On Mon, Dec 22, 2008 at 8:23 PM, Kevin M. <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Will Blu-Ray really dominate the market? Picture quality not
> withstanding, I hope not. My admittedly optimistic prediction is that
> hard-drive technology will continue to improve (read: smaller sized
> drives capable of holding increased amounts of data) and drop in
> price. I'd like to think we will transition to a society of easy and
> affordable downloads as opposed to another clunky format that has to
> be stored on a shelf, only to be replaced by the next format.

The thing that worries me about Blu-Ray, though, in terms of its
success as a format, is that Blu-Ray players will upscale standard
definition DVD's.  They don't show up on your TV as "high definition",
but standard def DVD's look a helluva lot better playing from a
Blu-Ray player.

Once HD-DVD folded, I bought a PS3 to use as a Blu-Ray player;
immediately thereafter, I went out and bought a number of titles on
Blu-Ray disc.  Some were really deserving of high defintion (2001,
Blade Runner), and others were just old movies I hadn't seen in a
while and wanted to see again (guilty pleasure: Twilight Zone: The
Movie).  I've purchased a couple of games for the system too, but
since then, the absolute number one thing I do with my PS3 is play
standard definition DVD's.  Your average consumer probably isn't going
to notice a lot of difference between the quality of a Blu-Ray disc
and the same title on DVD upscaled in a Blu-Ray player.  And therein
lies the problem--you're gonna have a hard time selling Joe Walmart on
the higher picture quality, when a similar quality picture can be had
at half the price.  I know I've seen titles I'd like to buy on Blu-Ray
that I've skipped simply because I already have it on DVD and there's
no reason to upgrade.

Sure, Blu-Ray has the fancy-schmancy features (the pop-up menus can be
kinda cool, but they can also be annoying), but I don't know that it's
enough to convert people...and thus, I don't think DVD is going
anywhere anytime soon.  I think there's enough of a convenience factor
over VHS (smaller footprint, easier to access, more portable) to
ensure DVD will be around for a long time to come...

-- 
-- 
Ben Scripps
[email protected]

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