Stuart, I think predict is a logical choice for describing variables that are significantly associated without having an experimentally proven cause-effect relationship.
Relative to the risk factors for Alzheimer's, talk about a hot bottom research issue that is becoming tiresome and certainly resulting in stress for many---another 'risk factor' for this disease BTW! I appreciate learning how important exercise and low levels of sugar are to the prevention of cognitive deficits but really. . . Whatever, an interesting research article follows that reviews the behaviors of baby boomers that "predict" who will not developing cognitive deficits through one's 80's. http://centerforhealthyaging.com/Baby%20Boomers%20OJIN%20final%20from%20web.pdf Most of us have read the dire predictions of the dramatic rise in Alzheimer's that should be expected due to the aging of the baby boomers. However, articles that deal with the here and now versus statistical analysis based on past rates of this disease have discovered that the percentage of this disease is going down not up. https://www.statnews.com/2016/11/21/dementia-rate-decline/ So folks, have a lovely evening jog or walk followed by wild blueberries in yogurt as these two factors predict the maintenance of a healthy brain! Joan PS Oh and do sleep on your left side henceforth. https://www.statnews.com/2016/11/21/dementia-rate-decline/ > Dear Tipsters, > > Opinion seems to be coalescing around avoiding âeffectâ for any kind > of correlations design. Jim has suggested a number of useful terms in that > case. We might also consider saying that one variable (or group of > variables) âpredictsâ another one. > > That would leave the term âeffectâ to mean cause and effect in > experiments and Chrisâs statistical effect. > > How does this seem for a summary? > > Stuart > > > ___________________________________________________________________________ > "Floreat Labore" > > [cid:image001.jpg@01D11876.FED84950] > "Recti cultus pectora roborant" > > Stuart J. McKelvie, Ph.D., Phone: 819 822 9600 x 2402 > Department of Psychology, Fax: 819 822 9661 > Bishop's University, > 2600 rue College, > Sherbrooke, > Québec J1M 1Z7, > Canada. > > E-mail: stuart.mckel...@ubishops.ca<mailto:stuart.mckel...@ubishops.ca> > (or smcke...@ubishops.ca<mailto:smcke...@ubishops.ca>) > > Bishop's University Psychology Department Web Page: > http://www.ubishops.ca/ccc/div/soc/psy<blocked::http://www.ubishops.ca/ccc/div/soc/psy> > > Floreat Labore" > > [cid:image002.jpg@01D11876.FED84950] > > [cid:image003.jpg@01D11876.FED84950] > ___________________________________________________________________________ > > > > > From: Jim Clark [mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca] > Sent: July-19-17 1:34 PM > To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS) > Subject: RE: [tips] Opinions needed > > > > Hi > > One thing to consider with respect to use of effect would be whether there > are more precise alternatives. There are a number of phrases that capture > the âeffectâ without using that term. One mentioned earlier was > ârelationship.â Others would be âcorrelated with,â ârelated > to,â âcovaried,â âassociated with,â and probably others. Given > such alternatives, use of âeffectâ could easily be avoided and prevent > incorrect inferences. One exception would be Chrisâs point about > statistical effects. > > Take care > Jim > > From: Carol DeVolder [mailto:devoldercar...@gmail.com] > Sent: 19-Jul-17 5:31 PM > To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS) > <tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu<mailto:tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu>> > Subject: Re: [tips] Opinions needed > > > > Hi Annette, > I didn't hear about the hearing loss risk factor, but I did hear about the > sleep one. The thought is that sleep apnea is associated with poor quality > sleep and promotes the formation of beta amyloid and tau proteins. Poor > quality sleep (too little or interrupted) seems to be a stressor, > resulting in build up of stress-related proteins. Since sleep apnea is > associated with controllable factors such as obesity and use of breathing > stabilizers (e.g., CPAP), it is something one can reduce. Now the hearing > one is a different story, and I would have to agree that it might be > correlated in the same way that loss of olfaction is related, but not > necessarily a risk factor. That's my take on it, but then again, I'm not a > stats person by any means. > Carol > > > On Wed, Jul 19, 2017 at 9:07 AM, Annette Taylor > <tay...@sandiego.edu<mailto:tay...@sandiego.edu>> wrote: > > > Back in the good old days....when I was in graduate school...I > specifically being told by my advisor that "effect" could not be used in a > title unless it was a clearly causal effect. So this does err on the side > of emphasizing causal. Nevertheless, I also heard somewhere from someone > (???) that the reason that the APA guidelines reduced the maximum number > of words for a title in APA style was to focus on the actual variables in > the title and eliminate any suggestion of "effect" in the title to reduce > the abuse of the term "effect" > > Now, it makes for splashier headlines when your study gets published and > people can talk about something BY INFERENCE "causing" something else > simply because it is systematically linked with it. > > Finally, on a similar topic, I woke up this morning to a news story about > "risk factors" for Alzheimer's and my immediate thought was, how are these > things "risk factors?" Specifically it mentioned hearing loss and sleep > apnea. My understanding of a "risk factor" when talking about health > research is that these are things that are either set: a family history of > ....xyz; or something we can manage such as obesity or smoking. So hearing > loss may be associated with Alzheimer's, might predict that some amount of > the variance in developing Alzheimer's is accounted for by something like > hearing loss. But is the use of the phrase "risk factor" correct in this > instance. > > Again, it seems to be a phrase that is being abused, much like "effect" is > being abused. > > Early morning musings--so they might be mushy. > > Annette > > Annette Kujawski Taylor, Ph.D. > Professor, Psychological Sciences > University of San Diego > 5998 Alcala Park > San Diego, CA 921210 > tay...@sandiego.edu<mailto:tay...@sandiego.edu> > > On Tue, Jul 18, 2017 at 10:00 PM, Teaching in the Psychological Sciences > (TIPS) digest > <tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu<mailto:tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu>> wrote: > Subject: Opinions needed > From: Dap Louw <lou...@ufs.ac.za<mailto:lou...@ufs.ac.za>> > Date: Tue, 18 Jul 2017 18:27:55 +0000 > Tipsters > > I am well aware that (and often frustrated by) all sorts of buzz words, > concepts, theories, etc become the flavour of the month/year in > organizations, including universities. I would therefore appreciate your > viewpoint on the following, especially as research methodology is not my > field of specialization: > > To what extent can we measure 'effect'? In the last 40 years in > Psychology I've been involved in hundreds of studies on "The effect of > ......... (television on ...; poverty on ....., etc, etc)". BTW, when I > used ' "the effect of" psychology' in Google Scholar search I got 2 460 > 000 results. However: > > According to the latest recommendations of our University's Research > Committee we cannot measure effect unless you make use of especially the > longitudinal design. Therefore any title such as "The effect of > ......... (television on ...; poverty on ....., etc, etc)" is unacceptable > and should be replaced by "the perceived effect of ....." or something > similar. Is this a case of methodology or semantics? > > I look forward to hearing from you. It's high time to get the TIPS ball > rolling again! > > Regards from this side of the ocean. > > Dap > > --- > > You are currently subscribed to tips as: > devoldercar...@gmail.com<mailto:devoldercar...@gmail.com>. > > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=177920.a45340211ac7929163a0216244443341&n=T&l=tips&o=51065 > > (It may be necessary to cut and paste the above URL if the line is > broken) > > or send a blank email to > leave-51065-177920.a45340211ac7929163a0216244443...@fsulist.frostburg.edu<mailto:leave-51065-177920.a45340211ac7929163a0216244443...@fsulist.frostburg.edu> > > > > -- > Carol DeVolder, Ph.D. > Professor of Psychology > St. Ambrose University > 518 West Locust Street > Davenport, Iowa 52803 > 563-333-6482 > > > > --- > > You are currently subscribed to tips as: > j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca<mailto:j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca>. > > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=3229968.90f21a83d5f62f052ba84a49e2f91291&n=T&l=tips&o=51066 > > (It may be necessary to cut and paste the above URL if the line is > broken) > > or send a blank email to > leave-51066-3229968.90f21a83d5f62f052ba84a49e2f91...@fsulist.frostburg.edu<mailto:leave-51066-3229968.90f21a83d5f62f052ba84a49e2f91...@fsulist.frostburg.edu> > > --- > > You are currently subscribed to tips as: > smcke...@ubishops.ca<mailto:smcke...@ubishops.ca>. > > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=13510.2cc18398df2e6692fffc29a610cb72e3&n=T&l=tips&o=51069 > > (It may be necessary to cut and paste the above URL if the line is > broken) > > or send a blank email to > leave-51069-13510.2cc18398df2e6692fffc29a610cb7...@fsulist.frostburg.edu<mailto:leave-51069-13510.2cc18398df2e6692fffc29a610cb7...@fsulist.frostburg.edu> > > --- > You are currently subscribed to tips as: jwarm...@oakton.edu. > To unsubscribe click here: > http://fsulist.frostburg.edu/u?id=49240.d374d0c18780e492c3d2e63f91752d0d&n=T&l=tips&o=51070 > or send a blank email to > leave-51070-49240.d374d0c18780e492c3d2e63f91752...@fsulist.frostburg.edu > --- You are currently subscribed to tips as: arch...@mail-archive.com. 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