The journal "PLoS Biology" has an article that does an economic
analysis of irreproducible research.  Here is the reference:

Freedman LP, Cockburn IM, Simcoe TS (2015) The Economics
of Reproducibility in Preclinical Research. PLoS Biol 13(6): e1002165.
doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1002165

The article is available for free on the PLoS website; see:
http://journals.plos.org/plosbiology/article?id=10.1371/journal.pbio.1002165

The mass media has started to cover this article and one website
is "The Scientist"; see:
http://www.the-scientist.com//?articles.view/articleNo/43205/title/The-Cost-of-Irreproducible-Research/

Quoting the Scientist article:

|Just about half of all basic life science research is flawed
|to the point that it cannot be replicated, according to an
|analysis published in PLOS Biology yesterday (June 9).
|These "irreproducible" studies end up costing around
|$28 billion annually in the U.S.

So, as psychologists, should we be worried?  Consider:

(1) The limited analysis provided in the article indicates that
about 50% of preclinical biological research is irreproducible
(expect this number to change as more information about
more research becomes available; if you're a pessimist,
it will go up, if you are an optimist, it will go down, if you are
a realist, you're wondering WTF!?!?!).  The good news is
no matter how bad psychological research is, it probably
has a much lower rate of failure to replicate.

(2) The cost of the irreproducible research is about $24B/year.
The good news:  given the low cost of most psychological
research, the cost associated with irreproducible psychological
research is probably much, much less.

So, what can we say about the field of psychological research
relative to preclinical biological research?  Simple:

Don't worry, be happy. ;-)

-Mike Palij
New York University
[email protected]

P.S.  If you are happy and giving off happy odors, remember
that this is a real black eye for scientific research and serves
as evidence for people who are anti-science.  Moreover,
we must be doing something very wrong if our students and
colleagues are doing such messed up research.


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