These last two messages are veering off-topic for this WGLC thread, as well as 
for the TLS WG list. You are, obviously, free to continue this discussion 
privately.

spt

> On Apr 28, 2026, at 12:23, Jacob Appelbaum <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Hi Daniel,
> 
> On 4/27/26 15:32, Daniel Apon wrote:
> 
>> Hi Jacob,
>> If you're going to allege a grand conspiracy, it's important to get the 
>> basic facts correct, or you'll lose the plot. :)
> 
> 
> I am not alleging a grand conspiracy. I cited public records, internal
> documents, press reporting, and standards history in [0], [1], [2], [3],
> [4], [5], [6], and [7]. Those materials are part of a historical record,
> not speculation. PROJECT BULLRUN, targeting of TLS, and Dual_EC_DRBG are
> part of that context [2][3][4]. My involvement in that history was as an
> investigative journalist and security researcher. Our work followed the
> plot(s) fairly well and if you have comments to the contrary, please be
> specific and say so directly.
> 
> A grand conspiracy could probably be a fair characterization of what was
> uncovered in the Summer of Snowden. It was refreshing to read that
> framing from a former NIST/MITRE person, until I understood you to mean
> that I was the one making the allegation.
> 
> Please note, however, that those allegations were backed by former US
> IC personnel and contractors who came forward with documents, testimony,
> or both. There has still been essentially no meaningful transparency or 
> accountability for most of those programs, especially PROJECT BULLRUN and 
> specifically the Dual_EC debacle.
> 
>> You wrote: " - NIST cryptographers are required to carry a clearance with 
>> lifetime obligations and to consult with NSA in a way that binds them to 
>> secrecy under threat of serious penalty"
>> This is simply false.
> 
> 
> Which part exactly is false?
> 
> The sentence you quoted was also not a free-standing accusation. It was
> part of a longer point about why SIKE being broken should not be treated
> as a vindication of the NIST process. SIKE not being standardized was a
> good outcome. It does not follow that NIST deserves most of the credit,
> or that a process which advanced SIKE deep into consideration should be
> treated as fully reassuring.
> 
> On the clearance point, the category matters. I was referring to NIST
> cryptographers in a NIST/NSA consultation context, not every intern,
> foreign guest researcher, non-US citizen, or temporary affiliate working
> on an unclassified topic. A clearance is not a read-in to every
> classified program.
> 
> Sometimes NIST makes the clearance issue explicit. In [8], when NIST was
> openly advancing key escrow, NIST wrote:
> 
>> Access to classified information is anticipated, and a current U.S. 
>> government secret clearance is required for participation in this program. 
>> The first phase of the research program is expected to last two to three 
>> years.
> 
> 
> That is relevant history and a valid example. The 2010 NIST/NSA MOU in
> [9] says it replaces, supersedes, and extends a 1989 NIST/NSA agreement.
> It also created a Technical Working Group with three NIST and three NSA
> US federal employees. Item five required that group to review matters
> before public disclosure for consistency with the national security of
> the United States, and item six allowed additional operational
> agreements in annexes [9].
> 
> That is a structural transparency problem. Unless you were part of that
> TWG or a later NIST/NSA arrangement, I would not expect you to know the
> details of those discussions or annexes. If you were part of such a
> process, item five suggests public disclosure would be constrained by
> national-security review [9].
> 
> US citizenship also appears to be a common requirement in NIST
> cryptography research opportunities [10][11][12][13]. Citizenship is not
> a clearance, and a clearance is not a read-in. But when NSA briefs a
> NIST cryptographer through classified NIST/NSA channels, that person
> must be authorized to receive the information, and unauthorized
> disclosure of classified cryptographic or communications-intelligence
> information can carry serious penalties under 18 U.S.C. 798 [15] as
> well as other laws.
> 
> NIST itself acknowledges limits on transparency in NIST/NSA
> collaboration. NISTIR 7977 says [14] the following:
> 
>> The names of some NSA staff cannot, by law, be publicly revealed. 50 U.S.C. 
>> 402 note. Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests for documents involving 
>> any NIST-NSA collaboration are normally reviewed by both organizations and 
>> exempted or excluded information, which may include the names of specific 
>> NSA participants as noted, may be redacted.
> 
> 
> Is that fact in dispute? It is odd to characterize this as a grand
> conspiracy claim when much of what I am quoting was published by NIST.
> 
>> Moreover, the NIST PQC team was composed of many guest foreign researchers, 
>> who participated in every part of the process including the decision 
>> meetings, to which it would be a crime to divulge classified information.
> 
> 
> You appear to be making a category error by shifting from NIST
> cryptographers to the NIST PQC team. My statement was specifically
> scoped to the former, and your shift to the latter is a
> misunderstanding of the scope.
> 
> NIST cryptographers who are US federal employees could be eligible to
> participate in a NIST/NSA TWG; foreign guest researchers on the NIST
> PQC team could not receive classified information merely by
> participating in the PQC team.
> 
> It may be unlawful for cleared NIST cryptographers with access to a
> relevant classified program to disclose classified information outside
> authorized channels to people not authorized to receive it. That observation 
> supports, at most, that classified information was not lawfully disclosed in 
> the NIST PQC team meetings.
> 
> It does not show that NIST cryptographers lacked clearances, that
> NIST/NSA consultation occurred only in those meetings, or that cleared
> NIST personnel would be free to disclose classified information learned
> elsewhere. Can you point readers to a full accounting of those meetings?
> 
>> If you're going to double down, you'll perhaps need to indict
>> various European governments too!
> 
> 
> No double down is needed. My previous message already cited documents
> showing international collaboration. Did you mean that you did not read
> those documents, that you dispute them, or that I misunderstood your
> point?
> 
>> And while I have zero obligations that prevent me from open dialogue on 
>> anything related to this,
> 
> 
> My preemptive disclosure was that I have no such obligations of any
> kind: I do not hold, and have never held, a clearance.
> 
> Your statement is notable for what it does not say. You did not say that
> you have never held a clearance, never filled out an SF-86, never signed
> an SF-312, never participated in a classified NIST/NSA channel, or never
> had obligations on adjacent matters. You said only that you have zero
> obligations preventing open dialogue on anything related to this.
> 
> Maybe that is fully reassuring. Maybe it is a lawyerly non-denial. I am
> not asking you to disclose protected information. I am pointing out that
> this ambiguity is itself a structural problem. A public reader cannot
> verify whether anything related to this includes all relevant facts, or
> only the subset that you are allowed to discuss.
> 
>> I'm not interested in engaging in a speculative, often fanciful, 
>> politically-tinged discussion that *something evil somewhere has 
>> **happened*, especially when it's based on interpretations that seem plainly 
>> misinformed. (In good faith, I assume you were simply misinformed, rather 
>> than speaking with malice aforethought.)
> 
> 
> Nor am I. Please stop misrepresenting what I have written. Please engage
> with the cited material, or state which parts you dispute. I am
> interested in the specific facts at issue. You did not refute or even
> address the cited points. You characterized accurate historical facts,
> and the resulting standards-process concerns as an allegation of a grand
> conspiracy.
> 
> The technical point remains simple: SIKE shows that serious, multi-year
> review can miss major failures until late. That argues for deployment
> conservatism. If a new post-quantum component fails, a safely composed
> hybrid can leave a classical component protecting users. A stand-alone
> post-quantum construction removes that margin.
> 
> 
>> I am, however, interested in discussing the scientific and technical merits 
>> of the WCLC of this draft, if there are any substantive concerns. If you're 
>> able to write a fresh email highlighting the technical matter that you're 
>> interested in (separated from whatever you'd call the rest of that, so that 
>> I don't have to try to pick out this or that and guess at what technical 
>> matter is actually interesting to you), I'd be happy to discuss further.
> 
> 
> Most of the core concerns remain including but not limited to:
> 
> - Stand-alone post-quantum signatures remove a hard problem that
>  protects users today, while adding a newer assumption that may fail
>  either as a mathematical matter or as an implementation matter.
> 
> - Signature forgery is not the same risk as harvest-now-decrypt-later.
> 
> - Defaults matter. Publishing stand-alone ML-DSA code points in TLS can
>  function as a de facto transition signal.
> 
> - A standards process with classified NIST/NSA channels and a documented
>  history of cryptographic sabotage needs explicit safeguards, not
>  assurances amounting to "trust us", especially after trust in that
>  process was seriously damaged by NIST and NSA with regard to Dual_EC.
> 
> Three additional process questions follow:
> 
> - How can a technical standardization process at IETF defend against
>  well funded sabotage such as PROJECT BULLRUN, including similar
>  efforts by other adversaries?
> 
> - What should IETF do with technical suggestions from people related to
>  organizations that have sabotaged security, including in IETF
>  standards?
> 
> - What can you share about what NIST did during the PQC process to
>  address these concerns, given that NIST did not publish the SIKE break
>  and given that NIST did not mandate hybrids?
> 
> Kind regards,
> Jacob Appelbaum
> 
> 
> [0] 
> https://csrc.nist.gov/files/pubs/fips/203/ipd/docs/fips-203-initial-public-comments-2023.pdf
> 
> [1] https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/nsas-subversion-nists-algorithm
> 
> [2] 
> https://www.propublica.org/article/the-nsas-secret-campaign-to-crack-undermine-internet-encryption
> 
> [3] 
> https://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/inside-the-nsa-s-war-on-internet-security-a-1010361.html
> 
> [4] https://projectbullrun.org/dual-ec/
> 
> [5] 
> https://csrc.nist.gov/CSRC/media/Events/third-pqc-standardization-conference/documents/accepted-papers/costello-case-for-sike-pqc2021.pdf
> 
> [6] 
> https://www.computerweekly.com/news/366552520/New-revelations-from-the-Snowden-archive-surface
> 
> [7] https://cryptome.org/2014/02/gchq-online-deception.pdf and 
> https://www.aclu.org/sites/default/files/assets/the_art_of_deception_training_for_online_covert_operations_0.pdf
>  (see
> page 48 for an instant classic)
> 
> [8] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427204037/https://www.nist.gov/news-events/news/1994/02/nist-calls-partners-developing-key-escrowing-hardware
> 
> [9] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427204720/https://csrc.nist.gov/csrc/media/projects/crypto-standards-development-process/documents/nist_nsa_mou-2010.pdf
> 
> [10] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427211339/https://ofell.nas.edu/RAPLab10/opportunity/opportunity.aspx?LabCode=50&RONum=B7613&ROPCD=507731
> 
> [11] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427215706/https://ofell.nas.edu/RAPLab10/opportunity/opportunity.aspx?LabCode=50&ROPCD=507711&RONum=C1031
> 
> [12] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427215649/https://ofell.nas.edu/RAPLab10/opportunity/opportunity.aspx?LabCode=50&ROPCD=507731&RONum=C0556
> 
> [13] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427215624/https://ofell.nas.edu/RAPLab10/opportunity/opportunity.aspx?LabCode=50&ROPCD=507731&RONum=B7615
> 
> [14] 
> https://web.archive.org/web/20260427224507/https://nvlpubs.nist.gov/nistpubs/ir/2016/NIST.IR.7977.pdf
> 
> [15] https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/18/798
> 
> 
>> On Thu, Apr 23, 2026 at 7:48 AM Jacob Appelbaum <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> Hi Daniel,
>>> On 4/23/26 04:34, Daniel Apon wrote:
>>>> Hi Jacob,
>>>> You wrote: " A non-exhaustive list of ways that one might avoid pure PQ: - 
>>>> if the PQ crypto fails as SIKE failed - if some or all of Peter Gutmann's 
>>>> criticisms about CRQCs are correct - if the PQ crypto fails in a novel way 
>>>> that CRQCs enable - if the it is impractical to break both ECC and the PQ 
>>>> during the window in which it matters - if the PQ crypto deployment gives 
>>>> adversaries an opportunity to sabotage previously functional cryptography 
>>>> and thus break security - recommendations and/or regulations that impose a 
>>>> hybrid requirement"
>>>> Please allow me to address each (trying to delineate where reasonable 
>>>> points of disagreement exist versus points that don't, to me, seem 
>>>> reasonable):
>>> Are you able to share your threat model and ideally any obligations that 
>>> hinder open dialog?
>>> Allow me to go first with a rough threat model: I am concerned about well 
>>> funded Large Scale Adversaries engaged in strategic and tactical sabotage. 
>>> Active attacks on the internet including pervasive mass surveillance, and 
>>> active attacks on TLS. These concerns are contextually relevant to this 
>>> list.
>>> I am not bound by any NDA in this field, nor have I ever applied for, or 
>>> held, a US (or other) government clearance. I have no legal lifetime 
>>> obligations to silence, and indeed my obligations are almost the opposite: 
>>> I have worked with confidential sources to publish information that is in 
>>> the public interest.
>>>> " - if the PQ crypto fails as SIKE failed"
>>>> This is a common public misunderstanding of the NIST PQC process.
>>> No, I do not think so. I do not believe that I misunderstand the NIST PQC 
>>> process. I see it from the outside while I understand you may see it from 
>>> the inside, as your own work, at least in part. I may be wrong, and I 
>>> welcome learning more about your experience and context. I am not 
>>> disparaging your efforts either as much as I am expressing a lack of 
>>> confidence in my own government's processes and long term strategies.
>>> That is to say, I am perhaps disparaging aspects of NIST's result. I filed 
>>> official comments[0] with NIST as part of that process which show that the 
>>> PQC process resulted in changes that myself and others find problematic. 
>>> Those comments were not addressed formally by cryptographers at NIST or the 
>>> relevant political leadership.
>>> I have directly spoken to various sources at NIST (and NSA) who have told 
>>> me that they are not entirely free to speak on these matters. This does not 
>>> surprise any of the usual knowledgeable people who understand how the 
>>> sausage is made. Surprise or not, it lowers confidence in the NIST PQC 
>>> process and in NIST as well.
>>> Academic cryptographers are as impressive as they are underfunded and under 
>>> resourced. This is not to disparage the efforts by those academic 
>>> cryptographers working in the open. Respectfully, their expertise is 
>>> immense. Unfortunately, even their expertise and especially their resources 
>>> are completely dwarfed by the Large Scale Adversaries playing the field.
>>>> One should not view SIKE as being broken as a knock against greater- 
>>>> than-decade-long PQC standardization processes, but rather a wildly 
>>>> successful outcome of such processes and a testament to the mathematical 
>>>> rigor applied to PQC standardization that SIKE *was not standardized* 
>>>> while waiting for an attack to be published. Full stop.
>>> Unfortunately, this is misunderstands points made about SIKE by a country 
>>> mile and it reflects at least a difference of perception if not experience. 
>>> It probably reflects a difference of knowledge as well but I will try not 
>>> to presume to know what you know.
>>> This is part of the context: - NIST is required by law to consult with 
>>> NSA[1] - Neither NIST nor NSA has adequately addressed the cryptographic 
>>> sabotage shown in PROJECT BULLRUN[2] and specifically Dual_EC_DRBG[4] to 
>>> ensure there can never be a repetition - The IETF and specifically TLS was 
>>> targeted[3] as part of this sabotage - No one has been held accountable for 
>>> decades of cryptographic sabotage - People involved with cryptographic 
>>> sabotage wittingly, and even unwittingly, continue to be involved with 
>>> cryptographic systems and also with standardization - NIST cryptographers 
>>> are required to carry a clearance with lifetime obligations and to consult 
>>> with NSA in a way that binds them to secrecy under threat of serious 
>>> penalty - NSA cryptographers are also required to carry a clearance with 
>>> lifetime obligations - Those cryptographers are generally not supposed to 
>>> talk about their lifetime obligation but some of them do, thankfully - Some 
>>> of those lifetime obligated cryptographers switch to industry which in turn 
>>> ties back to PROJECT BULLRUN's tactics and strategies which include 
>>> infiltration of standards bodies, companies, and software projects. The 
>>> shoulder tap combined a request is a valid attack that is extremely 
>>> challenging to counter
>>> This leads us back to SIKE: - Many Cryptographers expressed confidence in 
>>> SIKE that was unfounded - SIKE being broken shows the brilliance of a 
>>> handful of people while also highlighting the limits of open cryptanalysis 
>>> - SIKE being broken *and published* by someone other than NIST when NIST is 
>>> required by law to consult with NSA is expected with what we know about 
>>> PROJECT BULLRUN - It is fairly implausible that NSA did not know before the 
>>> public, especially given the targeted NSA (and other agencies) surveillance 
>>> of cryptographers and their respective workplaces, including in Europe - 
>>> The fact that open cryptanalysis broke something that was in round four is 
>>> being used to glaze the overall process itself which is undeserved. That 
>>> research came from the academic community and the context merely provided 
>>> incentives. Unfortunately, it also provides a locus of control such as with 
>>> patents and regulatory levers - The NIST process provides pressure to 
>>> switch from something we understand to be secure today to something we hope 
>>> will be secure tomorrow while also giving a lever for change control to 
>>> NIST (and by extension of US law, NSA). That lever was used, and it is 
>>> still being used
>>> Harm reduction is one lesson: Deployments of PQ crypto that were later 
>>> broken remain secure today because of hybrid constructions as part of those 
>>> PQ experiments. We probably can't resolve all of the issues above but we 
>>> can avoid making risky choices that benefit Large Scale Adversaries.
>>>> " - if some or all of Peter Gutmann's criticisms about CRQCs
>>>> are correct"
>>>> Without diving down into rabbit holes about dogs and waffles or whatever 
>>>> other satire, was there a serious technical point
>>>> worth highlighting? Historically, one of the best "cartoon form" arguments 
>>>> in Garey and Johnson's book "Computers and Intractability: A Guide to the 
>>>> Theory of NP-Completeness" was on page 3, captioned: *"I can't find an 
>>>> efficient algorithm, but neither can all these famous people."*
>>>> To wit: in this situation, we have many famous people working
>>>> on building CRQCs. Some have recently won the Nobel Prize in Physics for 
>>>> their work towards large-scale quantum computing engineering. To be clear, 
>>>> the majority corpus of expert opinion is clearly in favor of a 
>>>> near-to-medium-term CRQC emerging.
>>> Nevertheless, if one switches to PQ without hybrid constructions today, one 
>>> may not need a quantum computer.
>>> A quantum computer may or may not arrive, but the fatal mistake
>>> of removing a known good thing in exchange for a new speculative thing is 
>>> poor risk management. It seems reasonable to consider quantum computers as 
>>> an engineering problem just as cryptographic sabotage is an engineering 
>>> problem. We should seek systematic, safe choices that center on protecting 
>>> (internet) user first. Corporations and governments have weighed in along 
>>> with other technically skilled folks, and their interests differ from the 
>>> regular user in many cases. Those regular users are people who will be 
>>> stuck with the defaults. They will often not even know that they're making 
>>> a tradeoff that isn't even mentioned in the security considerations of an 
>>> internet standards document.
>>>> " - if the PQ crypto fails in a novel way that CRQCs enable"
>>>> There seems to be no such potential pathways that are believable/ known, 
>>>> despite various attempts in the past years by Yilei Chen and Yifan Zhang.
>>> I recall in round three[5] of the NIST process that you were quoted as 
>>> saying: “SIKE is a fantastic scheme, but its computation is by far the most 
>>> expensive, and the problem is relatively new. Who knows here?”
>>> To echo your previous curiosity while not endorsing things where I lack 
>>> confidence in the scheme, I would ask the same question: Who knows here?
>>> There is evidence in the literate says that new attacks against
>>> PQ systems will continue to improve using regular computers and
>>> that the security boundaries of some PQ cryptography when faced
>>> with an existing quantum computer may be lower than initially
>>> estimated. There are credible disputes about the NIST calculations
>>> of PQ security levels.
>>>> " - if the it is impractical to break both ECC and the PQ during the 
>>>> window in which it matters"
>>>> This is somewhat of a more valid point, and it comes down to a question of 
>>>> the intelligence lifespan of data. In some scenarios, maybe an hour or a 
>>>> day is the relevant information content of data. In others, years or 
>>>> decades are not enough to erase the sensitivity of communications.
>>> This is a strange thing to say in the context of signatures. We probably 
>>> agree about the risks of decryption of data purloined through targeted and 
>>> mass surveillance. If so, I am glad that we can find a common point of 
>>> agreement. However, it seems to be a category error to discuss the concerns 
>>> of implied decryption of mass surveillance data, say stored at the 
>>> Bluffdale MDR, when signature forgery is the topic of discussion.
>>> A conservative hybrid signature construction should protect against 
>>> signature forgery including any failures in the new PQ system. Long-term 
>>> security starts with being secure today, and optimizing away the security 
>>> we rely on today is reducing the total number of hard problems underlying 
>>> the security assumptions of these cryptographic systems.
>>>> Certainly, hybrid ECC+PQC (in whatever form it occurs) may be more 
>>>> reasonable for relatively less sensitive data, but for
>>>> more sensitive data, the "window in which it matters" is
>>>> inherently long.
>>> And in the longer window, fewer hard problems is... better? If the keys are 
>>> otherwise unrelated and securely combined, I would enjoy reading your 
>>> reasoning. If the concern is that it won't be done correctly, well, yes, 
>>> that is indeed a problem. Thankfully we have some things already that 
>>> appear to be as good as it gets; we should not throw them away.
>>>> " - if the PQ crypto deployment gives adversaries an opportunity to 
>>>> sabotage previously functional cryptography and thus break security"
>>>> I suppose that's why the world participated in a decade-long common 
>>>> evaluation process to vet the new cryptography, which was not only 
>>>> standardized without serious technical objection to the security of the PQ 
>>>> cryptographies, but was standardized with alternative technical opinions 
>>>> left objectively wanting in public. It took many years for the global 
>>>> conversation to reach that final point.
>>> Without NIST systematically addressing comments and concerns that were 
>>> filed as part of that process, you're ironically reinforcing my observation.
>>> If you're saying the math is fine, we're probably talking past each other. 
>>> Yes, many cryptographers think that the math is fine or that they don't see 
>>> a problem which isn't quite the same result as thinking it to be fine.
>>> Meanwhile, I have spoken with (American, European, and other) 
>>> cryptographers who simply refused to engage with the NIST process at all 
>>> for a variety of reasons. This may be a blind spot for a former NIST person 
>>> but I suspect you're well aware. Though there are cryptographers who don't 
>>> think all of the math is fine, and others still report that they don't 
>>> always understand the math. The latter two are especially concerning and 
>>> seem to be implicitly dismissed by your line of reasoning.
>>> The changes imposed by NIST (and by extension influenced by NSA
>>> as required by US law) aren't all mathematically interesting. I
>>> noted some of this in my comments to NIST. There is much to say on
>>> this topic. Most of all it is worth noting that there is published evidence 
>>> of NSA and related agencies targeting TLS, IPsec, SSH, and other widely 
>>> deployed cryptographic systems. NSA sabotaged standards, software, and even 
>>> hardware all the same. The hardware sabotage includes but is not limited to 
>>> SIGINT enabling of CPUs produced by an American (fabless semiconductor) 
>>> firm[6]. The NSA and related Large Scale Adversaries have many confirmed 
>>> successes in breaking the security of the systems. The NSA influence over 
>>> on NIST over many decades imposes a serious burden on NIST's credibility, 
>>> as do the security clearance lifetime obligations of people who know more 
>>> than they are allowed to say in the open. Large Scale Adversary 
>>> interference includes social, political, workplace, and even technical 
>>> ostracism[7] as part of the documented playbook.
>>>> " - recommendations and/or regulations that impose a hybrid requirement"
>>>> This is a great reason to want an option for hybrid PQC+ECC,
>>>> but it's not a reason to forbid pure PQC. Businesses (such as
>>>> mine) that participate as vendors in multiple markets will spend
>>>> the appropriate effort to satisfy local regulations in each jurisdiction, 
>>>> of course.
>>> Defaults matter and upcoming standards will be seen as de facto transition 
>>> documents that endorse specific kinds of deployments. This document 
>>> endorses a more risky deployment than is reasonable for those with concerns 
>>> about Large Scale Adversary interference in cryptographic security. I 
>>> remain open to the possibility that there are compelling arguments while 
>>> still remaining opposed to publication at this time even after considering 
>>> your points.
>>> Kind regards, Jacob Appelbaum
>>> [0]
>>> https://csrc.nist.gov/files/pubs/fips/203/ipd/docs/fips-203- 
>>> initial-public-comments-2023.pdf [1] https://www.lawfaremedia.org/ 
>>> article/nsas-subversion-nists-algorithm [2]
>>> https://www.propublica.org/article/the-nsas-secret-campaign-to- 
>>> crack-undermine-internet-encryption [3]
>>> https://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/inside-the-nsa-s-war- 
>>> on-internet-security-a-1010361.html [4] https://
>>> projectbullrun.org/ dual-ec/ [5]
>>> https://csrc.nist.gov/CSRC/media/Events/third-pqc-standardization- 
>>> conference/documents/accepted-papers/costello-case-for-sike- pqc2021.pdf [6]
>>> https://www.computerweekly.com/news/366552520/New-revelations-
>>> from- the-Snowden-archive-surface [7] https://cryptome.org/2014/02/
>>> gchq- online-deception.pdf and
>>> https://www.aclu.org/sites/default/files/assets/ 
>>> the_art_of_deception_training_for_online_covert_operations_0.pdf (see page 
>>> 48 for an instant classic)
>>>> On Wed, Apr 22, 2026 at 5:49 PM Jacob Appelbaum <[email protected]> 
>>>> wrote:
>>>>> Hello Uri,
>>>>> On 4/22/26 21:52, Blumenthal, Uri - 0553 - MITLL wrote:
>>>>>> There can be arguments about the life expectancy of hybrids - from zero 
>>>>>> to CRQC appearance - but can be no objection to the point that once CRQC 
>>>>>> is here, only pure PQ will make sense.
>>>>> With respect, I suspect that there there will be measurements rather than 
>>>>> mere speculative arguments.
>>>>> The life expectancy will depend greatly on such a machine existing, who 
>>>>> has such a machine, who is willing to reveal that they have such a 
>>>>> machine, how efficient and/or useful it is for practical attacks, and 
>>>>> most importantly if the PQ cryptography actually survives contact with 
>>>>> that reality. The latter point seems particularly challenging as a 
>>>>> discussion point.
>>>>> Something that I haven't seen raised in this discussion is a possible 
>>>>> middle ground where we see something like the proposed 
>>>>> TWINKLE[0]/TWIRL[1] machines where breaking a single key may be feasible 
>>>>> but cost prohibitive at scale. Those proposed systems did not force RSA 
>>>>> into retirement. Meanwhile, LOGJAM[2] resulted in RFC8270 rather than 
>>>>> RSA's end.
>>>>> There are several kinds of PQ failures that we have seen, additional 
>>>>> failures that we expect to see, and a few that many of us hope won't 
>>>>> happen at all. SIKE remains a humbling example that is seemingly avoided 
>>>>> in many of these discussions.
>>>>>> Thus, arguing against pure PQ makes no sense in my opinion: you may be 
>>>>>> able to delay long enough to avoid hybrids, but there’s no way you’d 
>>>>>> avoid pure PQ. — Regards, Uri
>>>>> As of today, there isn't a quantum computer that is public
>>>>> and breaking ECC. We are fairly confident that ECC is secure
>>>>> today modulo various kinds of NOBUS and other kinds of
>>>>> cryptographic sabotage. We are also fairly confident that ECC
>>>>> will fall eventually if there is a quantum computer. Most
>>>>> people are confident that there will be a relevant quantum
>>>>> computer and that we should prepare. It seems odd to prepare
>>>>> by increasing the risk of attacks by computers that already
>>>>> exist today.
>>>>> A non-exhaustive list of ways that one might avoid pure PQ: - if the PQ 
>>>>> crypto fails as SIKE failed - if some or all of Peter Gutmann's 
>>>>> criticisms about CRQCs are correct - if the PQ crypto fails in a novel 
>>>>> way that CRQCs enable - if the it is impractical to break both ECC and 
>>>>> the PQ during the window in which it matters - if the PQ crypto 
>>>>> deployment gives adversaries an opportunity to sabotage previously 
>>>>> functional cryptography and thus break security - recommendations and/or 
>>>>> regulations that impose a hybrid requirement
>>>>> Hybrid compositions make sense for encryption and for signatures. Attacks 
>>>>> with a quantum computer to break the cryptographic encryption or 
>>>>> signature system(s) may be roughly the same but I am not convinced that 
>>>>> the consequences are equal. It is remarkable that signature forgery isn't 
>>>>> considered more of a concern than HNDL.
>>>>> Arguing for a belt rather than suspenders and a belt is often a 
>>>>> reasonable fashion choice but is it an equally secure and resilient 
>>>>> system?
>>>>> Kind regards, Jacob Appelbaum
>>>>> [0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWINKLE [1] https:// 
>>>>> en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWIRL [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/
>>>>> wiki/ Logjam_(computer_security)
>>>>>>> On Apr 22, 2026, at 13:25, Nicola Tuveri <[email protected]> wrote:
>>>>>>>  Hi Rich, thanks for your clarification, indeed my phrasing was not 
>>>>>>> ideal. I’ll take your comment as a chance to clarify my stance. Code 
>>>>>>> point assignment and deployment support are distinct considerations. In 
>>>>>>> practice, non- experimental production ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerStart This 
>>>>>>> Message Is From an External Sender This message came from outside the 
>>>>>>> Laboratory. ZjQcmQRYFpfptBannerEnd
>>>>>>> Hi Rich,
>>>>>>> thanks for your clarification, indeed my phrasing was not ideal. I’ll 
>>>>>>> take your comment as a chance to clarify my stance.
>>>>>>> Code point assignment and deployment support are distinct 
>>>>>>> considerations. In practice, non-experimental production deployments 
>>>>>>> generally rely on both assigned code points and a published standard.
>>>>>>> Concerns about the proliferation of standards introducing support for 
>>>>>>> additional code points are not uncommon on this list. I note a similar 
>>>>>>> concern here in support of delaying this draft.
>>>>>>> At present, the process risks creating the impression of
>>>>>>> a “first- to-standard” outcome, where publication effectively 
>>>>>>> determines the direction of deployment before the trade-offs have been 
>>>>>>> fully examined, possibly even stalling the progress of other drafts. In 
>>>>>>> particular, the argument that introducing additional options increases 
>>>>>>> complexity has been raised repeatedly on this list, but it does not 
>>>>>>> seem sufficient on its own to guide decisions in a security area WG. It 
>>>>>>> would be preferable to more explicitly evaluate the security properties 
>>>>>>> of hybrid and non-hybrid approaches and reach a position that can 
>>>>>>> inform what should-and should not-be advanced to standard.
>>>>>>> Best regards,
>>>>>>> Nicola Tuveri
>>>>>>> On Wed, Apr 22, 2026 at 19.30 Salz, Rich
>>>>>>> <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>> wrote:
>>>>>>> * I have read the draft, but I do not support its publication at the 
>>>>>>> moment.
>>>>>>> * My rationale is that this draft adds complexity by adding extra code 
>>>>>>> points for pure mldsa.
>>>>>>> Code points are assigned when a stable reference is available, as you 
>>>>>>> might recall from the long threads on the pure ML-KEM draft. So I don’t 
>>>>>>> think your stated rationale makes sense.
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