s in favor of
more-reliable soybeans and better-subsidized corn. "Wheat's biggest problem
is its susceptibility to disease, which has turned many farmers against it,"
explains Dan 
Morgan<http://www.precaution.org/lib/emptying_the_breadbasket.080429.htm>in
the Washington Post.

** Rising oil prices <http://www.precaution.org/lib/big_thirst.080420.htm>,
caused partly by rising demand for oil in China and India (and in U.S.
SUVs), and partly by diminished supply caused by the Iraq
war<http://www.precaution.org/lib/grains_gone_wild.080407.htm>.
Because of rising oil prices, the cost of transporting food has
doubled<http://www.precaution.org/lib/u.n._calls_for_ag_revolution.080416.htm>in
the last year alone. Furthermore, the price of
fertilizer<http://www.precaution.org/lib/rising_price_of_fertilizer.080430.htm>is
tightly linked to the price of oil and has been rising for about five
years. Use of fertilizer in the third world increased 56% between 1996 and
2008.

Increasingly it is looking as though the "peak oil" moment has arrived --
the moment when half the Earth's available oil has been extracted. After
that "peak oil" moment, oil prices are expected to zig-zag upward more or
less steadily <http://www.precaution.org/lib/big_thirst.080420.htm>.

** The demand for
meat<http://www.precaution.org/lib/we_wont_all_become_vegans.080418.htm>is
growing in the third world as our own meat-heavy diet is increasingly
adopted world-wide. It takes about 700 calories of animal feed to produce a
100-calorie piece of red meat, so a shift to a meat-rich diet requires large
increases in grains, which in turn requires greater use of expensive
fertilizers, which in turn raises the demand for oil.

** As the soaring price of oil has increased the cost of tansporting food,
economies as diverse as Argentina, Brazil, Egypt, India, Vietnam and the
Ukraine (among others) have been feeling inflationary pressures, and
have restricted
food exports <http://www.precaution.org/lib/rice_cartel.080501.htm> in an
attempt to hold down domestic food prices. This has reduced food available
on the global market.

** So-called "free trade" policies have caused some previously
self-sufficient nations to become food importers. This occurs in several
ways <http://www.precaution.org/lib/man-made_famine.080415.htm>. First, the
World Bank and the International Monetary Fund require loan recipients to
make "structural adjustments" in the way they do business. For example, they
must open their grain markets to competition from U.S. farmers, who are
subsidized by Uncle Sam to the tune of $300 billion per
year<http://www.precaution.org/lib/ag_politics-as_usual.080424.htm>).
Competition from cheap, subsidized U.S. crops tends to drive small local
farmers out of business and off their land. Second, "structural adjustment"
often demands a reduction of social safety nets, so when a food crisis hits
the remaining infrastructure can't manage. Third, stockpiling food is
officially discouraged (a mountain of available food interferes with the
"free market"). Thus an important cushion against hunger has been
eliminated. A classic case is Haiti<http://www.american.edu/TED/haitirice.htm>,
which used to be self-sufficient for its main staple crop -- rice -- but now
is a rice importer, increasingly subject to the whims of commodity
speculators and agribusiness corporations.

** Commodity speculators. Food has become "the new
gold<http://www.precaution.org/lib/new_economics_of_hunger.080427.htm>."
"Investors fleeing Wall Street's mortgage-related strife plowed hundreds of
millions of dollars into grain futures, driving prices up even more,"
the Washington
Post 
reported<http://www.precaution.org/lib/new_economics_of_hunger.080427.htm>April
27. Rising food prices have attracted hedge fund speculators, who have
helped create a "bubble" in food prices. "As financial markets have tumbled,
food prices have soared," acknowledges Robert
Zoellick<http://www.precaution.org/lib/u.n._calls_for_ag_revolution.080416.htm>,
president of the World Bank.

** The U.S. Department of Agriculture's land conservation program pays
farmers to not grow crops on some of their land. About 8% of U.S.
cropland<http://www.precaution.org/lib/farmers_expand_acreage.080409.htm>--
some 37 million acres, larger than the state of New York -- lies
fallow
as a result of this program. This is good for ducks and pheasant and it
reduces soil srosion, but it also reduces available crops, holding crop
prices higher than they might otherwise be (which is one purpose of the
program).

** And lastly, in the U.S. at least, we spend huge amounts of money feeding
our pets<http://www.precaution.org/lib/08/prn_health_food_for_pets.080409.htm>.
I know I am touching the third rail here, but someone has got to mention
this 900-pound gorilla in the room.

The American Pet Products Manufacturers Association expects Americans to
spend about $43.4 billion on their pets in 2008, up from $41.2 billion in
2007. About $16.9 billion of
that<http://www.precaution.org/lib/08/prn_health_food_for_pets.080409.htm>will
be spent on pet food.

Meanwhile President Bush has proposed that Congress should dedicate $770
million for food aid to a hungry
world<http://www.precaution.org/lib/bush_offers_770m_food_aid.080502.htm>.
"The American people are generous people, and they're compassionate people,"
Mr. Bush said, announcing his new food aid plan. "We believe in a timeless
truth: to whom much is given, much is expected."

The President's gift of $770 million to the world's 100 million hungriest
people represents 4.6% of what we spend each year feeding Fido and Kitty.
(And, by the way, we are spending $770 million every 42
hours<http://www.precaution.org/lib/war_costing_5000_per_second.080323.htm>in
Iraq.)

But maybe our pet food priorities are not as skewed as they may first
appear. Take a look at this ad, which I noticed recently in a local
Supermarket.

 [image: Ad for Purina beef stew dog food -- for dogs or humans?]

If it weren't for the little dog in the picture, and if it weren't a Purina
ad, you might think this was an ad for human food. Just look at that lucious
heaping plate -- *a white dinner plate* -- of red meat and vegetables. Who
would turn that down?

Personally, I feel certain that this Purina ad is aiming to sell dog food
not only to Fido's master, but also to those impoverished U.S. citizens who
must seek food aid each year to alleviate their hunger -- 25 million people
in 2006 <http://www.hungerinamerica.org/> and rising. So maybe we're not
spending $16.9 billion merely to feed our pets. Maybe we're actually
spending part of $16.9 billion providing dog food to some of the tens of
millions of U.S. citizens who otherwise could not afford a meal. Perhaps
this is a thinly-veiled free-market answer to hunger in America.

==============

[1] The U.S. is currently putting 20 to 25% of its corn acreage into ethanol
production, producing roughly 8 billion gallons of
ethanol<http://www.precaution.org/lib/corn_fuels_cars.080430.htm>in
2007, but the entire U.S. ethanol industry is still small, valued at
only
$40 billion 
<http://www.precaution.org/lib/right_biofuels_needed.080424.htm>total
-- equivalent to one years's net profits of a large oil company like
Exxon, which reported netting $40.6 billion in 2007. The United Nations Food
and Agriculture Organization
estimates<http://www.precaution.org/lib/ethanol_from_corn.080415.htm>that
ethanol from corn (in the U.S. and Europe) is responsible for 10 to
15%
of the rise in global commodity prices. The International Food Policy
Research Institute in Washington, D.C.
says<http://www.precaution.org/lib/ethanol_from_corn.080415.htm>25% to
33% of the rise in global food prices can be explained by ethanol
production from corn.

-- 
"The risk it takes to remain tight inside the bud is more painful than the
risk it takes to blossom."  Anais Nin
_______________________________________________
For more information about sustainability in the Tompkins County area, please 
visit:  http://www.sustainabletompkins.org/ 

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