Peter Szolovits wrote:
If TWC is really calibrated, then your conditions 5 and 6 are false, no?
I agree with Peter's solution. If I build a model for this problem, it must contain at least two variables: Snow and TWC_report. According with my model, the TWC forecasts are calibrated if and only if P(Snow=yes|TWC_report=x) = x, by definition of calibration.
Regards, Javier ----------------------------------------------------------------- Francisco Javier Diez Phone: (+34) 91.398.71.61 Dpto. Inteligencia Artificial Fax: (+34) 91.398.88.95 UNED. c/Juan del Rosal, 16 http://www.ia.uned.es/~fjdiez 28040 Madrid. Spain http://www.cisiad.uned.es _______________________________________________ uai mailing list uai@ENGR.ORST.EDU https://secure.engr.oregonstate.edu/mailman/listinfo/uai