The Centre for Time presents a special seminar, today (Wednesday 3 Dec) at
3:30pm — all welcome.

Venue: McRae Room, S418, Main Quad

Pre-talk: 2pm in the usual place (S413).


Jossi Berkovitz (Toronto/Centre for Time) :: "The World According to de
Finetti"

ABSTRACT: Bruno de Finetti is one of the founding fathers of the
subjectivist school of probability, where probabilities are interpreted as
rational degrees of belief. His work on the relation between the axioms and
theorems of the probability calculus and rationality is among the corner
stones of modern subjective probability theory. De Finetti maintained that
rationality requires that an agent's degrees of belief be coherent. A common
view has it that degrees of belief are coherent just in case they are
represented by a probability function. I propose that de Finetti had a
somewhat different view: an agent's degrees of belief are coherent if they
could be represented by a set of probability functions, each of which
corresponds to a subset of the agent's degrees of belief in propositions
that can in principle be jointly verified. On this view, coherence imposes
weaker constraints on degrees of belief. I then consider the implications of
this interpretation of de Finetti for probabilities in quantum mechanics,
focusing on the EPR/Bohm experiment and Bell's theorem.



-- 

Centre for Time
Department of Philosophy
Main Quad, A14
University of Sydney
NSW 2006
Australia

T: +61 2 9351 4057
F: +61 2 9351 3918
W: http://www.usyd.edu.au/time/
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