[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

| In an attempt to illustrate the feedbacks and their effect on oil
| price, I have created some Causal Loop Diagrams (CLDs), which
| systems thinkers have found provide insights about how system
| feedback structures generate likely scenarios of system dynamics,
| the behavior over time of variables that are important to
| understand, like future trends in the world price of oil.
|
| Although I am an admitted amateur at this kind of systems science,
| I will send a copy of these CLDs and accompanying analysis to
| TCLocal, and to anyone who asks.

With Karl's permission, I have uploaded his analysis to

http://www.ibiblio.org/tcrp/econ/20081014/Feedback_Effects_on_Short_to_Medium_Term_Oil_Prices.pdf

A piece describing the methodology used in the analysis can be
found at

http://www.ibiblio.org/tcrp/econ/20081014/Systems_Thinking_for_Problem_Solvers.pdf

The two files can be downloaded together from

http://ibiblio.org/tcrp/econ/20081014/20081014north.zip

Jon


_______________________________________________
For more information about sustainability in the Tompkins County area, please 
visit:  http://www.sustainabletompkins.org/ 

RSS, archives, subscription & listserv information for:
[email protected]
http://lists.mutualaid.org/mailman/listinfo/sustainabletompkins
free hosting by http://www.mutualaid.org

Reply via email to